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SPX (S&P 500 Index)

SPX: cautious on hourly earningsThere has been sort of a mixed mood on financial markets during the previous week. The week started with a positive sentiment, although it was around the level of 5.931 at one short point. The S&P 500 was moving toward the higher grounds for the rest of the week, reaching the highest weekly level on Thursday, at 6.083. Still, after the NFP data were posted, the market turned to the negative sentiment, dropping strongly within the day, finishing the week at the level 6.025. What was the actual problem with the NFP data? The US economy added 143K new jobs, while the market was expecting to see the figure around 170K. This difference is not so huge, so there was no problem. However, the average hourly earnings were the one to spoil the game on the market, considering that they increased by 0,5% above the market estimate of 0,3%. This was the breaking point for investors, where they anticipate that increased earnings will support increased spending in the future period and consequently higher inflation. A higher inflation means that the Fed will hold interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time, which means that investors need to revalue their positions. And, another drop in the US equity markets just happened. Despite job developments, which are temporary, the investors continue to be concerned about trade tariffs imposed, or planned to be imposed, by the new US Administration. This brings higher sensitivity to equity markets, which will react to any news to this topic in the future period. So, it might be expected that the volatility will continue. As for quarterly results of the major companies, Amazon shares dropped around 4% after the results. The company had relatively solid quarterly earrings, however, the push in the price was provoked by providing a relatively low guidance to investors regarding companies expectation for Q1 earnings. They provided only an expectation of 5% to 9% growth in revenues in the first quarter, but analysts are noting that this would be the lowest quarterly growth of the company in its history.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Monday sell Off? History May Repeat Itself...Monday Sell-Off? This Setup Says It’s Coming... | SPX Market Analysis 10 Feb 2025 Another week wraps up, and as I eye Monday’s open, I can’t shake a sense of déjà vu. The last two weeks started with a gap down, followed by a bearish finish into the weekend. Super Bowl Sunday is also here – Can the Kansas City Chiefs complete an unprecedented three-peat in Super Bowl 59 or will the Philadelphia Eagles gain revenge? Just like the markets, only time will tell and we will have to wait and see. That said, Friday’s setup is setting the stage for another pop ‘n drop. The only question? What triggers the fall this time? ... SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 📉 Mondays Have Been Bearish – Will This One Be Too? The last two Mondays started with a gap down, followed by a bearish move into the weekend. If the pattern holds, next week could open with a bang – but not necessarily to the upside. 🏈 Super Bowl & The Markets – A Perfect Parallel? The markets are playing their own Super Bowl showdown. Will the bulls make a comeback, or will the bears crush their hopes yet again? Just like the Chiefs vs. Eagles, we can only wait and see. 🔻 Friday’s Bearish Setup – A Warning Sign? - V-shaped reversal entry ✅ - Bearish pulse bar confirmation ✅ - Similar daily bar pattern to the last two Fridays ✅ 📌 So What Happens Monday? If history repeats itself, we could see: - A pop higher at the open, luring in buyers 🏹 - A sharp drop shortly after, trapping the late bulls 🕳 - A repeat of the last two weeks' bearish close 📉 🔑 Key Takeaway: The setup is there. Now we wait for the trigger. Fun Fact: 📢 Did you know? The Super Bowl Indicator suggests that if an AFC team wins, markets go bearish, but if an NFC team wins, markets go bullish. 💡 The Lesson? As ridiculous as it sounds, market psychology is a wild beast. While we don’t trade superstition, it’s always fun to see how random events get tied to stock performance.
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
NFP Incoming - Will SPX Smash 6100?NFP Incoming – Will SPX Smash 6100? | SPX Market Analysis 7 Feb 2025 The bulls keep charging as SPX edges closer to 6100. But with the NFP report dropping pre-market, things could get lively. Will we blast through resistance or bounce back down? Expect some whipsaw chaos before the market settles – but with a bullish trend already in play, we should at least get one more push toward target exits before the dust settles. --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 📈 Bullish Move On Track SPX has ridden the momentum train all the way from the range lows to the range highs. Now, we’re staring at 6100, the key level where decisions will be made. 🚀 NFP Report – A Market Mover Today’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data drops just before the opening bell. This is one of the bigger monthly catalysts, meaning we could see: A breakout past 6100 if the market likes the numbers. A sharp rejection back into the range if traders get spooked. A whipsaw shakeout, with wild swings before settling. 🔄 Short-Term Expectation? A Push Higher Even if volatility kicks in, the existing bullish momentum should at least give us a final nudge up toward target exits. Whether we smash through 6100 or stall out, we’re in prime position to lock in profits. ⏳ The Good Kind of Waiting Once again, we’re in a holding pattern, waiting for the market to tip its hand. But this is strategic patience – the kind where we’ve done the hard work and now simply let the market do its thing. The setups are in place – now, we sit back and watch the magic unfold. --- Fun Fact: 📢 Did you know? In 2010, a trader accidentally caused a $1 trillion stock market crash in just 36 minutes – all because of a fat-finger trade. 💡 The Lesson? One typo, one misclick, or one overleveraged position can cause chaos. Always double-check your trades, because even the pros have hit the wrong button before.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
Elliott Wave View: SPY Looking to Resume HigherShort Term Elliott Wave View in SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) suggests pullback to 575.04 ended wave ((4)). The ETF has resumed higher in wave ((5)) with internal subdivision as 5 waves impulse. Up from wave ((4)), wave ((i)) ended at 585.99 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 578.35. From there, wave (i) ended at 583.81 and wave (ii) ended at 578.90. Wave (iii) higher ended at 595.56 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 590.35. Final wave (v) ended at 607.7 which completed wave ((iii)). Pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 604.67 and wave ((v)) higher ended at 610.78. This completed wave 1 in higher degree. The ETF then pullback in wave 2 with internal subdivision as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((b)) ended at 609.96 as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((a)), wave (w) ended at 605.96 and wave (x) ended at 599.22. Wave (y) higher ended at 609.96 which completed wave ((b)) in higher degree. The ETF turned lower in wave ((c)) towards 589.5 which completed wave 2 in higher degree. It has turned higher in wave 3. Near term, as far as pivot at 575.04 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
AMEX:SPY
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.7.2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸🤝🇨🇦🇲🇽 Tariff Developments: The U.S. has announced a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, set to take effect on March 4, 2025, following a 30-day delay after negotiations. 🇺🇸📈🇨🇳 Tariffs on China: A 10% tariff on Chinese imports was implemented on February 4, 2025. In response, China has announced retaliatory tariffs ranging from 10% to 15% on select U.S. goods, effective February 10, 2025. 📊 Key Data Releases: 🏢 Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +165K | Previous: +150K 📉 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 4.1% | Previous: 4.1% 💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% | Previous: +0.2% 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up may lead to a rejection back down into the 6041 area. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Expect slight morning choppiness, followed by a significant sell-off either in the early morning or afternoon, dropping into 6025 before bouncing to close above 6041. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Consolidate lower and then pump back higher than 6025; that's the flip level. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXShort
by TrendTao
750 dolla spy.gm, wanted to share my outlook on the stock market today. --- fear is accelerating. uncertainty is going parabolic in a way we haven’t seen since the covid crash. people are running. insiders are exiting. the herd is collectively turning bearish. but i’m bullish. --- here’s exactly why: -quantitative easing is coming back. -rate cuts are on the horizon. -the us dollar is depreciating. -economic expansion is inevitable. -the artificial intelligence boom is just getting started. --- while most people fumble their bag up here, drowning in fear, we look for significantly higher prices into 2026. --- ps. i left out upside targets and timeframes because none of that matters at the moment. only the structure does. if you like the structure, use it. don't give me any credit. i don’t need it. if you make a dolla this next year, donate a tenth of it to someone who needs it more than you. the universe will handle the rest. 🌙
AMEX:SPY
by notoriousbids
2
S&P500: Neutral on 1D shows enormous upside potential.S&P500 is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.735, MACD = 16.510, ADX = 17.690) as it just crossed over the 1D MA50 again and after a 1D MA100 rebound remains relatively low inside the Channel Up pattern. The 1D RSI is also bouncing on the S1 level, where the September 6th 2024 bullish wave originated and reached the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. That is an excellent technical level for the next HH (TP = 6,300). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
ES Morning Update Feb 5thAfter a noisy start earlier in the week, ES has settled into a consolidation phase. Yesterday’s strategy was simple: as long as 6020 remained intact, 6066 was the target. The market surged to 6066, held throughout the session, and then retraced back to 6020 overnight. As of now: • A reclaim of 6037 should push the market toward 6056, with a brief dip along the way • If this rebound holds, targets are set at 6076 and 6087+ • A leg down is expected only if the price falls below 6004
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ESMorg
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.5.2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 📊 Trade Balance: The U.S. trade deficit is expected to widen to $96.50 billion in December, up from $78.20 billion in November. 📈 Key Data Releases: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (8:15 AM ET): 🏢 Forecast: 148K | Previous: 122K Services PMI (9:45 AM ET): 🏭 Forecast: 52.8 | Previous: 56.8 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET): 📊 Forecast: 54.2 | Previous: 54.1 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up will get a rejection below 6032. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Slight move higher as a continuation and drop down 1% off the HCZ. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Consolidate lower and pump back higher. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by TrendTao
Wall Street Rallies on Trade Optimism: $SPX Performance Wall Street Rallies on Trade Optimism: S&P 500 Performance Update 📈 1/9 The S&P 500 Index ( SP:SPX ) closed higher today, fueled by optimism surrounding U.S.-China trade negotiations. Energy stocks led the charge, driven by rising oil prices and demand forecasts. 🔋📊 2/9 Energy Sector Surge: Energy stocks played a crucial role in today's SPX gains. Rising global demand and oil price increases are sparking investor confidence. 🚀 Is this trend sustainable? 3/9 Trade Optimism: President Trump's decision to delay tariffs on Canada and Mexico boosted sentiment. However, new U.S. tariffs on China and China's retaliatory measures remain key risks. ⚖️ Trade talks are still a tightrope walk. 4/9 Corporate movers today: PepsiCo and Estée Lauder fell after weak earnings forecasts. 📉 Palantir soared on a strong revenue outlook. 📈 Earnings season continues to shape sector performance! 5/9 Investors now await Alphabet's earnings, set to drop after market close. Tech giants like Alphabet can significantly impact SPX momentum in coming sessions. Will it be a bullish or bearish catalyst? 🕰️ 6/9 Economic Context: The SPX's performance today highlights a market adapting to trade uncertainties. Investors are shifting their focus from immediate trade impacts to longer-term prospects. 💡 7/9 Looking Forward: Alphabet's earnings could either reinforce today's rally or inject new volatility into the market. Tech earnings remain a major influence on overall market sentiment. 🧮 8/9 Today's SPX rally is a reminder of the market's sensitivity to macroeconomic factors—trade policy, sector rotation, and earnings expectations are all in play. Are you positioned for these shifts? 📊 9/9 What’s your market outlook for the SPX this week? Vote now! 🗳️ SPX will continue rising 📈 Expect some volatility 🔄 Bearish pullback ahead 📉
TVC:SPXLong
by DCAChampion
ES Morning Update Feb 4thEven as tariff comments continue to drive the market relentlessly, the technical side of things in ES remains razor-sharp. Since Sunday’s open, the target was unmistakable: a gap fill in the 6056-66 range. We reached roughly 6066 by 6pm, filled the gap, and then sold. As of now: • The market is in a phase of complex chop between 6004 and 6066 • 6020 and the recovered 6004 are acting as support • These supports keep 6036, 6058, and 6066+ in play • If the price drops below 6004, initiate selling
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ESMorg
S&P500 4H Bullish Cross signals rally to 6200.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been consolidating within a Rectangle pattern, which is coming out a MA100/200 Bullish Cross on the 4H time-frame. The identical consoliation phase of July - August 2024 bottomed right after such Bullish Cross and then rebounded towards the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level before pulling back to the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) again. With the 1D MACD about to confirm the bottom with a Bearish Cross similar to September 04 2024, we expect a strong rally to start by the end of the week and target 6200 (just below the 1.382 Fibonacci extension). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
1
Head & Shoulders reversal pattern: AAPL chartBeautiful symmetric reversal Head & Shoulders pattern is in the making. We have three peaks with the highest in between called Head. Left and right peaks are "shoulders". The line between valleys of the Head is called Neckline. This pattern reverses the price course at the climax. Trading technique: Sell entry is triggered on the breakdown of the Neckline Stop loss is at the invalidation point - breakup of the Right Shoulder (red dashed line) Take profit is set at the height of the Head subtracted below Neckline (blue dashed line)
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by aibek
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.4.2025🔮 📅 Tue, Feb 4 🌎 Market-Moving News: 📢 Tariffs in Focus: 🇺🇸🔁🇨🇦 U.S. imposes 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico, 10% on China, while Canada retaliates with 25% tariffs on U.S. goods. 🏦 Central Banks: 📉🇪🇺 ECB cuts rates to support growth, while 📈🇯🇵 BOJ hikes rates, signaling diverging global monetary policies. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📉 JOLTS Job Openings (10 AM ET): Forecast 8.68M (Prev. 8.75M) 🏭 Factory Orders (10 AM ET): Forecast +0.2% (Prev. -0.7%) 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: Initial push higher before rejecting below 6044, leading to consolidation. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Rebound attempt, but potential rejection back into the Equity Equilibrium Zone, causing choppy action. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Early dip, potential bounce, but structure favors continued weakness before stabilization. #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao 🚀
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao