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SPX (S&P 500 Index)

S&P500 - The 2025 Bullrun Just Started!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) will rally massively during 2025: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of years, the S&P500 has perfectly been respecting the trendlines of a rising channel formation. After the recent rally of +70%, it is quite likely that - following the 2020 cycle - we will see another final rally of about +20% before the S&P500 will correct itself. Levels to watch: $7.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
15
S&P 500 Eyes New ATH – Breakout or Pullback Next? S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Analysis – February 17, 2025 Market Overview The S&P 500 is on the verge of breaking to a new All-Time High (ATH) as U.S. investors return from the long weekend. The index maintains strong bullish momentum, with traders eyeing fresh highs. However, historical seasonal trends suggest that a breakout could be followed by a deeper pullback, making it crucial to monitor key levels. Technical Outlook Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 6123, the uptrend remains strong, targeting the next resistance levels at 6168 and 6225. A daily close above 6123 would reinforce the bullish momentum and increase the likelihood of further highs at 6279. Bearish Scenario: If the index closes a 4-hour candle below 6098, bearish pressure may emerge, leading to potential declines toward 6031 and 6010. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Point: 6123 🔹 Resistance Levels: 6168, 6224, 6279 🔹 Support Levels: 6098, 6031, 6010 📈 Momentum remains bullish while above 6123, but a break below 6098 could trigger a pullback! 💬 Will S&P 500 break to new ATHs or face a pullback first? Drop your predictions below! 👇🔥
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
7
S&P500 Remarkable 16year Time Cycles call the Top and CorrectionThe S&P500 index (SPX) just made a new All Time High (ATH) and even though it hasn't picked up the pace since the initial very aggressive post-elections rally, it is entering a bullish phase. In fact that is technically the last rally phase of the Bull Cycle that started at the bottom of the 2022 Inflation Crisis in October 2022. The reason behind this is the index' very reliable and consistent Time Cycle pattern that is repeated over and over again within the 16-year Channel Up that had been holding since the bottom of the 2009 Housing Crisis. As you can see on this remarkable trading blue-print, ever since the index recovered the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) and turned it into its long-term Support, strong Cycles of Growth (Bullish Leg) and correction (Bearish Leg) phases became the norm. Using the 1M RSI specific overbought pattern, we can see that from those points onwards, the Bull Cycle usually took around 12 months before it topped (Higher High on the Channel Up) and then corrected. This suggests that by September 2025 we may have a new peak and it would be a good idea to have sold stock investments by then. The first two 12-month rallies (2014, 2018) posted +22.10% increases while the third (2021) posted +27.80%. As a result this gives us a potential range of 6800 - 7200 within which selling should occur, in preparation for the 2026 correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
5
Weekly Market Outlook: February 18 – 21, 2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs Implementation: President Donald Trump has signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on imports from China. These tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday, February 18, 2025. 🇷🇺🇺🇸 Diplomatic Talks: Senior U.S. and Russian officials are scheduled to meet in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on February 18 to discuss the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and explore potential resolutions. 🇩🇪🗳️ German Snap Election: Germany is set to hold a snap election this week, with the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) expected to perform well, potentially influencing European markets. 📊 Key Data Releases: Tuesday, Feb 18: 🇺🇸🏭 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Measures manufacturing activity in New York State. 🇺🇸🗣️ U.S. President Trump Speech (3:00 PM ET): Insights into potential policy directions and economic outlook. Wednesday, Feb 19: 🇺🇸🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Data on new residential construction projects. 🇺🇸📄 FOMC Meeting Minutes (2:00 PM ET): Detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's policy discussions from the January meeting. Thursday, Feb 20: 🇺🇸📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Weekly data on unemployment claims. 🇺🇸🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Indicator of manufacturing sector health in the Philadelphia region. Friday, Feb 21: 🇺🇸🏭 S&P Global Flash Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET): Preliminary data on manufacturing sector performance. 🇺🇸🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Reports on the number of previously owned homes sold. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by PogChan
2025 Market Outlook - Cautiously Bullish (Important Bar Counts)Hey Everybody, Thanks for checking out the video. I'm reviewing all major instruments, US and Non US. US has carried the financial markets since 2020 and 2022 and this year out of the gate we're seeing big runs in "uninvestable" spaces like Europe and China. I say that jokingly because of how bad everything thought non US assets were, but here we are watching DAX, FTSE, and HSI running to double digit gains while the US lags behind. Will the US catch up and the global economy tide rise to lift all boats or are we truly seeing a catch up trade that will have headwinds uncertainties a plenty? Time will tell. This week is a holiday shortened trading week, RBA and RBNZ expected to cut rates, Europe and US printing PMI on Friday. BABA and BIDU earnings this week (China related), and NVDA earnings next week (#2 market cap in US). I discuss the big bar counts that I'm watching closely on SPY, SPX, XSP, RSP, NDX, QQQ, DIA, NVDA, META, NFLX, and others that I believe technically will matter for limited upside momentum without a bigger pause, snapback or correction ahead. Cautiously optimistic is a perfect play for 2025. I'm off to a good start for the year and intend to keep that way without chasing or doing anything silly. Thank for watching.
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
SPX: risky optimismA strong performance of the S&P 500 and increased investors optimism was back during the previous week. Despite hotter than expected inflation figures for January, the market was pushing the index to the higher grounds during the week. The highest weekly level was reached on Friday at 6.122, still the ATH has not been breached on this occasion. The reason for investors optimism analysts are noting a more clarity over US Administration trade tariffs, on one side, and a drop in retail sales of -0,9% in January, much higher from market expectations. The combination of released data is pointing that the current elevated inflation is not putting pressure on Fed rates. The S&P 500 gained around 1,5% for the week. Analysts from JPMorgan noted that the participation of earnings of the so-called Magnificent Seven tech companies included in the S&P 500 index are beginning to slow down compared to other companies included in this index. On the other hand, analysts from Swiss largest bank, UBS, are pointing to potential negative effects of US trade tariffs for the US economy. They are mentioning retaliation risks from trading with the US in case of higher tariffs. This points out that despite current market optimism, there are still ongoing risks which could easily impact investors' optimistic mood, and bring back higher volatility to the US equity markets.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Breakout or Fakeout? SPX at CrossroadsBreakout or Fakeout? SPX at a Critical Crossroads | SPX Market Analysis 17 Feb 2025 Welcome to another shortened trading week, thanks to Presidents' Day (or maybe an extended Valentine's weekend for the lucky ones). With all the nudge nudge, wink wink out of the way, let’s talk setups. I’m watching two key trade scenarios—a breakout continuation or a break-in reversal (aka a false breakout). For now, it’s time to grab a cuppa and a hobnob while waiting for the markets to open. --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: ☕ Tea, biscuits, and breakout confirmations With Tuesday’s open ahead, my focus is on two key setups that could determine the next tradable move. Scenario #1 – The Breakout That Needs to Prove Itself On Friday, SPX tried to break out, but price action was about as decisive as someone staring at a restaurant menu for 20 minutes before ordering a burger. Price meandered sideways, leaving traders guessing I chose to sit this one out, because long weekends can mess with momentum Now, we watch if Tuesday brings real follow-through If this breakout is legit, we should see: ✅ A strong push above Friday’s highs ✅ Sustained momentum without rapid reversals ✅ Clean continuation setups for bullish entries If we get weak price action, I’ll hold off on longs and consider the next setup… Scenario #2 – The ‘Break-In’ (A False Breakout Setup) Now, let’s talk about something you won’t find in trading textbooks—the Break-In setup. Think of it like this: Imagine SPX breaking out, getting everyone excited, then suddenly doing a U-turn and slamming back into the previous range. Traders who chased the breakout get trapped, and those who spot the reversal early have a golden shorting opportunity. Signs of a Break-In setup: ❌ Price fails to hold breakout levels ❌ Quick rejection and reversal back into the previous range ❌ Bearish momentum builds instead of continuation If SPX falls back into the range, I’ll be watching for short setups, because these moves can be quick and brutal. So What’s the Plan? 🧐 1. Watch for Tuesday’s Open – If SPX continues Friday’s breakout, we look for bullish setups. If not, the Break-In trade is on the table. 🎯 2. Avoid Jumping in Too Early – Long weekends can create fake momentum that doesn’t hold. Patience is key. 🍪 3. Keep an Eye on Volatility – If volume is weak, the move could be another dud. But if volatility spikes, we could get a real tradeable move. 🚀 Key Takeaway? SPX has picked a direction, but the real move happens once full liquidity returns. Until then, I’ll be enjoying my tea and biscuits while the market figures itself out. Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? The biggest post-holiday market crash happened in 1929, when the Dow plunged 12.8% after a weekend—triggering the Great Depression. 💡 The Lesson? Markets don’t take holidays—they just store volatility for later. That’s why smart traders stay prepared for anything after a break.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
4
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to 100% Fibo lvl 6214.4.Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet and the lower and middle order wave “3” is not yet complete. This is a good chance to go long, but it should be remembered that even though a correction to the uptrend line is possible, I do not recommend selling. The target area is the 6214.4 level area - this is slightly higher than the 100% Fibonacci extension level. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
6
End of hibernation for the bears?AMEX:SPY is at a pivotal point and could potentially be at the top of the bullish cycle that began in October 2022. If this prediction proves accurate, I think we could see a maximum low of $510 for this year. There are a couple of caveats, including one that will be a clear indicator of whether or not this wave count is accurate, which I will explain later. On the 1000R chart ($10), this uptrend was confirmed by Supertrend and volume activity. Volume drastically increased at the start of Wave (3) in March 2023 and did not taper off until the start of Wave (4) in July 2024. This was the strongest impulse in the trend, which is common for Wave 3. You can also see the ADX line of the DMI indicator (white line) was at its highest level during that period. Assuming Wave (5) is already complete, we can observe that the volume in Wave (3) was considerably less than Wave (5). Other observations supporting this wave count: - Wave (4) retracing into the territory of Wave 4 of (3) - Alternation in corrective patterns between Wave (2) and Wave (4); flat in (2) and straight down in (4) - Wave (5) extending to nearly 1.618 of (1) While the points I’ve made so far suggest that the market may be on the verge of a crash, the image gets more complicated when you take a closer look on the 250R chart ($2.50). I’ll start with what I’m counting as Wave 4 of (5). The price ended at ATH in Wave 3 and then corrected in an unmistakable five wave descending wedge pattern. This can only be a fourth wave of a larger impulse, so we can conclude with a fair amount of confidence that the wave that follows will be the last. Here is where things get interesting. The price moved from $575 on January 13th to a slightly higher ATH of $609.24 on January 24th before being rejected again. This uptrend unfolded in a typical bullish pattern and left a notable gap at $584, which is the only gap still left unfilled. The trend change is confirmed on the moving averages. Notice the serious drop in volume that followed as well. Despite the shift in volume, there are two issues I have with this wave count that are preventing me from calling this a confirmed correction: 1. Wave 5 of (5) was awfully short and only extended roughly $2 above the end of Wave 3 of (5). This does not break any rules, but it is unusual. 2. What I have labelled as Wave B of Wave (1) or (A) of the correction made a new ATH on Friday February 14th, which should invalidate this wave count since the end of Wave 5 of (5) should be the peak. The second point is why some may think that we are about to resume the larger bull trend, however there is a possibility that they are mistaken based off the PA on the actual index SP:SPX and futures CME_MINI:ES1! . On the SP:SPX chart, we can see that the index did not break the ATH at $6128.18 set on January 25th, and instead rejected at $6,127.24. CME_MINI:ES1! also failed to notch a new ATH on Friday and I have observed the price action create a nearly perfect bearish butterfly pattern. Also notice how the volume is significantly lower than in the uptrend that began on January 31st. So the question remains: are we at a tipping point or will the bulls regain control? Right now it’s unclear, but I will keep my bearish sentiment until SP:SPX makes a new ATH, which will invalidate this theory. Since only the ETF that tracks it only made a slightly higher high on low volume, I’m skeptical of the PA on AMEX:SPY at the moment. This is why I entered puts on Friday. If the trade plays out, I expect the price to quickly move to fill the gap at $584, which is still conveniently located at what I cam considering the 1.236 extension of Wave A, which is a common target extension in flat corrections. I will keep my puts open until this idea is invalidated, as the Wave C drop will likely be caused by a news event that could come at any time. Let me know if you guys are seeing the same thing or something different. Good luck to all!
AMEX:SPYShort
by ap769
1
SPX/USDT: 100%+ PROFIT POTENTIAL SETUP!!🚀 Hey Traders! Ready to Ride the SPX Breakout? 👋 If you’re hyped for this setup, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for elite trade ideas that actually deliver! 💹🔥 🔥 SPX is looking strong and bullish! It’s breaking out from a falling wedge on the 4H timeframe and is currently retesting the breakout level—setting up for a potential explosive move! 🚀 📊 Trade Setup: ✅ Entry Range: CMP, add more up to $0.75 🎯 Targets: Target 1: $1.02 Target 2: $1.26 Target 3: $1.50 Target 4: $1.78 🛑 Stop Loss: $0.68 ⚡ Leverage: Spot or low leverage (Max 5x) 💬 What’s Your Take? Are you bullish on SPX’s breakout potential? Share your analysis, predictions, or strategies in the comments! Let’s lock in those gains and ride this wave together! 💰🔥
Long
by CoreCrypto1
ES Morning Update Feb 14thYesterday morning, a reclaim of 6066-70 zone in ES kicked off an easy long trigger, with 6125 set as the final target and 6139 as a bonus. We managed to tag 6139 overnight before the market pulled back to 6125. As of now: • Let the runners keep working, as thats all i do on Fridays mainly. • 6120-23 is acting as support (it held, but it’s showing some weakness). • Holding above this level keeps 6133, 6137, and 6154 in play. • If 6120 fails, expect a dip to 6113, then 6098.
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ESMorg
S&P 500 (SPX500USD) | Breakout or Rejection? Key Levels to Watch📊 S&P 500 (SPX500USD) – Key Technical Outlook (4H Chart) 🔹 Price Action: The market is consolidating around the 6,107 - 6,122 resistance zone (ATH area). A decisive breakout or rejection from this zone will dictate the next move. 🔹 Bias: As long as the price holds above 6,031, the bullish momentum remains intact within the ascending channel. 🔥 Potential Bullish Scenario: ✅ A 4H close above 6,127 = Breakout confirmation 🚀 📌 Targets: 📍 6,168 (first resistance) 📍 6,224 - 6,279 (next key resistance zone) ⚠️ Potential Bearish Scenario: ❌ A 4H close below 6,098 could trigger a retracement 🔻 📌 Targets: 📍 6,077 (minor support) 📍 6,031 (major support & channel base) 📍 6,010 - 5,979 (next demand zone) 🔑 Key Levels: 📍 Pivot Point: 6,098 📌 Resistance: 6,127, 6,168, 6,224-6,279 📌 Support: 6,077, 6,031, 6,010 Conclusion: 📈 Bullish bias remains intact unless price breaks below 6,098 with confirmation. 🔥 Breakout above 6,127 = new bullish leg targeting fresh highs! ⚠️ Rejection from 6,122 - 6,127 may trigger a retracement to 6,031 - 6,010 before further upside. 💬 What’s your bias? Are we breaking ATH or pulling back? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
SPX Finally Pops - But Will It Stick?SPX Finally Pops – But Will It Stick? | SPX Market Analysis 14 Feb 2025 Well, pop the champagne, sound the victory bells, and maybe slap my thigh and call me Rodger—SPX has finally broken out! The only thing missing is a trumpet fanfare and maybe a ticker-tape parade. But before we get too carried away, the real question remains—will this breakout hold strong or collapse into another Friday sell-off? Let’s break it down… SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 🎉 The Market Has Moved – But Will It Last? After days of tedious range-bound trading, SPX finally decided to pick a direction. But if history is anything to go by, we can’t get too comfortable just yet. 🔻 Friday Sell-Off Risk If the last few weeks are anything to go by, we’ve seen: A break higher, only for it to reverse sharply by Friday A hard and fast flush that wipes out the week’s gains A market that keeps traders on their toes 📉 Bear Trades Expire Today My bearish positions are expiring We never quite got the drop to range lows A last-minute sell-off could help—but I won’t be holding my breath 🔄 What’s Next? ✅ Option 1: Look for a fresh swing trade entry today ✅ Option 2: Sit back, relax, and enjoy a long romantic weekend 😉 📌 Final Takeaway? The range is finally broken, but we’ve been burned before by Friday sell-offs. Patience is key—there’s always another trade, but a long weekend is also tempting. 📢 Did you know? The biggest one-day stock market gain in history happened on March 24, 2020, when the Dow surged 2,113 points. 💡 The Lesson? Even record-breaking rallies can happen after massive crashes. Markets move in cycles—so while sell-offs seem endless, breakouts eventually happen… and vice versa.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.14.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: Trump Signs Reciprocal Tariffs Executive Order: President Donald Trump has signed an executive order imposing reciprocal tariffs on countries with trade barriers against the U.S. The tariffs will not take effect immediately, which has been well-received by the markets. Potential Ukraine Peace Talks: The U.S. is initiating discussions with Russia and Ukraine to potentially end the ongoing conflict. This development has led to a decrease in crude oil prices and could influence global markets. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📅 Friday, Feb 14: 🛍️ Retail Sales (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM. 🌐 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes (8:30 AM ET): Import Prices: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM. Export Prices: Forecast: Data not available; Previous: +0.3% MoM 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #daytrading #charting #trendtao
AMEX:SPYShort
by PogChan
SPX 500 Returns to All-Time HighsDuring the last session, the SPX 500 index gained more than 1.2% following the release of PPI data in the United States. The core PPI (m/m) remained in line with expectations at 0.3% , providing a slight relief to the market, which had been on the edge after annual CPI inflation came in at 3.0%, exceeding the 2.9% forecast. This mixed inflation data has given the U.S. index an opportunity to recover, as it remains uncertain whether the Federal Reserve will continue its aggressive interest rate policy. Persistently high rates have been impacting domestic consumption in the U.S. for several months, and if the central bank maintains rates at 4.5% in upcoming decisions, it could eventually become a bearish factor for the SPX 500. Momentum Builds In recent weeks, the SPX 500 had been trading within a sideways range, with a ceiling at 6,080 points and a floor at 5,840 points. However, the growing buying momentum has now pushed the index back toward all-time highs. If bullish pressure remains strong through the end of the week, a breakout from this range could pave the way for a more significant upward movement. MACD Indicator Both the signal line and the MACD line remain above the neutral level at 0 , adopting a steady upward slope. The histogram has begun to oscillate slightly above the zero level. If these conditions persist over the next sessions, bullish momentum could continue in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: 6,082 points – The most critical resistance level at the moment, corresponding to the previous all-time high. Sustained price action above this level could reinforce the current bullish bias, opening the door to a stronger uptrend. 5,960 points – Nearby support, aligning with the mid-range of the consolidation phase and coinciding with the Ichimoku cloud and the 50- and 100-period moving averages. If price action falls back below this level, it could strengthen selling pressure and delay the possibility of new highs in the short term. 5,840 points – Distant support level, where a pullback to this zone could put the long-term uptrend at risk. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom