SP500 Mid term planOur friend Fibonacci is showing up a possible next move for SPX. Actually is ranging exactly on the 1.618 level of the last leg, and usually this level to a retrace till the level 1. There we could probably see a reversal that could lead the price into the resistance area at 5250, but it's probably too early for that
SPX (S&P 500 Index)
SPX Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 5187.64.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 5061.15 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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S&P500: Bullish trend confirmed.S&P500 has turned bullish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 58.980, MACD = 2.870, ADX = 28.757) as today it is trading and will most likely close over the 1D MA50 for the third day in a row. Having crossed over the LH, the index has invalidated the bearish sentiment of April and a new Channel up is emerging. If it capitalizes on the 1D MACD Bullish Cross, we expect the 1D MA50 to hold from now on as the medium term Support, just like the 1D MA100 held on the April 19th bottom. Buy and target the R1 level on the short term (TP = 5,275).
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Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 8th, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 8th, 2024
Market Sentiment: Bullish, but increasingly cautious in the overbought market. Consolidation is ongoing, and a deeper pullback is likely before further advances. Maintain disciplined risk management.
Key Supports
Immediate Supports: 5209 (major), 5202, 5188-91 (major)
Major Supports: 5143-36 (major), 5067-69 (major),
Key Resistances
Near-term Resistance: 5224 (major), 5246 (major), 5265-70 (major)
Major Resistances: 5302-06 (major), 5328-30 (major)
Trading Strategy
Post-Breakout Dip Anticipated: The market is overdue for a healthy pullback after the recent strong surge.
Long Opportunities: Focus on failed breakdowns at 5202 or 5188-91 for long entries. In the event of a deeper pullback, consider buying the retest of the breakout zone at 5143-36 or knife-catches at 5168 for quick scalps.
Short Opportunities: Look for back-tests of 5246 or 5265-70 for short entries, targeting level-to-level profits. Proceed with extreme caution and be ready to cut losses quickly. Remember, shorting against strength in a bull market is inherently risky.
Focus on Levels and Patience: Trade the provided support and resistance levels rigorously. Let price action develop, be patient, and avoid emotional trading.
Bull Case
Holding Support: Defending the 5143-36 breakout zone remains crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. Holding above this level would indicate a healthy dip and a potential continuation higher.
Rebase and Bounce: A period of consolidation around 5190-5224 and a rebound off these supports would set the stage for further advances, potentially targeting 5246, then 5265-70.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5188-91 would signal a potential pullback and could lead to a retest of the 5143-36 breakout zone. Monitor bounces/failed breakdowns at these levels for potential short entries.
News: Top Stories for May 8th, 2024
Global Stock Market Trends:
Varied Performance: Asian markets show resilience despite Nikkei 225 drop, influenced by mixed corporate news.
U.S. Economic Indicators: U.S. jobs report and Fed's interest rate decisions continue to influence global markets positively.
Geopolitical Tensions: Market responses to geopolitical unrest remain muted, highlighting diversified global economies' resilience.
Company Earnings and Forecasts:
Earnings Performance: Uber reports Q1 loss; Thomson Reuters shows strong revenue growth.
Financial Forecasts: Taboola expects significant YoY growth; Thomson Reuters adjusts full-year outlook.
Sector-Specific Insights: Technology and financial services sectors demonstrate strong growth potential despite operational losses.
Analysts' Perspectives:
Setting Market Expectations: Analysts forecast earnings based on economic indicators, trends, and company guidance.
Implications for Investors: Earnings reports influence market sentiment and investor confidence, impacting stock prices.
Impact on Currency Values:
Political Events: Geopolitical tensions historically impact currency fluctuations, yet recent responses remain subdued, reflecting diversified global markets' resilience.
SPX500 Potential Dip in UptrendThe SPX500 daily chart has a positivity associated with it. However, the hourly chart has pulled back to the point that is tending towards oversold. This may set up a potential "dip in the uptrend" scenario.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
ES1 Update Daily weekly long. Hourly flat as a pancake.
This could be start of primary wave 2 of 5 or we will have a blow off top continued.
Watch 10yr data tomorrow around lunch.
I’ll update when I can.
Bullish anywhere above $5199.25. Bearish below to $5100.75
Remember big expiration next week on the 17th.
SP500 in the hammer zoneSP500 reached a strong reversal area where price reacted in the previous week. I was expecting a little pump in my previous ideas, and honestly i wasn't expecting it to rise so much. But i am holding my short trades and i am adding more here, consider i expect a selloff this month. First target the support zone at 4990
Trading Plan for Tuesday, May 7th, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, May 7th, 2024
Market Sentiment: Bullish, but increasingly cautious following a strong breakout. The RSI is deeply overbought, increasing the risk of sudden pullbacks. Proceed with heightened awareness of volatility.
Key Supports
Immediate Supports: 5186-88 (major), 5163 (major)
Major Supports: 5144-46 (major), 5060-65 (major)
Key Resistances
Near-term Resistance: 5214-5218 (major), 5246-50 (major)
Major Resistances: 5272 (major), 5302-04 (major)
Trading Strategy
Post-Breakout Cautiousness: The market is in overbought territory following today's strong surge. Prioritize capital preservation and maintain disciplined risk management. Avoid chasing longs or aggressively shorting against strength.
Long Opportunities: Due to the overbought conditions, focus on failed breakdowns at 5186-88 or ideally 5144-46 for long entries. In the event of a deeper dip, consider knife-catches at 5163 for quick scalps.
Short Opportunities: Look for back-tests of 5214-5218, 5246-50, or potentially 5272 for short entries, targeting level-to-level profits. Proceed with extreme caution and be ready to cut losses quickly.
Focus on Levels and Patience: Trade the provided support and resistance levels rigorously. Let price action develop, be patient, and avoid emotional trading.
Bull Case
Holding Support: Defending the 5144-46 breakout zone remains crucial for bulls. Holding above this level would indicate a healthy dip and a potential continuation higher.
Consolidation and Bounce: A period of consolidation and a rebound off 5186-88 or 5144-46 would set the stage for further advances, potentially targeting 5214-18, then 5246-50.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5186-88 would signal a potential pullback and could lead to a retest of the 5144-46 breakout zone. A breach of 5144-46 would be a more significant bearish development. Monitor bounces/failed breakdowns at these levels for potential short entries.
News: Top Stories for May 7th, 2024
Federal Reserve's Influence:
Interest Rate Decision: Fed keeps rates steady at 5.25% to 5.5% for the sixth consecutive meeting, reflecting concerns about inflation and labor market conditions.
April 2024 Jobs Report: Economy adds 175,000 jobs in April, below expectations, potentially alleviating inflation pressures.
Commercial Real Estate Midyear Outlook: Despite high-interest rates, commercial real estate sectors show resilience, suggesting less sensitivity to monetary policy.
Global Economic Growth Forecasts: World Bank and OECD predict below-average global GDP growth for 2024, influencing market sentiments and central bank policies.
Impact on Market Dynamics:
Bond and Equity Markets: Higher rates increase Treasury yields, shifting investor preference towards bonds and contributing to equity market volatility.
Housing Market Effects: Housing prices respond swiftly to policy adjustments, driven by changes in mortgage rates, impacting affordability and market health.
Influence on International Trade: Stronger dollar affects trade balance by making exports costlier and imports cheaper, potentially moderating domestic inflation.
Future Outlook:
Market sentiment remains cautious, with analysts not expecting rate cuts until at least 2025 if inflation persists, influencing investment and consumer behaviors.
SPX500 Moves Overbought on Hourly ChartThe hourly chart is showing signs of froth, which may result in a short-term pull back.
However, the daily chart is showing positive momentum.
Therefore a short-term pullback may make the support areas compelling.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) :
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) :
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy.
Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
S&P500 above the 1D MA50 after 3 weeks.S&P500 (SPX) is already going even better than our bottom buy signal last week (May 02, see chart below), having topped the 4H Channel Up, considerably above the 4H MA200:
The index closed yesterday above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 11. Last time it did this was on November 03 2023 and after 5 days of consolidation, it broke the previous Lower High and resumed the long-term bullish trend by forming a Channel Up.
It's first Higher High target was within the 2.236 - 2.0 Fibonacci extension Zone, so once it breaks the April's High, we will add more buys, targeting 5650 (Fib 2.0).
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The SPX is at a critical junctureLast Friday, the SPX gapped up at the open and temporarily broke above the 50-day SMA during the trading session. Finally, yesterday, the SPX managed to close above this line of resistance, which is a positive development. However, a failure of the price to defend the ground above this level, now acting as support, for multiple consecutive days will be concerning. Similarly concerning will be the flattening of RSI, MACD, and Stochastic, which are in the process of reversing to the upside.
Illustration 1.01
The image above displays the daily graph of the SPX and two simple moving averages. Yellow arrows highlight the initial rejection at the 50-day SMA on 29th April 2024 and the successful breakout on 3rd May 2024.
Technical conditions
Daily time frame = Slightly bullish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
China bottom vs USA | FXI vs SPXWe will continue to beat our fists on the table that Asia has bottomed vs US equities.
simple chart here. FXI (China large cap index) vs SP500
RSI popping out of oversold on the 2M with a nice bull div.
This is setting up for a multi year move. Likely at least the remainder of the decade.
SPY Daily - Rising WedgeTreading lightly here as the SPY looks to be right at the end of a bearish rising wedge following a bearish ABCD Elliot Wave heading into a major week economically speaking. On Wednesday we have retail sales numbers, core CPI, and Core CPI YOY coming out, followed by jobless claims on Thursday. Will be watching closely, some support levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime, bearish and hedged- (Original Chart Attached Below)
- Rising Wedge following a bearish ABCD Elliot Wave
- Hidden Bearish Divergence on the RSI
- Sitting right on its 50-Day SMA
- Bearish ABCD Elliot Wave
SPX: challenged recovery?Markets tried to stay on a positive side after the FOMC meeting, however, the April`s job report was the one that saved the market optimism during the previous week. Although the Fed noted that the first rate cut will occur when data clearly show that the inflation is on a clear road toward the 2.0% target, a much softer than expected jobs report was the one that moved the equity market to the upside during the Friday`s trading session. The S&P 500 is ending the week at level of 5.129, or 0.55% higher from the end of the week before.
The tech companies were mostly the ones which pushed the market to the upside. There has been a lot of discussion about Apple's earnings which missed the target, but the company announced its largest share buyback of $110 billion, which pushed its price even 6% higher. The semiconductor stocks were also traded higher, where Nvidia rose around 3%.
The current sentiment on the market is led toward the overbought momentum. This means that there is a space for the index to move to the higher grounds from current ones. However, the next ATH is highly questionable at this moment.
Trading Plan for Monday, May 6th, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, May 6th, 2024
Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls seeking further confirmation after exceeding a major resistance level on Friday. Consolidation and complex, level-to-level price action are likely.
Key Supports
Immediate Supports: 5145-50 (major), 5136, 5116-13 (major)
Major Supports: 5082-77 (major), 5067 (major), 5060 (major)
Key Resistances
Near-term Resistance: 5176-86 (major), 5213 (major)
Major Resistances: 5245 (major), 5272 (major), 5302-05 (major)
Trading Strategy
Consolidation Anticipated: Expect a period of price discovery and complex, potentially choppy price action following Friday's strong breakout. Prioritize level-to-level trading.
Long Opportunities: Due to the heightened risk, avoid chasing direct bids at support. Look for failed breakdowns of 5136 (ideally with a reclaim) or 5116 for potential long entries. In the event of a deeper dip, consider knife-catches at major supports (5082, 5067).
Short Opportunities: Look for back-tests of 5213, or potentially 5176-86 (riskier) for short entries. Proceed with caution and be quick to take profits.
Level-to-Level Focus: The breakout from the downtrend channel increases volatility and requires a disciplined approach. Trade the provided support and resistance levels rigorously.
Bull Case
Holding Support: Defending the 5113-16 breakout zone remains crucial, with 5060 as the broader support floor.
Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5150 and potentially establish a base around that level for further confirmation. Breakouts above 5176-86, and ultimately 5213 would provide further bullish signals.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5113-16 would signal a failure of Friday's breakout, inviting a deeper retracement. Watch for bounces/failed breakdowns around 5136 and 5116 for potential short entries. A breach of 5060 would be a significant bearish development.
News: Top Stories for May 6th, 2024
Impact on Stock Markets:
Immediate Market Reactions: Markets react swiftly to news events, with geopolitical tensions often inducing volatility.
Economic Indicators Influence: Market sentiment is shaped by economic indicators like employment rates and inflation reports.
Central Bank Announcements: Decisions by major central banks, such as interest rate changes, heavily influence global markets.
Corporate Earnings Reports: Quarterly earnings reports impact stock prices and market indices.
Geopolitical Events: Events like elections and conflicts can increase market uncertainty and volatility globally.
Economic Policy Changes:
Shifts in Industrial Policies: Increase in protectionist measures raises concerns about global growth.
US and EU Policies on China: Alignment in economic security policies aims to reduce dependency on Chinese goods.
Global Trade System Reconfiguration: WTO conference could reshape trade policies and impact global GDP.
Regulatory Changes in Digital Trade: US withdrawal from digital trade agreements affects multinational corporations and data management.
Environmental Regulations: International trade agreements mandate sustainability measures, transforming global operations.
Long S&P and Short Real Estate on Higher for Longer Rates“The only bad time to buy real estate is later” cites investment wisdom. But, when interest rates soar high, real estate investments can and do hurt.
Last week FOMC reiterated its resolve to fight inflation down to its target 2%. Inflation has been stubborn and sticky. It has shown signs of trend reversal towards resurgence. Chair Powell’s made clear that rate cuts may take longer to arrive than anticipated.
Elevated rates are restrictive for businesses. It leads to shrinking sales and profits. However, recent earnings show heavyweights posting robust growth. While others have shown disappointing earnings. The difference boils down to the industry and sector.
Some sectors fare worse than others. Real Estate is extremely sensitive to rates. Higher rates directly impact mortgages impeding buyers from getting into long-term mortgages.
Unsurprisingly, the Real Estate Select Sector index has been the lowest performing sector since the start of the Fed’s rate hiking campaign. Underperformance has continued well into 2024 and has also been observed during periods of market rallies.
With sustained headwinds facing real estate, underperformance is likely to continue. This provides suave investors a tactical spread opportunity consisting of a long position in the wider S&P 500 index using CME Micro E-Mini S&P 500 futures and a short position in the CME S&P Real Estate Select Sector futures to harness a reward to risk ratio of 1.5x.
FED REAFFIRMS HIGHER FOR LONGER
Fed fund rates will remain at 5.25%-5.5% for longer given the stubborn inflation trend over the last 12- months.
Forget rate cuts. Those hopes are diminishing. The CME FedWatch signals just two rate cuts this year as of 5/May, down from six expected at the start of the year.
Source: CME FedWatch
Chair Powell’s speech hinted that even two rate cuts is overly hopeful stating that the expected inflation may not be enough to cut rates this year.
HIGHER RATES WEIGH ON REAL ESTATE SECTOR
Higher rates adversely impact the Real Estate sector. Elevated rates push up mortgage and financing costs. Large financing costs constrains demand.
Last October, the 30-year mortgage rate climbed to its highest level in 23 years at 7.79%. Following that peak, the mortgage rates eased to as low as 6.6% in December as expectations of rate cuts started to firm up.
Since then, the rates have rebounded. As of 29/April, the 30-Year mortgage rate average (calculated by Freddie Mac) hovers at 7.22%. A measure calculated by the Mortgage Bankers Association showed that as of 1/May, the mortgage rate continues to rise and is now at 7.29%.
Higher rates are forcing housing demand lower. New home sales have declined 5% and existing home sales have fallen by 25% since the rate hiking cycle.
Home prices continued to rise despite a slowdown in sales. House price index is almost 10% higher since 2022 as inventory of houses hovers near an all-time-low.
COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FACES IDIOSYNCRATIC RISKS
Commercial Real Estate (“CRE”) has been hit with a double whammy from dwindling office space demand and prohibitive cost of financing.
Office space vacancy rate reached a new record high of 19.8% in Q1 2024 as per Moody’s data reported on Bloomberg . Recovery in office space demand remains unlikely in the near term pressing CRE sector down.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
The real estate sector has been hammered. The S&P Real Estate Select Sector Index is 20% lower since the rate hiking cycle began. The benchmark S&P 500 declined at first but has since recovered and now stands 13% higher.
For investors to build a directional short is not prudent as the sector has suffered brutal markdowns. This paper argues in favor of a spread between S&P 500 and the Real Estate Select Sector Index using CME futures.
S&P 500/XLRE spread has delivered a stunning 45% outperformance since 2022.
Investors can utilize CME Micro E-Mini S&P 500 futures which provides exposure to USD 5 x S&P 500 Index. This is one-tenth the size of standard E-mini futures enabling granular risk management.
The CME Micro E-mini S&P 500 futures first launched exactly five years ago on 6/May/2019. The demand for these micro contracts has spiked. In April 2024 , these contracts witnessed an Average Daily Volume of more than one million contracts which represents 15.7% YoY growth and 22.7% MoM growth.
Micro futures allow for smaller position sizes. It broadens market access and allows for granular and effective hedging by matching notional values closely in spreads.
This hypothetical trade consists of a long position in 2 lots of Micro E-mini S&P 500 June futures (MESM2024) with a notional size of USD 51,615 (= 2 (number of contracts) x USD 5 (contract size) x 5161 (index value) ) and a short position in 1 E-mini Real Estate Select Sector futures (XARM4) with a notional size of USD 45,500 (= 1 (number of contracts) x USD 250 (contract size) x 182 (index value) ).
Consider the two scenarios which can lead to a shift in the spread ratio:
1) S&P 500 rises from 5161.5 to 5408.6 while Real Estate Select Sector index remains unchanged at 181.8. The ratio becomes 5408.6/181.8 = 29.75. The overall profit, which comes entirely from the S&P 500 position would be (5408.6 – 5161.5) x 5 x 2 = USD 2,471.
2) S&P 500 remains unchanged at 5161.5 while Real Estate Select Sector index falls from 181.8 to 173.5. The ratio becomes 5161.5/173.5 = 29.75. The overall profit, which comes entirely from the Real Estate Select Sector index would be (181.8 – 173.5) x 250 = USD 2,075.
• Entry: 28.5
• Target: 29.75
• Stop Loss: 27.5
• Profit at Target: USD 2,471
• Loss at Stop: USD 1,620
• Reward to Risk: 1.53x
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
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ROBLOX 46 AFTER EARNINGS ? Q1 2024 Performance:
On February 7th, 2024, Roblox Corporation reported its first-quarter 2024 financial results.
The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were -$0.52, surpassing the consensus estimate of -$0.57 by $0.05.
Roblox’s revenue during the quarter was $1.13 billion, exceeding analysts’ expectations of $1.05 billion.
The company’s revenue growth was impressive, showing a 25.3% increase year-over-year1.
User Engagement and Growth:
Roblox’s success is driven by its strong user base and developer community.
The platform witnessed significant growth in average daily active users (DAUs), which surged by 79% to 42.1 million.
Hours engaged on the platform reached 16 billion, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase.
Bookings grew by an impressive 161% year-over-year.
Analyst Expectations:
Analysts at Roth MKM maintain a buy rating on Roblox shares and have set a price target of $554.
JP Morgan analyst Cory Carpenter upgraded Roblox from Neutral to Overweight, raising the price target from $41 to $48. Carpenter highlighted the company’s consistent bookings growth over the past four quarters and projected first-quarter bookings of $927 million5.
Market Confidence and Future Prospects
Roblox’s innovative platform, expanding user base, and strong financial performance have instilled confidence in investors. As the company continues to enhance its offerings and attract more users, its stock price may continue to rise.
Robinhood TP 23- 33 After earnings ? Reasons Why !!
In Q4 2023, Robinhood’s net revenues increased by 24% year-over-year to $471 million.
This growth was driven by higher net interest, transaction-based, and other revenues1.
The company reported net income of $30 million, a significant improvement from the net loss of $166 million in Q4 20221.
Adjusted EBITDA rose to $133 million, a 62% increase year-over-year1.
Customer Growth and Assets Under Custody (AUC):
Funded Customers increased by 420 thousand year-over-year to 23.4 million1.
AUC surged by 65% year-over-year to $102.6 billion1.
Market Expectations and Confidence
Robinhood’s ability to turn a profit in Q4, coupled with its record annual revenues, suggests that its strategic initiatives are paying off. The company’s innovative features and strong financial performance have instilled confidence in investors.
Remember that stock prices often respond to earnings reports. If the market believes a company is performing well, stock prices tend to go up. Conversely, if confidence wanes, stock prices may decline2.
Keep an eye on Robinhood’s upcoming earnings report on Wednesday, May 8th, 20243. It will provide further insights into the company’s performance and may impact its stock price.