S&P still very strong; rally goes onLast week began with bearish consolidation, which was short-lived. The bulls quickly regained control, established a daily higher low, and broke through the previous week's resistance at 524.1 . Although the breakout was not very strong, it was still meaningful. The March close was very strong, posting a +3% gain, and both weekly and daily charts are indicating an uptrend. All major sectors appear strong. The bulls have full control, and the rally is likely to continue.
This week is heavily loaded with economic data releases, which might cause some volatility. However, unless there are major surprises, it should not affect our main thesis.
Important level to watch is 518.4 . As long as it holds, buyers are in control
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
SPX (S&P 500 Index)
S&P500: Bearish reversal to the 1D MA100.The S&P500 remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.356, MACD = 47.470, ADX = 36.597) but today is having so far the strongest bearish 1D candle since December 15th 2022. Having hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the Channel Up at the start of the week, this can be a technical correction to at least the 1D MA100 if the 1D MA50 breaks. Consequently we have a short term TP = 4,980.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Trading Plan for Thursday, April 4th, 2024Trading Plan for Thursday, April 4th, 2024
Market Sentiment: Uncertain, as traders weigh consolidation signs against the underlying bullish trend.
Weekly Volatility Risk: High (consolidation phase, earnings, Fed uncertainty)
Key Supports
Support Levels: 5266, 5257(major), 5246, 5241 (major), 5235 (major), 5231, 5222 (major), 5212 (major), 5208, 5203, 5196, 5192 (major), 5181 (major), 5171, 5163 (major), 5155, 5148, 5137 (major), 5126 (major), 5120, 5115, 5109 (major), 5105, 5092-95 (major)
Key Resistances
Resistance Levels: 5274, 5279 (major), 5285 (major), 5294, 5298-5302 (major), 5308, 5315 (major), 5322, 5329 (major), 5341, 5347, 5354 (major), 5363 (major), 5372, 5380 (major), 5392, 5400, 5408 (major), 5416, 5423-26 (major), 5435, 5447 (major)
Trading Strategy
Consolidation Zone: We're likely in a consolidation phase between 5241 and 5279. This requires flexibility and adaptability – overly aggressive trading will likely be punished.
Supports: Look for potential long opportunities at 5257 (if today's high isn't broken), with stronger plays at 5246 or the 5241-35 zone. Be cautious with longs above these levels.
Resistances: Shorting resistance areas carries risk in a bull market. Consider shorts near the 5298-5302 zone, primarily for scalps.
Breakdown Watch: A decisive break below 5235 activates the bear case, triggering breakdown setups. Remember, breakdowns often trap traders – patience is key. Look for a failed breakdown (rejection and recovery), then consider shorts with level-to-level targets.
Bull Case
Holding Support: As long as 5241-35 holds, bulls maintain control. Consolidation between 5241-5279 likely, followed by a potential breakout above the 5298-5302 zone. This could lead to retesting 5315+.
Expect Consolidation: We may not immediately reach new all-time highs. Be prepared for an extended consolidation period before the next push higher.
Bear Case
Key Breakdown Level: A strong break below 5235 signals a bear move. Look for failed breakdowns and bounces as shorting opportunities. Exercise caution due to the potential for traps.
News: Top Stories for April 4th, 2024
Federal Reserve Outlook
Fed signals continued focus on rate stability rather than immediate cuts.
Concerns remain about the potential impact on equities in the long-term.
Cryptocurrency Market Dynamics
Bitcoin surpasses $70,000 with continued bullish momentum.
Approaching Bitcoin halving sparks interest in the sector.
Global Economic Indicators
Eurozone growth strengthens, while major economies like Germany & France lag.
Inflation remains a concern, influencing the potential for rate adjustments.
Financial Services Sector
Outlook remains positive for financial stocks, with specific recommendations.
Increased focus on weathering rising interest rates & long-term market resilience.
Additional Market Updates
Risk-off sentiment following natural disasters in Asia.
Eurozone inflation data signals the potential for ECB rate cuts.
Warnings & Opportunities
Analysts express caution regarding select financial stocks before a potential crisis.
Technology continues to disrupt finance, with evolving focus on AI and blockchain within the space.
Important Reminder: Despite the potential for short-term pullbacks, the main trend remains bullish. Consolidation is likely. Prioritize adaptability, risk management, and reacting to the price action rather than relying solely on predictions.
SP500 Expecting a dropI think SP500 is on the way to perform a great drop. Looking on H4 timeframe we can see a clean break below main trendline and a retest of it. I think today we will see some volatility around the beginning of the NY Session. I expect a fake moves first to the upside to grab some liquity, next we should see a drop till support zone around $5130
NFP preview: Trading S&P or GBPUSD? NFP preview: Trading S&P or GBPUSD?
US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has reiterated on multiple occasions that a tight labor market acts as a deterrent to lowering interest rates. Which is why this month's NFP data release should be interesting.
This Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is expected to show an addition of 200,000 new jobs. Since Feb 2023, data has consistently hovered between 300K and 150K. Many of these initial readings were subsequently revised downwards. Nevertheless, at the time, they significantly reduced the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts and, most recently, bolstered the dollar.
Traders anticipated ~6 rate cuts at the beginning of the year, but now will be content if the Fed reduces rates three times. However, even three rate cuts are dubious, given that most recent US data has exceeded expectations. This Monday, the ISM manufacturing index turned positive for the first time since October 2022.
If the NFP data surpasses expectations, GBP/USD could become an attractive trade. In the event of a soft NFP reading, attention could shift to the S&P, which would have a window to rebound before major banks commence reporting their latest earnings.
GBP/USD has remained trapped within a rectangular pattern for almost 100 days now, potentially indicating some strong boundaries to take note of for a range trade. The pair currently sits in the lower half of the range.
The jobs data on Friday could heavily influence Wall Street's sentiment, potentially determining whether the market remains overall bullish or requires even more of a corrective move. The 5200 level could be pivotal. It has previously acted as resistance and now functions as support. Even if a breakdown occurs below this level, support could be anticipated at the 5100 level or the 50-day SMA.
S&P500 hit the top of 24 month Channel giving a sell signal.The S&P500 index / US500 hit the top of the Channel Up that started in August 2022.
If the 1week RSU crosses under its MA trend line, we will have a sell confirmation, much like July 31st 2023 and February 20th 2023.
The minimum decline has been -6.06%. Another one of this magnitude, conveniently tests the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the Channel Up and more importantly the 1day MA100 (happened on all corrections).
Sell and target 4970.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Bulls and Bears zone for 04-03-2024After yesterday's sell off market is trying to rally during ETH session.
If traders can stay above yesterday's Close, we might get a bounce today.
Level to watch: 5252.00 --- 5250.00
Reports to watch:
US: EIA Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET
US: Jerome Powell Speaks
12:10 PM ET
Trading Plan for Wednesday, April 3rd, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, April 3rd, 2024
Market Sentiment: Cautious, price discovery after pullback in a strong uptrend.
Weekly Volatility Risk: High (price discovery, earnings season, potential FOMC pivot implications)
Supports to Watch:
Immediate Supports: 5245-5242 (major), 5235, 5232 (major), 5219, 5210-12 (major), 5203 (major), 5190, 5183, 5175-77 (major), 5171, 5162, 5155 (major), 5147, 5142, 5134-36 (major), 5126 (major).
Resistances to Monitor:
Key Resistances: 5259, 5267-69 (major), 5274, 5282-84 (major), 5293, 5300(major), 5307 (major), 5311, 5315 (major), 5321, 5329-33 (major), 5342, 5345 (major), 5352, 5357 (major), 5364, 5370 (major), 5380-82 (major), 5389, 5400 (major)
Trading Strategy:
Support & Resistance: Focus on potential bounces at support levels, notably 5242-5245 (triangle backtest) and the major support zones. Look for short opportunities at resistance levels, especially 5267-69 and 5282-84.
Knife Catch Mode: If sharp declines continue, be extremely cautious with longs, prioritizing major support levels only and following your rigorous knife-catching strategy.
Long Opportunities: Exercise patience if considering longs. Bids at 5242-45, with more confidence after a failed breakdown and reclaim, are possible. Consider potential adds above 5255.
Short Opportunities: Counter-trend shorting within the strong uptrend carries significant risk. Use extreme caution if considering shorts near major resistances. Watch for signs of a breakdown or retracement for better risk/reward entries. Target level-to-level profits.
Focus on Reactions: Don't force trades, be patient, and react to price action.
Bull Case
Triangle Backtest Hold: A successful hold of the 5242-45 triangle backtest, particularly if 5255 can be reclaimed, would signal potential for a rebound. This could lead to retests of 5267, a basing period, followed by a test of 5282-84, and potentially a move back toward 5300-07.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5232 could trigger selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Exercise patience as these setups often involve traps. First significant short target is likely around 5219.
News: Top Stories for April 3rd, 2024
Fed Policy Outlook:
Fed's report highlights financial sector vulnerabilities.
Markets expect a potential first interest rate cut in June, with an April cut possible.
Recent inflation data has moderated expectations for rapid easing of monetary policy.
Stock Market Performance:
S&P 500 reached new all-time highs in March, ending with its best first quarter since 2019.
Index gained 3.2% in March and is up 10.6% year-to-date.
April historically strong for the S&P 500, investors remain optimistic.
Economic Indicators:
Fourth-quarter GDP growth of 3.4% indicates resilience to rate hikes.
Bond market predicts the Fed will hold rates near-term, with potential cuts by June.
Global Developments:
China's service economy posts 15th consecutive month of growth, signaling recovery.
Cooling Eurozone inflation opens the door for potential rate cuts by the ECB.
Corporate News:
Agilent Technologies highlights new cancer research and diagnostics solutions.
Endeavor Group Holdings acquired by Silver Lake in a $13 billion deal, the largest in the media and entertainment sector.
Investment Considerations:
Earnings season may bring caution despite overall bullish market sentiment.
Potential pullbacks would be normal within the larger uptrend.
Climate Risk & Regulation:
The U.S. Federal Reserve has reportedly blocked a proposal to focus global banking regulations on climate risk.
Cryptocurrency & Blockchain:
Interest in cryptocurrency and blockchain technology remains high, with discussions on top investment opportunities and sector-wide adoption.
Remember: The market is reacting to a key support test within a strong uptrend. Be adaptable, manage risk, prioritize capital preservation, and always prioritize reacting to price action over any predictions.
SPY Price Projection: Mid-2025 TargetRevealing Market Trends: Logarithmic Regression Analysis Indicates Bullish Path for SPY
In the ever-evolving realm of financial analysis, the search for reliable predictions remains ongoing. Logarithmic scale regression analysis, coupled with potent indicators, has emerged as a promising tool for discerning trends, particularly regarding assets like the SPY.
This analysis delves into the utilization of logarithmic scale regression alongside two robust indicators, offering insights into the potential trajectory of the SPY's price movement. It's essential to note that the interpretations and predictions presented are based on my analysis alone and should not be construed as financial advice. As with any market analysis, uncertainties persist, and actual outcomes may diverge from projections.
Logarithmic scale regression accounts for the exponential nature of price movements, providing a nuanced perspective on long-term trends. When combined with indicators such as moving averages or momentum oscillators, the analysis gains depth, revealing not only the direction but also the strength of the trend.
After meticulous examination of historical data and the application of analytical tools, our analysis suggests a bullish trajectory for the SPY, with a projected price nearing 620 EUR by mid-2025. This projection implies a significant uptrend from the current date, with a potential increase of approximately 20% over the specified timeframe.
However, it's crucial to approach such forecasts with caution, recognizing the inherent risks associated with financial markets. While our analysis indicates a positive outlook, market conditions can change rapidly, leading to deviations from expected trends.
In summary, logarithmic scale regression analysis, supported by robust indicators, offers valuable insights into market trends and potential price movements. While our analysis suggests a bullish sentiment for the SPY, investors should conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer: The analysis provided is based on personal interpretation and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in financial markets carries risks, and actual outcomes may differ. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 2nd, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 2nd, 2024
Market Sentiment: Cautious, tactical trading within a range, price discovery in the context of a strong uptrend.
Weekly Volatility Risk: High (price discovery in a new zone, potential chop)
Supports to Watch:
Immediate Supports: 5294, 5286 (major), 5278-80 (major), 5274, 5267 (major), 5262, 5256, 5249, 5243-46 (major), 5235, 5230, 5225 (major), 5221, 5213-15 (major), 5207, 5203, 5191-95 (major), 5181, 5177, 5169-71 (major), 5162, 5150-55 (major)
Resistances to Monitor:
Key Resistances: 5300-02 (major), 5307 (major), 5311, 5315 (major), 5321, 5328 (major), 5337 (major), 5340, 5348, 5353 (major), 5359, 5363-66 (major), 5374, 5379, 5390 (major), 5398, 5403-05 (major), 5413, 5417, 5422, 5426, 5445 (major)
Trading Strategy:
Tactical Range Trading: The market appears to be in a consolidation range between 5267-5316. Focus on level-to-level trades, taking profits regularly, and adapting quickly to changing price action.
Failed Breakout: The failure of the breakout above last week's high suggests a period of range-bound trading or a potential dip before resuming the uptrend. Trade accordingly.
Long Opportunities: Exercise caution and consider bids at 5286, with preference for testing 5278-80 support and reclaiming today's low. Partial longs at the 5267 support are an option, with more on a potential reclaim. Below 5262, be more selective with entries, favoring major levels.
Short Opportunities: Counter-trend shorting still carries significant risk within the strong uptrend context. Use extreme caution if considering shorts near major resistances. Watch for signs of a breakdown or retracement for better risk/reward entries. Target level-to-level profits.
Focus on Reactions: Don't force trades, be patient, and react to price action.
Bull Case
Range Trading: ES could consolidate within the 5267-5316 range, building out structure before continuing the upward move towards 5328, 5337, then 5366. Level-to-level trading is key.
Direct Move Higher: A decisive hold of 5285 could lead to a direct rally back to 5316, with re-tests of 5300 possible. Longs above 5300 with acceptance would be viable.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5267 could trigger selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Exercise patience as these setups often involve traps. First significant short target is 5262.
News: Top Stories for April 2nd, 2024
Stock Market Gains: Review the positive Q1 performance of global stock markets, focusing on the S&P 500, Russell 2000, and MSCI EAFE. Discuss the bond market's challenges.
Cryptocurrency Updates: Explore the anticipation surrounding the Bitcoin Cash halving and the upcoming Bitcoin halving, their historical price impact, and the overall sentiment in the crypto markets.
Regulatory Scrutiny: Examine the ongoing investigation of BlackRock and Vanguard over their stakes in American banks and the implications for passive investing regulations.
Economic Signals and Monetary Policies: Analyze the strong U.S. manufacturing report, its inflationary implications, and the potential impact on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. Discuss China's possible monetary policy expansion.
IPO Market and Earnings Outlook: Highlight the upcoming IPOs and the start of the Q1 earnings season. Discuss expectations for financial results and their potential insights into the overall economic outlook.
FOMC Meeting: Emphasize the importance of the upcoming FOMC meeting and its potential to shed light on the Fed's plans for interest rate cuts.
International Economic Trends: Cover Japan's economic recovery, rising interest rates, inflation in South Korea, and Australia's balanced economic risks.
Commodity Market Movements: Examine the factors influencing the palm oil market and OPEC+ output policy discussions.
Remember: The market is in a range-bound phase within a larger uptrend. Be adaptable, manage risk, prioritize capital preservation, and always prioritize reacting to price action over any predictions.
SPX April Fool's 2024S&P 500 4hr view said "Psych!" showing a strong rejection at 5260 again today. Everybody plays the fool sometimes. I don't want to be one this week, so I'll be watching to see if we struggle getting back above 5250-5255 soon. If we can't, looking for a break and hold below 5229 to target 5200 (where we had a major bounce last week). Short term bearish if we fail 5250s.
IIIIFFFFF we get back to 5260 ---> 5275 - 5280
BRIEFING Week #13 : Value Rotation For Q2 ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
BITCOIN immediate target is 78k based on this SPX fractal.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently repeating on its 4H time-frame a fractal of S&P500 (SPX) on its 1W time-frame. As BTC is pulling back towards the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and a Bullish Cross is about to be formed, the symmetric development on the S&P500 fractal indicates that this Bullish Cross should be treated as a Buy Signal. On S&P500 it started the aggressive rally that the market is currently still on.
As you can see, both fractals started with a Bearish Megaphone after their respective tops, hit and held their MA200 (orange trend-line), while a MA50/ MA100 Bearish Cross marked the Bottom. The Channel Up that emerged led the recovery. From an RSI perspective a similar Channel Up took both to the overbought territory after an oversold Double Bottom, which was an additional Buy Signal.
As a result, for BTC we are now on the 0.786 rejection phase and after this pull-back is completed, the S&P500 fractal suggests that the target should be just shy off the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. We therefore have $78000 as our immediate Target.
Do you think it can be achieved on such a short period of time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Trading Plan for Monday, April 1st, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, April 1st, 2024
Market Sentiment: Cautious, price discovery ahead of reopening after long weekend
Weekly Volatility Risk: High (price discovery holiday, heightened with geopolitical backdrop)
Supports to Watch:
Immediate Supports: 5307 (major), 5299-5302 (major), 5293, 5287 (major), 5280, 5275 (major), 5270, 5261, 5267, 5252 (major), 5245-47 (major), 5234, 5230, 5222 (major), 5217, 5212 (major), 5207, 5202, 5186-5191 (major), 5176, 5165-67 (major).
Resistances to Monitor:
Key Resistances: 5311, 5316 (major), 5321, 5326, 5329-30 (major), 5337, 5342, 5347 (major), 5351, 5355, 5358 (major), 5362, 5372, 5382 (major), 5389, 5396-5400 (major), 5407 (major), 5412, 5425, 5430, 5435-38 (major), 5445, 5451 (major)
Trading Strategy:
Price Discovery: After the long weekend, anticipate market moves as price discovery unfolds. Prioritize patience and focus on reacting to price action rather than predicting.
Consolidation Range: Be aware that the 5300-5320 zone is a new consolidation range, likely to see choppy price action. Overtrading in this zone can be detrimental.
Long Opportunities: Exercise caution with long entries over the weekend. If 5299-5302 is retested, consider bids, or, for additional confirmation, wait for the failed breakdown setup (below overnight and daily lows, then reclaim) Below that, only the major levels are of interest for longs.
Short Opportunities: Counter-trend shorting on strength carries significant risk. Use extreme caution if considering shorts near major resistances. Watch for signs of a breakdown or retracement for better risk/reward entries.
Focus on Reactions: Don't force trades, be patient, and react to price action.
Bull Case
Support Holds: As long as supports like 5299-5302 hold, bulls maintain short-term control.
Range Trading: ES could consolidate within the 5302-5320 range, potentially ping-ponging within it.
Breakout Continuation: A decisive break and hold above 5320 could lead to a surge towards 5329-30, then 5347. Reclaims of 5307 are areas to potentially add to longs, with disciplined profit-taking.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5299-5302 could trigger selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Exercise patience as these setups often involve traps.
News: Top Stories for March 29th, 2024
Global Humanitarian Crises: Focus on the UNHCR appeal for aid for South Sudanese refugees, the ICJ measures for Israel, the humanitarian situation in Haiti, and the youth mobilization around the UN Summit of the Future.
Climate Change Impacts: Examine the effects of climate change on Nepal's biodiversity and the resilience of communities in Madagascar despite gender-based violence.
Economic Updates: Analyze the latest inflation data from the Fed's preferred PCE price index, Huawei's financial results, and Syngenta's cancellation of its Chinese IPO.
Fed Policy Outlook: Consider Fed Chair Powell's commentary and the impact of the LEI on potential economic growth and the Fed's approach to interest rates.
Market Sentiment: Assess market volatility surrounding the PCE report and potential risks.
Remember: The market is undergoing price discovery. Be adaptable, manage risk, prioritize capital preservation, and always prioritize reacting to price action over any predictions.
S&P500 Analysis: Could The Bear Market Be Over? 2022 was a brutal year for everybody in the stock market with the s&p declining -20% and many stocks straight up collapsing, some of you may be asking: "Is the bear market coming to an end soon?" and while i cannot be for certain due to a variety of factors, there is at least a case to be made for bulls here:
-Potential Higher Low
-Vix staying mostly sideways during the s&p's latest drop
-Potential Inverse H&S
But also something to point out is that 3800 has become a baseline for the s&p where bears have not been able to commit below this level for very long in the past, but as of recently it would appear that the level is acting as a major level of support, so watch this very carefully
(Also on a side note: During the August to October bearish wave while a lower low was created during that period of time, bears became way too exhausted at the time and were unable to make a substantially lower low to around the 3200's (maybe wicking to mid-upper 3100's), which if the wave lasted a few more weeks could have been achived)
In conculsion whether this turns out to be true or not one thing to remember is to never become complacent in this wild, volatile market, it can always turn on a dime one way or another, so be careful out there and remember that none of this is actual financial advice, just my personal opinions
US500 Guys, using the maximum filter for 3 days - signals were sent that everyone had arrived)
+ news seen today that everyone is long on shares)
will probably be damped soon
There has never been a total overheating of such signals.
SP:SPX TVC:SPX CBOE:SPX SPREADEX:SPX OANDA:SPX500USD AMEX:SPXL
There is also a strong downward signal this week
Trading Plan for Thursday, March 28th, 2024Trading Plan for Thursday, March 28th, 2024
Market Sentiment: Cautious
Weekly Volatility Risk: High
Supports to Watch:
Immediate Supports: 5307, 5302, 5296-5299 (major), 5293, 5288 (major), 5284, 5280, 5274 (major), 5268-70 (major), 5265, 5258 (major), 5245-47 (major), 5240, 5235 (major), 5230, 5217, 5213-16 (major), 5208 (major), 5203, 5190-93 (major), 5178-76 (major), 5171, 5165 (major), 5155-58 (major), 5147, 5143, 5136, 5123-26 (major).
Resistances to Monitor:
Key Resistances: 5311, 5316 (major), 5320, 5326, 5336, 5342 (major), 5346, 5351 (major), 5360, 5364, 5372 (major), 5380-83 (major), 5388, 5395, 5403 (major), 5413, 5425-30 (major), 5445 (major)
Trading Strategy:
Price Discovery: After a strong surge, the market is in price discovery mode. Prioritize patience and focus on reacting to price action rather than predicting.
Long Opportunities: Exercise caution with after-hours long entries: prioritize profit preservation on your existing long runner. Consider bids at 5296-5299 for a backtest, or, for additional confirmation, wait for the 5274-70 zone to be tested and reclaimed. Below that, only the major levels are of interest for longs.
Short Opportunities: Counter-trend shorting on strength after a strong move carries significant risk. Use extreme caution if considering shorts near major resistances. Watch for signs of a breakdown or retracement for better risk/reward entries.
Focus on Reactions: Don't force trades, be patient, and react to price action.
Bull Case
Support Holds: As long as supports like 5299-96 and the crucial 5274-70 zone hold, bulls maintain short-term control.
Breakout Continuation: A decisive hold and test of 5299-96 could lead to a surge towards 5316, 5320, 5326, with 5342 as the first major target.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5267-70 could trigger selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Exercise patience as these setups often involve traps.
News: Top Stories for March 28th, 2024
U.S. Economy Outlook: Analysts provide insights on the U.S. economy's resilience, potential for soft landing, and the Fed's possible rate adjustments in late 2024.
Stock Market Performance: The S&P 500's recent gains, fueled by strong corporate earnings and optimistic investor sentiment.
Global Economic Updates: Updates on the economic conditions of the Eurozone, the U.K., and emerging markets, including growth projections from Vanguard.
Corporate Earnings Updates: Focus on financial results and guidance from companies like Sharecare, Janover Inc., and Medigene AG.
Stock Market Trends: Wall Street's positive reaction to the Fed's recent dovish comments and expectations for continued market gains. Review Indian equity market performance.
F&O Ban List: Securities facing F&O ban and their potential impact on trading activity.
Market Forecasts: Analyze market sentiment, gold and Bitcoin price trends, and potential cybersecurity investments.
Remember: The market is undergoing price discovery. Be adaptable, manage risk, prioritize capital preservation, and always prioritize reacting to price action over any predictions.
Bitcoin Slows Down At 70k As Nvidia Keeps ConsolidatingHey guys,
Cryptos are bullish no doubt, but I am just wondering if 70k on bitcoin, will be strong resistance in the short-term, now when NVIDIA is coming down a bit. I see nice support for NVIDIA near 800. Not sure if we will see this level, but it looks like that correction on stock is not finished yet, so possibly there will be a delay on new break higher on cryptos if stocks would really pull back for end of the month and end of the quarter flows. Also, dont forget on the Easter holidays which can certainly have an impact on the markets.
Let me know if you like the video please in the comments below, or what you want me to cover in next updates.
Thx,
Grega
S&P rally continuesAt the start of last week, things didn’t look great for the bulls. There were several signs of weakness that could have easily led to a daily trend reversal. However, that didn’t materialize. Firstly, on Monday, buyers were able to set a daily higher low. Then, on Wednesday, they positioned the price very close to the previous two weeks' high. Finally, with the help of the FOMC, they broke through the resistance, set a new historical high, and held it into the week's closure. All these factors together confirm the strength of the bulls and position them well for rally continuation.
AMEX:SPY outlook for the next week is bullish. Pullbacks should be considered as buying opportunities. Short trades should be avoided unless you are a scalper.
Stay alert of economic data releases on Thursday (GDP) and Friday (Personal Income/Spendings and FED) that could cause some volatility.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.