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SPX (S&P 500 Index)

Trading Plan for Thursday, March 21st, 2024Trading Plan for Thursday, March 21st, 2024 Market Sentiment: Cautious, price discovery after breakout Weekly Volatility Risk: High (potentially elevated due to price discovery post-breakout) Supports to Watch: Immediate Supports: 5275-80 (major), 5266-68, 5260, 5251 (major), 5246, 5236, 5231, 5221-26 (major), 5217, 5212 (major), 5200-02 (major), 5196, 5189-91 (major) ,5178, 5169 (major), 5162, 5155 (major), 5147, 5136 (major), 5126-29 (major), 5116, 5109, 5103 (major), 5095, 5091, 5079-82 (major) Resistances to Monitor: Key Resistances: 5285, 5295-5300 (major), 5315 (major), 5330 (major), 5339, 5345, 5352 5360, 5369, 5376-81 (major), 5389, 5405, 5423, 5428-32 (major) Trading Strategy: Price Discovery Mode Post-Breakout Caution: The parabolic rally yesterday makes today a less favorable environment for aggressive trading. Exercise caution, as setups are likely to be less reliable. Prioritize capital preservation. Long Opportunities: Watch for potential long entries at 5275-80 or after a dip and reclaim (to 5273 or 5268). Target a retest of the 5295 resistance if we haven't tagged it yet. The backtest of the triangle breakout zone at 5251-46 is interesting but carries more risk. Short Opportunities: Counter-trend shorting on strong up moves carries significant risk. Use extreme caution if considering shorts near major resistances. Focus on Reactions: Don't force trades, be patient, and react to price action. Let price discovery unfold after the breakout. Bull Case Breakout Continuation: The triangle breakout, as long as the 5251-47 zone holds, targets a move towards 5295-5300, then 5315 and potentially up to 5330. Basing and Building: Bulls could base above 5275 after a bullish leg, creating the potential for further upside moves. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5251-47 could trigger selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Exercise patience as these setups often involve traps. News: Top Stories for March 21st, 2024 Fed Rate Decision: Fed holds rates steady and projects three cuts this year. March 2024 Market Outlook: Analysts provide insights and forecasts on the global economy, equities, interest rates, and upcoming financial events. Corporate Earnings Updates: Companies like Borregaard ASA and Affimed N.V. release their financial reports, detailing performance and future guidance. Bank of America Reporting Schedule: Investors have access to the financial reporting dates for Bank of America in 2024. AI and Market Sentiment Some analysts express skepticism about the sustainability of the AI-driven rally and the extent to which it reflects actual revenue growth. Global Economic Developments: Central banks in Switzerland and Russia make interest rate adjustments, impacting currency markets. Financial Trends for 2024: Focus on sustainable investing, digital assets, AI and automation, cybersecurity, and financial literacy. Remember: The market is undergoing price discovery after the breakout. Be adaptable, manage risk, and react to price action rather than predicting.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
S&P 500 - Correction And ContinuationHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of S&P 500. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: The S&P 500 has been trading inside of a rising channel formation for a very long time. We had the last retest of the lower support level about 6 months ago which was then followed by an expected rally of +25% towards the upside. If the S&P 500 now retests the previous breakout area which I mentioned in the analysis, there is a high chance that we will see a reversal there. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
TVC:SPX
by basictradingtv
5
$XBI Pulling Back – Retesting Flat Base Breakout?AMEX:XBI Formed a flat base from early January to late February before breaking out. You can see on this chart it is either a failed break-out (with more downside to go) or it is retesting that breakout area and will soon resume its upward trend. All TBD. In addition to coming down to the breakout area it looks like it “may” be getting support at the 50 DMA (red). My plan is that if it breaks back above the blue downtrend line, I will go long with a stop just below that days low. Should it drop below the 50 DMA I would reconsider it as a short candidate. The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
AMEX:XBILong
by jaxdog
4
Bitcoin | A New OutfitCrypto analysis is almost entirely based on models. Models that work, until they don't. 1st Law of Trading: Models and "laws" like the power law, stop working when everybody agrees on them. 2nd Law of Trading: The 1st Law is a paradox. 3rd Law of Trading: There are no laws. 4th Law of Trading: This statement is false. Aaaaand I broke AI. (Portal 2 would suggest that, who knows if we could break ChatGPT with a simple paradox) Shiny smartphones and large mirrors can make you look like a completely different person. It is magic really... Computational Photography on your favorite pose/profile can make you a supermodel. And so, I decided to change up the mirror of Bitcoin to make better sense of it. It is like removing the beautification filter. A simple analysis many could agree with. Crypto is a child of Big Tech, much like "AI" is. Crypto may be facing a grim future. But AI has just began it's ventures. We should however think twice. And perhaps think thrice, just to make sure... Is NVDA ridiculously overextended, or is it just starting killing Bitcoin? Has NVDA found the secret sauce to take advantage of crypto dynamics? I don't know the answer to the questions above. (I have) no one to follow and nothing to teach. Tread lightly for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
INDEX:BTCUSD
by akikostas
4
Trading Plan for Wednesday, March 20th, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, March 20th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Extremely cautious ahead of FOMC decision Weekly Volatility Risk: Extremely High (FOMC) Supports to Watch: Immediate Supports: 5236, 5230, 5220-17 (major), 5212, 5209 (major), 5202, 5196, 5192 (major), 5184, 5169-71 (major), 5162, 5155-57 (major), 5147, 5137 (major), 5126 (major), 5117, 5100-03 (major), 5091, 5075-80 (major), 5069, 5056 (major), 5050, 5043 (major), 5038, 5032, 5020-25 (major), 5014, 5010 (major), 5000, 4995 (major) Resistances to Monitor: Key Resistances: 5246-49 (major), 5258, 5265, 5276-80 (major), 5295-5300 (major), 5308 (major), 5317, 5323 (major), 5330, 5338, 5352, 5358, 5365-70 (major), 5384, 5395, 5406-11 (major) Trading Strategy: FOMC Extreme Caution FOMC Volatility: The FOMC decision is the dominant factor today. Expect unpredictable market swings and heightened volatility. Prioritize capital preservation above all else. Triangle Pattern: The triangle pattern with resistance at 5246-50 and support around 5184 remains in play. FOMC is likely to trigger a breakout or breakdown. Long Opportunities: (High Risk) FOMC-related dips present potential long opportunities, but only with extremely cautious sizing. Consider targeting 5220-17 first, and even then, only if it shows a failed breakdown and reclaim. In a severe melt-down scenario, watch for failed breakdown setups around major supports. Short Opportunities: (High Risk) Counter-trend shorting on FOMC days is extremely risky. If considering shorts, the 5295-5300 zone, after a strong move up, could be one potential area. Focus on Reactions: Don't predict FOMC outcomes, focus on reacting to price action post-decision. Bull Case Triangle Breakout: A decisive breakout above the triangle resistance at 5246-50 could lead to targets at 5258, 5276-80, and then the 5295-300 zone. Be wary of traps on any strong moves post-FOMC. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below the triangle support at 5184 could trigger significant selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Exercise extreme caution and patience in a fast-moving market. News: Top Stories for March 20th, 2024 FOMC Decision: The Federal Reserve concludes its March meeting, with a decision on interest rates expected at 2 PM ET, followed by a press conference with Chair Jerome Powell. Focus is on the Fed's outlook, updated economic projections, and any guidance on the timing and pace of potential rate cuts and how data will determine those decisions. Market Volatility: Expect unpredictable market swings around the FOMC decision, with the potential for large gains or losses. Economic Outlook: Recent economic indicators, the latest CPI figures, and concerns about recession risks will be closely watched alongside the Fed's announcements and commentary. Intel Investment Boost: Intel receives a major investment, boosting the company and its stock. EU Regulatory Vote Delayed: The EU delays the vote on a nature restoration law due to concerns and farmer protests. Remember: The FOMC decision has the potential to cause extreme market volatility, whipsaws are likely. Be extremely adaptable, prioritize capital preservation, and focus on managing risk today above all else.
CME_MINI:ESM2024
by spytradingpro
The market is climbing a wall of worriesYesterday’s financial print in the United States revealed an uptick in inflation. For the second month of 2024, the inflation rate rose by 0.4% MoM (accelerating 0.1% from January 2024) and 3.2% YoY (accelerating 0.1% from January 2024). Meanwhile, the core inflation rose by 0.4% MoM (staying unchanged) and 3.8% YoY (showing a decrease of 0.1% versus the previous print). Considering the sticky inflation numbers, it appears very unlikely the FED will decide to cut interest rates next week during its two-day FOMC meeting. Furthermore, this problem raises questions over how fast the FED will actually proceed with easing monetary policy in the future; at the moment, it seems improbable the FED will lower interest rates before June 2024. On a technical note, the bullish trend continues to lose momentum, and the SPX hovers overextended above the upward-sloping channel. On the daily time frame, the Stochastic oscillates in the overbought area, and MACD flattens. In addition to that, the RSI is forming a structure resembling a symmetrical triangle. Overall, the picture remains bullish, but the odds of a correction grow as the market climbs a wall of worry. Illustration 1.01 The image above shows the daily chart of the RSI, which has been forming a structure resembling a symmetrical triangle. A breakout to the upside will bolster a bullish case in the short term, while a breakout to the downside will strengthen a bearish case in the short term. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the VIX’s daily chart. So far, the lower trendline has not been broken (not distorting the structure of higher peaks and higher troughs). Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Bullish (losing momentum) Weekly time frame = Bullish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPX
by Tradersweekly
4
$PLTR Pulling Back to Pivot / Breakout AreaNYSE:PLTR Here is a strong one for your watch list. This is perfectly normal action (so far) for a stock to pull back to its breakout area. It is pulling back on declining volume. All this is textbook action. I will be looking for the resumption of uptrend before I get involved. That could take a day, a week, or more. Patience will be key. I will update this idea if / when it looks to me to get involved. All TBD. For those interested, the chart set-up I am using is the LevelUp All-in-One Charting Tool here on TV. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NYSE:PLTRLong
by jaxdog
Trading Plan for Tuesday, March 19th, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, March 19th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Cautious ahead of FOMC decision Weekly Volatility Risk: High (amplified by FOMC) Supports to Watch: Immediate Supports: 5209, 5203 (major), 5191, 5182-77 (major support/triangle), 5171, 5165, 5157-55 (major), 5147, 5136, 5124-26 (major), 5115 (major), 5109, 5103, 5095 (major), 5087, 5083 (major), 5076 (major), 5072, 5066, 5060, 5055 (major) Resistances to Monitor: Key Resistances: 5215-20 (major), 5230, 5236 (major), 5246-50 (major - triangle resistance), 5257, 5264, 5270, 5275-77 (major), 5283, 5295-5300 (major), 5306, 5313 (major), 5326, 5333, 5340, 5355, 5362-66 (major), 5370, 5377, 5385, 5395 (major), 5400-5405 (major) Trading Strategy: FOMC Focus Holding Pattern: The market might be on hold until the FOMC announcement, so pre-announcement moves may lack conviction. Triangle Trading: The triangle setup with resistance at 5246-50 and support around 5182-77 defines the range for today. Profit-taking at each end of the range is advisable. Long Opportunities: Look for potential long entries at 5203 (especially if it's a major support test). Below that, interest in longs arises at the triangle support (5182-77). Avoid aggressive longs below 5182-77 with more substantial sell-offs possible. Short Opportunities (For experienced traders): Watch for short entries on failed breakdowns or bounces off resistance. FOMC Volatility: Expect increased volatility during and after the FOMC announcement. Bull Case Triangle Support: Bulls need to defend the triangle support at 5182-77. Holding above this level allows for a potential retest of 5245-50 resistance within the triangle. Building a Base: Overnight basing below 5215-20 and above 5202/5209 support suggests potential for an upside move. Breakout Potential: A decisive breakout above the triangle resistance at 5246-50, likely post-FOMC, could lead to targets at 5275-77 and then the 5295-5300 zone. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below the triangle support at 5182-77 could trigger significant selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Cascading Sell-off: If 5202 support fails, a deeper test of the triangle support is possible, potentially leading to a more severe correction. News: Top Stories for March 19th, 2024 FOMC Decision: The Federal Reserve concludes its March meeting, with a decision on interest rates expected at 2 PM ET, followed by a press conference with Chair Jerome Powell. Focus is on the Fed's outlook, dot plot projections, and any hints on the timing of potential rate cuts Banking Concerns: Economists warn of a potential new banking crisis triggered by the end of the Federal Reserve's BTFP program and potential geopolitical disruptions to credit markets. Economic Outlook: Recent economic indicators suggest a mixed picture. Fourth-quarter GDP growth was impressive, while the Conference Board's leading economic index signals a potential slowdown. Market Performance: Market volatility could spike around the FOMC decision. Long-term investors are focused on the Fed's interest rate path and its impact on earnings and valuations. Global Trends: The end of the negative interest rate era, the decline in North American Pay TV subscribers, and strategic CFO priorities highlight key global shifts. Remember: The FOMC decision has the potential to cause significant market volatility. Be prepared to adapt your trading strategy accordingly, prioritize capital preservation, and focus on managing risk.
CME_MINI:ESM2024
by spytradingpro
SPY S&P 500 ETF Options ahead of the FOMC decision After the 2023 price target was reached: Now Powell's likely to take a hawkish stance tomorrow, given the CPI, PPI, and GDP data. Interest rate cuts probably won't happen before June, in my opinion, potentially causing both indices and the crypto market to decline. I would consider purchasing the 489usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2024-5-17, for a premium of approximately $3.13. My end of the year Price Target for SPY, the S&P 500 ETF, is $540.
AMEX:SPYShort
by TopgOptions
$DOCN Base on Base Ready to Breakout?I got into this one on Mar 6th when it re-took the 20 EMA (green) where it also found support at the 50 DMA (red). My plan was to bring up to a full-sized position on a breakout over 41.07. However, on the 13th when it did break above that it promptly pulled back. Fast forward to today once it moved back over Friday’s high (which again found support at the 20 EMA) I did make it a full-sized position. The true breakout is yet to come. It needs to close over 41.07 for that to happen. From the low in November to today this stock is up over 100%. I think it can double again. My plan is to add anytime it bounces back off the 20 EMA. My stop will be on a “decisive” close under the 20 EMA but not more than 5% loss, whichever is less. This may be one you want to look at. If so, make it your own trade and follow your own rules. The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NYSE:DOCNLong
by jaxdog
$SCHW Cup with Handle FormationIf you look at this chart of Schwab, you can easily see the cup w/ handle formation. It has broken the blue downtrend line and is taking on good volume this morning. I have started a one-half size position here as the risk reward is exceptionally good. My stop will be below the most recent low which also corresponds with the 20 EMA (green). This could easily move to upper band of resistance around 71.40. All TBD. The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NYSE:SCHWLong
by jaxdog
$Z Regains 50 DMANASDAQ:Z has had a nice move off its recent bottom of around 76%. Sorry to say I missed it. However, it has now been consolidating those gains for about 80 days now. It recently dipped below the 50 DMA (Red) and has now recovered for the last three trading days. I like that the 5 DMA (White) is now above all the Moving Averages. I have started an early entry here in anticipation of a breakout above the blue horizontal line above. All TBD. I will place my stop on a close below the 50 DMA which makes for a good risk reward trade. See Notes on chart for more details. The chart I am using is LevelUp All-In-One available here on TV. It has a lot of information at a glance all built in. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NASDAQ:ZLong
by jaxdog
Trading Plan for Monday, March 18th, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, March 18th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Cautious, watching key support levels Weekly Volatility Risk: High Supports to Watch: Immediate Supports: 5171-73 (major), 5167, 5162, 5152-55 (major), 5147, 5136, 5127 (major), 5115 (major), 5109, 5104, 5092 (major), 5083 (major). Resistances to Monitor: Key Resistances: 5181, 5191, 5202 (major), 5207, 5213 (major), 5220-24 (major), 5230, 5236, 5246-51 (major), 5260, 5267 (major), 5280, 5285, 5294 (major), 5300, 5304 (major), 5315, 5320-22 (major), 5332, 5340, 5345, 5354-57 (major) Trading Strategy: Pivot Point: The 5171-73 support (white trendline) is crucial. A potential bounce is possible, but exercise caution as significant selling pressure could develop if this level fails. Long Opportunities: Look for buying opportunities on a bounce or reclaim of 5171-73. The 5152-55 major support is the last line of defense for bulls. Avoid aggressive longs below that level. Look for entries around 5115 or 5127 only if they show strong signs of a rebound. Short Opportunities (For experienced traders): Watch for short entries on failed breakdowns or bounces off resistance. Knife Catching Caution: Avoid impulsive buys deep into red candles on violent sell-offs. Treat them as short-term, smaller position trades. Bull Case Support Defense: Bulls need to hold the 5171-73 trendline, with ideally no further tests. A bounce here, particularly if it extends to the 5152-55 zone, provides a low-risk entry for a move back towards resistance at 5202/5207. Building a Base: Overnight basing below 5191 and above the 5170s support suggests potential upside for a move to 5202/5207. Path to New Highs: A successful defense of the trendline and subsequent move through resistance zones could lead to fresh all-time highs. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5171 could trigger significant selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Exercise patience here as breakdowns are often tricky and require skilled execution. Cascading Sell-off: If the 5152-55 major support fails, a deeper, more severe correction is possible. News: Top Stories for March 18th, 2024 Taiwan's Defense Strategy: Taiwan weighs investing in smaller, cheaper weaponry to counter potential invasion threats from China. Goldman Sachs Departure: The exit of a senior executive at Goldman Sachs signals potential internal shifts within the company. Middle East Conflict: Israel's raid on a hospital in Gaza risks escalating tensions in the region. Retail Challenges: Joann's bankruptcy highlights the ongoing difficulties faced by traditional retailers in the current consumer landscape. European Defense Stocks: The value of European defense stocks is fluctuating based on political rhetoric and policy shifts. FedEx-Amazon Partnership: Possible collaboration under discussion could reshape logistics and e-commerce dynamics. Fed Policy Outlook: The Federal Reserve's latest report highlights potential vulnerabilities due to leverage and high stock valuations. No rate cuts are expected until the Fed is confident inflation is under control. Bank Regulation Debate: A year after financial instability, regulators prepare new rules while facing industry criticism. Labor Market Update: Continued strength in the US job market puts factors into play the Fed will consider in its interest rate decisions. Inflation and Consumer Spending: The paradox of resilient consumer spending despite high inflation is a key focus of economists and policymakers. Additional Factors: Keep an eye on Nvidia's GTC Conference, updates on Indian markets, scrutiny of Adani Group, and shifts in startup financing trends. Remember: Prioritize capital preservation during this time of uncertainty. Be prepared for potential volatility and adapt your trading strategy accordingly.
CME_MINI:ESM2024
by spytradingpro
S&P500 Testing the 4H MA50. Rejection or bullish breakout again?The S&P500 (SPX) broke on Friday below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which isn't yet a bearish confirmation as it has done so numerous time within December's Channel Up pattern. What would be a sell signal though, is getting rejected and fail to close a 4H candle above the 4H MA50 again. We will then look for the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and target Support 1 at 5050, where the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level along with the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) will provide the first Zone of Support for the short-term. If however the index does close a 4H candle above the 4H MA50, then the Channel Up pattern should continue and in that case we will buy and target 5185 (Resistance). Note though that the 4H RSI is trading within a Channel Down since the February 23 High, almost 1 month, which is a major Bearish Divergence against the price's Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingShot
1
silver daily best level to buy/hold 20% gains🔸Hello traders, today let's review day/candle price chart for spot silver. strong recovery in progress currently, limited downside and bulls maintain strategic advantage. 🔸V-shape recovery in progress, also potential bullish IHS setup (required confirmation). right now we triggered mild overhead resistance near 25 usd and therefore expecting short-term pullback before further upside. 🔸Recommended strategy for silver bulls: wait for pullback from overhead resistance and be ready to reload on buy side near 23.10/23.50, stop loss fixed at 22.50. TP1 25.50 TP2 27.75 +20% gains / buy / hold setup for patient traders only. good luck! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 18/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5124 SL - 5113 TARGETS - 5131,5140,5150 SELL BELOW - 5113 SL - 5124 TARGETS - 5104,5091,5083 NO TRADE ZONE - 5113 to 5124 Previous Day High - 5131 Previous Day Low - 5104 Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day. Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move. Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
SP:SPX
by Jagadheesh_JP