SPX Head & Shoulders Top on Daily... Watching for $5600 to $5200Hi Traders,
SPX is showing signs of a potentially bearish formation—a head and shoulders top.
Historically, this pattern has signaled increased downside risk for equity markets.
As the price draws closer to the neckline, a break below could take us to the next major support level around 5,600.
This will be a crucial zone to for traders and investors to monitor closely.
Market conditions could sour quickly and an accelerated drop should cause traders to act cautiously over the next couple of weeks.
Good luck out there.
Mark
SPX (S&P 500 Index)
S&P500 The new Bullish Leg has begun.The S&P500 index (SPX) has completed 4 straight green 1D candles, and is already trading above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again. With its 1D RSI also reaching its MA (yellow trend-line), we view last Friday's candle as the new Higher Low at the bottom of the 4-month Channel Up.
This pattern is so far highly symmetrical with each of the 2 completed Legs so far, following an a-b-c-d structure. Right now we are on step (a) that is the start of the Bullish Leg. Based on this model, we are expected to approach the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up on step (b) then make the mid-Leg pull-back to (c) and then resume the uptrend for the Bullish Leg's top on (d).
We expect that to be on at least 6300, which is marginally below the 1.786 Fibonacci extension, being the minimum level that each of the previous 2 Bullish Legs hit.
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APPLE 270 - 300 - 320 TP BY 2025 Apple's potential to reach a stock price of $320 by 2025 is significantly bolstered by its strategic shift towards artificial intelligence (AI). Here are key reasons why this could happen:
AI-Driven iPhone Upgrades: Apple is poised to enter what analysts describe as a "multi-year AI-driven iPhone upgrade cycle." This cycle is expected to drive significant hardware sales as consumers upgrade to newer models equipped with advanced AI capabilities. The introduction of Apple Intelligence, a suite of AI features, is anticipated to make the iPhone more compelling, encouraging upgrades even from users with relatively new devices.📷📷📷
Expansion in Services Revenue: With AI, Apple aims not just at hardware but also at enhancing its services ecosystem. Features like Apple Intelligence are expected to spawn new AI-driven apps and services, creating new revenue streams. This could lead to a multi-billion-dollar increase in services revenue, which traditionally accounts for a substantial portion of Apple's income.📷
Market Sentiment and Analyst Predictions: Recent analyst upgrades reflect a strong bullish sentiment on Apple's stock due to its AI strategy. For instance, Wedbush has raised the price target to $325, suggesting Wall Street might be underestimating Apple's growth potential in the
AI space. This optimism could drive investor confidence and stock value upwards.📷📷📷
Innovation and Market Positioning: Apple's focus on on-device AI, privacy, and security differentiates it from competitors. By integrating AI into its core products like Siri, Photos, and even the new iPhone SE expected in 2025, Apple can maintain or even increase its market share in both developed and emerging markets. This is particularly relevant as AI becomes more integral to everyday device usage.📷📷
Regulatory Adaptation: Despite facing regulatory challenges, Apple's ability to adapt and navigate these issues while continuing to innovate in AI could further solidify its market position. Compliance with new laws while maintaining innovation could be seen as a testament to Apple's strategic foresight, potentially boosting investor confidence.
SPX ETF TRADING CHART 2025Happy New Year! Here' is the chart I will be swing trading SPX ETFs showing with TV scripts so you don't have to code. I use the DAILY MES1! price chart and position in the aftermarket or premarket with an SPX ETF. Here is what I do. After the close --- 1. Golden Cross (50SMAX200SMA) shows the "trend". Only trade with the "trend" (only long since April 2023!). 2. Use Accurate Swing ("7") to enter the trade. 3. Exit the Trade when MES price CLOSES below HMA ("16")
ES/SPX Morning Update Dec 26thLevels are acting very precise in ES. Since Monday’s failed breakdown at 5980, the sole target for this rally was 6100 (FOMC backtest), hit to the tick at close Tuesday and followed by a solid short since
As of now:
• 6066 is weak support.
• Bulls need to reclaim 6078-80 to rally toward 6095+.
• If 6066 fails, selling could resume back down to backtest where we took off from Tuesday at 9am
S&P 500 Technical Analysis: Eyeing a Year-End HighS&P 500 Technical Analysis
The S&P 500 maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above 6022. The next bullish target is 6099, indicating consolidation between 6022 and 6099 until a breakout occurs.
A breakout above 6099 could result in a new record high before the end of the year.
For a bearish trend toward 5971, a 4-hour candle must close below 6022.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 6022
Resistance Levels: 6053, 6099, 6142
Support Levels: 5971, 5936, 5919
Trend Outlook:
Consolidation between 6022 and 6099
Bullish trend as long as the price remains above 6022
Will AMD recover and catch up with NVDA? updated/Revised Outlook🔸Hello traders, today let's review 2days/candle price chart for AMD.
Price contained within bullish channel since 2021, however currently
pullback/correction in progress.
🔸65% correction in progress, based on previous swings expected to complete at/near 88/90 USD in Q1 2025. Until then it's recommended to stay out.
🔸Once we bottom out near 90 USD in Q1 2025, expecting bullish swing 265% gains off the lows, so projected high is 310/320 USD.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 85 usd in Q1 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD. Bullish impulse / reversal off the lows price target based on measured move projection is 310/320 USD. patience required, do not expect miracle/overnight gains in this market. good luck!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
SPX will go to 62201. On the daily chart, SPX is trading within an upward channel, with the MACD lines positioned above the zero line.
2. SPX has risen for three consecutive days, breaking through the key 6000 level. The next resistance is expected near 6100. If a pullback stabilizes around 5982, it could push toward a new high of 6220 (the 6220 level corresponds to a Fibonacci retracement).
3. Once SPX makes a new high above 6220, it could signal a potential pullback, with support expected around 5700.
S&P500: Recovery mode activated. Next stop 6,200.S&P500 turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.702, MACD = 16.670, ADX = 24.717) as it rebounded near the 1D MA100, which happened to be just under the bottom of the long term Channel Up and has recovered more than 50% of last week's correction. In the meantime, the 1D RSI is making a bullish reversal idential to the last two bottoms. The two prior bullish waves of the Channel Up topped on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. That is our target (TP = 6,200).
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S&P 500 Holding Within Ascending ChannelChart Analysis:
The S&P 500 Index remains firmly within its ascending channel (green zone), with the current price rebounding from the channel's midline near 6,006.5. The bullish structure remains intact, supported by key moving averages.
1️⃣ Ascending Channel:
Price continues to respect the channel boundaries, with recent consolidation near the midline and potential for further upside toward the upper boundary.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 5,938.1, acting as immediate support and reinforcing the bullish short-term trend.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 5,547.4, providing robust long-term support for the broader trend.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 52.74, indicating neutral momentum and room for price movement in either direction.
MACD: Positive but flattening, suggesting momentum remains supportive of the uptrend, though caution is warranted.
What to Watch:
A continued bounce higher could target the channel's upper boundary near 6,100–6,150, while a failure to hold above the 50-day SMA could shift focus to the lower boundary near 5,800.
Momentum signals from the RSI and MACD will be crucial in determining whether the current bounce has the strength to sustain a move higher.
The S&P 500 remains structurally bullish within its ascending channel, with key support and resistance levels offering clear guidance for traders.
-MW
SPX since 1877 & 1896 & 1932-2021 & beyond. Waddup MM !!! 9 Years & 18 months. I choose the first largest three crashes as a base for cycles nothing more nothing less.
WADDUP MARKET MAKERS, CAN YOU SHARE THE PROBABILITIES OF YOUR ALGOS ;-) .
Blue adjusted for time = Action in June. Red and green = Action in July . It is like a
puzzle. Waddup MMs share the knowledge.
SP50 / Bullish Momentum and Key Levels to WatchS&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price retested the bearish correction we mentioned earlier, then pushed upward again and continued toward 6022.
The S&P 500 has a bullish momentum aiming for 6022. To confirm the bullish area toward 6099, a 4-hour candle should close above 6022.
Otherwise, as long as the price trades below 6022, it will likely oscillate between 6022 and 5971 until a breakout occurs.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5995
Resistance Levels: 6022, 6053, 6099
Support Levels: 5971, 5936, 5919
Trend Outlook:
Consolidation: Between 6022 and 5971
Bullish Trend: Above 6022
Bullish Cypher - SPY spotted a bullish Cypher pattern on SPY’s daily chart, and it looks promising.
Entry: Current Market Price
Stop Loss: 575.50, just under the D-point, to give the trade some breathing room.
Targets: All time high
Ideas and Inputs are welcome.
Thank you for dropping by.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
SPY, Major Warning has been signalled for the stock market. The stock markets have been rattled by a concerning development that historically has been a precursor to increased volatility and economic uncertainty - the uninversion of the yield curve.
In December, long-term interest rates fell below short-term rates, reversing the inversion that had been in place. This yield curve uninversion is often viewed as a potential warning sign of an impending recession, as it has preceded the last seven recessions in the United States.
Looking back at past data, the last time the yield curve was uninverted in this manner was in 2019, just before the COVID-19 pandemic triggered a major market downturn. Prior to that, it uninverted in 2006-2007, shortly before the Great Recession hit in 2008-2009.
While the yield curve uninversion does not guarantee an imminent recession, it has proven to be a reliable leading indicator of increased market volatility and economic slowdown.
Trade safe,
Trader Leo
Critical Levels in S&P 500 Index this weekNavigating the S&P 500: What to Watch This Christmas Week
If you look at the S&P 500's technical chart, you'll notice something intriguing: Friday's rebound wasn't just any rebound — it came with a surge in volume. The Index is flirting with its 50-day Moving Average, a key indicator with investors on edge. As long as macroeconomic data doesn’t throw any curveballs, there's a promising outlook for a festive rally in the stock market this Christmas week. My eyes are on the 6,000 mark for the SPX as a pivotal point. If the momentum continues, we might even see it touch 6,100, which could be the ceiling for this bullish run.
SPX Hours needed to buy 1 shareHow expensive is the market? The average wage earner has to work 167 hours to buy 1 share of the S&P 500.
A new historic all-time high!
The markets are crazy expensive!
The inflation no one shows you or talks about is driven by massive deficits and cheap money.
Extreme Caution is in order!
S&P500 5 month Channel Up bottomed. Bullish reversal started.S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a Channel Up since the August 5th bottom.
Wednesday's Fed fueled correction crossed under the 1day MA50 but stabilized yesterday and today found support over the 1day MA100 and rebounded.
This low is very close to the bottom of the Channel Up and the 1day MA100 was the level that supported the early September pull back.
The 1day RSI is also reversing, and the 3 times it posted a similar pattern inside the Channel Up, it was a bottom.
Buy and target 6200 (+7.10% from the bottom).
Previous chart:
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Agricultural commodities outperforming After a +20% gain in the first quarter of the year, AMEX:DBA formed a 30-week base respecting the 2022 highs
Price resolver higher confirming the continuation of the uptrend making 52-week highs
This week has been very bad for the equity indexes, but AMEX:DBA is making 3 month highs relative to the SP:SPX
The best thing to do in this kind of market environment is to look for what is outperforming
SPX 2025 Strategic Outlook 7150 points Wave Five Bull Market🔸Time to update the SPX outlook, this is 2D price chart, we are
currently entering overpriced zone and limited upside in SPX
going forward next few weeks correction / pullback.
🔸SPX price structure since 2023 is defined by a five wave impulse wave 3 completed already and currently we are in wave 4 pullback/correction until 5415 points. expecting wave four pullback to complete in January 2025.
🔸Wave 1 is 3600 to 4625, wave two 4625 to 4125, wave three 4125 to 6100,wave 4 pullback/correction now is 6100 to 5416, final bullish wave five is expected to start from 5415 to 7150 points (30% bull run). Wave 5 expected to start in January 2025 and complete sometime in Q4 2025. A/B/C 40% correction will follow as the market will enter extremely overbought zone.
🔸Recommended strategy position traders: wait for the wave 4 correction to complete at/near 5415 points in January 2025 and then BUY/HOLD into wave 5 final target is 7150 points in Q4 2025. Obviously, this is a longer BUY/HOLD trade setup and patience is required with this trade. good luck!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.