S&P 500 (SPX500)
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 6, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index has demonstrated an upward trajectory during this week's trading session, surpassing the established Outer Index Rally level of 5955 and the Key Resistance level of 5965. Currently, the index is exhibiting a bullish trend, with a focus on the Outer Index Dip target, set at 6073. Furthermore, additional critical levels have been identified, including Key Resistance at 6150 and the Next Outer Index Rally at 6235. Conversely, there is a potential decline in index prices from the current level or upon completion of the Outer Index Dip 6073, which may lead to a retest of the Mean Support at 5940, with the possibility of extending the pullback to the Mean Support at 5888.
Market Outlook – Nifty Near Critical Levels! Caution Advised
Nifty Weekly Wrap-Up:
The Nifty 50 index closed the week at 25,003, posting a solid gain of +250 points from last week's close. It touched a high of 25,029 and a low of 24,502 during the week.
But here’s the twist—while the uptrend looks strong, we’re now at a crucial inflection point on the weekly chart.
Technical Outlook – Is a Bearish “M” Pattern Forming?
On the weekly timeframe, Nifty is at a level where a bearish M-pattern could potentially develop. To complete this pattern, the index could pull back towards support levels at:
24,414
24,200
24,000
If the selling deepens, the final support zone lies between 23,900–23,700, where a bounce-back is likely.
Bullish Scenario – Can Nifty Break Out?
If Nifty holds above 25,000 for at least 2 consecutive sessions, it could trigger a short-covering rally, paving the way for a move toward key resistance zones at:
25,400
25,565
26,100
Next Week’s Expected Range: 24,500 – 25,500
This range should see most of the action next week. If you're holding long positions, now is a great time to:
✔️ Lock in profits
✔️ Trail stop-losses
✔️ Prepare cash reserves for potential dip-buying opportunities
Global Watch – S&P 500 Hits Key Resistance
The S&P 500 closed near 6,000, up 100 points for the week. But heads up—it’s now testing a strong Fibonacci resistance at 6,013.
A rejection here could lead to a correction toward 5,900–5,850, a dip of 1.5–2.5%. If this unfolds alongside a Nifty pullback, it would align perfectly with our support targets around 24,400–24,500.
Final Takeaway:
Markets are looking stretched. While momentum remains positive, profit booking at higher levels is essential. Don’t get caught unprepared in case of a reversal. Stay tactical, stay liquid.
Smart money is already locking in gains. Are you?
$NIFTY: New highs incoming; 27500 can be cycle highsNSE:NIFTY the index from India which holds the top 50 stocks in India. IN the chart below we have overlayed the SP:SPX index. The NSE:NIFTY and $S&P500 have been in lockstep for more than 5 years as shown in the chart below. The indices are just 2.5% away from their ATH. Even with these levels the RSI for NSE:NIFTY is 61 and 58 in case of $SPX.
The RSI is far from overbought condition. So, this rally which started in NSE:NIFTY can have more legs. With Global liquidity on the rise and RBI easing policy rates the NSE:NIFTY can reach its all-previous highs of the Fib retracement levels. The previous peak was 0.786 Fib retracement level which on this upward sloping chart can be as high as 27500 which can indicate another 10% upside.
Verdict : Stay long $NIFTY. More upside possible. RSI still not overbought.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-6 : Inside-Breakaway Counter-TrendToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt a Counter-trend type of Inside Breakaway pattern.
I read this as a downward price trend (counter to the current upward price trend).
The markets seem to have bounced overnight - prompting a potentially strong opening price level.
If my Inside-Breakaway shows up today, things could get very interesting if a breakdown in price sets up.
Many of you know I've been expecting a broader market breakdown to take place - sending the SPY/QQQ down about 7% to 13% or more.
It hasn't happened yet and the SPY/QQQ continue to try to push a bit higher - but, until we break to new highs, the breakdown event is still possible.
Let's see how things play out today. Platinum is showing that the global markets are entering an extreme speculative phase (very similar to 2000-2008). Transports are stalling, showing the US economy is expected to weaken over the next 3+ months.
Imagine that. Speculation is ramping up while the US market may move into a recession in H2:2025. Wow.
We certainly live in interesting times.
Get some.
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Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG resistance area of 6176.6.Colleagues, it appears that price has not yet completed the upward movement in a five-wave move.
At the moment I expect the continuation of wave “3” and reaching the target in the resistance area of 6176.6.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
SPX500 H1 | Heading into an overlap resistanceSPX500 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 5,967.36 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 6,012.00 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 5,909.96 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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US & Global Market Breakdown | Profits, Losses & Bearish TradesIn this video, I break down the current state of the US and global economy, and why I believe we’re heading into a bearish phase.
📉 Fundamentals:
I cover the key macroeconomic factors influencing the markets — including Trump’s proposed new tariffs, slowing GDP growth, and ongoing supply chain constraints. These all point toward increasing pressure on the global economy.
📊 Technical Analysis:
I go over the major indexes and highlight their recent behavior. We’ve seen reactions from resistance levels, contraction patterns forming, and a significant volume dry-up — followed by today’s spike in volume, which occurred right at resistance. These are potential signs that the market may be shifting toward a bearish trend.
That said, we could still just be witnessing a deeper pullback within a longer-term uptrend. Markets are unpredictable, and no one knows for sure — which is why it’s important to always do your due diligence.
💰 I also review the profits and losses I’ve taken on recent bullish trades, and why I’ve now positioned myself in select short opportunities based on what I’m seeing.
If I’m sharing this, it’s because I’m personally investing my capital based on my conviction — so always use your own judgment and risk management when making decisions.
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Quiet before the storm: $VIX eerily at low levels. TVC:VIX since the unusual April spike to 60 has been making new lows. It is surprisingly coincidental that the S&P 500 bottomed at 4900 @ which is 0.618 Fib retracement level if we chart the Fib level form the August 2024 spike to the lows of the Nov 2024. Since Feb 2025 highs have come down to 17. With VIX at 17 and SP:SPX almost 6000 which is 2.5% away from Feb 2025 ATH. And the disturbing part is that the TVC:VIX is very quietly going lower.
So how does the future look like. VIX can go down to the lows of 16 before it breaks down below the upward sloping. This can result in violent reversal. The reversal can result in that TVC:VIX spikes to levels of 24 and next level 32. TVC:VIX above 32 is always a very good opportunity to buy $SPX. There you have my suggestion for the pair trade.
Verdict : TVC:VIX can spike to 24 or 32 if the reversal trade takes hold. Go long SP:SPX with TVC:VIX @ 32.
TESLA GOES READY FOR ITS NEW LEG DOWN. HERE'S WHAT WE KNOW ABOUTTesla stock declined after Elon Musk’s departure from the Trump administration due to a combination of reputational, operational, and market factors:
Political Backlash and Brand Damage. Musk’s close association with the Trump administration and his leadership of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) generated widespread protests and alienated many of Tesla’s traditional, progressive customer base. This political controversy led to a decline in consumer interest and unsettled investors who were concerned about the brand’s long-term appeal.
Sales and Profit Declines. Tesla faced falling sales and profits, with deliveries dropping in key markets like China and Europe, partly due to intensifying competition and partly due to the backlash against Musk’s political activities. The company reported a 13% year-over-year decline in deliveries, and operating profits fell as well.
Investor Concerns Over Leadership Focus. Investors grew worried that Musk’s political involvement was distracting him from Tesla’s core business at a critical time. There was a perception that the company was losing its competitive edge and that Musk’s attention was divided, which amplified concerns about Tesla’s future growth.
Market Correction After “Trump Bump”. Tesla’s stock had surged after Trump’s election, buoyed by expectations of favorable policies. However, as Musk’s political involvement became a liability and operational challenges mounted, the post-election gains evaporated, and the stock corrected sharply downward.
In summary, Musk’s controversial political role, combined with operational headwinds and shifting investor sentiment, triggered a significant decline in Tesla’s stock after his exit from the Trump administration.
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Best wishes
@PandorraResearch Team
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-5 : Inside BreakawayToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern - which indicates the markets want to try to break away from the sideways range I've been sharing with you.
Gold and Silver are making a very big move higher this morning - which may be indicative of some crisis or military conflict move throughout the world.
I see this move in Metals as a bit of a warning to the global markets. Metals hedge global risk levels. A rise in metals suggests traders fear some crisis event and are banking on Silver/Gold as an efficient hedge.
BTCUSD is still trading within the sideways channel as well. I see BTCUSD less as a hedge and more as a technology/Block-chain asset. No matter how you slice it, BTCUSD is not really an alternate currency, it is a Technology asset.
We could see some big moves over the next 2-5+ days because of how the markets are setting up and how Gold/Silver are reacting.
Buckle Up.
Get Some.
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SPX500 – Consolidation Between 5966–5990, Breakout to Set DirectSPX500 | Technical View
The price is currently consolidating between 5966 and 5990.
A 1H or 4H candle close below 5966 would confirm bearish momentum, with downside targets at 5938 and 5905.
However, as long as price trades above 5966, the outlook remains bullish, targeting 5990.
A 1H close above 5990 may extend the move toward 6010 and 6030.
Resistance: 5990, 6010, 6030
Support: 5938, 5905, 5858
S&P500 awaits Trade Balance and Jobless Claims figuresTrump Tightens Immigration: Bans people from 12 countries, limits entry from 7 more, and blocks foreign students from attending Harvard.
Russia-Ukraine Tensions: Putin plans to strike back after a Ukrainian drone attack. Trump says Russia’s allies won’t profit from rebuilding Ukraine.
UK Housing Boom: Home sales rose 6% in May, the strongest in 3+ years, despite the end of a buyer tax break.
Germany & U.S.: German politician Friedrich Merz meets Trump today. At home, Germany faces rising public concern about tough economic times.
ECB Rate Cut Likely: The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates by 0.25% to 2%, but may slow further cuts soon.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Key trading leel is at: 6000
Resistance Level 1: 6090
Resistance Level 2: 6140
Resistance Level 3: 6200
Support Level 1: 5900
Support Level 2: 5845
Support Level 3: 5800
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S&P500 Index (US500): Bullish Accumulation Pattern
I spotted a nice example of an ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
To confirm a bullish continuation, we will need a bullish breakout
of its neckline.
A daily candle close above 5996 will provide a reliable confirmation.
A rise will be anticipated at least to 6080 resistance then.
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Skeptic | SPX 500 Analysis: Long Triggers Ready to Rip!Hey, what’s good? It’s Skeptic! 😎 Last week, we scored a nice R/R on SPX 500, and now it’s looking ready for another big move, super close to our long trigger. Let’s check it out with a multi-timeframe breakdown to grab those long and short triggers!
Daily Timeframe: The Big View
The SPX was riding a strong bullish wave, then hit a deep correction. Here’s what’s up:
It’s bounced back most of that drop and is nearing its ceiling at 6128.55. 🏔️
A break and hold above 6128.55 could kick the bullish trend into high gear, per Dow Theory.
Watch the daily RSI—if it goes overbought, we might see a fast, big rally. 🚀
This is our long-term play, so let’s zoom in for the short-term action!
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
On the 4-hour chart, here’s the plan for our trades:
Long Trigger: Break above 5990.67, with RSI above 66.57 to show the move’s got juice.
Stop Loss: Your choice—put it below 5955.77, or check 1H or 15-minute charts for a tighter stop under the last low. 🎯
Short Trigger: A drop below 5856.93 lets you short, but it’s against the trend, so keep it low-risk. Take profits quick, use a small stop loss, and close when you hit a good R/R. ⚠️
Shorts are tricky here, so play it safe and don’t go all-in!
RSI Trick & Your Input
Love RSI? I’ve been using it forever, and I think most guides get it wrong. They say overbought RSI means sell, but for me, it’s a go sign for longs! Want a full RSI tutorial? Tell me in the comments, and I’ll hook you up! 📢
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this got you hyped, hit that boost—it helps a ton! 😊 Got another pair or setup you want me to hit? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for chilling with me—keep trading smart! ✌️
S&P500: Approaching the 88.70% RetracementThe S&P 500 continued its climb, nearing the 88.70% Fibonacci retracement level. The top of magenta wave (B) has not yet been confirmed, so under the primary scenario, we continue to expect further upside into the magenta Target Zone between 5,880 and 6,166. Once that zone is reached, wave (C) is expected to take over and drive the index into the next Target Zone — the green zone between 4,988 and 4,763. Short positions initiated within the upper zone remain viable and can be protected with a stop 1% above the top of the range. The alternative scenario — assigned a 40% probability — assumes the rally will continue directly into wave alt.(III) in blue, with a breakout above the 6,675 resistance. Over the long term, we continue to expect one final impulsive leg higher in blue wave (III) once the broader green wave correction is complete. This should take the S&P 500 well above the 6,166 mark.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
S&P 500 is Under Pressure from Weak ADP Data, Strong ResistanceThe S&P 500 is showing signs of contraction just below the key 6000 level. The ADP employment report, which revealed the slowest pace of hiring since March 2023, has raised some concern among investors. Whether this weak labor data will significantly impact the broader stock market remains to be seen.
Tariff effects appear to be gradually surfacing, first in jobless claims, then in the ISM manufacturing data, and now in the ADP report. Inflation data will likely be affected last, probably in a few months, due to the fact that both households and businesses frontloaded purchases ahead of the tariffs. As a result, the market could first confront recession fears, followed later by concerns about stagflation.
From a technical standpoint, a short-term RSI divergence is emerging, and the 6000 level is acting as strong resistance. If the S&P 500 fails to break above this resistance, a selloff could be triggered, with the 200-hour moving average as the initial target. Should the index fall below the 200-hour level, bearish momentum could increase, potentially deepening the correction.
To invalidate this negative scenario, the index would need a clear breakout above 6000, confirmed by multiple daily closes above that level.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : Carryover in Carryover modeToday's pattern suggests we may see more upward price consolidation/trending.
As many of you already know, I've been tracking the Excess Phase Peak pattern all the way up this incredible rally from the $480 lows on the SPY. In my opinion, we have moved into the "island" topping phase where price is struggling to break either upward or downward right now.
Currently, price seems to be attempting to break to the upside after yesterday's meltup. Today should be interesting because we could see solid REJECTION of yesterday's move with a big breakdown move. We'll see how things play out.
The SPY trend is still BULLISH based on my research. Thus, until and IF we get a breakdown, traders should continue to expect a MELT UP type of trend in the SPY/QQQ.
Hedging trades is a good idea right now.
Gold and Silver had a big move early this week and have not stalled into a sideways FLAGGING trend. By my estimates, the APEX of the flag will come near 1900-2100 today (Wednesday 6-3). That is when I think Gold/Silver will attempt to move into extreme volatility and attempt to make another big move.
I hope it is to continue the upside price trend, as this breakout move needs to push higher (breaking recent highs) for metals to move into a new dominant upward price trend.
BTCUSD is trading sideways - possibly setting up that DOUBLE-TOP pattern I suggested was going to take place on 5-20-25. Now, with Bitcoin leading the US markets by about 3-5 days (on average), we'll see if BTCUSD can attempt to move into another rally phase or if BTCUSD breaks below the $103k level and moves into a new downward price phase.
In my opinion, look out below.
Get some.
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Support and Resistance Areas: 5879.75-5972.75
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(ES1! 1D chart)
There are two important support and resistance areas.
5879.75-5972.75 and 5664.75-5720.50 sections.
If it rises after receiving support near the 5879.75-5972.75 section, it is expected that the 6031.75-6051.50 section will act as resistance.
If it falls in the 5879.75-5972.75 section,
1st: 5664.75-5720.50
2nd: M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart
You should check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd sections above.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : BreakAway In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move into a Breakaway type of pattern. I believe that Breakaway may be to the downside, but I could be wrong.
Price has been struggling in a sideways consolidated range over the past 2+ weeks. I believe this range sets up an "Island" type of price formation that is indicative of a topping type of pattern.
Currently, I'm tracking layers of different TA techniques to try to see how price may react in the future. Right now, price appears to be trapped within a range, has recently broken below the STDDEV channel, and may be moving into a very volatile FAILURE/REJECTION phase.
This is where price may attempt to resume trending (up or down) and I believe the move logical move is to the downside at this point.
Gold/Silver had a HUGE MOVE yesterday and are not contracting a bit. I still believe Metals will rally higher and attempt to break to new ATH levels.
BTCUSD is trapped in a sideways price range after reaching new ATH levels recently. Many of you are aware I'm expecting a rollover-top pattern to setup in BTCUSD (and the US markets) and I believe it is just a matter of time to see how the markets react to policies, news, and economic function/data.
Should be an interesting (possibly sideways) day today.
Get some.
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SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Price Testing Resistance Trendline - DailySPY (S&P500 ETF) price is currently testing a resistance trendline above ($593 to $595 price levels).
SPY price in the medium-term has been uptrending since April and May 2025.
SPY price in the short-term has been consolidating sideways, and a large volume breakout or breakdown has not occurred yet.
The 12EMA (blue line) has been holding as support for 5 trading days. Resistance targets to the upside would be $598 to $600.
The grey gap and the 26EMA (purple line) are downside support targets if a rally does not occur this month ($576 to $567).
Breaking news and tariff trade deals are supposed to occur in June and July 2025.