SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-13-25 : Inside BreakawayToday's video highlights some of the deeper, more detailed research I do behind the scenes for all of you.
My SPY Cycle Patterns are just one part of what I attempt to develop to identify opportunities and to help guide all of you toward success.
And, trust me, creating and reviewing all of this data, creating all this content, and staying ahead of the markets is not an easy task. It takes insight, knowledge, and experience to be able to try to read these charts, plan for what the markets are likely to attempt to do in the future, and try to convey that information to you in a concise format.
You'll see my suggestion the markets will attempt to establish a new low early this week, then REJECT and move higher into the Inauguration.
I know it seems counter-intuitive to suggest the markets are breaking downward while telling you to expect a REJECTION and a brief move higher - but price moves in waves - not in a straight line.
Gold and Silver are pulling down as the initial selling pressure drives a bit of a panic in metals. This downward move should end with a strong rally where Gold attempts to move above $2800.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is the hard asset I believe will see the bigger decline - possibly targeting the $72-74k level before the end of February.
I believe the Excess Phase Peak pattern is confirming the move down to consolidation right now, and that low (possibly near $72-74k) will act as temporary support before a much deeper low is set.
Remember, we are just getting started into 2025. so we have lots of time to try to manage and trade our accounts into profits.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
S&P 500 (SPX500)
S&P 500 Analysis: Key Levels and Impact of CPI Release, To down!
S&P 500 Analysis
The price has dropped, breaking the trend line and stabilizing below the support zone.
As long as the price remains below 5783 this week, it is expected to target 5734 and 5693. If a 4-hour candle closes below 5693, the price could continue to drop toward 5643.
On the other hand, a daily candle closing above 5805 would signal a bullish move toward 5863.
Note: This week, the CPI release is anticipated to have a significant impact on market movements.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 5781
Resistance Levels: 5822, 5863, 5893
Support Levels: 5734, 5693, 5643
Trend Outlook
Bearish Trend: Below 5783
Bullish Trend: Above 5805 (daily close required)
Strategy Winter — Spring 2025. S&P500 Index Choking DiagonalUS markets were shacked on Friday, January 10th, after the December NFP jobs report came in much stronger than expected.
The US economy added 256,000 jobs in December, well above the average economist estimate of 155,000. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1% from 4.2% in November, although it remains above its 6-month simple moving average.
The Nasdaq-100 immediately fell about 1%, while the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note jumped nearly 10 basis points to 4.785%, its highest since October 2023.
The strong payrolls report further strengthened the case for the Federal Reserve not to cut interest rates again until at least 2025.
The move in stocks and bonds is a continuation of what has been happening in recent weeks: After a period of mega-euphoric optimism, investors have begun to expect higher inflation driven by President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed trade and fiscal policies. If bond yields continue to rise, Americans will feel the brunt of it.
The CME FedWatch Tool shows that markets now expect just one rate cut of 25 basis points this year, down from as many as three at the end of last year. The odds of no rate cuts in 2025 more than doubled to 28% on Friday morning.
The dollar index TVC:DXY skyrocketed to the Moon, while the yield on 10-year U.S. sovereign bonds TVC:TNX stays well above 4.5%.
Endogenously, the market has been preparing for such turbulence for a long time, as discussed in the previously published idea “Strategy 2025. BTC Airless Scenario Below $100'000 Choking Point” .
I have to remind that the financial market had tough weeks in December 2024, but it could also face a tough year in 2025, as I noted then.
The market was on track for its worst weeks in years after the Federal Reserve gave a hawkish forecast for interest rate cuts in 2025. But looking at the market internals, it was clear that the damage had been done well before the December Fed meeting – and this signal was a historical indicator of tough times ahead.
Thus, Dow Jones Futures CBOT_MINI:YM1! ended 2024 with the 3rd RED WEEK in a row, forming the Bearish Candlestick Pattern "Three Black Crows" on the weekly timeframe, which developed, remarkably, from the all-time highs of the Dow Jones index.
Last week, Dow Jones Futures ended with the 6th RED WEEK in a row - and this is a rather rare event.
Historical backtest analysis over the past 25 years shows that this can lead to a further (at least) 10-percent drop for the Top-30 stock club.
Bulls have done a lot of work, advanced more than 2,000 points in 2023-24, for the S&P500 index. However they were unable to finalize their achievements confidently above the round 6-thousand mark by the end of 2024.
By the way, the same inability in Bitcoin to finalize 2024 above the round 100,000 mark is now repeatedly throwing the market back to lower price marks, as discussed in the recently published idea.
The main technical chart indicates a suffocating bearish diagonal in development for the S&P500 index, with targets for decline down to 5'250 points.
S&P 500 Index Drops to 2-Month LowS&P 500 Index Drops to 2-Month Low
On Friday, the US unemployment data was released, as reported by ForexFactory:
→ The unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% to 4.1%;
→ The number of new jobs (Non-Farm Employment Change) increased by 256,000 over the month, although analysts had forecast an increase of 164,000 (previous value = 212,000).
According to Reuters, the strong labour market data strengthened the market participants' view that the Federal Reserve will be cautious in cutting interest rates in 2025.
Based on CME Group’s FedWatch tool, traders expect the Fed to reduce borrowing costs for the first time in June and then keep it at that level for the remainder of the year.
Expectations that tight monetary policy will persist longer than usual have led to bearish sentiment. As a result, the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) dropped below the 5,800 mark this morning, its lowest point since early November.
Technical analysis of the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows:
→ A bearish Head and Shoulders (SHS) pattern is visible on the chart;
→ The price has broken below the median of the ascending channel (marked in blue).
The strengthening bearish sentiment may lead to:
→ The price fluctuating within the descending channel, the boundaries of which are already visible (marked in red);
→ The median of this red channel currently acting as support.
It is possible that the intensification of bearish sentiment will result in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) declining towards the 5,700 level, which may be reinforced by the proximity of the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Short to support area 5718 (Wave C).Dear colleagues, I believe that the downward movement will continue within the correction (A B C). I expect wave “C” to start moving very soon.
I think that the nearest target is the area of 5718 level, because there is a strong support area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
SPX: correction is over?The start of the year was not very pleasant for the US equity markets. The latest drop in the value of the major US indices was induced by adjusted expectations on the effects of “higher for longer” interest rates in the US. Namely, the US economy is standing relatively good with a still strong jobs market. The US added 256K jobs in December, which was strongly higher from market expectations. At the same time, the unemployment rate dropped by 0,1 percentage points, to the level of 4,1%. These figures are absolutely good for the US economy, however, they did not make investors happy. The tricky part is that the market is now expecting that the Fed will halt further decrease of interest rates, where some analysts are noting the potential for the first 25 bps cut in September this year. The environment of still increased interest rates will not support the growth of US companies, especially small-caps, in a way that the market has previously estimated. This was the initial premise, based on which, the S&P 500 ended the week lower, reaching the level of 5.827 on Friday.
At this moment the main question is whether the market will continue with a correction, or is it now a good time to buy the dip? Probably some higher volatility is expected around and on the day of the FOMC meeting in January, when investors will get additional information regarding the course of the US interest rates from FED officials. This date will set the course for the rest of the year. Still, during this period some higher volatility is possible. In technical analysis there is a clear line which connects bottoms on a 1D chart, from October 2023, then bottom in august 2024 and current bottom at Fridays levels. So, charts are noting, if this level is sustained during the next week or two, then the market will revert back to the upside. In case that current levels are breached toward the downside, that should be an indication of a higher correction in the future period.
S&P 500 is gearing up for a drop to $348.11 or even $218.26.SP:SPX AMEX:SPY are gearing up for a potential crash. Markets and indices seem aligned for a downturn.
What will trigger it?
Hard to say, but watching the stock and crypto markets, it certainly looks that way.
My expectations for SPX / SPY:
➖ Fibonacci 161.80% targets have been reached.
➖ Key downside levels: $348.11 and $218.26.
TVC:DXY
The dollar index is leaning towards growth for now. I think it might follow this scenario. Let’s keep an eye on how things develop.
#202502 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral but slightly bullish if we stay above 5800. Downside would probably be limited with 5800 but we could easily go back to 6000 again. If we get a daily close below 5800 I change my mind and the bull trend line around 5750 would be the next lower target. Overall the probability of another big move up or down are small and sideways is most likely. On SPX we have a bull gap down to 5782 (ES is 40 points higher, so it would be around 5826) and it would be strong by the bears to finally close it after 2 months.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 5800 - 6030
bull case: Only thing bulls have going for them is that we are barely making lower lows and are still above 5800. If bears were strong, we would have tested the big bull trend line from 2023-10 by now, which is still 400 points lower. This market has not had two consecutive bear months since 2023-10 and bulls can be confident it stays that way. Bulls who bought near 5800 made money since 2024-09 and I expect them to come around again next week. They will be scaling scale into longs already or wait until we are closer to 5800 and the probability is on their side. Bulls who bought the previous two lows in December and last week, also made at least 150+ points and until we see more trapped traders (bigger gaps), sideways inside the bigger range is much more likely that a strong move down.
Invalidation is below 5780.
bear case: Bears changed the character of the market but failed to establish a strong bear trend. Once we see decent buying pressure early next week, they will likely give up and try again near 6000. They simple can not hold short below 5900 when we rallied 150+ the past two times we got below it. The best bears can do is to print lower highs below 6040 and go sideways for longer below 6000. Once we get closer to the bull trend line from 2023-10, it’s likely that we see another strong push up to test 6100+, if we haven’t see a strong break below 5800 by then. It’s typical trading range price action and the range is big enough for both sides to make decent money. You have to play the range because we can go sideways for much longer.
Invalidation is above 6040.
short term: Neutral between 5840 - 5900. If bears continue to make lower highs below 5900, they have a chance of testing 5800. Once we break above 5900, we will test the bear trend line around 5930ish next and above 5960 bears have to give up and wait for 6000 or 6030 before shorting again.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Marked current bear channel on the 1h tf and removed the bull trend line from the 2024-11 low that got broken.
Calm before the storm?The first ten days of the year for the S&P 500 index were surprisingly calm and without the interest it had in other years, finding it making a sideways downward movement towards the double "cushion" of support that is presented on the weekly price chart between 5,850 and 5,740 units. An important anti-shock zone that has the ability to absorb any liquidations that come out without spoiling the indication of the medium-term upward trend.
The negative element is that with the sideways stabilizing movement that the index has been making since the beginning of last November between 6,100 and 5,850 points, it has brought closer to the very heavy 200-day moving average, which has now climbed to 5,657 points or -4% from current price levels.
The week that will begin is therefore important as the index will have to show us its cards with what it intends to do. Thus, a possible passage of the index below 5,800 points will raise the attention of sellers since it will give them the right to push it further towards 5,740 and 5,700 points. On the other hand, a dynamic push above 5,800 points may bring 6,000 points back into the spotlight.
Analysts may now be giving higher target prices for the S&P 500 for 2025, but at the same time they are expressing some skepticism about the ability of the "Magnificent 7" to pull the chariot on the uphill road to 7,000 points.
Characteristic are the "pulled" figures that give both the P/E ratio and the P/S ratio for these seven giants in relation to the average of the S&P 500. So while the index has a P/E of 28 and a P/S of 3, Tesla has a P/E of 111 (!) and a P/S of 15, Nvidia P/E:53 and P/S:29, Amazon P/E:47 and P/S:3.8, Apple P/E:41 and P/S:10, Microsoft P/E:35 and P/S:12, Meta P/E:28 and P/S:9.8 and finally Google appears with P/E:25 and P/S:7.1.
Indeed, the indicators show an "overflow" in the capitalization of the "Magnificent 7", but the financial data that will begin to come out from the first quarter of 2025 may open the way for higher numbers in their share values.
#Nifty50 What Lies Ahead for Nifty & S&p500,13-17th Jan 2025The Nifty Index experienced a sharp decline this week, closing at 23,431, a significant 570 points below the previous week's close. While the index reached a high of 24,089, it ultimately succumbed to selling pressure, finding support at 23,344. As forecasted, the Nifty traded within the predicted range of 24,500 to 23,300. For the upcoming week, I anticipate the index to remain confined within a range of 23,950 to 22,900 .
Given the prevailing bearish sentiment, a potential short-term bounce could unfold next week to lure in unsuspecting buyers before a renewed downward move. Historically, whenever the Nifty has breached the support of the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (WEMA50), it has typically undergone a 5-6% correction. Based on the current level of 23,431, the Nifty may find crucial support near the 22,200-22,400 zone.
Turning to the US markets, the S&P 500 found support at the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA100) level of 5,817 and closed at 5,827. The upcoming week will be pivotal. If the S&P 500 successfully defends the 5,807 low, a potential rally towards the 5,926-5,944 range could materialize. However, a weekly close below the 5,800 mark would signal a significant bearish turn for global markets, potentially triggering a deeper correction towards the 5,637 or even 5,504 levels.
Wishing readers a very happy Lohri and Makar Sakranti.
ICICI BANK LTD (IBN) WEAKNESS COULD DRAG PRICE TO ITS MEAN!The price of IBN is now showing weakness, all that is left is a pullback above 29 followed by rejection...
N.B!
- IBN price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#IBN
#NASDAQ
#SP500
#NYSE
S&P 500: Bearish Momentum BuildsAs we move further into 2025, the S&P 500 continues to show signs of weakness, intensifying the bearish outlook from my last post. The Rising Channel breakdown and Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern remain dominant, with the price now trading firmly below the 50 EMA.
Attempts to reclaim the Rising Channel have failed, confirming that the long-term bullish structure is no longer in play. The neckline of the H&S pattern, previously broken, has become a strong resistance zone, reinforcing the bearish momentum. The 50 EMA has flipped to resistance, making it even harder for bulls to regain control.
Currently, the 200 EMA is providing critical support. If this level fails, the downside momentum could accelerate significantly, leading to much lower targets. Key levels to watch include 5,687.33, 5,600.45, and the channel projection target of 5,119.26.
Bulls will need to defend the 200 EMA and push the price back above the 50 EMA to have a chance at reversing this trend. Otherwise, the market seems poised for further downside. Let me know how you’re approaching this setup shorting, waiting for a bounce, or something else? Stay sharp and trade carefully! 🚀
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 10, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the recent trading session, the S&P 500 demonstrated a robust rally, exceeding a notable support level at 5872. This upward movement, however, resulted in a significant decline of the index to a critical support level at 5870 and lower lows. The volatility associated with this upward trend has introduced instability by destabilizing the bullish trend by flagging a new downward target marked at Outer Index Dip 5645. However, it is crucial to acknowledge that encountering subsequent support levels of Mean Sup 5770 may trigger a substantial rally, potentially leading to the Mean Res at 5920, before plunging again to drop toward the targeted level of 5645.
SPX Continues to Fall Following the NFP ReleaseAfter the surprising report of 256k jobs created compared to the expected 160k, the U.S. index has experienced a decline of over 1% in the last trading hours. This is due to the perception that strong employment data could be counterproductive to the outlook for future interest rate cuts by the Fed.
Lateral Range:
Recently, the price has been trading within a significant lateral range between the 6k-point ceiling and the 5.8k-point floor. With the recent bearish movement, a break below the lower boundary of the channel could end the current consolidation and favor a new short-term bearish outlook. Sustained oscillations below the mentioned support level could define the next downward price movement.
RSI:
At the moment, the RSI is oscillating below the indicator's neutral 50 line. This indicates that bearish momentum dominates the market, with no signs of oversold conditions that might suggest potential bullish corrections.
Key Levels:
5.8k: This level currently serves as the relevant support zone, coinciding with the lower boundary of the lateral channel and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Persistent oscillations below this level could support a bearish outlook in the coming sessions.
6k: This represents the primary resistance level on the chart. Oscillations near or above this level could end the ongoing bearish pressure and pave the way for new all-time highs.
5.6k: The next significant support zone, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Oscillations near this level could lead to a solid bearish trend and completely negate the long-term uptrend that has been in place since August 2024.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
10y+ bonds are becoming even more attractive for investorsThe US economy in December added the most jobs since March and the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell, capping a surprisingly strong year and supporting the case for a pause in Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts.
Nonfarm payrolls increased 256,000, exceeding all but one forecast of economists. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, while average hourly earnings rose 0.3% from November.
YIELDS are rising, and traders are fully pricing in the first rate cut in October. The 10-year yield may aim for the 5% level, similar to the March 2023 movement. However, let's not forget that at that time the interest rate was 5.5%, and there were no expectations for combating 9% inflation.
Currently, inflation is even below 3%, and concerns that the US will impose new sanctions or that tax cuts will create a new wave of inflation are purely speculative fears, not facts, which have created an emotional backdrop in the markets.
On the contrary, 10, 20, and 30-year bonds are becoming even more attractive for investors.
And don't forget, pre-election promises often do not turn into reality.
S&P 500 Analysis: Key Levels and Impact of NFP NewsS&P 500 Analysis
The price is currently ranging between 5895 and 5918, awaiting a breakout to determine the next direction.
A break below 5895 is likely to push the price into a bearish move toward 5863.
If the price remains above 5895, it may attempt to reach 5937 before any potential decline.
A break above 5937 would signal a bullish continuation towards 5969.
If the price stabilizes below 5863, it is expected to drop further to 5825.
Note: Today's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data release is expected to have a significant impact on the market, potentially driving volatility and influencing these key levels.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5900
Resistance Levels: 5937, 5969, 6002
Support Levels: 5863, 5845, 5825
Another ratio chart : NIFTY 50 vs S&P 500Another ratio chart. Today we look at the performance of India NIFTY50 vs US S&P 500 on a weekly basis. IN this ratio chart all the 50-, 100- and 200-day SMA are below the short term 20 DMA. Prior tops can act as support as indicated by the red arrows. The estimate is that the chart will consolidate here, and the future direction will be determined by the US Dollar. Please watch out for DXY. Will it break above the recent ATH from Oct 2022 of 113 (blue arrow) or breakdown before reaching the top? This will determine the direction of Nifty 50 vs S&P 500.
"US500 / SPX500" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / SPX500" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the breakout of MA level 5960 (OR) Entry in Pullback 5820
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 6100 (or) escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, I would conclude that the US500 / SPX500 is : Bullish
Reasons:
US economic growth: The US economy is expected to grow at a rate of 2.5% in 2023, driven by a strong labor market, increasing business investment, and a rebound in the housing market.
Monetary policy support: The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates at a low level of 1.5%, which is expected to support borrowing and spending in the economy.
Fiscal policy support: The US government has announced a series of fiscal stimulus measures, including tax cuts and infrastructure spending, which are expected to support economic growth.
Corporate earnings growth: US companies are expected to report increasing earnings in 2023, driven by a strong global economy and a competitive dollar.
Valuation: The US500 / SPX500 is currently trading at a relatively high valuation, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 20, but this is still below its historical average.
However, it's essential to consider the following risks:
Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth could reduce demand for US stocks and drive down the index.
Trade tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and other countries, particularly China, could impact the US trade balance and economic growth.
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation could lead to higher interest rates, which could negatively impact the economy and the stock market.
Key Fundamental Indicators:
US GDP growth: 2.5% (2023 estimate)
Unemployment rate: 3.5% (2023 estimate)
Inflation rate: 2.0% (2023 estimate)
Interest rates: 1.5% (2023 estimate)
Corporate earnings growth: 10.0% (2023 estimate)
Market Sentiment:
Bullish sentiment: 75%
Bearish sentiment: 25%
Neutral sentiment: 0%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 1-9-25 : Behind The Scenes ResearchMany of you are following my research and Plan Your Trade videos - watching my SPY Cycle Patterns play out as the markets trade through various phases/trends.
What you do not see is the extended research and predictive modeling that go into my deeper research, which aims to help traders.
The SPY Cycle Patterns are just one part of my extensive coded solutions related to cycles/trends/phases and other market conditions. Every week, I review and research dozens of market conditions, attempting to determine the current phase, setup, and conditions related to the market and what to expect in the near future.
That is why, in many cases, I will be ahead of the trends by 2 to 5+ weeks.
You may wonder why I'm able to draw future expected price action often so accurately. This is because of my extended market research (done behind the scenes). My work is not only about the SPY Cycle Patterns - it includes many other more detailed market analyses related to key fundamentals and cycle/phase market trends/setups.
In this video, I try to share some of the extended work I do to help traders so you can better understand how all of my research/work ties together to deliver the best information I can.
In my opinion, trading is about what is likely to happen now, and attempting to identify what is likely to happen in the near future - so we can prepare and trade efficiently through any market trend.
As we take a day off to remember President Carter, I thought you might be interested to see what I actually do every day/week in terms of research and software development trying to help you learn to become a better trader.
Stay safe & get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Bearish drop?S&P500 (US500) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 5,924.14
1st Support: 5,838.66
1st Resistance: 5,964.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin’s Deja Vu: A Bullish Flag Unfolds Towards a Historic ATHIn March 202 0, ( COINBASE:BTCUSD ) Bitcoin reached a low on Friday the 13th , forming a bullish flag pattern that initiated a new upward cycle.
A similar formation appeared on August 5, 2024 , indicating the continuation of this bullish trend.
Currently, Bitcoin is at the PR3 price level, establishing a base support around $108,923 .
The next resistance is at QR1, approximately $197,491 . Upon reaching this level, a slight correction to around $145,669 is anticipated before continuing to the final all-time high (ATH) at QR2, set near $281,216 . From this peak, a significant correction to the correction support level (CS2) at $145,669 is expected.
Analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin's trajectory. H.C. Wainwright forecasts a rise to $225,000 by the end of 2025 , considering historical price patterns and potential favorable regulatory changes under the Trump administration.
Additionally, Standard Chartered projects Bitcoin could reach $150,000 in 2025, aligning with historical trends of major rallies post-U.S. presidential elections and following halving events.
However, Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a concern. Predictions suggest potential corrections of 15% to 30% during the bull run before reaching higher price targets.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's current market structure and historical patterns indicate a bullish trajectory with potential significant price levels and corrections. Investors should remain vigilant and consider market volatility when making investment decisions.