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S&P 500 (SPX500)

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-31: Top PatternHappy New Year Everyone, Today's pattern is a TOP pattern. This suggests the SPY/QQQ will rally in early trading, attempting to identify a resistance level and then rolling into a TOP type of pattern. I don't expect the markets to fall much after reaching the top/resistance level. I expect it to be more of a stalling type of price action after reaching resistance. Gold and Silver will likely attempt to confirm a base/bottom near recent lows. I don't expect too much movement in metals today. Bitcoin moved below recent support, then rejected back to the upside. If this support fails, Bitcoin will move strongly to the downside over the next few days. As we move into 2025, capital will start to rush back into the markets in early January. This low-liquidity phase will end near Jan 5 through Jan 8. Be prepared for price to attempt to revert back into normal 0.5 to 1.25% price ranges - consolidating as liquidity increases in the markets over time. Remember, the first half of 2025 will be very volatile - so buckle up and get ready for some big price rotation in early 2025. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
S&P 500: Final Day Analysis with Key Levels and Trend OutlookS&P 500 Technical Analysis It's the final trading day of the year. The price shows bullish momentum up to 5,969, which must be confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing above this level. This could lead to a further rise toward 6,022, followed by a correction. Conversely, stability below 5,969 will trigger a bearish move from 5,969 toward 5,899 and potentially 5,863. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5937 Resistance Levels: 5969, 6022, 6053 Support Levels: 5905, 5863, 5790 Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum: Stability below 5,969 Bullish Trend: If 5,969 is broken
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
$FFIE Soars! This Stock Looks Just Like It, Trade Before Surge!Yesterday, NASDAQ:FFIE made a huge jump while it had been lying in my watchlist. I’ve been observing it for over a month and had been analyzing the technical aspects and monitoring the trading volume. However, due to concerns about its fundamentals, I hesitated to enter. The sudden surge yesterday left me shocked, and I missed out on such a significant profit opportunity! I really regret it... So I spent the day researching, using my stock selection system. This time, I focused solely on the technical and found a small-cap stock - NASDAQ:AIFU - that looks extremely similar to NASDAQ:FFIE before its surge! First, let me share my technical analysis of NASDAQ:FFIE before its surge, then I’ll compare it with the current technical trends of $AIFU. If you find it makes sense, consider giving it your attention! From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:FFIE had been oscillating in a triangular formation at the bottom for a while, before its surge it was continuously testing the upper resistance of that triangle, before stabilizing and then rising! Additionally, there was unusual activity in trading volume leading up to the surge, with significantly increased volume just before it skyrocketed. Lastly, looking at the RSI, it was oscillating at the bottom, but the RSI was consistently rising, indicating a clear bullish divergence supporting the stock price increase. Now, interestingly, let’s take a look at the technical trends for NASDAQ:AIFU : From a technical standpoint, on the daily chart, NASDAQ:AIFU is also experiencing oscillation in a triangular formation, just like NASDAQ:FFIE did before its surge. It has started testing the upper triangle resistance, and if it breaks through and retests, establishing stability at that position would signal a potential breakout! Similarly, trading volume has been showing unusual activity, continuously increasing. Finally, looking at the RSI, although it hasn’t shown a clear upward trend during the oscillation period at the bottom of NASDAQ:AIFU , neither has it created any new lows; in fact, the stock price has made a new low, technically indicating a divergence at the bottom. Could it all just be a coincidence? After missing the opportunity to double my investment with NASDAQ:FFIE , I really don’t want to miss out on $AIFU. I’m willing to take a chance and see if I can strike it rich this time!
NASDAQ:AIFULong
by xugina78
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Daily Price Consolidation - End of 2024SPY (S&P500 ETF) is currently in a short-term consolidation price pattern (end of December 2024). SPY price needs to hold and rally above $583 to avoid a daily bearish head-and-shoulders resistance price pattern. Support Prices to the downside are: $583, $577, $569, $555, $532. Resistance Prices to the upside are: $592, $600, $604, $613, $626. Several Key Events will be occurring in the USA, January 2025: -CES 2025 Conference (week 2) -Inflation Data (week 2) -Stock Market Earnings Season begins (week 2 to 4) -New President taking office, potential law changes (week 3 to 4) -FOMC Press Conference (week 4) Note: Any of the above events can cause stock market volatility and override technical charts. Date: 12/30/2024 pm
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
2024-12-30 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Bearish. Good selling today and bulls could not close above the breakout price around 5990. The close was near the open of the week and since we had a big gap down, this is bearish confirmation. Below 5900 this could very well close the year below 5860, which would be a nasty bearish reversal bar on the monthly chart and a clear sell signal going into January. Bulls need to break above the trend line and 6000 again and a close above it would be neutral. comment: I am heavily favoring a yearly close below 5900 as of now. The selling is strong enough and bears made lower highs again. Anything below 5860 would surprise me though. We are in a clear bear channel and bulls need something above 5965 and bears a break below 5900. The open of December was near 6100 and the lower bears can close this monthly bear bar, the better. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 5800 - 6050 bull case: Bulls retraced 78.6% of the sell-off which was the fib retracement to the tick. Did it help? No. Very strong selling into the close again and after hours. Bulls need to fight for 6000. The only thing they have going for them is that we made a higher low. Any yearly close above 6000 would be good for them. Invalidation is below 5860. bear case: Bears are trading below the 1h 20ema, daily 20ema and have 2 bear trend lines going for them. They need strong follow through tomorrow and close this below 5865, which was the previous December low. We have nested bear channels on the 1h chart but also a triangle with last weeks low. Objectives for the bears tomorrow are to keep the 1h 20ema resistance and break below 5900 to test 5865. Invalidation is above 6038. short term: Neutral 5950 - 6000. Bearish below 5950 for 5900 and then 5865. Uber bearish below 5865. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Selling since Globex open. The reversal from the 5918 low was very strong and trapped many late bears. Second best trade was to take it and hold until market stalled for multiple hours near 5990.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
Strategy 2025. BTC Airless Scenario Below $100'000 Choking PointThe crypto market is flashing a worrying outlook for 2025, since a disappointing Santa Claus rally this year could deepen issues. This is especially important if BTC will not be able to finish the year 2024 firmly above $100'000 per coin. The financial market has had a tough week, but it might also be in store for a tough year in 2025. The market is on track for its worst weeks over years after the Federal Reserve gave a hawkish forecast for interest rate cuts in 2025. But looking at the market's internals, it's clear that damage had been inflicted well before the Fed's Wednesday meeting—and the signal is a historic indicator of tough times ahead. The number of stocks in Top Stock Club S&P 500 that are declining outpaced advancing stocks for 14 consecutive days on Thursday. The advancing/declining data helps measure underlying participation in market moves, and the recent weakness signals that even though the S&P 500 is only off 4% from its record high, there's damage under the hood of the benchmark index. This is evidenced by the equal-weighted S&P 500 index being off 7% from its record high. According to Ed Clissold, chief US strategist at Ned Davis Research, the 14-day losing streak for the S&P 500's advance-decline line is the worst since October 15, 1978. Clissold said 10-day losing streaks or more in advancing stocks relative to declining stocks can be a bad omen for future stock market returns. While this scenario has only been triggered six times since 1972, it shows lackluster forward returns for the S&P 500. The index has printed an average six-month forward return of 0.1% after these 10-day breadth losing streaks flashed, compared to the typical 4.5% average gain seen during all periods. "Studies with six cases hardly make for a strategy. But market tops have to start somewhere, and many begin with breadth divergences, or popular averages posting gains with few stocks participating," Clissold said. Perhaps more telling for the stock market is whether it can stage a recovery as it heads into one of the most bullish seasonal periods of the year: the Santa Claus trading window. If it can't, that would be telling, according to Clissold. "A lack of a Santa Claus Rally would be concerning not only from a seasonal perspective, but it would allow breadth divergences to deepen," the strategist said. Also concerning to Clissold is investor sentiment, which has flashed signs of extreme optimism since September. According to the research firm's internal crowd sentiment poll, it is in the seventh-longest stretch in the excessive optimism zone, based on data since 1995. "Several surveys have reached what could be unsustainable levels," Clissold said, warning that any reversal in sentiment could be a warning sign for future market returns. Ultimately, continued stock market weakness, especially in the internals, would suggest to Clissold that 2025 won't be as easy as 2024 for investors. "If the stock market cannot rectify recent breadth divergences in the next few weeks, it would suggest our concerns about a more difficult 2025 could come to fruition," the strategist said. Moreover, Dow Jones index has printed recently The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern, on weekly basis. This is especially important, since mentioned above pattern is massively unwinding from Dow's all the history highs. Previously this pattern has already appeared in TVC:DJI in November 2021 and lead to 20 percent decline in 2022 for Dow Jones Index and to more than 70 percent decline in BTC. The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern also has appeared in Dow Jones Index in September, 2018 (lead to 18% decline) and in July, 2007 (lead to more than 50% decline). The main technical graph represents a Choking Strategy for BTC in 2025, i.e. BTC airless scenario below $100'000 choking point. The epic 52-week SMA breakthrough in BTC will definitely accelerate a decline at all.
by PandorraResearch
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12/30 : GAP ReversalThis week should resolve as a Momentum Rally in the SPY/QQQ. Yet, I believe price action will be very volatile as we are still transitioning through the holidays. Overall, I expect the SPY/QQQ to attempt to mount a fairly solid rally this week - possibly attempting to reach new All-Time highs again. Then, I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into an extended topping pattern over the next 2+ weeks - resulting in a breakdown trend after the Inauguration. Gold and Silver appear to be trying to base/bottom and we may see a decent rally in metals this week. I hope so because I don't believe Metals should be this low compared to the risk factors throughout the global markets. Bitcoin is transitioning through an EPP pattern Flag breakdown event. If this continues, I suspect we'll see a downward price move targeting $74k before the end of January 2025. Remember, my Daily/Weekly Cycle Patterns are designed to help us plan and prepare for market opportunities. No, they are not 100% perfect all the time. But I don't know of anything else that can attempt to accurately identify price trends, setups, events weeks and months into the future. 2025 is going to be a great year for traders. Remember, it is all about what you can do with the information I share to profit from these moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
S&P 500: Consolidation and Bearish Momentum Below Key LevelsS&P 500 Technical Analysis The price dropped on Friday and stabilized within bearish momentum. In general, as long as it trades below 6,022, the bearish trend is likely to continue toward 5,936, with the potential to reach 5,863 if the downward momentum persists. The S&P 500 is currently consolidating between 5,993 and 5,936 until a breakout occurs. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5993 Resistance Levels: 6022, 6053, 6099 Support Levels: 5936, 5919, 5863 Trend Outlook: Consolidation between 5993 and 5936 Bearish Trend while below 6022
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 Index key levels to Watch this weekIf you're trying to figure out the stock market's next moves, watch the S&P 500 Index. Last Friday marked a crucial point, with the index dipping to 5,930. This is the line you don't want to cross. Slipping below means we're below the 50-day moving average again and likely heading further south. Falling past this 5,930 mark breaks the trendline for the second time, and you'll probably see more pressure to dip below the post-FOMC low — that's your second critical level. Things might get dicey from there, but if the selling picks up speed, I'd start eyeing the 200-day moving average as a target for early January 2025. Here's the bottom line: don't hurry to jump in at the start of January. We need some clarity on where the market's headed first.
SP:SPX
by IrinaTK
#Nifty50 Outlook for upcoming week 30-3rd Jan 2025The Nifty roared this week, gaining a solid 226 points, closing at a strong 23813! It reached a peak of 23938 before dipping to 23647. As predicted, the Nifty stayed within the 24100-23000 range, forming an interesting inside candle pattern. Excitingly, a bullish "W" pattern has emerged on the weekly chart! If the Nifty can hold above the crucial 23900 level next week, we could see it trading between 24300 and 23400 . However, while a bounce is expected, the bearish Monthly chart might tempt big players to unload their positions. Stay alert! Across the pond, the S&P500 took a 2.5% hit, closing at 5970 after reaching a high of 6049. The 5870-5850 support zone is critical. A breach could trigger a faster selloff, potentially testing the 5637/5551 support levels. For an upward move, the S&P500 needs to conquer 6050, paving the way for resistance levels at 6094/6142/6225. Bottom line: Use any bounce next week as an opportunity to lock in profits. Stay informed and trade wisely!" Wishing everyone a very happy & prosperous New Year.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
Good InvestmentThe International Information Technology Unit (IITU) is a global investment fund that focuses on companies in the technology sector. Historically, it has shown impressive returns, with an annual growth rate of around 30-50%. This strong performance is driven by the rapid advancements in technology and the increasing reliance on digital services worldwide. While past performance can indicate potential, investing in the IITU should still be approached with caution. The high returns may reflect the volatility and risk associated with the tech sector. As such, it could be a good investment for those willing to accept some risk in exchange for the possibility of significant growth, but it may not be suitable for conservative investors.
LSE:IITULong
by Wajed31
1
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this short trading week, the S&P 500 made significant gains and is approaching our main target, Key Resistance at 6090. This movement is expected to support the next phase of the interim rebound, with the goal of breaking through the Key Resistance level at 6090 and continuing the bullish trend. However, it's important to acknowledge that a retest of the Mean Support at 5870 is still a likely scenario.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
es1! retests 5kes1! appears poised for a larger move down, based on the smaller timeframe count . this leads me to believe that es1! has entered a larger fourth wave. historically, these waves take an average of 2 months to play out and typically result in a 12% decrease from the high before completing. wave 4's often retrace back into the territory of the prior degree's wave 4, and i expect this one to follow suit. pay attention to the green trendline i've drawn on the chart,,, it serves as a solid guide for where i anticipate es1! to find a bottom. dipping below the trendline is acceptable, provided we don't see any weekly candle closes beneath it. even if a weekly candle does close below, a strong recovery the following week, such as a gap-up scenario , could invalidate the breakdown. there’s not much else to add here, as the chart is fairly straightforward. keep an eye on the trendline and monitor weekly closes for confirmation. 💸
CME_MINI:ES1!
by notoriousbids
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-27-24: Momentum Rally PatternThe last Friday of the year (2024) should show up as a moderate Momentum Rally in the SPY/QQQ - possibly seeing the SPY target 603 or higher by the end of the day. Gold and Silver are consolidating into a FLAGGING formation. Bitcoin is trapped in a consolidation range (right shoulder) pattern that should break downward over the next 5+ days. This is the time to position your trades for the beginning of 2025 and prepare for moderate volatility as the markets struggle for direction. The Momentum Rally pattern, today, should present a very clean opportunity for skilled day traders. I believe a deeper low is likely to setup between January 15 and January 25, 2025. So, be prepared for another roll to the downside after we get past the New Year. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
APPLE 270 - 300 - 320 TP BY 2025 Apple's potential to reach a stock price of $320 by 2025 is significantly bolstered by its strategic shift towards artificial intelligence (AI). Here are key reasons why this could happen: AI-Driven iPhone Upgrades: Apple is poised to enter what analysts describe as a "multi-year AI-driven iPhone upgrade cycle." This cycle is expected to drive significant hardware sales as consumers upgrade to newer models equipped with advanced AI capabilities. The introduction of Apple Intelligence, a suite of AI features, is anticipated to make the iPhone more compelling, encouraging upgrades even from users with relatively new devices.📷📷📷 Expansion in Services Revenue: With AI, Apple aims not just at hardware but also at enhancing its services ecosystem. Features like Apple Intelligence are expected to spawn new AI-driven apps and services, creating new revenue streams. This could lead to a multi-billion-dollar increase in services revenue, which traditionally accounts for a substantial portion of Apple's income.📷 Market Sentiment and Analyst Predictions: Recent analyst upgrades reflect a strong bullish sentiment on Apple's stock due to its AI strategy. For instance, Wedbush has raised the price target to $325, suggesting Wall Street might be underestimating Apple's growth potential in the AI space. This optimism could drive investor confidence and stock value upwards.📷📷📷 Innovation and Market Positioning: Apple's focus on on-device AI, privacy, and security differentiates it from competitors. By integrating AI into its core products like Siri, Photos, and even the new iPhone SE expected in 2025, Apple can maintain or even increase its market share in both developed and emerging markets. This is particularly relevant as AI becomes more integral to everyday device usage.📷📷 Regulatory Adaptation: Despite facing regulatory challenges, Apple's ability to adapt and navigate these issues while continuing to innovate in AI could further solidify its market position. Compliance with new laws while maintaining innovation could be seen as a testament to Apple's strategic foresight, potentially boosting investor confidence.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 12-26-24 : Inside Breakaway PatternThis, being the day After Christmas, could be a very volatile trading day. I suggest traders sit back and let the morning volatility settle before attempting to make any big trades. I believe the markets will seek direction after Christmas and look to attempt to move into a Reversion phase (likely trending upward into the end of 2024). Overall, I believe the Anomaly event has completed - yet there is still risk for the markets to move lower before the end of Feb 2025. Follow my research and pay attention to how large the recent Daily price bars are compared to previous ranges. The current market volatility is MASSIVE. There is no reason skilled traders are not able to profit from some of these big price swings. Gold and Silver enter a CRUSH pattern. This could be a huge price move for Gold & Silver today. Bitcoin is sliding into the Consolidation Phase of an EPP pattern. This could result in another breakdown towards $72k if the EPP pattern plays out. Buckle up. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
The Magnificent Seven Stocks: A Stellar 2024 and Uncertain 2025The Magnificent Seven Stocks: A Stellar 2024 and an Uncertain 2025 The Magnificent Seven is a term used to describe the seven largest technology companies that dominate the global economy through their scale, innovation, and high market capitalisation. These companies are often key drivers of the US stock market, and in 2024 (as in 2023), they confirmed their leadership, with most outperforming the broader market indices. Below are approximate performance estimates for the end of 2024: → S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen): +26% → Apple (AAPL): +38% → Microsoft (MSFT): +18% → Amazon (AMZN): +52% → Alphabet (GOOGL): +42% → Meta Platforms (META): +43% → Tesla (TSLA): +87% → Nvidia (NVDA): +189% What does 2025 hold for the Magnificent Seven? Motley Fool offers a cautious outlook for the coming year, suggesting that some of these leaders may run out of steam due to inflated stock prices relative to their intrinsic value and profit forecasts. Zacks analysts have examined the fundamentals and identified three stocks from the Magnificent 7 that are worth considering for value investors: 1. Alphabet (GOOGL) Alphabet has the lowest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio among the Magnificent 7, standing at 23.9. While this doesn’t say it is a value stock (value stocks typically have a P/E below 15), it is relatively cheap compared to its peers. Moreover, Alphabet now pays dividends. 2. Meta Platforms (META) Meta Platforms remains attractively valued with a forward P/E of just 25.8. It also boasts a relatively low price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 1.3 (a PEG below 1.0 indicates a reasonable price relative to expected profit growth). The 1.3 PEG is appealing, and like Alphabet, Meta has started paying dividends. 3. Amazon.com (AMZN) Once aiming to be the "store for everything," Amazon has expanded far beyond this with its AWS division, Whole Foods, sports and entertainment programming on Prime, and even chip manufacturing. Amazon has the lowest price-to-sales (P/S) ratio among the Magnificent Seven, at 3.8. Although a P/S below 1.0 is typically considered attractive, Amazon remains appealing to investors. For comparison, Microsoft’s P/S ratio is 13.1, while Nvidia’s is 29. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
2
S&P 500 Technical Analysis: Eyeing a Year-End HighS&P 500 Technical Analysis The S&P 500 maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above 6022. The next bullish target is 6099, indicating consolidation between 6022 and 6099 until a breakout occurs. A breakout above 6099 could result in a new record high before the end of the year. For a bearish trend toward 5971, a 4-hour candle must close below 6022. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6022 Resistance Levels: 6053, 6099, 6142 Support Levels: 5971, 5936, 5919 Trend Outlook: Consolidation between 6022 and 6099 Bullish trend as long as the price remains above 6022
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
SPX will go to 62201. On the daily chart, SPX is trading within an upward channel, with the MACD lines positioned above the zero line. 2. SPX has risen for three consecutive days, breaking through the key 6000 level. The next resistance is expected near 6100. If a pullback stabilizes around 5982, it could push toward a new high of 6220 (the 6220 level corresponds to a Fibonacci retracement). 3. Once SPX makes a new high above 6220, it could signal a potential pullback, with support expected around 5700.
SP:SPXLong
by WhaleTJ