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S&P 500 (SPX500)

Can S&P 500 stay above 6K?The SPX hit a new all-time high at the open, adding to its big gains from last week when Trump won the US election quite comfortably in the end. But the index it has since drifted lower, moving back below last week's high of 6013, potentially suggesting that the bullish momentum is fading after being up for several days. At the time of writing, it was approaching the 6,000 level from above, after it crossed it for the first time ever last week. Should it fail to hold above this level, and given the fact the RSI is at overbought levels on the daily time frame, we could see investors take profit on their long trades accumulated last week. A bearish-looking price candle such as an inverted hammer is the sort of price action the bears would look for now. If seen, we should then expect the S&P to ease back towards the breakout area of 5857 to 5882 in the coming days. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-11: Gap Potential In Trend ModeHappy Veterans Day. Thanks to all the current and past service members who have dedicated so much time and effort to protect all of us from the evil in the world. If you have anyone in your family that has served in the military, please take a moment to call and thank them for their service today. As today is a Federal holiday, I expect the markets to be somewhat muted in terms of trends. We are still seeing BTCUSD rally higher as the Trump win delivers a clear mandate related to global crypto/blockchain opportunities. We are still dealing with a market in a post-election rally phase. I believe this rally phase will diminish over the next 5 to 7+ days and move into the early stages of my Anomaly phase. My research suggests the US and global markets are likely to move into a consolidation phase before attempting to move into a very late phase Santa Rally. So, at this point, with the SPY breaching 600 in pre-market trading, I would suggest traders start to PULL PROFITS and prepare for what I believe will be a moderate consolidation of price over the next 5-7+ trading days. Gold and Silver are still FLAGGING in an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. This is currently a bearish price trend - attempting to break higher to move into a rally to Phase #3 (consolidation). We could see some big price rotation today if Gold and Silver break above the FLAGGING trend. Buckle up. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
SPX: Bullish Momentum Targets 6,000 with Key Retest at 5989SPX: S&P 500 Futures Eye Further Gains as Index Targets 6,000 Milestone The S&P 500 index surged to a new record high on Friday, with futures indicating more potential gains at the New York open. Investor sentiment remains buoyed by the election results, with the "Trump effect" continuing to fuel demand for risk assets. Technical Analysis The price has increased by approximately 5.00% over the last week. Today, a retest toward 5989 is expected, followed by a continuation of the bullish trend, aiming to break the all-time high (ATH) at 6019 and reach 6045 and 6068. Alternatively, if a 4-hour candle closes below 5989, it could signal a bearish trend, targeting 5970 and 5931. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6019 Resistance Levels: 6045, 6068 Support Levels: 5989, 5970, 5931 Trend Outlook: Bearish Correction toward 5989 Bullish Trend toward 6045 previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
S&P Soars on Election Results in a Stunning RallyLast week's market movements provided a strong example of how impactful certain events can be on sentiment and momentum. In the last market recap, I highlighted uptrend continuation as the most likely scenario. However, at the start of the week, there was absolutely nothing on the chart suggesting a V-shape pivot. Week started on a weak note, but Tuesday marked a shift, as buying interest began to surface, quickly escalating into a stunning overnight gap once preliminary election results emerged. Essentially, the election results had a similar impact on the market as an earnings report can have on a company's stock price. This influx of optimism solidified bulls' control over the market, reinforcing a strong weekly uptrend. The buying wasn’t limited to a few sectors; instead, it was widespread, touching every major sector by the week’s end. Such broad-based buying underscores that the rally is not sector-specific but part of a larger, systemic movement. While we’re seeing robust upward momentum, it’s worth noting that both weekly and daily RSI levels are approaching overbought territory. However, as often observed in strong uptrends, prices can comfortably persist in the overbought zone. With no clear resistance above, I would strongly discourage trying to catch the top. Important levels to watch include 585 (VAH) , which is key in the event of a potential retest of the last consolidation zone, and 568 (major weekly low) , which buyers must protect to maintain control. P.S. If you missed this insane rally, don’t blame yourself too much. Had the election outcome been different, it’s easy to imagine the market would have plunged just as dramatically. So holding short-term position was similar to trading company earnings, which is, in a way, a form of gambling.
AMEX:SPYLong
by hermes_trisme
Weekly Forex Forecast Nov. 11th: BUY S&P500, NASDAQ, & DOW!This is the Weekly Forex Forecast for Nov 11th. The Big 3 Indexes are strong, trading at ATHs. There is no reason to look for anything other than buys this week. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by RT_Money
2
#202445 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures : Bullish. Breakout was strong with follow through and I have a measured move target to 6400+ and a trend line that runs through 6200. Even if we get a pullback, the first one will most likely be bought and we retest 6050. What would the bears need to make this the ultimate bull trap? One giant bear bar that closes below 5850 could do it but how likely is that? It’s absolutely reasonable to not buy into this madness and wait for bears to come around. I would be surprised if we closed 2024 above 6000. Quote from last week: comment: Reasoning here is almost identical to dax and nasdaq. Selling was strong enough for a second leg and a measured move leads down to 5555, which is near the 50% retracement. I won’t repeat the same stuff here what I wrote for dax. comment : Same logic here as for dax. Bears failed to get below 5700 and on Tuesday market went the other direction. Wednesday was certainly a huge bull surprise and we went high enough that it opens even higher targets. The rally lost steam on Thursday/Friday, which could result in a pullback first. I draw the line for bulls around 5850, if we drop below, we might as well go 5800 followed by 5730. current market cycle: Bull trend key levels: 5850 - 6050 (above 6050, 6200 comes in play) bull case: With 6000 my bullish targets were met but this does not look like it’s reversing anytime soon. If bulls keep it above 5850, we are free to go up to 6100/6150. A measured move from last week up gives us 5300 and I even have a measured move target at 6500ish from the August rally but that is obviously very far fetched for now. Invalidation is below 5850. bear case: Bears have nothing as of now. The rally last week was strong enough to expect more upside and bears could not trade more than a bar below the 1h 20ema since Tuesday. The best they can hope for is that the bull trend line above us, holds and market does not go much above 6050. My bullish targets were met with 6000 but the market obviously broke strong enough above it. Bears have no decent reason to sell this right now. Invalidation is above 6100. outlook last week: short term: Neutral until we break below 5700. I favor some more sideways movement before the second leg down but it should stay below 5830. → Last Sunday we traded 5758 and now we are at 6025. Well, at least I was not bearish. short term: I want to join the bulls but need a pullback first or a strong momentum break above 6030. Zero bearish thoughts as of now. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed bear lines, adjusted bull trend line and added bull channel
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
2
Weekly S&P ProyectionSince the market did not correct as expected, this opens up the possibility for a new period of euphoria. As show in the graph this has happened before from the year 2020 to 2022. Price is typically considered to not follow a normal distribution, therefore using one to estimate if price is over extended has its flaws. This is because the true distribution of a security is a multinomial distribution, where price can either go up, down or stay equal. The reason price behaves in such an odd manner is because price, has 2 unknown probabilities. Such probabilities can be calculated for the past, but not for the future. These are the probability of a price increase, and the probability of price staying the same, consequently the probability of price decreasing will be 1 minus the sum of the two previous probabilities. The value of such probabilities also fluctuates, and is determined by the market. When a market becomes overexcited, the probability of price increasing is closer to 1 than it's other counter probabilities. When this happens, a normal model no longer becomes suitable for estimating the limits of the distribution. If one has a multinomial distribution, thought of as a graph with nodes in a shape of a 3D tree, where each node has a relationship with 3 subsequent nodes. Where each relationship carries one of the probabilities mentioned before (with no repetitions). Starting with 1 initial node, then 4 then 16 … previous+previous*3n. One is able to create a mental map of true, the price action distribution. From these, one could calculate new limits, by using bootstrapping. However, since the computational power of such algorithm is complex, we can use the mean returns indicator to evaluate the trend and see that currently the trend is positive. This would mean that the probability of increasing is most likely also closer to one. If the mean returns were at 0 then the probability of price staying the same would be closer to one, and if it's below zero the same is true for a downtrend. Currently, the trend is positive, and not close to the theoretical limits of price action. This means that the probability of seeing a skewed distribution in the future are relatively high. However, if you still use a normal distribution to estimate the limits, then price is due for a correction. Only time will tell, as over excitement can move markets past their technical limits, and that is something that will always be a flaw in any technical approach to model price action.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by DarkMessiah777
Scinarios for $SPX till the election year ends Bearish daily candle on Friday 25th Oct but watching RSI signals its showing some support to the up-trend line from Aug low . This setup suggested continuation upward trend up to next week and election week then signal can be more clear!. Above 5855 is bulish entry and below 8750 is bearish one. 6000 target still valid but i will recommend 5920 to take profit for downplay 5640 is last support which is related to FED pivot cutting . good luck
SP:SPXLong
by WinnerTrader99
A Silver Lining in BrazilThe USDBRL recently broke above a descending channel, signaling further BRL weakness; an unusual occurrence given the ongoing shift to easing cycles by major global central banks. Figure 1: Major Central Banks Begun Rate Cuts; USDBRL Rises Instead On September 18th, the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut rates by 50 basis points, marking its first reduction since the pandemic. Several other central banks, such as Bank of Canada (BOC), European Central Bank (ECB), have continued their ongoing rate cut cycle in the past few months. While uncertainties remain about the pace and extent of these cuts, there is a clear consensus among major central banks to adopt a dovish stance. Historically, monetary decisions by major central banks, especially the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), have directly influenced the USDBRL exchange rate. Higher U.S. rates attract capital inflows, strengthening the USD and weakening the BRL. Consequently, one would expect USDBRL to continue trending lower in line with anticipated rate cuts. Instead, USDBRL recently surged to levels reminiscent of the pandemic era, defying conventional expectations. Figure 2: Brazil’s Central Bank Acts Swiftly on Inflation The Brazilian Monetary Committee (COPOM) was one of the earliest to react to rising inflation, initiating aggressive rate hikes as early as 2021. This preemptive stance set COPOM apart from other major central banks, which only began tightening in 2022. The much more aggressive hikes helped stabilize the BRL, leading to a sustained downtrend in USDBRL. The COPOM has also been quick to address the recent reversal in inflation trends. A 25-basis-point rate hike in September and November signals the start of a monetary tightening cycle aimed at countering inflationary pressures, especially in food and energy prices. Figure 3: COPOM Leads Global Rate Hike and Rate Cut Cycles Although COPOM began cutting rates in the second half of 2023, global narratives remained focused on the U.S.'s potential for a soft landing. Amid the lack of confidence in post-pandemic recovery and lack of direction in major central banks’ stance on rate hikes, capital stayed in developed markets. However, the latest cuts from major central banks suggest a shift toward more accommodative policies, potentially sparking renewed interest in riskier emerging market assets. Brazil stands to benefit from this shift, particularly following COPOM’s decision to raise rates. Yet, the recent USDBRL breakout suggests a market sentiment that is incongruent with these developments. Figure 4: Divergence Between Brazil’s Ibovespa and S&P 500 Continues This odd occurrence extends to the equity market as well. Back in March 2024, we noted the divergence between the S&P500 and Ibovespa. While the divergence narrowed slightly after, the S&P500 benefited from the subsequent AI-driven gains, and Brazil’s Ibovespa futures lagged. This reflects a broader uncertainty surrounding Brazil’s financial outlook. Figure 5: Brazil’s Overall Flow Remains Positive The trade balance measures the difference between exports and imports of goods and services whereas the capital flows measure the ownership of Brazilian assets by foreigners against foreign assets owned by Brazilians. This can include foreign direct investment, portfolio investment and other investments. Despite episodes of capital outflow in 2024, Brazil’s trade surplus has been relatively stable, which has effectively provided a buffer. Throughout the first half of 2024, the net positive combined inflow signals an overall greater demand for the BRL and ought to provide additional support for the currency. Moreover, China’s recent stimulus measures are likely to have a positive impact on Brazil. As a major commodity exporter, Brazil’s trade figures are closely tied to China’s economic performance. The announcement of China’s 2025 investment budget for construction projects is expected to further boost Brazil’s trade numbers. Though there is different dynamics in international trade and investment, market sentiment still weighs heavily on bearish expectations on Brazil’s financial market over her strong trade capabilities. Figure 6: Brazil’s GDP Shows Robust Growth Brazil’s central bank recently revised its 2024 growth forecast upwards, citing stronger-than-expected data. Brazil’s GDP grew by 1.4%, while real GDP expanded by 2.68%, rebounding after two quarters of stagnation. With annual GDP growth projected to hit 3% by the fourth quarter, Brazil’s economy is proving to be more resilient than market sentiment suggests. Figure 7: Brazil’s Labor Market Remains Robust While the market panicked over U.S. unemployment rate spike in July, Brazil’s unemployment rate has been consistently declining, a clear indication in a significant improvement in labor participation rate. Furthermore, wages, benchmarked using real earnings, have shown significant recovery post-pandemic, reaching new highs. This labor market strength further supports the fundamentals of the Brazilian economy. Figure 8: Brazil’s Fiscal Concerns Weigh on Sentiment Brazil’s rising government debt and debt-to-GDP ratio have raised concerns among investors, highlighting a significant fiscal challenge. While the debt-to-GDP ratio had improved in recent years, 2023 marked a reversal suggesting a possible upward trend that alarmed markets. This is compounded by the government’s recent decision to relax budget targets for 2025 and 2026, extending the timeline to achieve fiscal surplus. Such moves signal a longer period needed to stabilize Brazil’s growing public debt, prompting fears of higher future inflation and questions about the government’s commitment to fiscal discipline. Investors worry that these factors could lead to elevated inflation expectations and erode the perceived value of Brazilian assets, demanding higher risk premiums to compensate for fiscal uncertainty. Every Cloud has a Silver Lining Despite these fiscal challenges, Brazil’s economy continues to demonstrate resilience. Trade surpluses remain robust, GDP growth is positive, and the labor market is strong. COPOM’s recent rate hike signals its determination to combat inflationary pressures. Brazil’s Treasury Secretary, Rogerio Ceron, has pledged to outperform fiscal targets, while Moody’s recent credit rating upgrade in October places Brazil just one notch below investment grade. This contrast between solid economic fundamentals and fiscal instability has created a situation where the market appears overly focused on Brazil’s fiscal risks, potentially mispricing the country’s overall economic health. Consequently, this divergence highlights a lopsided risk premium that investors may exploit, particularly by engaging in relative value trades on the yield curve. Gaining Access to the Yield Curve Brazil’s main interest rate contract, the DI Futures which is traded on the B3 exchange, reflects the expectations of the market for the average DI Rate over a specified period – starting from the trade day (inclusive) to the contract’s maturity date (exclusive). The DI Rate is the average rate for one-day Interbank Deposit Certificates (CDI) traded between different banks but, nowadays, considering their methodology and the current market dynamic, this rate has the same value of Selic Over Rate (Brazilian interest rate benchmark that will follow the Selic Target Rate). The Selic Target Rate is the interest rate set by the COPOM and used by the Brazil Central Bank in the implementation of the monetary policy. Both local and non-local investors trade the DI Futures to express their views and expectations of the Brazilian yield curve, making DI Futures one of the most liquid interest rate instruments traded globally. Furthermore, B3’s COPOM Option Public Dashboard provides a convenient visualization of such market sentiment – Selic Target Rate probabilities decided at each COPOM meeting. These probabilities are calculated with B3’s COPOM Option contracts. All DI Futures contracts are cash settled and payout 100,000 BRL at the end. The total profit and loss will include all the daily settlement to be carried out until the expiry date. Since the DI Futures contract is quoted in rates, to express the view of a rate cut, an investor can simply short the DI Futures in the respective maturities being studied. Furthermore, by analyzing DI Futures rates across shorter maturities, investors can gauge market sentiment regarding future COPOM actions while rates across longer maturities reflect sentiments on the broader outlook on economic conditions. An example to interpret the DI Futures rates and calculate the daily settlement is provided by B3 under the topic of directional positions. Figure 9: Setting up the Trade Evidently in Figure 2, the COPOM has always reacted promptly to address any reversals in inflation trend. As it is incredibly difficult to predict future inflation trends and other economic conditions, it is therefore difficult to predict COPOM’s reaction in the future. As such a directional trade on DI Futures can prove to be relatively risky. As of 10th Nov 2024, the rates quoted by the DI1F35, expressing a 10-year view, and the DI1F27, expressing a 2-year view, are at 12.49% and 13.09% respectively, resulting in an inverted yield curve. Considering Brazil’s strong economic fundamentals, the current inverted yield curve appears overly pessimistic. A trade, constructed with DI1F27 and DI1F35, that anticipates a normalization to a positive yield curve could be profitable. To set up the trade, we would have to calculate the sizing ratio from a Basis Point Value (BPV) neutral perspective. The computation is shown in the table below. We would consider taking a long position on the forward rate strategy by selling 100 DI1F27 futures and buying 55 DI1F35 futures. Each basis point move in the DI1F27 leg is 100 * R$ 14,46 = R$ 1.445 and each basis point move in the DI1F35 leg is 55 * R$ 27,35 = R$ 1.504. Evidently, each basis point move in the DI rate would have roughly the same profit and loss impact on either contract. This is achieved by the BPV neutral calculation. From Figure 9, we would place the stop-loss at -0,65, a historical support line, for a hypothetical maximum loss of 5 basis points, 5 * R$ 1.504 = R$ 7.520. Likewise, we would place the take-profit at 0,93, a historical resistance line, for a hypothetical gain of 153 basis points, 153 * R$ 1.446 = R$ 221.238. In conclusion, this relative value trade would be more favorable. As expressed in this trade, the normalization could happen as a result from either a rise in the DI1F35, a fall in the DI1F27, or a concurrent rise and fall in the DI1F35 and DI1F27 respectively. This proves that a relative value trade is likely to be less risky as compared to a directional bet on the Selic Target Rate using one DI Futures contract.
BMFBOVESPA:DI1F2035Long
by inspirante
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 8, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index has exhibited significant strength by successfully filling the projected gap, as detailed in the S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis dated November 1. This upward movement has facilitated a substantial rebound, as the index has retested both the Outer Index Rally level of 5861 and the Key Resistance level of 5865. Furthermore, the index has completed the Outer Index Rally threshold 6000, suggesting a promising potential for additional increases toward Outer Index Rallies at 6123, 6233, and 6418. Nevertheless, it is essential to recognize that achieving the Outer Index Rally 6000 level may prompt a downward price movement towards the Mean Support level of 5929 before progressing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
4 Winning Years Ahead for Traders Under TrumpOn November 5, 2024, the markets made it loud and clear—they’re excited about Donald J. Trump’s return to office. Stocks, the dollar, and other key assets all responded with strong moves that reflect investor confidence in what his policies might bring. Compare this to the last few years under Biden, and the difference is striking. The market barely budged during Biden’s presidency; even when he contracted COVID-19, it was business as usual. With Trump back, though, there’s an undeniable surge of optimism. Let’s look at what’s happening across the major assets and what it could mean for us traders in the days ahead. S&P 500 (SPX) The S&P 500 spiked from $5,704 to $6,018 on election night—a powerful rally that signals investor optimism. It seems the market is embracing Trump’s expected focus on tax cuts and pro-business policies. This kind of jump doesn’t happen without a reason; investors are clearly betting that Trump’s return will be good for corporate America and, by extension, for the economy. Gold (XAU/USD) In times of uncertainty, gold usually rallies as investors look for safe havens. But on election night, we saw the opposite: XAU/USD dropped from $2,750 to $2,643 per troy ounce. This decline tells us that investors feel less inclined to hedge their bets with gold, opting instead for assets tied to economic growth. When people pull out of safe havens, it's often a sign they’re feeling pretty good about what’s ahead. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) The dollar had its own rally, with the DXY climbing from 103.3 to 105.4. This spike reflects confidence in the U.S. economy’s potential under Trump’s leadership. With the dollar gaining strength, it’s clear that investors expect strong economic fundamentals and possibly higher interest rates—both of which could keep the dollar in demand. Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) The Dow also rallied, jumping from $41,649 to $44,173. This boost is especially interesting because it reflects optimism in sectors like manufacturing, energy, and infrastructure—industries Trump has supported in the past. Investors are likely betting on policy moves that could provide a lift to U.S. industries, potentially driving corporate profits higher. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Looking forward, I’m expecting WTI prices to come under pressure as Trump likely revisits his focus on domestic oil production. If he revives the “drill, baby, drill” approach, we could see supply levels increase, which would weigh on prices. This potential shift in energy policy is something to keep an eye on, as it could create fresh trading opportunities. The Big Picture From stocks to the dollar, the market’s reaction seems to signal that Trump’s return is seen as positive for growth and stability. Reflecting on his previous term, I remember trading seemed almost simpler—beyond economic reports, following Trump’s statements (especially on Twitter) often gave insight into market sentiment. We might be looking at a similar environment now. Final Thoughts for Traders Trump’s re-election sets the stage for market dynamics we’ve seen before, with a familiar blend of optimism and volatility. For traders, this could mean more straightforward strategies, particularly by keeping an eye on policy shifts and economic indicators. With Trump’s leadership back in play, I believe the next four years could be some of the best trading years we’ve seen. Whether you’re in stocks, commodities, or forex, it’s clear the market is responding—and as traders, there’s a lot we can take away from that.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldCartel
27
S&P500 (1h) Golden Cross indicates extension of this rally.S&P500 is rising on its MA50 (1h) which has been holding for the 3rd straight day. On Wednesday it formed a Golden Cross (1h), a standard bullish signal on the previous 2 Channel Up patterns since the August 5th bottom. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 6100 (+7.20% rise, similar to the previous Channel Up). Tips: 1. The RSI (1h) is posting the same Bull Flag as on the previous legs. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
Bitcoin Where Next?As of November 8, 2024 , Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $74,120.87 , reflecting a 24-hour trading volume of $105.81 billion. Our proprietary W.ARITAs algorithm has identified a pattern in Bitcoin's price movements that closely mirrors historical trends observed between April 8, 2020 , and January 7, 2021 . This historical pattern began with a significant price surge in April 2020 , following the announcement of the third Bitcoin halving event, which reduced the mining reward and increased scarcity. This event was a catalyst for a bullish trend that culminated in an all-time high (ATH) in January 2021 . Similarly, on March 9, 2024 , Bitcoin experienced a notable price increase, coinciding with the anticipation of the fourth halving event scheduled for April 19, 2024 . Historically, halving events have led to substantial price appreciations due to the reduced supply of new Bitcoins entering the market. Our analysis indicates that the current pattern, which commenced on March 9, 2024 , is expected to complete its formation by December 12, 2024 . Based on this pattern and historical precedents, we anticipate that Bitcoin will surpass its previous ATH resistance level of by the end of this year. It's important to note that after reaching the ATH in January 2021 , Bitcoin experienced a significant price correction. This downturn was influenced by various factors, including profit-taking by investors and regulatory concerns. In conclusion, while historical patterns and upcoming events like the halving suggest a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, investors should remain vigilant and consider potential market corrections. Continuous monitoring of market developments and regulatory news is essential for informed decision-making. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult with a financial advisor to assess your individual risk tolerance and objectives before making any investment decisions.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by insidermike
Three days after elections and one after FED cutStarting with #VIX the value decreased a lot after elections showing the decrease in investors fear With less fear we can follow the #SPX #DX1! #BTC1! which strongly rise their value. Commodites in general seems to had loss some points with Dollar strength, in this chart we can watch #GC1! and #BZ1! as benchmark In the case of Brent we can see a double top even with line chart. #US10Y decreased after 25bp cut nevertheless with Trump election US will probably activate more worldwide tariffs and this can lead to an increase in prices, and so the next couple months CPI will be a important measure to look at US economy in the future. So even it's decreasing and bonds are inversly to prices, I should keep an eye on it
TVC:US10Y
by AFCapital21
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-8 : Counter-trend RallyHappy Friday everyone, Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Rally in Counter-trend mode. I interpret this as a moderate downward price trend for the SPY - possibly pulling the SPY into the GAP created after yesterday's opening GAP rally. I got into deep detail related to the potential anomaly event setting up over the next three weeks for the SPY & QQQ in this video. I also go into a fairly deep analysis of Gold and Silver - relating my expectations and how these moves align cleanly with an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. And, I even go into broad detail for BTCUSD and how I see multiple aligned Excess Phase Peak Patterns setting up to drive big trends over the next 3-4 weeks. As I stated near the end of this video, the next 5-7+ years are going to be filled with opportunity. I suggest everyone get ready for the biggest opportunity of your life. I hope you enjoy my videos and research. I know some of you have already experienced tremendous success following my research. I'm urging to you consider the opportunity that will be available as the markets continue to trend through my window of opportunity - and how you want to try to profit from these moves. Remember, the markets will always be there - but these opportunities are unique to the next 5-7+ years. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
Is The US500 SPX Set For Pullback? Key Price Action Signals👀👉 The US500 SPX is displaying strong bullish momentum, but is it over-extended? A significant pullback at a key support level could present a worthwhile opportunity. I'm closely watching this area for a possible buying setup that matches the key criteria covered in the video. In this analysis, we'll highlight crucial price action signals to monitor and discuss strategic positioning for the next potential move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. 📊✅
CME_MINI:ES1!
by fxtraderanthony
2
S&P500 (Bearish Correction Amid Fed impact)Technical Analysis The price has risen approximately 210 pips, as mentioned yesterday. Today, as long as trades remain below 5989, a drop toward 5931 is expected, followed by consolidation between 5931 and 5989 until a breakout. Alternatively, if a 4-hour candle closes above 5989, it would signal bullish momentum with a potential move towards 6021. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5989 Resistance Levels: 6002, 6021 Support Levels: 5950, 5931, 5891 Trend Outlook: Bearish Correction previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
2024-11-07 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Neutral. All bullish targets are met for me and I will not long anything above 5980 anymore. Too early for shorts, wait for bears to come around with force. Blow-off top with 6050 or 6100 is not out of the question, so best to join on momentum or sit on hands. Next big points will be made to the downside. comment: All my bullish targets are now met and I would not look for longs above 5980. I got one more measured move higher to 6160 but that’s just beyond insane to expect this to be hit. But so was 6000 and here we are. All bubbles burst eventually, so will this. current market cycle: bull wedge key levels: 5720 - 6013 bull case: Bulls got 6000 and now want to continue and make this look like a real breakout above the bull wedge to trap many weak traders into longing this above 6000 and make them exit liquidity. At least that’s what I see potentially happening here. No interest in longs up here or looking for arguments for bulls. This is the biggest bubble there ever was. Next big points will be made to the downside. Invalidation is below 5720. bear case: Bears still don’t have much. The selling will start once enough bulls begin to take profits. Market is trying again to break above a multi week bull pattern and those rarely succeed. Don’t try to be an early bear and burn your account. This could easily go 50-100 points higher before turning. Measured move down from 6000 to 5730 leads exactly to the September low, where the bull trend line started. If we hit that price in 2024, you read this here first. Invalidation is above 6050. short term : Neutral. Scalps only for me until bears come around big time. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. Update 2024-11-07: Blow-off top happening right now and 6013 could be the end of it, I don’t know. Next comes the correction before bulls try another run at the highs during santa rally. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Buy anwhere. Again. 1h 20ema not touched since Tuesday. Trends do not get stronger than this.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
Fibonacci/Gann & 3-6-9 Chart Play: The TOP may be IN I was trying to identify if/how the market may be topping in relation to the post-election rally phase and started with a blank Daily SPY chart. After drawing a few line of the chart, I started with an idea that Broad market pullbacks may be the key to identifying/timing market expansion phases (coupled with a bit of logic). This video highlights this theory going back to 2018 and examines a number of price pullback trends as well as Fibonacci Timing structures related to Fibonacci Price Expansion blocks. I think you will find this very useful as I continue to delve deeper into the 3-6-9 structure, polarity shifts (binary shifts) and trying to unlock the secrets of price trends/extensions. Hope you enjoy... Oh.. and it looks like the US markets are about to top if my research is correct. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
Energy Stock Surge? ENI S.P.A Bullish Breakout IncomingENI S.P.A, a leading global oil company, is currently trading at $14.18 , demonstrating strong bullish momentum on the weekly chart. Our proprietary W.ARITAs indicator reveals a significant buildup in bullish momentum, suggesting an imminent breakout from the well-defined inverted head and shoulders pattern . This pattern, widely recognized as a reversal signal, aligns with ENI’s recent strategic moves, including its expansion in Alaska and increased shareholder rewards through a $2 billion share buyback . These developments underscore the company’s robust financial health and its commitment to growth and investor value, which are likely to fuel further stock appreciation. Key Technical Levels: Order Box (OB) Target 1: $18.05 - $19.62 Order Box (OB) Target 2: $23.18 - $24.29 Given the current bullish setup, these targets reflect potential zones for profit-taking, with the first Order Box (OB Target 1) offering a conservative target range and OB Target 2 representing an extended bullish goal. With supportive corporate actions and technical strength, ENI is well-positioned for growth, making it a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure in the energy sector. Keep an eye on the weekly close to confirm the breakout from the inverted head and shoulders pattern for confirmation of further upside potential. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor to assess your individual risk tolerance and objectives before making any investment decisions.
GETTEX:ENILong
by insidermike
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-7 : Rally Pattern DayGood morning, Although I would argue the post-election rally may already be moving into exhaustion, the SPY Cycle Patterns suggest today is a Rally pattern in Trending mode. So, I expect the markets to attempt a bit of a carryover rally phase today - moving into a Counter-trend Rally pattern tomorrow. That counter-trend rally pattern suggests the markets will try to find a peak/top and roll downward into the close of the week. Gold and Silver appear to be basing with a potential for another move downward today - retesting recent lows. Based on my estimate related to Fibonacci Time Cycles, I believe Metals is looking for a momentum base to rally off of. Thus, I suggest traders prepare for a big move upward in Gold and Silver over the next 4 to 7+ trading days. Bitcoin is still in a Bullish trending phase after breaking into new highs. Today, I spent quite a bit of time going over the Excess Phase Peak pattern related to how the price is trending and what to expect. It is critical to understand that the markets will move away from this post-election relief rally phase over the next week or so. Ultimately, what has changed is that we have a new POTUS with new policies and objectives in 2025. Right now, everything is still pretty much the same as it was last week. Volatility is still high and I urge traders to stay cautious. The time for adding more liquidity will come after November 25-30. Remember, the number 1 rule for traders is to Protect Capital. You can still trade, just trade much smaller allocation levels for now. We are about to move into a period of moderate consolidation. Sit back and wait out this sideways trend. The real opportunity will come after November 25-30. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2