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S&P 500 (SPX500)

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-27: Weekday FLUSH PatternToday's Weekday FLUSH pattern is similar to a CRUSH pattern. It usually represents a very wide-range price bar with the potential for a big breakdown or breakaway type of price action. Given yesterday's fairly wide price action and the NVDA earnings last night - I would not be surprised to see quite a bit of profit-taking in early trading, leading to an initial downward price trend, then moving into a basing/bottoming phase after 12-1PM ET. In other words, a fairly large DIP/Sell-off leading to a base/bottom, then flipping bullish through the end of the day today. Overall, I believe the SPY/QQQ will continue to try to push higher in the Excess Phase Peak pattern - reaching a peak between March 5-10 (only about 5-7+ trading days away). Thus, we don't have a big rally ahead of us - only about 3-5+ days of a fairly strong rally over the next 5-10 trading days. Now that the selling pressure has abated, metals should be forming a base or bottom. Get ready for an explosive move higher. BTCUSD has broken downward and is not in the larger consolidation phase. This phase will likely continue for at least 2+ weeks before we attempt to move into the search for the Ultimate Low (likely below $75k). Buckle up. Things are about to get very interesting. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
S&P500 - The 2025 Bullrun Just Started!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) will rally massively during 2025: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of years, the S&P500 has perfectly been respecting the trendlines of a rising channel formation. After the recent rally of +70%, it is quite likely that - following the 2020 cycle - we will see another final rally of about +20% before the S&P500 will correct itself. Levels to watch: $7.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
15
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Afternoon Update For 2-26-25Please take a moment to watch this video, in which I share my techniques and highlight what I believe will be the next setup phase for the SPY/QQQ, Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin. It looks like the selling pressure is nearly over, and I think the shift to a moderate recovery rally could set up over the next 24-48 hours. It could be a good setup for skilled traders. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
S&P 500: Rejection at Resistance and Potential Downside RisksThe chart shows a clear rejection from a key resistance zone around 6,150 points, highlighted by the red area. After an attempt to break through, the price faced strong bearish pressure, falling back below the 6,100 level. The current retracement has led the price to test the 50-day moving average (yellow), which has so far provided temporary support. However, breaking this structure could increase the risk of a sharper decline toward the intermediate support at 5,924, marked by the dashed yellow line. Recent macroeconomic releases, such as the decline in retail sales and weakening consumer confidence, are weighing on market sentiment, increasing pressure on stock indices. Additionally, uncertainty related to tariffs proposed by the U.S. administration is adding volatility, with investors showing signs of risk aversion. If the price fails to quickly recover the 6,100-6,150 area, the next bearish target could be the more structured support zone at 5,850-5,800, identified by the lower blue area. In summary, the technical structure reflects a moment of uncertainty with a clear rejection from the weekly resistance. A recovery above 6,100 could bring buyers back in control, while further weakness would open the door to new declines toward lower support levels.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26-25 : Rally In Counter TrendToday's Rally in counter-trend mode aligns with the current breakdown as a strong possibility of a Rally (Upward) type of trend. After yesterday's deep low and moderate recovery near the end of the day, I suspect the SPY is setting up another Excess Phase Peak base - transitioning into the upward Flagging formation. Because of this, I suspect today's Rally pattern will result in a moderate Melt-Up type of price action in the SPY/QQQ. It may also prompt metals to rally off yesterday's lows as the Panic selling mode ends. BTCUSD I still seeking a new low and trying to find the consolidation phase. I believe BTCUSD could fall further before finding support. This is going to be a very interesting ROLL of price related to the SPY/QQQ, Gold and Silver, while Bitcoin continues to try to identify lower support. Almost like a "disconnect" is taking place. Ultimately, I think we'll see a peak between March 5-12 in the SPY/QQQ - rolling downward into the March 21-24 Major Bottom. Get some today. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Tesla Stock Goes 'Interesting', Ahead of Earnings CallTesla is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings report on January 29, 2025, and analysts are closely watching the stock as it approaches this key event. Here are some important points regarding Tesla's current stock situation and what to expect: Current Stock Performance Tesla shares have seen a 10% increase in 2025, but recently experienced a more than 5% decline, trading at Monday's pre-marker below $400, approximately $395. The stock's valuation is considered high, with some analysts stating it is "priced for perfection," indicating that any earnings miss could lead to a significant pullback. Earnings Expectations Analysts forecast earnings per share (EPS) of 72 cents and revenue of $27.23 billion for the fourth quarter. Gross profit margins are expected to widen slightly to 18.85%. Key Factors Influencing Stock Valuation 👉 Delivery Performance. Tesla's deliveries were slightly below expectations in 2024, with 1.79 million units delivered, compared to 1.81 million in 20231. Investors will be keenly interested in guidance for 2025, especially with increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and NIO. 👉 New Vehicle Launches/ The anticipated launch of the smaller SUV, referred to as the Model Q, is expected later this year, which could impact Tesla's growth trajectory. 👉 Technological Developments. Progress in autonomous driving software and energy generation will also be focal points during the earnings call. 👉 The company aims to launch its Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in specific U.S. states and expand its energy storage business. Analyst Sentiment There is a mix of opinions among analysts; while some maintain a cautious stance due to potential delivery shortfalls and market competition, others see Tesla as a strong buy-and-hold investment for the long term. The average price target among analysts is around $345.11, suggesting a potential downside from current levels. Technical Sentiment Technical graph indicates on epic upside channel breakthrough, as a result of China DeepSeek AI model influence. Ahead of Tesla Earnings Call our "super-duper" Team is Bearishly calling to $300 per Tesla share, that is correspond to major current support of 125-day SMA. Conclusion As Tesla approaches its earnings report, investors should remain vigilant about delivery numbers and guidance for the upcoming year. The stock's high valuation combined with competitive pressures makes it susceptible to volatility based on the forthcoming financial results.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PandorraResearch
How Trumps Tariffs Are Affecting Bitcoin & Crypto MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on COINBASE:BTCUSD talking about how Trump Tariffs affect COINBASE:BTCUSD here. I also talk about the stock market SP:SPX at the end of the video and TVC:GOLD as the chart give us real insights . Watch video for more details Trump’s tariff policies have had a notable short‐term impact on Bitcoin’s price. When tariffs are announced—such as the recent ones imposed on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China—the resulting trade tensions and uncertainty tend to trigger a “risk-off” reaction in the markets. Investors, worried about higher inflation and potential rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, often sell off volatile assets like Bitcoin, which can lead to steep, albeit temporary, price declines. For instance, following tariff announcements, Bitcoin’s price has sometimes dropped significantly (even approaching multi‐week lows) before partially rebounding when there’s news of tariff pauses or negotiations easing the pressure. In the longer term, however, the picture is less clear. While the immediate market reaction is one of volatility and decline, some analysts argue that if tariffs contribute to sustained economic uncertainty or inflation, Bitcoin could eventually be seen as a hedge—similar to digital gold—potentially restoring investor confidence over time. Ultimately, the overall effect on Bitcoin will depend on whether the trade policy uncertainty continues and how broader economic conditions evolve. There is still lots of bullish news for BTC www.tradingview.com
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MartyBoots
7
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-25-25: Rally PatternToday's Rally pattern will likely prompt a fairly strong recovery (upward) price move in the SPY before the markets turn/rollover and head lower again after reaching a top. I see this move paired with the Metals cycle patterns, which suggest metals will move downward. I believe this will be the result of stronger USD price levels, which will translate into an initial SPY rally phase (driving the price higher) and then rolling over into more selling. Ultimately, I believe the lows on Wednesday or Thursday will be the immediate base/bottom for this breakdown phase (near 587-593). I'm not getting overly aggressive related to today's RALLY pattern. I don't believe the markets have the momentum to rally very hard today and I believe we'll see a ROLLOVER type of move today - resulting in more downward selling. BTCUSD is usually tied to the QQQ/NQ related to price action and the breakdown of BTCUSD may put additional pressure on the QQQ/NQ today. So, get ready for a pretty volatile day. My estimate is price will ROLL DOWNWARD after a moderately strong open. Then, get ready for some volatility. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
ES Morning Update Feb 25thYesterday, all attention was on the 5993 area in ES. I expected a rally back up to 6043 off that level, and we saw it hold in the morning before pushing back to 6043. Later into the close, the market retested 5993 area again, sparking a 20-point rally. Overnight, a strong flush occurred, but the level was reclaimed, printing a textbook failed breakdown—5993 is now pretty used up in my opinion. As of now: • 6016-20, 6037 are the next targets • 5996-93 (weak) and 5980 are serving as supports • If these supports fail, expect a leg down below
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ESMorg
S&P500 | Historic Trends, Consolidation & Bull Flags [2030 END]I have been wanting to put my thoughts on the historic tends observed in the S&P500 in a post for some time and decided to focus this discussion on the relationship observed between S&P 500: * Bull Flag runs (~17 to 25) years in length * Consolidation Period (~13 to 15) years in length * 27 Period (2 Monthly) SMA - Aqua Colored Line * RSI NOTE: Chart is looking at logarithmic price of the S&P500 on the 2 Monthly time period. S&P 500 HISTORY | 27P(2M) SMA, CONSOLIDATION PERIOD & BULL FLAG RUNS SINCE 1943 The below images show 'Consolidation Periods' governed by 'Black Trend Lines', 'Bull Flags' (Orange / Navy / Aqua) governed by colored measured moves between these periods and the 27P(2M) SMA in Aqua. Key Takeaways for Longterm Investors Key take aways Looking at the S&P 500 from such a zoomed-out perspective: * CONSOLIDATION: Periods of consolidation required investors to proactively manage their investment. A buy and hold approach left investors' money in limbo not doing a lot over these time periods. Investors who could identify the S&P was in a period of consolidation did well by selling at the upper and buying at the lower trend lines once they became apparent. * BULL FLAG: Run periods rewarded the discipline 'Dimond hands' investor, providing key holds at the 27P(2M) SMA and future higher highs. A good strategy during these periods was to accumulate at the 27P(2M) SMA. RSI ANALYSIS As we are currently in a Bull Flag period for the S&P500 (Aqua Measured Moved), lets now look at the relationship between the RSI and price to identify key historic behavior which may be useful with current price behavior. It is notable that historically the RSI tends to oscillate between rising and falling channels when exhibiting price Consolidation / Bull Flag price behavior. Bull Flag (1943 to 1968) – 25 years Focusing on the orange measured move or first Bull Flag period from approximately 1943 to 1968, observable characteristics include: * At the consolidation period price break out, RSI continued to set higher highs until peaking (with the first lower high) at Point 1 - this marked approximately the halfway point of the bull run period. * Retest and hold behavior with the 27P(2M) SMA for the entirety of the run * End of bull run period and start of consolidation period confirmed with price breaking below and first candle open and close below the 27P(2M) SMA at Point 2 . The Stochastic RSI has helped to identify if price is set to put in a higher low during bull flag periods and has been a reliable indicator in confluence with the 27P(2M) SMA.  Consolidation Period (1968 to 1983) – 15 Years Consolidation period starts at the end of the prior bull flag and confirmed at Point 2 where price has broken below and opened and closed the first candle below the 27P(2M) SMA. This has been marked with the aqua vertical line on the chart. Price is confirmed to have left the consolidation zone once it breaks to the upside of the black trend line (in some cases with a retest). Change in price behavior from ranging to bullish within the consolidation period has been identifiable historically with a break above the 27P(2M) SMA followed up by a retest and holding the 27P(2M) SMA as support. Price has tended to range between the consolidation period trendlines until this price behavior is achieved. The Stochastic RSI has helped to identify if price is set to put in a low during consolidation periods and has been a reliable indicator in confluence with the lower black trend line.  It is notable the Momentum Bias Index has printed RED bars on the histogram during all historic consolidation periods reviewed (2 in total) when the bottom of the consolidation period has been set. Similar observations have been observed in the below two future consecutive Macro Bull Flag and Consolidation periods reviewed in this analysis. Bull Flag (1983 to 2000) – 17 years Consolidation Period (2000 to 2013) – 13 years CURRENT PERIOD | WHERE ARE WE NOW? BULL FLAG TO FINISH IN 2030 ESTIMATION? If the S&P 500 is to continue historic trend and continue consecutive Bull Flag / Consolidation periods, this would suggest the current bull flag run could end in 2030 and the next consolidation period would begin. This is based on the same bull flag measured move approach and estimations of the bull flag structures discussed in the prior bull flag / consolidation periods. It is noted that the prior consolidation period (2000 to 2013) left this zone and peaked at the RSI high relatively early compared to prior periods. According to the review of other bull flags this suggests the middle part of the bull flag run occurred in 2015. It is unclear if this would result in a reduced bull flag period run and a material lower high than the measured moved. It is also noted at current prices a retest and hold of the 27P (2M) SMA would result in a 30% drop. A move in the market of this magnitude would result in some interesting news headlines but historically would show nothing out of the ordinary for S&P500 price behaviour.
CBOE:SPX
by Brodie
S&P500 Index Goes 'Floundering', ahead of Bearish HarvestWhile the S&P 500 is generally expected to perform well in 2025, with forecasts suggesting gains ranging from 9% to 14.7% depending on the source, there are several factors that could lead to a less favorable performance or even a decline: High Valuations: The S&P 500 is currently trading at high valuations, with a P/E multiple of 22 times projected earnings, which is above historical averages. This elevated valuation increases the risk of market downturns if there are negative economic shocks. Economic Uncertainties: The economic landscape is filled with uncertainties, including potential inflation increases and geopolitical tensions. These factors can impact investor confidence and lead to market volatility. Interest Rates and Bond Yields: Higher bond yields can reduce the attractiveness of stocks compared to bonds, potentially leading to a decline in stock prices. Earnings Growth Expectations: While earnings are expected to grow, there is a risk that actual growth may not meet these expectations, which could negatively impact the market. Policy Risks: Changes in trade policies, such as tariffs, and shifts in fiscal policy could also affect the market's performance. Historical Patterns: Achieving three consecutive years of high returns (above 20%) is rare for the S&P 500, suggesting that 2025 might not see such strong gains. Overall, while there are positive forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2025, these potential risks could lead to a less robust performance or even a decline if they materialize. // While salmon make up the bulk of their diet, Coastal Brown Bears also enjoy a fresh flounder now, and again. Best wishes, PandorraResearch Team 😎
CBOE:SPX
by PandorraResearch
S&P 500 key levels to watch The S&P 500 has bounced off its earlier lows in the last couple of hours, after dipping to take out liquidity below Friday's low (6011) and key support around 6000. Where do we go from here? On Friday, the index tumbled sharply to close near the lows. Whether that marked a near-term market top remains to be seen. A downside follow-through would attract selling activity, but the long-term trend remains bullish. The short-term trend line has been broken, which could be a bearish reversal signal, as too could be the bearish engulfing weekly candle. Given how strong the markets have been in recent months, a correction might be welcomed even by bullish investors as it could create better buying opportunities. On the daily chart, the key level to watch is 6000—a psychologically significant level. This level has acted as both resistance and support multiple times. A daily close below this level could potentially lead to a decline towards the lower end of the recent range circa 5830, with interim downside target being at 5908. Below that, the 200-day moving average may come into focus if selling pressure continues. Resistance is seen at 6033 and then 6075, levels that were formerly either support or resistance. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
S&P INTRADAY oversold bounce back? S&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after a retest of an all-time high on 19th Feb ‘25. The key trading level is at the 6007 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance is now a newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6007 level could target the upside resistance at 6057 followed by the 6106 and 6146 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 6007 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 5980 support level followed by 5967 and 5918. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-24-25 : Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will attempt to make a Breakaway move. I believe this breakaway will be to the downside after watching the rejection near the 609 level on the SPY play out and the breakdown of the Excess Phase Peak pattern over the past 2+ days. However, if the breakdown I suggested (above) does not happen, I suggest the markets continue to FLAG SIDEWAYS into a FLAG APEX near the end of this week. The SPY's trend is such that I see it either breaking down hard over the next 2-3 days (confirming the Excess Phase Peak breakdown) or stalling back into the FLAG formation and reaching the Apex near the end of this week. That means traders need to prepare for one of two major price events: a continued major breakdown or a consolidation/reversion back to the 605-608 level within a sideways FLAG. What I expect is a breakdown in price. That seems the most logical. But, after watching the markets continue to flag sideways over the past few weeks, I know the markets can stay illogical for longer than I can try to short this top. lol Gold and Silver look ready to rally. This could be a huge upward move and very powerful for skilled traders. BTCUSD looks ready to break downward. And I think a breakdown in Bitcoin would be timed with a breakdown in the SPY/QQQ as well. This is going to be an interesting week. Start off by letting the markets try to settle today (for the first 10 to 30 minutes). You can't kick the markets to do what you want. After watching this moderate pullback in pre-market trading, we need to see how the price will attempt to trend. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
S&P500 -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 5677.80 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. Technical analysis: There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 6107.47 on 2024-12-06 and the peak at 6150.07 on 2025-02-19, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased. While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue. A peak is formed in daily chart at 6150.05 on 02/19/2025, so more losses to support(s) 6031.27, 5875.31, 5777.28 and minimum to Major Support (5677.80) is expected. Relative strength index (RSI) is 49. Supports and Resistances: 5568.78 5398.95 5194.10 5039.36 4944.41 4843.23 4662.99 4544.26 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by ForecastCity
17
JP MORGAN: Chart where we should ALWAYS operate!! On January 15, JP Morgan presented its income statement, recording profits of $14 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024, which represents an increase of 50% compared to the same period of the previous year, and earnings per share were $4.81, compared to $9.3 billion, or $3.04 per share, a year earlier. Its shares had not stopped rising since then until last Thursday, when it began a correction phase. --> What does it look like technically? As always, the first thing to analyze is the medium-long term trend in its main time frames (Weekly, Daily, H4), and as can be seen in the table, it is clearly bullish (Bull). It is the chart where we should ALWAYS operate after each price pullback phase. ( AS IS HAPPENING RIGHT NOW ). The second thing would be the STRENGTH to know if the price is still rising or is in a phase of decline. As we can see in the table, in Weekly and Daily the STRENGTH is bullish ( Bull ), but in H4 it is bearish ( Bear ), that is, the price is in a CORRECTION PHASE. --> How far could the price fall? Once we are clear that its TREND is bullish ( Bull ) STABLE and that in H4 the STRENGTH is bearish ( Bear ), that is, in a correction phase, what we would have to wait for is for the STRENGTH to turn bullish ( Bull ) again to end the correction and be able to enter longs again. Knowing how far the price can fall is impossible because NO ONE KNOWS IT, but we do know the typical retracement zones using Fibonacci and supports and resistances, and so we wait for the price to reach one of them and from there start a new bullish impulse on the way to maximums. At the moment it has reached the first Fibonacci zone (23.6%), therefore, all that is left is for the FORCE in H4 to turn bullish (Bull), because as long as the FORCE does not turn bullish (Bull), the price could continue to fall. Important Fibonacci levels to which the price could fall: 38.2%: 261 50%: 255 61.8%: 249 Conclusion: WAIT for the graph to show us bullish FORCE (Bull) in H4 time frame. --------------------------------------------------- When the FORCE turns bullish (Bull), I will update the analysis with the entry SET UP. Greetings and good trading.
NYSE:JPMLong
by jmesado
S&P 500's Big Drop Raises Alarm: Is a Market Correction Looming?◉ Fundamental Rationale: ● US stocks fell sharply on Friday, with major indices like the S&P 500 SP:SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI experiencing significant losses. ● The sell-off was triggered by a warning from Walmart NYSE:WMT , which raised concerns about weakening consumer demand, rising costs, or other challenges impacting its business. As a retail giant, Walmart's outlook is seen as a barometer for consumer health. ● The decline coincided with the release of consumer sentiment data, which dropped to a 15-month low, signalling growing pessimism among consumers about the economy. ● The market reacted to fears of inflation, rising interest rates, and the potential for a recession, which could further weigh on corporate earnings and economic growth. ● The sell-off was not limited to retail stocks but reflected broader anxieties about the economy and future market performance. ◉ Technical Observations: ● Following a significant sell-off of nearly 1.7%, the index is expected to find initial support at the trendline. ● If the index breaches this support level, the next strong support zone is anticipated in the range of 5,650 to 5,700.
SP:SPXShort
by NaranjCapital