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S&P 500 (SPX500)

S&P 500 Eyes New ATH – Breakout or Pullback Next? S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Analysis – February 17, 2025 Market Overview The S&P 500 is on the verge of breaking to a new All-Time High (ATH) as U.S. investors return from the long weekend. The index maintains strong bullish momentum, with traders eyeing fresh highs. However, historical seasonal trends suggest that a breakout could be followed by a deeper pullback, making it crucial to monitor key levels. Technical Outlook Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 6123, the uptrend remains strong, targeting the next resistance levels at 6168 and 6225. A daily close above 6123 would reinforce the bullish momentum and increase the likelihood of further highs at 6279. Bearish Scenario: If the index closes a 4-hour candle below 6098, bearish pressure may emerge, leading to potential declines toward 6031 and 6010. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Point: 6123 🔹 Resistance Levels: 6168, 6224, 6279 🔹 Support Levels: 6098, 6031, 6010 📈 Momentum remains bullish while above 6123, but a break below 6098 could trigger a pullback! 💬 Will S&P 500 break to new ATHs or face a pullback first? Drop your predictions below! 👇🔥
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
7
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-18 : GAP PotentialAs the markets continue to struggle to break away from the current consolidated/sideways price trend, one thing is certain: The current FLAG/EPP pattern is setting up an explosive price move. My expectations are for a price breakdown, as my predictive modeling and GANN Cycle Patterns suggest that Major Bottoms will set up near February 21 and March 21-23. These major Bottoms suggest a strong potential for a price breakdown, reflecting uncertainty for the first half of 2025. Additionally, I believe the strength of the US Dollar is driving a "Capital Shift," where foreign capital is actively moving away from currency and economic risks, pooling aggressively into the safest currency and assets. This translates into capital pooling into US, UK, and EURO assets to avoid broader currency devaluation events. The dynamics of the global markets are very interesting right now. The influx of capital into the strongest economies with the strongest currencies may present a MELT-UP type of market trend. However, the uncertainty related to future US economic growth and performance may prompt some deep downturns/pullbacks in price. I don't see how the US markets can move past the economic turmoil of broad government restructuring until after June/July 2025. Therefore, I continue to urge traders to stay cautious of any melt-up trend. The markets want to move higher, but there are currently extreme volatility risks related to any potential price breakdowns. I'm watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin to see if we move back into any euphoric phase. And right now, I'm seeing metals starting to move into a type of panic selloff while Bitcoin is struggling to regain any real strength. The continued sideways trend of Bitcoin leads me to believe the euphoria is diminishing, and reality may be setting in. That means we may be in for a bumpy ride over the next 90+ days. Stay fluid and stay cautious of any big breakdowns. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Daily Market Outlook: BTC, Forex & SPX Setups (#4)Hope you’re all having a great start to the week! I’m Skeptic , and today we’ll break down BTC, Forex, and a key setup on SPX. 📉 BTC Analysis – Stuck in a Range, But Not for Long! BTC is currently range-bound after getting rejected from $107K. The range is wide and indecisive, signaling that the market is waiting for a strong catalyst before making its next move. 📊 Key Observations: Low volume & high volatility = poor R/R for trades inside the range. Breakout traders should wait for confirmation: ✅ Bullish Breakout : Above $98,455, or even earlier if momentum kicks in. 🔻 Bearish Breakdown : Below $95K, which could trigger a stronger move down. ⚠ Until a breakout happens, trading inside this range isn’t ideal due to stop hunts and fake moves. 📊 BTC.D Dropping – Is Altcoin Season Heating Up? BTC dominance (BTC.D) has been declining recently, which suggests capital rotation into altcoins. 📊 Why This Matters? Coins like XRP, BNB, and CAKE have started to gain traction. Watching BTC.D is crucial—it helps determine if money is staying in BTC or shifting to alts. A continued BTC.D drop could mean more upside for alts. 📉 DXY (Dollar Index) – Entering a Deeper Correction? We’ve been talking about DXY weakness for a while, and now, after breaking below 107.311, we’re seeing a deeper correction. 📊 Potential Targets Based on Fibonacci: ✅ 105.677 (first level) ✅ 103.306 (deeper retracement) 💡 Since DXY is weak, we might see strength in EUR pairs and stock indices this week. 📈 SPX500 – Major Breakout Watch! SPX500 has been in a long consolidation phase after hitting an all-time high of 6113.92. Now, it’s approaching 6128.89—its key resistance level. 📊 Trade Setup: ✅ Long Entry: Above 6128.89, with confirmation. ✅ Why This Level? A breakout and confirmation could signal continuation of the uptrend. ✅ Extra Tip: Using momentum indicators like SMA & RSI can help filter out fake breakouts. Final Thoughts & Risk Management ⚠ BTC is still ranging—stay patient and wait for clear structure before trading. ⚠ DXY weakness could support stocks & EUR pairs this week. ⚠ SPX breakout setup looks promising but needs confirmation. 💬 I’m Skeptic , and I’ll see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! 🚀 ⚠ Disclaimer: These trade setups are based on my personal analysis and are not financial advice. If you don’t have a solid risk management plan, these triggers may not be suitable for you. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. 💡
by SkepticWise
4
S&P500 retesting ATH,The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The S&P (US500) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on Friday 24th Jan the S&P index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range. The key trading level is at 6012, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6012 level could target the upside resistance at 6080 followed by the 6117 and 6130 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 6012 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook targeting a further retracement and a retest of 5964 support level followed by 5925. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 effectively reached and tested the critical Key Resistance level at 6083. It retested the completed Outer Index Rally at 6120, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend toward the intermediate target of 6233. However, a market pullback is anticipated due to this price action. Current analyses suggest that the designated downward target is set at the Mean Support level of 6049, with potential extensions to 5995, 5936, and the Outer Index Dip at 5878.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-14-25 : CRUSH PatternHappy Valentine's Day - everyone. Tell the people around you how much they mean to you and how important they are to your life. Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a CRUSH pattern. These types of patterns are usually very large range bars that attempt to REVERT back to a mean price level - in this case - DOWNWARD. Near the end of this video, I discuss some of my Custom Indexes and explain why the data tells me we are moving into a topping pattern for the US and global markets. Many of you watch my Plan Your Trade videos and probably think I make things up as I go. Actually, a lot of data and research go into my decision-making. Ninety-nine percent of that data (usually in predictive modeling, Custom Indexes, and other resources) delivers a clear outcome. In this case, the result is "the markets are TOPPING." So, even though the markets didn't cooperate with my Deep-V breakdown from Feb 10 to 13, I urge you to watch this video until the end, when I start sharing some Custom Index data/charts. Pay attention to what that data tells us. Notably, the Smart Money Index and the Accumulation Phase Index are screaming, "The markets are TOPPING." Gold and Silver move into a Gap-Revert-Stall-Flush pattern, again representing a reversion to the mean price level. I believe today will be another moderately downward-trending Friday, as we've continued to see over the past three or more weeks. Please spend a little time hitting the pause button and checking out some of my Custom Index charts. They are the data that drives much of my decision-making. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
1
S&P 500 (SPX500USD) | Breakout or Rejection? Key Levels to Watch📊 S&P 500 (SPX500USD) – Key Technical Outlook (4H Chart) 🔹 Price Action: The market is consolidating around the 6,107 - 6,122 resistance zone (ATH area). A decisive breakout or rejection from this zone will dictate the next move. 🔹 Bias: As long as the price holds above 6,031, the bullish momentum remains intact within the ascending channel. 🔥 Potential Bullish Scenario: ✅ A 4H close above 6,127 = Breakout confirmation 🚀 📌 Targets: 📍 6,168 (first resistance) 📍 6,224 - 6,279 (next key resistance zone) ⚠️ Potential Bearish Scenario: ❌ A 4H close below 6,098 could trigger a retracement 🔻 📌 Targets: 📍 6,077 (minor support) 📍 6,031 (major support & channel base) 📍 6,010 - 5,979 (next demand zone) 🔑 Key Levels: 📍 Pivot Point: 6,098 📌 Resistance: 6,127, 6,168, 6,224-6,279 📌 Support: 6,077, 6,031, 6,010 Conclusion: 📈 Bullish bias remains intact unless price breaks below 6,098 with confirmation. 🔥 Breakout above 6,127 = new bullish leg targeting fresh highs! ⚠️ Rejection from 6,122 - 6,127 may trigger a retracement to 6,031 - 6,010 before further upside. 💬 What’s your bias? Are we breaking ATH or pulling back? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
SPX500 Is Bearish! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 6,125.45. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 6,020.86 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
THINKMARKETS:SPX500Short
by SignalProvider
1
SPX 500 Returns to All-Time HighsDuring the last session, the SPX 500 index gained more than 1.2% following the release of PPI data in the United States. The core PPI (m/m) remained in line with expectations at 0.3% , providing a slight relief to the market, which had been on the edge after annual CPI inflation came in at 3.0%, exceeding the 2.9% forecast. This mixed inflation data has given the U.S. index an opportunity to recover, as it remains uncertain whether the Federal Reserve will continue its aggressive interest rate policy. Persistently high rates have been impacting domestic consumption in the U.S. for several months, and if the central bank maintains rates at 4.5% in upcoming decisions, it could eventually become a bearish factor for the SPX 500. Momentum Builds In recent weeks, the SPX 500 had been trading within a sideways range, with a ceiling at 6,080 points and a floor at 5,840 points. However, the growing buying momentum has now pushed the index back toward all-time highs. If bullish pressure remains strong through the end of the week, a breakout from this range could pave the way for a more significant upward movement. MACD Indicator Both the signal line and the MACD line remain above the neutral level at 0 , adopting a steady upward slope. The histogram has begun to oscillate slightly above the zero level. If these conditions persist over the next sessions, bullish momentum could continue in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: 6,082 points – The most critical resistance level at the moment, corresponding to the previous all-time high. Sustained price action above this level could reinforce the current bullish bias, opening the door to a stronger uptrend. 5,960 points – Nearby support, aligning with the mid-range of the consolidation phase and coinciding with the Ichimoku cloud and the 50- and 100-period moving averages. If price action falls back below this level, it could strengthen selling pressure and delay the possibility of new highs in the short term. 5,840 points – Distant support level, where a pullback to this zone could put the long-term uptrend at risk. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
xauusd whats next? **Gold Prices Surge Amid Resilient Market Sentiment** Gold prices have surged once again, driven by robust buying activity as market participants capitalized on recent dips. As of Thursday, gold (XAU/USD) has climbed to $2,920, recovering sharply from a brief decline the previous day. This rally comes despite macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds, including persistent U.S. inflation concerns and discussions of a potential peace deal between Ukraine and Russia. ### **Key Drivers of Gold’s Rally** 1️⃣ **Inflation and the Fed:** Gold’s momentum follows a surprising January Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which showed hotter-than-expected inflation. While the data initially spurred concerns about prolonged Federal Reserve tightening, market participants remain confident in gold's safe-haven status. Traders seem unfazed by rising U.S. Treasury yields and the Fed’s commitment to elevated interest rates, focusing instead on gold’s resilience amid broader uncertainties. 2️⃣ **Geopolitical Tensions:** Despite reports of peace talks between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin concerning the Ukraine conflict, gold's bullish trajectory remains intact. Investors appear cautious, viewing the negotiations as fraught with uncertainty. While a peace deal could ease geopolitical tensions and trigger risk-on sentiment, the market’s current preference for safety has sustained gold’s appeal. 3️⃣ **Weaker Dollar Boosting Gold:** The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) softened amid optimism surrounding potential peace talks, alongside currency market volatility. A weaker dollar traditionally supports gold, as the two are inversely correlated, further bolstering the metal’s recent gains. ### **Market Dynamics: Yields and Gold Diverge** Interestingly, gold’s rally has coincided with rising U.S. Treasury yields—a divergence from historical trends. Typically, higher yields weigh on gold due to its non-yielding nature. However, this time, gold’s safe-haven allure amid inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainty appears to be overriding these dynamics. The CME FedWatch tool indicates a 64.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged through June 2025, up from 50.3% before the January CPI release. This shift reflects expectations of prolonged restrictive monetary policy, which could paradoxically support gold as inflation concerns persist. ### **Technical Analysis: Bulls Eyeing Record Highs** Gold maintains a strong bullish bias, with prices supported by the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Currently consolidating within a key buying zone between $2,900 and $2,907, the metal’s upward trajectory remains intact. **Key levels to watch:** - **Immediate Resistance:** $2,918 to $2,920. A successful consolidation above this range could set the stage for a test of $2,942 and potentially a new all-time high at $2,980. - **Support Zone:** Holding above $2,907 will be critical for sustaining bullish momentum. ### **Outlook and Risks** As markets digest the interplay of macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical developments, gold remains a focal point for traders. While optimism around peace talks between Trump and Putin could introduce volatility, persistent uncertainties ensure gold’s safe-haven demand stays robust. **Takeaway for Traders:** Gold’s resilience amidst rising yields, elevated inflation, and geopolitical uncertainty highlights its role as a reliable safe-haven asset. Watch for a breakout above $2,920 for further bullish confirmation, with potential upside targets at $2,942 and beyond. #gold #trading #marketupdate #CPI #Powell
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 2-13: Harami Inside PatternToday's pattern is a Harami Inside pattern. This suggests the markets will stay rather muted today - attempting to stay within yesterday's high/low range. I believe the markets are still struggling to identify a channel that will ultimately break to the downside. You'll see in this video why I believe the markets are struggling and will attempt to confirm the multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns over the next 20+ days - attempting to move downward. But, we do have a very interesting FLAG/CHANNEL setup on the NQ, which is somewhat confirmed on the ES. What I can guarantee is that we will see extreme volatility over the next 20-30+ days as price moves into the Flag Apex - attempting to break away from the Apex level. Thank you for all your support and understanding yesterday. Dad is good. No issues. The VA out here is great (Long Beach). Probably the best center for spinal recovery in the US. I love the people up there and how they take care of my father. I urge everyone to stay cautious until the end of this week. As you know, I expect a breakdown into new lows. We'll see if it plays out as I expect over the next week+. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
2
S&P 500 Consolidation – Breakout or More Range Trading?S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Analysis The price is currently consolidating between 6,031 and 6,098, awaiting a breakout direction. Bullish Scenario: Price is expected to retest 6,031 before attempting a move higher. Stabilizing above 6,031 will allow liquidity accumulation, potentially driving a rally toward 6,080 and 6,098. A breakout above 6,098 could extend gains to 6,122 and 6,150. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 6,010, this could confirm a shift to a bearish trend. Further downside targets include 5,979 and 5,920. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6070 Resistance Levels: 6098, 6122, 6150 Support Levels: 6031, 6010, 5973 Trend Outlook: Bullish above 6,031, targeting 6,098 📈 Bearish below 6,010, targeting 5,979 📉 💬 Will S&P 500 hold above 6,031 or break lower? Share your thoughts! 👇🔥
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX Ready to pop? The pressure is buildingSPX Ready to Pop? The Pressure Is Building… | SPX Market Analysis 13 Feb 2025 The market is wound up tighter than a coiled spring, and I’m starting to wonder what will finally trigger the next move. From a commentary standpoint, this is snooze-worthy—but from a trading standpoint, the Theta burn is quietly adding pennies to our pockets. Even if the market isn’t moving, we’re still getting paid. Let’s break it down… 📉 SPX is Stuck – But That’s Not a Bad Thing The market has been compressing into a tighter range, creating a pressure buildup that could snap in either direction. While traders watching for big swings are frustrated, we’re happily raking in Theta decay. 💰 Theta Burn – The Secret to Profiting in a Boring Market In choppy or sideways conditions, directional traders get wrecked But income traders get paid to wait, thanks to option decay Every day that passes without a move = profits added to our pockets 📌 Overnight Futures – Still No Directional Clues The futures market isn’t offering any strong signals 📉📈 Price compression continues, across all indexes 🚀 What Happens Next? Eventually, this coiled spring will snap—we just don’t know when The key is patience—we don’t need a big move to win Whether SPX explodes up or down, we’ll be ready 💡 📌 Final Takeaway? Sideways markets may be boring to talk about, but for income traders, they’re a steady payday. The key is knowing how to extract profits while waiting for the breakout. Fun Fact: 📢 Did you know? The longest sideways market in history lasted nearly 17 years (1966–1982). 💡 The Lesson? Even in extended choppy periods, there are ways to profit—as long as you have the right strategy.
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
Bad CPI, Perfect Setup Opportunity for the S&P500Today’s CPI was really bad: 3% vs. 2.9%. Bad for markets, good for the Dollar, and everything got slapped - S&P 500 included. But honestly, moments like this are often where the magic happens. Zoom in, and you’ll notice that the Monday Low is still sitting there untouched. In a few minutes, the New York Stock Exchange opens. What am I hoping for? A sweep of that Low, followed by a quick reversal and a push to the upside. On the 1-hour chart, the RSI is already in oversold territory. A sell-off at the open would be the perfect entry, aiming for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio. If the market plays along, this could get real interesting real fast. 🔹 Asset: S&P 500 🔹 Timeframe: 1H 🔹 Entry: 5974.60 🔹 Stop: 5936.90 🔹 Target(s): 6085.86
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-12: Base Rally PatternAlthough I believe the Base Rally pattern is still valid, the markets have been wound tightly near recent highs and I belive this unwinding/breakdown is what I have been suggesting (the Deep-V breakdown) for more than 35+ days. I believe the sticky inflation data (CPI) will overpower the Base Rally pattern today and we will see the SPY/QQQ move downward into the Deep-V lows - likely setting up by Friday/Monday of this week. I'm sorry I'm not able to create a morning video. I'm taking my disabled VET father to his annual checkup this morning. He is still sleeping and I don't want to wake him up. So, you get this content as a substitute. Be prepared for the markets to FLUSH OUT a low and try to grab some easy profits throughout today and tomorrow as the markets struggle to find support. Remember, the broader cycle patterns can sometimes overpower the Daily Cycle Patterns. This happens when NEWS overpowers a Daily cycle pattern construct. In this case, the CPI data is overpowering the Base Rally Daily Cycle Pattern. Ultimately, the markets will find support and move into a brief recovery phase. Get some.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by BradMatheny
2
Sideways Markets? Heres why Im still getting paidSideways Market? Here’s Why I’m Still Getting Paid | SPX Market Analysis 12 Feb 2025 The markets may be moving like molasses, but that’s no problem when you’re getting paid to wait. While others are watching charts in frustration, our Theta decay is quietly dripping profits into our accounts. No rush, no panic—just letting the market do its thing while we collect. Let’s break it down… --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 📉 Markets Are Moving Sideways—And That’s OK SPX is stuck in a range, drifting aimlessly while traders wait for direction. But unlike those who need a big breakout to make money, we’re already profiting while standing still. 💰 Theta Decay – The Power of Getting Paid to Wait While the market meanders, options lose value That lost value turns into profits for our income trades Instead of hoping for a massive move, we collect steady gains 📌 The Current Market View We still anticipate a move from the upper range to the lower range 📉 No need to force trades—our edge is patience If SPX moves, great. If not, we still win 🔑 Why Income Trading Wins in a Sideways Market Unlike traditional trading methods where: ❌ You need a strong directional move to profit ❌ You rely on timing the market perfectly ❌ You risk getting stopped out too soon We simply: ✅ Let Theta decay work in our favour ✅ Profit even when the market goes nowhere ✅ Have time on our side—no need for constant action 📌 Final Takeaway? The market may be stuck, but profits aren’t. Theta is working, our positions are intact, and there’s no stress—just steady gains. --- Fun Fact: 📢 Did you know? The S&P 500 has spent nearly 80% of its time trading sideways rather than trending up or down. 💡 The Lesson? The market isn’t always moving—but smart traders don’t need it to. That’s why income trading thrives when others struggle.
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
100% Gains in Walmart! What’s Next at This Key Level?Hello readers, Back in July 2023, I pointed out a major breakout in Walmart (WMT) after years of struggle around the $150-$154 zone. Fast forward, and here we are – Walmart has doubled in price! 📈 Of course, this isn't the raw $300 we might expect because of the 3-for-1 stock split, but the percentage gain remains a solid 100%+ from our entry. What Now? $100 is a round number, and historically, NYSE:WMT has reacted to these psychological levels. The market has started to range in these level, suggesting some hesitation. Taking partial or full profits could be a smart move – but as always, the choice is yours! This is just a reminder and a heads-up to stay aware of price action. Trade smart! 💡 Let me know your thoughts – are you holding or booking profits? Cheers, Vaido
NYSE:WMT
by VaidoVeek
1