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S&P 500 (SPX500)

WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST OCT. 14-18th: BUY THE S&P 500? YES!The S&P 500 looks to have supporting structure for higher prices. The bullish momentum is there, and Friday's close put that on display. There is some potential for a limited pullback, though. But I would view it as a better price for a possible long entry. What are your thoughts....? Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by RT_Money
SPY/ES1! Flagging In Bullish Carryover Trend - Squeeze PosssibleCheck out the APEX FLAGGING formation in the SPY and ES chart; they are aligning perfectly. If my analysis is correct, the SPY and ES should move into an upward price squeeze after the Flag Apex volatility period (roughly 20+ minutes) is complete. That means the SPY and ES should move into a more defined upward price trend as we close out the day today - possibly carrying into tomorrow. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by BradMatheny
5
Bitcoin Analysis: The Lunar Influence and Price TargetsAs of the latest data, Bitcoin began its ascent at exactly 16:00 Dubai time , coinciding with the formation of the full moon. Is this a coincidence? Absolutely not! The correlation between Bitcoin and moon phases is a pattern observed by seasoned analysts. Historically, after every full moon, Bitcoin has shown bullish momentum lasting 3 to 4 days on average. At present, Bitcoin is hovering around the $67,000 mark, showing strength in its recent movements. The major support level stands firmly at $56,800 , a critical point that has held over several market cycles. On the upside, we are focusing on the major resistance at $69,329, a level that we believe could be broken this week. If this resistance breaks with confirmation, a slight rejection might occur, but the continuation of the upward momentum is highly probable. Our first target lies within the golden zone, ranging from $75,008 to $76,747 , where we expect Bitcoin to consolidate before potentially pushing higher. The moon phase phenomenon has drawn attention from both technical and scientific communities, as similar market movements have been recorded in the past. Many traders and analysts follow this lunar cycle to align their strategies with Bitcoin’s behavioral trends. With Bitcoin’s price behavior showing such predictability, it reinforces the importance of alternative analysis techniques that integrate both natural cycles and traditional technical indicators. Supporting Media and Insights Lunar Phase Correlation with Market Trends: Research papers and market reports suggest a pattern in price movements aligning with lunar cycles, particularly full and new moons. These natural events seem to trigger psychological market responses, possibly rooted in historical trader sentiment or behavioral finance models. Crypto Sentiment Studies: Numerous media sources have reported on Bitcoin's uncanny alignment with natural cycles, especially after full moons. Bitcoin tends to rally within days following these phases, often igniting bullish sentiment across crypto communities and news outlets. Analysts point to multiple instances where moon phases triggered temporary, yet significant, market boosts. Current Market Sentiment: As we approach key technical levels, many institutional traders and investors are watching Bitcoin’s reaction closely. With the macroeconomic factors in play and rising institutional interest, breaking the $69,329 resistance will attract significant volume. Social media platforms, forums, and market analysts are buzzing with discussions on Bitcoin’s next move as it edges closer to critical resistance levels. This analysis confirms that alternative insights such as moon phases can provide additional layers of understanding when timing trades, particularly in a volatile market like Bitcoin. Stay tuned for further updates, and keep a close watch on these price levels as the week unfolds. Disclaimer : The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by insidermike
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-17 : CarryOver In CarryOver ModeGood morning, Great to see the ES/NQ rallying higher this morning - in perfect alignment with my SPY Cycle Patterns & predictions. Gold & Silver are also moving slightly higher - but remember My Gold patterns suggest Gold & Silver will consolidate a bit in early trading today. BTCUSD is a really interesting chart, in my opinion. The multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns are playing into a potentially very large downward price move. Pay attention to all of the content in this video today because we are moving into the end of this week - which means we need to prepare for the volatility that starts next week. As I keep suggesting to everyone, trading is about attempting to time the best opportunities for success. Knowing when something may happen that creates an opportunity, setting your risk levels, and going for it. I wish I could tell you, "Trading is like picking red or black". It's not. Trader's have to develop almost a 6th sense to be able to see and visualize what is most likely to happen in the future. My tools help me see into the future a bit, but a lot of my analysis comes from within my head. Anyway, the best way for you to learn these skills is from someone who can mentor you and show you what they are seeing on the chart. Teaching you the skills to improve your own abilities to make better decisions. That is what I'm doing. Over time, you will learn to use these techniques to make better decisions and become a better trader (at least that is my objective). Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
2024-10-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bears hoped for a second leg down and build decent selling pressure but bulls bought the dip. Nothing unexpected and we likely continue sideways at the highs until bears give up again or more bulls get exhausted and want to secure profits. Technically I expect another leg down but we could retest the highs first. Don’t overstay your welcome in positions. comment: 5850 was the low yesterday and bears could not break below. Weak bears gave up and we closed around the 50% pullback from Tuesday’s selling. Where does this leave us? Nowhere. 5890ish is the worst place to trade now because it’s the exact mid point of this trading range. Wait for strong momentum or until we reach one of the extremes again. These bullish earnings should have taken the market higher by now if you ask me. So there is a decent chance we are forming a credible top. 5850 - 5920 is the current range and until we see the MAG7 earnings, it probably won’t break out of it. current market cycle: bull trend (bull wedge) key levels: 5850 - 5920 bull case: Bulls bought the dip, no surprise there. They want 5900+ next and they will probably continue to buy 5850. No more magic to this. Since it was a bullish close, bulls are very slightly favored higher tomorrow but I would not buy 5886 right now. Invalidation is below 5850. bear case: Bears tried and failed. They have to make the market more neutral and trade sideways until more bulls want out of their position. BTFD is still strong. Anything above 5850 is bullish and bears have to scalp. Earnings will probably set the next impulse to either side. Invalidation is above 5920. short term: Neutral inside given range. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Long the double bottom with yesterday’s low. Very obvious trade that worked greatly.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade: 10-16 UpdateLearn to watch for signs of major market contagion by watching key sectors. In my opinion, the biggest sectors: Like Transportation, Financials, Gold, and Crude Oil, will lead any major market collapse - often by 7-10+ days. This videos highlights what I believe most traders need to watch in terms of understanding when/where opportunities are for long trades while attempting to gauge risks related to any type of broad market collapse event. Spend some time looking over this custom Crash Index and let me know if you see any correlations related to when the SPY/QQQ move more than 7-8% downward in any sudden price moves... (XLF+IYT+GDX+XOP)/4 Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:XLFLong
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-16: BreakAway PatternToday's video highlights what I believe may be a shift in market trend - which can happen. My SPY Cycle Pattern highlight expected price activity/range based on a number of factors: Fibonacci price theory, Gann analysis, Tesla Price Amplitude theory, and more. Yet, the one thing my SPY Cycle Pattern do not take into consideration is TIME. Price shifting slightly forward or backward: where price exhibits an activity/range one day before or one day after the Pattern Date has happened before. I've seen big CRUSH patterns happen +/- one day. I've seen topping/bottoming patterns happen +/- one day. Possibly, we just experienced the sideways contraction I was expecting for Wednesday of this week happen on Tuesday of this week. This type of "time shift" if not out of the question in terms of how price reacts to external news/data. What this means is we may be in for a moderate upside melt-up type of rally in the SPY/QQQ over the next 3+ trading days. Gold & Silver are moving clearly into the Phase #4 of an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. If my analysis is correct, Gold and Silver will rally to a new "Ultimate High" throughout this process. Bitcoin may have already reached the Ultimate High after yesterday's breakout rally phase. We need to watch the $68k level to see if price fails to rally above that level. The next two weeks of trading should be very interesting for all of us - moving into an election and watching the global markets attempt to adjust for opportunities/risks. Remember, ultimately, all of your decision-making should focus on three things: _ Preserving Capital _ Identifying Opportunities _ Containing Risks No matter what happens over the next three+ weeks, there will be time for more trading after the elections and in 2025 and beyond. Trading is a long game - where the #1 priority is to preserve capital while trying to find the best opportunities for profits. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
S&P 500 (SPX) Hits All Targets! Bullish Rally CompletesThe S&P 500 Index has shown strong bullish momentum, with the long trade successfully reaching all profit targets. Key Levels Entry: 5719.98 – The long position was entered as the price broke above this level, confirming bullish sentiment. Stop-Loss (SL): 5703.41 – Positioned below recent support to protect against potential downside risk. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 5740.45 – The first target was hit, confirming the upward momentum. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 5773.57 – The second target was achieved as the bullish trend continued. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 5806.70 – The third target was reached, indicating continued strength in the market. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 5827.17 – The final profit target was reached, marking a highly successful long trade. Trend Analysis The price is well above the Risological Dotted trendline, indicating a strong bullish trend. The steady upward movement suggests that the market sentiment is favorable for further gains, although all targets have been hit, marking the trade's conclusion. The long trade on the S&P 500 Index successfully hit all profit targets, with the final target at 5827.17 signaling a strong rally. The upward momentum was supported by the Risological Dotted trendline, reflecting solid market conditions for bullish trades.
SP:SPXLong
by ProfitsNinja
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-15 : Gap Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move into a Gap Breakaway type of price trend. I believe this means price will attempt to Gap higher at the open and attempt to move into a moderate rally phase throughout the day. Remember, we are just starting to move into Q3 earnings data, which will last well into mid-November. On top of that, we have the US elections and other data (external) that may drive market trends. Near the beginning of this video, I show you some of my ADL (Adaptive Dynamic Learning AI) predictive modeling system outcomes for various symbols on Daily charts. It is important to understand price is the ultimate indicator and we don't want to fight price. We just let price do what it wants to do and try to time the best trading opportunities on the charts. Given what I believe it currently taking place, I suspect the SPY/QQQ will melt upward over the next 5-7+ trading days - attempting to reach a peak price level near October 24-25. Metals appear to be in a consolidation channel (downward) and are struggling to break away from that channel. Move metals do break away from that channel - we are going to see an explosive move to the upside. I suspect that could happen later today or tomorrow. Bitcoin is playing the Excess Phase Peak Pattern perfectly - moving into consolidation and now setting up the #4 (A or B) setup for traders. The next move is going to be explosive - either setting an ultimate high, or breaking downward and returning to recent lows. Should be some exciting trends for all of us over the next 10+ days. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
11
S&P500 vs Gold in 1970sWe’re hearing a lot of talk about how today’s economic environment is similar to the 1970s, and in many ways, that’s true. Back then, we had runaway inflation and monetary shock, just like in the 2020s. In recent years, we’ve seen two major shocks: 1) First, the inflation spike following the COVID lockdowns and the reckless stimulus packages. 2) Second, the accelerating demand for gold. Central banks started stockpiling gold over a decade ago, but after the U.S. weaponized the dollar in 2022, that trend exploded. It’s not just BRICS nations; countries all over the world are scrambling to increase their gold reserves. No one wants to be left holding the bag when the next currency crisis hits. If we’re on the verge of Gold regaining its rightful place as the anchor of global financial reserves, the repricing of PreciousMetals is going to be enormous. In fact, it will completely overshadow the returns of stock indices, just like it did in the 1970s. After the Nixon shock, gold skyrocketed, and while the S&P 500 rose in nominal terms, it was obliterated when measured against gold. Maybe this time the magnitude of this move will be smaller, who knows? What matters is that stock market returns alone are not the ultimate measure of success. What truly counts are the returns relative to real-world-assets.
SP:SPX
by dabaint
1
2024-10-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - In my weekly post yesterday I wrote “max bullish” a couple of times and I hope you did not short this today. Bulls are in absolute control and they have no reason to stop buying every small dip. You can not be a bear on the hope that this madness will stop eventually. It can go much further than you can imagine. Strong day, strong close, can only expect higher prices until bears print consecutive big bear bars on higher time frames. My best guess is still a blow-off top this week, which can mark the top before we see a bigger correction. Today felt like we are already in it. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Break above both bull wedges. Could this be a bull trap? I highly doubt that. 6000 will very likely be hit this year. current market cycle: max bullish key levels: 5860 - 6000 bull case: Bulls are in full control and we can only expect higher prices, given the strength of this follow through buying. We have a small channel which will likely break overnight and the next bull trend line is around 5890 already and aligns nicely with the 1h 20ema. Next obvious target is 6000. Invalidation is below 5880. bear case: Nothing really. Can they prevent 6000? Doubt it. Can they get a deeper pullback before we get there? Also doubt that. Anything below 5880 would surprise me. If they get it, 5850 is their next target and bigger support. Invalidation is above 6050. short term: Bullish af. Don’t look for shorts. Buy on pullbacks when bulls come around again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13 : Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade : None trade of the day: Globex oscillated around last week’s close and after bar 10 it could not even touch the 15m 20ema again. Could have bought anywhere and made money except 15m before US close.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-14 EOD Update - Rally Rally RallyWhat a great day for my followers! I created my Roadmap for all of you, and the markets have started this week doing exactly what I expected regarding the SPY/QQQ and Gold/Silver. Next, we should see the rally continue in the SPY/QQQ, and Gold/Silver are moving into an Apex Breakaway setup, which could be very explosive to the upside. Remember, what I do behind the scenes to prepare and understand market conditions is much deeper than what you see in these videos. Every weekend (and most days), I spend quite a bit of time trying to understand what is really taking place beneath the price charts. That is where I gain a deeper understanding of what to expect and how prices will react to changing market dynamics. So, if you like what you see in my Plan Your Trade videos - remember there is much more to do this efficiently than what I'm showing you in these Videos. Also, remember, a Win is a Win. Book it and call it good. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
CRM’s Bullish Setup: Inverted Head & Shoulders BreakoutSalesforce Inc. (NYSE: CRM) continues to innovate and maintain its position among the leading players in the cloud space, as highlighted in recent financial reports. The company’s growth has been driven by its focus on customer relationship management (CRM) technologies and its expansion into artificial intelligence, which has bolstered its offerings. Despite broader market headwinds, Salesforce has managed to navigate the tech sector’s volatility with strategic initiatives and solid earnings performance. Technical Outlook: Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern On the weekly chart, Salesforce stock shows the formation of a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern, a bullish signal indicating potential upward momentum. The key resistance level stands at $314.70 , which the stock attempted to breach earlier this year, experiencing rejection in February, marking the stock’s all-time high. A retest of this key resistance appears likely in the near term. If the stock manages to confirm a breakout above this zone, our target price is set at $339.48 , a level that aligns with historical resistance and bullish momentum projections. To manage downside risk, we suggest placing a stop loss at $259.75 , a lower support level that provides solid technical backing in case of market reversals. This setup offers a risk-reward ratio (RR) of 1.5, making it an attractive option for traders seeking a medium-term position. Quantum Probability Indicator: Strong Momentum Signals Our proprietary Quantum Probability indicator, W.ARITAs , further strengthens the bullish outlook on CRM stock. The indicator points to strong technical momentum, suggesting a high probability of the stock moving toward our target zone. This momentum aligns with Salesforce's broader market positioning and favorable investor sentiment. Conclusion: Positive Short-Term Outlook for CRM Salesforce Inc. has demonstrated resilience in a challenging market environment, and its technical indicators now suggest a potential breakout. With a target price of $339.48 , a stop loss at $259.75 , and a 1.5 risk-reward ratio , this setup presents a favorable opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on bullish market conditions. As always, investors should remain cautious and monitor key resistance levels for confirmation of a breakout. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical indicators and market observations. It is not financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NYSE:CRMLong
by insidermike
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-14 : GapUp-Lower In Counter TrendGood morning, This video highlights what I expect to happen in the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and Bitcoin over the next 5 to 7+ days. Remember, I'm using my proprietary modeling systems, SPY/Gold Cycle Patterns, and other research to share a roadmap of expected price action 5- 7+ days into the future. I don't know anyone else who can do this research accurately and provide such clear trade/entry/exit signals. This week should be exciting as we'll see multiple opportunities in the SPY/QQQ and Gold/Silver. Bitcoin is nearing a Phase #4 (consolidation) trigger near recent highs. At this point, traders need to wait for a breakout of the recent range before getting more aggressive with BTCUSD. Let's get some this week. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
#202441 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: Also max bullish. Bulls closed 8 points below the ath. Strong buy signal going into next week but the issue (again) is that you are buying above the bigger bull wedge and at the very high of a nested one. Waiting for a pullback to go long is the much more reasonable trade instead of buying near 5860. The wedge has room to 5900, so 6000 is a valid year end target. Bear case begins below 5750. 5800-5850 is neutral. Quote from last week: comment: Much bigger range than the previous week with wild moves the whole week. Bears sold it with spikes, followed by bulls who bought every dip. End result was 5800 again and now what? We are near the ath and can easily make a new one. The high was also high enough to count as a decent lower high and we sell off from here. Given the strong bull bar on Friday, we have to give the higher odds to the bulls to get follow through above and we will probably make a new ath. comment: Two decent days were enough for the bulls to make new ath. Again a bad place to trade, 8 points below the new ath. We have nested bull wedges and market broke above the bigger one. Odds favor some pullback but I would rather wait and be flat than to short this. current market cycle: nested bull wedges key levels: 5750 - 5900 bull case: Bulls want 5900 and have all the arguments on their side. That still does not make buying 5859 a good buy. It’s possible that bulls break above both wedges and continue for 5900 and much higher, is it likely though? I doubt it. What, no more text? We have two perfectly fitting patterns and are trading at the very highs. I have given precise invalidation prices. Don’t think more words will make this better. Just as more trades probably won’t make you more money. Quality over quantity. Invalidation is below 5750. bear case: Bears have nothing until they close below 5750. We are at the highs but so what? 5 Consecutive weekly bull bars say it all. Don’t look for shorts when bears do not make money other than scalping on time frames below 15m. When these two wedges break below, we will see a decent correction again and it’s possible over the next weeks but as of right now, bears are in pain and nothing else. Invalidation is above 5910. outlook last week: short term: Neutral 5750 - 5850, big range but we are in the middle of that given range and both sides have reasonable arguments. If bulls get follow through above 5800, long scalps are a decent trade for 5830 or a bit higher. Right now I would not trade it. → Last Sunday we traded 5800 and now we are at 5859. Neutral range but I wrote above 5800 a long is good for 30 points or more. Good outlook. short term : Neutral since we are exactly at the top of two big patterns and 8 points below the ath. Sitting on hands is best here. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: None chart update : None
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
SPX: a fresh new highest levelThe equity markets in the US continue to move within a positive sentiment during the Q3. The S&P 500 reached a fresh new highest level during the previous week, closing Friday's trading at the level of 5.815, and gaining 1,1% on a weekly basis. This week, tech companies were not in the focus of the market, but the positive sentiment was boosted by the financial industry. The banks posted their Q3 results which were not in line with market expectations, however, the market was pricing the potential for the future earnings. Shares of JPMorgan surged by 4,4%, while Wells Fargo was traded higher by 5,6%. Strategists from UBS bank are also quite positive on the future earnings of the US banks, noting JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and BlackRock as potential strong performers. Tech companies were traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. On one side were higher gainers, like Super Micro Computers with a gain of 15% and Palo Alto Network, which surged by 9%. At the same time, Tesla shares were traded down by 7,5% after the company's announcement of the robo-taxi. Another support to the market optimism came from US inflation data for September. The data showed that the Fed might easily make another 25 bps at their November meeting. As per CME FedWatch Tool, there is 90% odds that the Fed will cut in November.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
US Markets Demonstrate Confidence Despite Election JittersThe US markets are currently demonstrating a bullish sentiment, despite concerns surrounding the upcoming election. All major indices, including the S&P 500, NYSE Composite, and Nasdaq Composite, have formed a bullish Cup & Handle chart pattern and have subsequently broken to follow an upward trend. While the S&P 500 and NYSE Composite have reached new all-time highs, the Nasdaq Composite is close to its highest peak, further reinforcing the positive market outlook. 'This overall bullish sentiment suggests that the upward trend in the US markets is likely to continue, even in the face of election-related uncertainties.
SP:SPXLong
by NaranjCapital
3