Calm before the storm?The first ten days of the year for the S&P 500 index were surprisingly calm and without the interest it had in other years, finding it making a sideways downward movement towards the double "cushion" of support that is presented on the weekly price chart between 5,850 and 5,740 units. An important anti-shock zone that has the ability to absorb any liquidations that come out without spoiling the indication of the medium-term upward trend.
The negative element is that with the sideways stabilizing movement that the index has been making since the beginning of last November between 6,100 and 5,850 points, it has brought closer to the very heavy 200-day moving average, which has now climbed to 5,657 points or -4% from current price levels.
The week that will begin is therefore important as the index will have to show us its cards with what it intends to do. Thus, a possible passage of the index below 5,800 points will raise the attention of sellers since it will give them the right to push it further towards 5,740 and 5,700 points. On the other hand, a dynamic push above 5,800 points may bring 6,000 points back into the spotlight.
Analysts may now be giving higher target prices for the S&P 500 for 2025, but at the same time they are expressing some skepticism about the ability of the "Magnificent 7" to pull the chariot on the uphill road to 7,000 points.
Characteristic are the "pulled" figures that give both the P/E ratio and the P/S ratio for these seven giants in relation to the average of the S&P 500. So while the index has a P/E of 28 and a P/S of 3, Tesla has a P/E of 111 (!) and a P/S of 15, Nvidia P/E:53 and P/S:29, Amazon P/E:47 and P/S:3.8, Apple P/E:41 and P/S:10, Microsoft P/E:35 and P/S:12, Meta P/E:28 and P/S:9.8 and finally Google appears with P/E:25 and P/S:7.1.
Indeed, the indicators show an "overflow" in the capitalization of the "Magnificent 7", but the financial data that will begin to come out from the first quarter of 2025 may open the way for higher numbers in their share values.
