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S&P 500 (SPX500)

S&P INTRADAY oversold bounce backTrump threatened a 50% import tax on China, adding confusion over his global tariffs. China promised to hit back and moved to support its markets. Stocks bounced slightly as investors looked for bargains, but uncertainty around U.S. trade policy remains. U.S. Treasuries rose after falling on Monday. Wall Street is getting more cautious. BlackRock downgraded U.S. stocks, and Goldman Sachs warned the selloff could turn into a longer bear market. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5273 Resistance Level 2: 5379 Resistance Level 3: 5510 Support Level 1: 4815 Support Level 2: 4700 Support Level 3: 4585 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Are we done with the slide, or not? US indices are suffering right now, but is there light at the end of the tunnel? Let's dig in! MARKETSCOM:US500 MARKETSCOM:US100 MARKETSCOM:US30 Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:US500
by Marketscom
BTC, GOLD, DXY & S&P comparison - Who won yesterdayI have not posted this chart for a while. For me, I find it an excellent way of looking at the general Market sentiment. And I see determination to NOT fail. And interestingly, It is the $ that won out yesterday ( Monday 7 April 2025 ) The charts are 4 hour. The DXY got a Boost as other currencies fell in value against the $, so making the $ the winner. Also interesting to see how the British £ continued to dive against the Euro, despite the lower Tariff % But today,. Tuesday 8 April, we see the DXY is Dropping steeply as other currencies pick each other up. Going to be interesting to see how this plays out this week. The 2nd strongest was BITCOIN with a Solid but cautious recovery. Again, today we are seeing a pause as PA comes up under resistance. However, the MACD is in such good shape now and the Histogram currently showing a softening of the Bear with a white candle... This is the weekly MACD chart We are still in early week, so we need to watch this On the 4 hour, MACD has bounced off the OVERSOLD line and has a LOT of room to move higher, and the ability to do so. BTC PA is now like a coiled Srping... GOLD was a surprising Looser with sharp drops and a slow sluggish recovery. The MArket Cap on Gold is HUGE and so moving PA is tough but for me, just the fact that the "safe Haven" has been selling off shows us all that Gold is exhausted after its recent, slow, methosical rise to ATH. It is Overbought, as IIIIIIIII mentioned in a previous post when compared to BTC. As we can see, Gold is currently Under a line of Local resistance that could prove strong enough to reject it again. We need to watch this and if it sells off, find out where the Money is going. S&P500, like many marketd, eventually began recovering but Slowly. The Biggest Losers and still to show recovery are London and European. ] The chart is the London stock excahnge 4 hour. As you can see, a recovery was attempted but so far has failed. The Europeon is slightly better. Over All, Trumps plan is working, Boosting the $ internationally against foreign currencies and Bitcoin has picked up the real money. We have yet to see the full results and things can change quickly. To many extents, this is good timing as to upset the worlds Economies ( when gauged against he $) in Spring allows foer the dust to settle before Summer sets in and the Markets settle for the Sumer holidays ( in the northern hemisphere ) Interesting days ahead
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bulls are not of the woods, not by far1. What happened yesterday? In my weekend analysis covering US indices , I mentioned that US500 (SP500) could drop and test the ascending trend line starting back at the pandemic low. This line is confluent with the horizontal support level given by January 2022 ATH, offering a good opportunity for traders to open long positions. Indeed, at least on CFDs and futures, this trend line was touched, and the price rebounded strongly from there. 2. Key Question: Will we have a full V-shape recovery, or will the price drop back below 5k in the coming sessions? 3. Why I expect a continuation of the correction: 🔸 Strong Resistance: The US500 has established a robust ceiling around the 5350-5400 zone(also a gap there) 🔸 Lack of Building Momentum on Support: There's no clear indication that this resistance will be broken anytime soon with the lack of accumulation under 5k 🔸 Potential for Further Decline: Given the current market structure, a drop below 5k remains a realistic possibility in the upcoming sessions. 4. Trading Plan: 🎯 My Strategy: Playing the range. ✅ Buy near the 4800 support. ✅ Sell into the resistance zone between 5350 and 5400. 5. Conclusion: I’m watching for market confirmations and will continue applying this range strategy until there’s a clear directional change. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:US500
by Mihai_Iacob
$SPY short term top downside from $521 to $481AMEX:SPY is looking like it put in a short term top here. I originally only thought that we had the potential to fall to $545 or so, but now looking at the chart, I think we have the possibility of falling farther. The two targets that I'm looking for on the downside are $524.35 and 481.18. Let's see if they get hit over the coming weeks. If they hit, it'll be the ultimate buying opp as I think from there, we're likely to see SPY over $700 in the coming year or two.
AMEX:SPYShort
by benjihyam
3
S&P500 vs Unemployment vs Yield CurveI'd be surprised if that was the bottom in equities. 10yr/2yr is still coming out of inversion which historically is followed by a recession and a decline in equities, and we have unemployment remaining stubbornly low with only one direction to go from current levels. Market selloffs usually mean investors lose money while main street loses jobs so we should start to see the unemployment rate begin to rise from here assuming that the tariff war isn't over. Trump proved today that he has no intention of relenting on the new tariffs; when China retaliated with 34% tariffs on US goods, he immediately hit them with 50% tariffs. Not sure which side will cave first, but as long as there is uncertainty around US/China trade the risk for further declines in equities remains. The previous two times the yield curve inverted, we saw 50%+ declines in equities and rising unemployment when the curve came out of inversion. There was also a short-lived inversion in 2019 with a spike in unemployment and falling equity prices due to Covid, but the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates to 0% and printing trillions of dollars kept that bear market short and sweet. We currently have a Federal Reserve that needs higher rates to fight inflation while at the same time we have a president who wants lower rates to stimulate growth. Catch-22 for the Fed: if they lower rates, they risk reigniting inflation. If they raise rates or keep them flat during a market decline it will speed up the decline in equities. Trump knows this which is why I don't think that the tariff war and market decline are over.
SP:SPXShort
by PrepForProfit
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Review : POP PatternToday's pattern played out perfectly. I'm really amazed that the SPY rallied up to my resistance level ($520-525) and stalled/bottomed exactly near my $480 support. Absolutely PERFECT reflection of the data I presented this morning and from my research over the weekend. Now, if my analysis is correct, we move into a sideways consolidation pattern for the next 3+ weeks where price will attempt to establish a range (moving slightly downward in trend) before we get to the late-June breakdown (setting up the July 2025 low), then another big breakdown in October 2025. I can't tell you how pleased I am with the comments and messages I get every day. Some of you are KILLING IT and I'm so happy to be able to help. Remember, we are all trying to find the best way to profit from these market trends. So remember to share your success with others and let them know how to find the best tools for trading (on TradingView). Now, let's get busy trying to get ready for the next phase of this market trend (which will come in June). I'll keep you updated. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
19
S&P 500: Valuation Correction or the Start of a Breakdown?Valuation Correction or the Start of a Breakdown? Zoom out. Clear the noise. We might still sweep the lows, but when viewed on the weekly timeframe, this current S&P 500 move looks more like a healthy valuation correction than a structural breakdown. Let’s break it down by the numbers using fractal analysis: 🟩 March 2020 (COVID Crash): ▪️~35% drop ▪️V-shaped recovery ▪️Oversold RSI bounce 🟨 2022 Bear Market: ▪️~27% correction ▪️Multi-month wedge consolidation ▪️Eventually led to an upside breakout 🟦 Now (2025): ▪️~21% correction so far ▪️Retesting long-term trendline ▪️RSI in familiar oversold zone 📊 Fractal Math: - From 35% to 27% = 22.86% decrease - From 27% to 21% = 22.22% decrease Both legs show a consistent ~22% drop in correction depth suggesting bearish momentum is weakening with each cycle. Currently bouncing off the1844 days of support. Is this the bottom? Will there be relief? 🔁 If this pattern holds: - We could see a short-term sweep or deviation under recent lows. - But structure favours a potential recovery from this zone, unless the trendline breaks decisively. 📌 Watch levels closely. Timing matters. 🧠 What’s your take, is this another “buy the dip” moment? Do hit the like button if you liked this update and share your views in the comment section.
SP:SPXLong
by Cryptorphic
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-7 : POP In Counter Trend ModeToday's POP pattern in Counter Trend mode suggests the markets will find support and attempt to POP upward a bit. I expect the SPY to attempt to reach levels above 505 today. Possibly trying to peak near 510. The same thing will happen with the QQQ - a potential rally (POP) higher targeting the 420-425 level. Watch this video TWICE if you really want to understand what is taking place in the markets right now. The tariff issue will settle over the next 15+ days. The SPY/QQQ are moving into the EPP Consolidation Phase (just like I've been telling you for months now). BTCUSD is moving into a BREAKDOWN phase and will likely target $63k over the next 30+ days. Gold and Silver reacted to the breakdown of the SPY/QQQ as they always do - PANIC SELLING. Now that the panic selling pressure appears to be subsiding, Gold and Silver should build a base and begin an explosive move higher - targeting $4200-4500 for gold and targeting $41-44 for silver. We live in exciting times and I still believe the US markets will DOUBLE or TRIPLE over the next 5-10+ years. Get Some.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by BradMatheny
13
S&P INTRADAY futures point to lower open Global stocks sold off sharply on Monday as investors rushed into safe-haven assets, driven by growing concerns over U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs. The market reaction is forcing Wall Street analysts to dial back their bullish outlook on U.S. equities. Despite the market turmoil, Trump and his team downplayed fears of inflation and recession, remaining confident that strong economic growth lies ahead. In response, China’s policymakers met over the weekend to discuss potential steps to support the economy, including speeding up planned stimulus measures, according to sources. Meanwhile, traders are now expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year, with some even betting on an emergency rate cut before the Fed’s next scheduled meeting, as recession fears mount. Oil prices dropped for a third day, with Saudi Arabia cutting the price of its main crude grade by the most in over two years, adding to the bearish sentiment. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5273 Resistance Level 2: 5379 Resistance Level 3: 5510 Support Level 1: 4815 Support Level 2: 4700 Support Level 3: 4585 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
spx 5100 targetAfter warning of 200 pnts drop yesterday for monday, the futures opened 200 pnts lower at 4800 But expect to see a green bar during the day or tomorrow with 5100 as target to fill some gap and many short sellers taking profit. 4800 is at 2022 peak so technically a strong support 5100 hundred would be a resistance for further downside If it goes over 5100 and stays there, the trendline break rule fails. Then I will have to review my further downside targets and start being medium term neutral/bullish from bearish and consider 5300 as next target and 4800 as target for double bottom for being bullish
SPREADEX:SPXShort
by krisoz
Modified Count to Reflect Recent DeclineIn truth, the levels we're seeing this morning when the SPX cash market opens, I was not anticipating seeing till the 3rd quarter of this year. Mid last week, we had positive MACD divergences on the intraday charts and was setting up to be almost a textbook bottom. Nonetheless, the SPX cash market will not hold the must hold zone when it opens this morning. This means we will get a retracement higher in a minor wave B that should last some time. This will represent one the final opportunities traders will have to relieve themselves of excess portfolio leverage and risk. We very well may spend the summer months retracing higher...but there is no doubt some of you reading this will assume this will result in the resumption of the previous bull market. It will not be.
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
3
S&P 500: Historic Crash or Just Another Chance?Let’s be real: What’s happening with the S&P 500 right now is rare. This is only the fourth time in history that the index has dropped more than 10% in two days (technically three, including today’s Monday session). The other times? October 1987, November 2008 during the financial crisis, and March 2020 during the pandemic crash. And now? We’re seeing a similar drop, this time triggered by a global tariff war , stoked by the U.S. and other governments playing chicken to see who folds first. Yeah, it sucks. It hurts. But it could also be a hell of an opportunity. We just tagged the 4,800 level —a place many didn’t expect to see this quickly. Neither did I. But here we are. The untapped VWAP got hit, and this might very well be the start of Wave A. Could we go lower? Absolutely. There’s a monthly Fair Value Gap around $4,500, and a drop to $4,250 isn’t out of the question either. But here’s the thing: it depends entirely on your perspective. If you’re trading on the 30-minute chart, this is a full-blown crisis. But zoom out to the daily, weekly, or monthly chart—and it’s just market noise. Pull up the log chart from 1953 to 2025 in the top left corner. We’ve seen this before. A handful of times. And on that scale? Nobody cares. If you’re in the game to build long-term wealth, this moment is just another temporary shakeout. If you’re doing dollar-cost averaging, this is exactly where you want to be adding—not panicking. The market doesn’t care about your plan. It forces you to adapt. You can’t fight it, only flow with it. And if you’re in it for the long haul? This is just noise. Ignore it, zoom out – and stay the course.
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm
Using Put Options to Protect Your Stock PortfolioCME: Options on E-Mini S&P 500 Futures ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) Last week’s bloodshed of global financial market made history. Nearly all major asset classes fell into a market turmoil driven by tariffs and retaliations. Let’s focus on the US stock market: • Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 7.76% in the week of March 31st to April 4th, making it the 4th worst weekly performance on record • S&P 500 slipped 8.77%, the 4th worst week in history • Nasdaq Composite fell 9.18%, the 2nd worst week • Russell gave up 9.34%, the 3rd worst week All four stock index futures were in negative territory year-to-date. On Sunday evening, E-Mini S&P 500 opened 178 points lower to 4,932, losing 17.1% YTD. All parties ultimately come to an end. After two years of double-digit gains, the unstoppable US stock market finally cracked. As more tariffs and retaliations are expected to escalate, I am afraid that we are only seeing the beginning, rather than the end. For stock investors, this is a good reminder of market risk, something we always talk about but seldomly pay attention to. The “return of investment” should be focusing on the repayment of your money, a safety issue. Only after that should we talk about the gain from the investment. It is a necessity to protect your portfolio to achieve long-term growth. Trading with Options on E-Mini S&P 500 Futures For investors with a diversified portfolio, Put Options on the E-Mini S&P 500 futures are effective and cost-efficient tools. Investors who long the stocks will lose money, should stock prices fall. Put options would gain in value, providing a hedge to the portfolio. The following illustration shows a hypothetical example, given: • An investor has a $250,000 portfolio holding a diversified pool of U.S. stocks • CME E-Mini S&P 500 futures ( NYSE:ES ) have a contract size of $50 times the index value • The June contract (ESM5) was quoting at 4,935 Sunday evening Friday, making the notional value of 1 contract $246,750, approximately equal to our portfolio value • Assuming the portfolio moves closely in line with the S&P 500 • The investor wants to limit the loss of his portfolio to 12%. If the S&P 500 index is currently around 4950, a put option with a strike price of 4350 would roughly correspond to a 12% decline Hedging trade illustration: • The investor buys 1 put option on the June futures with the strike price of 4,600 • CME quote on that Put option is 223. As the contract is $50 times the index, the premium upfront for one put option contract is $11,150 (223*$50), ignoring any commissions • The put premium is calculated as 4.46% of the $250K portfolio If S&P drops to 4,200 (-15.15%) by the end of April: • Without the put, the portfolio lost $37,879, assuming the same loss with the S&P • The 4600-strike put is now 400 points in-the-money • The investor sells the put and receives $20,000 (= 400 x 50) • The loss of portfolio will be 37879+11150-20000 = $29,029 • With an E-mini S&P put protection to mitigate loss from the stock portfolio, the investor lost 11.6% (= 29029 / 250000), which is 3.5% lower than the S&P loss and with the preset loss limit If S&P drops to 4,000 (-19.2%) by the end of May: • Without the put, the portfolio lost $47,980, assuming the same loss with the S&P • The 4850-strike put is now 600 points in-the-money • The investor sells the put and receives $30,000 (= 600 x 50) • The loss of portfolio will be 47980+11150-30000 = $29,130 • With an E-mini S&P put protection to mitigate loss from the stock portfolio, the investor lost 11.6% (= 29,130 / 250000) As we can see here, when the S&P falls sharply, the investor will be able to cap his loss to 11.6%. In a “protective put” strategy, we would consider the option premium an insurance contract for owning stocks. If the index rises, the portfolio return would be lowered a little because of the premium upfront, that is, the cost of insurance. However, the protection is a lifesaver if the index falls. Before jumping into action, the investor needs to run a correlation analysis using the daily value of the portfolio against the S&P 500 closing prices. Here is how: • Some trading software has correlation feature built in already • If not, pull 1-year daily portfolio balance and 1-year S&P closing prices, export them to Excel. Run correlation test with these two data series using Excel data analysis tool. • Alternatively, we could drop the data into ChatGPT and ask AI to do the work for us. If the correlation is greater than 50%, it means that S&P 500 is a good fit to hedge the portfolio. If it is not, we could try the correlation analysis using the other stock index closing prices, such as the Dow, the Nasdaq 100 and the Russell 2000. Then replace E-Mini S&P 500 futures with the stock index futures contract best fit the portfolio. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by JimHuangChicago
SPX500 & Nasdaq: Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!With consumer confidence off at circuit breaking levels, the market, technically, has reached extreme levels of support. Let's look at it: Technicals: (1) Horizontal Levels of support (2) 50%/61.8% fib confluence (3) exDiv1 (4) extreme indicators (5) Chikou span testing cloud support (6) 28% drop is SPX All of these levels are lining up around the same location. And just like in real estate "Location! Location! Location!" is the adage; in markets, "Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!" is the adage!
FX:SPX500Long
by Rocketman
13