S&P 500 (SPX500)
S&P500 : Big Tech Stocks Slide as Trump’s Tariffs Shake MarketsBig Tech Stocks Fall After Trump Imposes Sweeping Tariffs
Shares of major Big Tech firms declined after U.S. President Donald Trump announced sweeping tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price dropped approximately 1.98% following Trump's tariff announcement.
The price is expected to test 5,969, and if it manages to close a 4-hour or 1-hour candle above this level, it may push higher to test 5,996 and 6,020.
However, if the price stabilizes below 5,969, it will likely continue its bearish trend toward 5,937. A break below this level would expose 5,893 and 5,863 as additional downside targets.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5969
Resistance Levels: 5996, 6020, 6051
Support Levels: 5937, 5893, 5863
Trend Outlook:
Bullish if the price breaks above 5,969
Bearish while trading below 5,969
Black Monday is Coming – Time to Short This Beast!Alright, listen up, traders! The storm is brewing, the signs are clear, and if you haven't noticed yet—wake up! Black Monday is knocking, and the market is looking ripe for a proper dump.
Now, I'm not saying sell your grandma’s jewelry and go all-in, but if you're looking for a juicy short entry, this might just be it. Ideally, you want to get in around that sweet spot in the yellow zone (check the chart) or even from the current levels if you're feeling extra spicy.
Risk? What Risk? (Just Kidding, Manage It!)
Stop-loss? Yeah, slap that bad boy above $6,150 on the 4-hour close. If price secures above that level, it's a no-go—cut it and move on.
Take profits? Scale out as price nosedives. No need to be greedy; let the market pay you in chunks.
The Big Picture
This ain't financial advice—just a battle plan from someone who's seen enough bloodbaths in the markets to smell the fear. High risk? Absolutely. But hey, no risk, no champagne.
Remember, risk management is king. Play it smart, lock in profits, and let the market do the heavy lifting-because when the dust settles, only disciplined traders will be left standing.
AMD'S Technical rating indicator monthly !Still pretty high comparing with historical data all way back to IPO. Still high
even with last low ( 2 Green circles) Even though we might have a bounce big time
20%-40% up on a monthly we are still on the high side or readings comparing an
Apple for Apple all else absolute.!
Trade high probabilities using game theoryAccording to statistics, 95% of traders are losing longterm. Not because they lack skill, but because they involve in high variance (or poor probability) situations.
What is game theory? we can define GT with three principles.
*People dont want to lose. (hence.. predictable).
*People buy good things at good price, or they are profit maximizing.
*Everyone is strategic.
** we assume that "nobody can predict future".
** markets respond to feedbacks or signals.
Practice: the higher something goes, potential narrows and risk increases. Deeper something falls, "potential" becomes attractive. Once market decides that it will fall -- people assume crash as possibility. People who can buy at a strong trend line - has benefit of having more information.
(1) Downtrending VIX highs and accumulating lows. a strong signal about SPX peak, with everyone expecting a market correction before US election. ---> GT in practice.
(2) pre-election. Markets be wobbly, pointing to 50-50 probability or risk. Maybe there was fear of NVDA/AAPL high valuations, or the fear due to Trump tariff policy (markets are 6m forward looking) as bond yields were rallying.
If we assume statistically, markets boom after elections. We can predict GT in action (or call it market forces). imo that still is a profitable risk.
People hate uncertainty and they love guarantees. So the "wobble" was reasonable.
(3) VIX higher low.. predictably (GT) sell off follows. Almost as by the book.
other way to put it? people maximize potential while minimize loses/risk. There are periods of volatile markets and periods for one directional rallies.
P.S. Blue arrows are longterm macd turning points.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 31, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current weekly trading session, the S&P 500 has successfully retested the significant threshold of the completed Outer Index Rally at 6123. The market is presently exhibiting a downtrend phase, as the bullish momentum appears to be temporarily suspended. Analyses indicate that this downward trajectory will likely persist, with targets set at the Mean Support levels of 5996 and potentially 5936. This considerable corrective pullback may create an opportunity for the re-establishment of a bullish trajectory toward further rally targets. Should this development occur, the market could be favorably positioned for the subsequent phase of the bullish trend, which would involve retesting the completed Outer Index Rally level of 6120 and targeting the following Outer Index Rally levels of 6233 and the highly anticipated target of 6418.
Plan Your Trade : Behind The Scenes - Learning PerspectiveI created this video to help answer a question from a follower.
One of the biggest concerns for traders is how to use my research/info in a way that benefits them.
My Plan Your Trade videos are based on Daily & Weekly price patterns/cycles. I won't delve into the Intraday research much because it is almost impossible to predict 2 to 10-minute price bars/action throughout the day when new hits and external price data may dramatically change how price moves throughout the day. I would have to continue making videos every 30 to 45 minutes to help you understand the dynamics of intraday price action.
Either way, watch this video to learn a bit more about my research and why I'm trying to help traders learn to make better decisions.
I'm really not here to tell you what to trade - or when to trade. I'm here to help you learn to make better trading decisions ON YOUR OWN.
I try to help you learn to become a more knowledgeable and skilled trader by sharing some of my advanced research and demonstrating patterns, setups, price levels, and Cycle Patterns.
The only thing I can do to help you become a better trader is to help you learn better skills and techniques. If you treat trading like gambling, you'll go broke (often). If you understand trading as a process of grabbing profits when efficient and limiting risks, you'll survive and grow your account over time.
It's really that simple.
Get some.
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ARK Innovation. Granny Wood is Back — What She's Brewing..?!Hooray! Granny Wood 👵 is roaring back!
Well, here we are, The @PandorraResearch Team, to discuss what Ma'am Wood is brewing, since the epic things are almost there!
In a nutshell, Cathie Wood is an American investor and founder, chief executive officer (CEO), and chief investment officer (CIO) of Ark Invest, an investment management firm.
Her flagship ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund - AMEX:ARKK ETF has received accolades for its performance in 2017, 2020 and 2023, but is also considered by Morningstar to be the third highest "wealth destroyer" investment fund from 2014–2023, losing US$7.1 billion of shareholder value in ten years.
Overview of the ARK Innovation ETF AMEX:ARKK
The ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), managed by ARK Investment Management and led by Cathie Wood, focuses on investing in companies that are at the forefront of "disruptive innovation." This term encompasses technologies that have the potential to significantly alter industries and consumer behaviors. The fund primarily targets sectors such as genomics, automation, AI, and energy, aiming for long-term capital appreciation.
Current Performance Metrics
As of January 31, 2025, ARKK is priced at approximately $64.50, reflecting a 1.53% increase on that day.
Over January 2025 ARKK has demonstrated a bold return of about 13.60%, following a volatile period marked by significant fluctuations in value. Notably, that ARKK's performance over January 2025 shows a stark contrast with U.S. stock market benchmarks (just compare - S&P500 Index SP:SPX demonstrates nearly +4% return so far in 2025 while Nasdaq Composite Index NASDAQ:IXIC has added just around 3% in first month of 2025).
ARKK Fundamental Analysis
Investment Strategy. ARKK employs an actively managed approach, focusing on companies that are leaders or enablers of innovation. The fund's strategy combines both top-down and bottom-up research to identify high-potential stocks across various sectors.
Sector Exposure. The ETF is heavily weighted towards technology and healthcare sectors, with significant investments in companies involved in AI and biotechnology. For instance, Tesla is often highlighted as a major holding due to its advancements in autonomous driving technology.
Technical Outlook
The technical outlook for ARKK shows signs of recovery and epic 200-week SMA Bullish breakthrough after a challenging period from late 2021 through much of 2023. The ETF has rebounded from lows around $36.85 in August 2024 to recent highs near $64.50 in January 2025, indicating a potential bullish trend if momentum continues.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level. Approximately $60.00 (recent low that corresponds to current 200-week SMA value)
Resistance Level. Approximately $71.50 (3-years high)
These levels will be critical for traders watching for potential supports or reversals.
Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment surrounding ARKK remains mixed due to its historical volatility and speculative nature. While some investors view it as an opportunity to capitalize on innovation-driven growth, others express caution due to its past performance dips and high-risk profile associated with its concentrated holdings.
Conclusion
The ARK Innovation ETF presents a compelling case for investors interested in disruptive technologies and long-term growth potential. However, its inherent volatility and the concentrated nature of its holdings necessitate careful consideration before investing. As the market continues to evolve with advancements in AI and other technologies, ARKK may offer significant upside momentum now, but also comes with considerable potential risk.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Jan 31 : GAP PotentialAs we move into the end of January 2025, I'm still watching for technical failure near these higher levels. On Monday, we saw a huge breakdown in the markets just days after my Jan 21-23 Top prediction. Now, as we are moving into the Feb 9-11 DeepV base/bottom pattern - I've been expecting the markets to move into a downward trending phase - which has not happened yet.
The way I see the markets right now and how I would offer a general interpretation of the trend is "struggling to find/set a new trend".
In other words, the markets are really congested in a wide range. I believe the markets will attempt to move downward after today's opening GAP higher.
I believe the markets are going to continue to struggle to find support and trade in a downward-sloping consolidated price range until Q3/Q4:2025.
I believe the markets are reacting to earnings and continued support right now, but that will ultimately resolve as a breakdown phase over the next 60+ days - leading to the multiple BASE/BOTTOM patterns my cycle research suggests will happen.
So, I continue to explain what I see in the context of the broader cycle phases.
Gold and Silver may rally a bit today - but we have a CRUSH pattern on Monday - so try not to carry any positions over the weekend.
BTCUSD is struggling to move away from very strong consolidation. It is also setting up multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns. I believe we need to be patient as BTCUSD struggles to find a new trend. Right now, I see more downside potential than upside potential.
I would offer one warning about today. Today's opening GAP will likely prompt a breakdown in price (moving downward) as we head into next week.
I believe next week will be very volatile. Buckle up.
Get Some.
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Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to the low of wave “a” 5920.Colleagues, the price reached the 5920 level too quickly, so I tend to believe that wave “2” is not completed. It should consist of 3 waves “abc” so I expect the low of wave “a” 5920 to be updated.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 1-30 : Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the markets will attempt a minor rally in early trading, possibly targeting the 605 resistance level, then shift/rollover into a downward price trend (the TOP pattern) and being to move downward into the pre-DeepV low levels I've suggests (possibly near 585-588).
At that point, I suspect we'll get a few days of consolidation before we see the DeepV breakdown take place near Feb 11-13 (which may actually start on Friday the previous week).
Overall, I'm expecting the markets to roll into downward trending over the next 7 to 10+ days.
Gold and Silver are moving higher - which is great to see (finally). Maybe all Gold needed was to roll to the newer contract to finally break above the $2820 level. lol
Who knows.
This is the start of the BIG RALLY (Expansion Phase) in metals that should last almost all year. If my research is correct, Gold and Silver will reach a peak level near July-October 2025.
Bitcoin has moved into an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern that may prompt a rally up to resistance near $108,450.
At this point, the inverted EPP pattern is in the consolidation phase and I'm watching for it to break above $105,500 (moving to the ultimate high), or below $100,270 (as an invalidation breakdown move).
The next 5+ trading days should be very interesting for everyone.
Get some.
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SPX to find sellers at market price?SPX500USD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 6058 level.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 6058 (stop at 6099)
Our profit targets will be 5942 and 5920
Resistance: 6102 / 6190 / 6235
Support: 6030 / 5980 / 5940
Risk Disclaimer
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-29 : GAP ReversalToday's pattern suggests the markets are going to start off with a bit of a bang.
Although I expect the markets to try to hold up with some support, I believe, ultimately, the markets will break downward - continuing into the Deep-V Feb 9-10 bottom my cycles are projecting.
Gold and Silver are acting to attempt to hedge the global risks and could explode much higher over the next 30 - 60+ days.
Bitcoin looks like it will continue to move downward, first to 98k, then to 92k.
I'm seeing lots of Excess Phase Peak patterns in price action. This suggests the markets are struggling for direction right now and could move aggressively into a downward cycle phase before the Feb 9-10 Deep-V base/bottom.
Either way, we are going to find a lot of opportunities over the next 30+ days as traders.
Get some.
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AMD'S Short sell volume is screaming for a trough BUT downgradedMost analyst following AMD are downgrading its fundamentally because of the
AI new software coming from small company in China. Well, technically we are completely
going into the other direction which is we are having a major trough in coming weeks/months
in 2025 with + 50% move.
- The big question is when and where ?
WARNING: Some Elliottions are calling for a 1929 bear mkts !!!!!!!!!!
S&P 500 Rebounds After Monday’s DropS&P 500 Rebounds After Monday’s Drop
The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) has recovered following Monday’s sharp decline, which was triggered by the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek and its AI model. As of this morning, the index is trading above the week’s early high.
This resilience suggests that the stock market has stabilised ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision, scheduled for today at 22:00 GMT+3. Interest rates are expected to remain unchanged, but the key question is what stance Fed Chair Jerome Powell will take now that Donald Trump has officially assumed the U.S. presidency. Trump has already stated at the Davos forum that interest rates should be lowered. Powell’s press conference is set for 22:30 GMT+3.
Technical analysis of the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows that the price is approaching the 6,100 level for the third time. The first two attempts to break above this level (marked with red arrows) were unsuccessful.
From a bullish perspective:
→ The long-term trend remains upward, as indicated by the moving average.
→ A successful breakout above 6,100 could turn this level into strong support, similar to how 5,660 acted previously.
However, it is also possible that:
→ Powell’s remarks today will be more hawkish than expected.
→ The market may react negatively.
→ The price could make a bearish move, reinforcing the relevance of the downward channel (marked in red).
Prepare for heightened market volatility this evening.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-28 : Temp Bottom PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Temp Bottom.
After yesterday's big breakdown and consolidation, I believe the SPY will attempt to identify support, possibly near 597, and attempt to move higher a bit today.
Ultimately, a Temp Bottom pattern is where the price seeks out support (moving downward or retesting recent support levels) and then rolls to the upside, creating a base/bottom type of pattern.
The QQQ should follow the same pattern.
Gold and Silver seem trapped for the next 2-3 days (possibly melting a bit higher as the US Dollar appears to be moving downward a bit).
I don't see Gold/Silver starting to make any big moves until Jan 31 or in early Feb.
Bitcoin will likely stall out, just like the SPY/QQQ, over the next 2-3 days, then move into a downward price phase - attempting to move back towards $92k.
I believe the markets are stalling and in a bit of shock at the moment. Don't get too aggressive in any trades unless you are confident in your ability to manage risk levels.
Some sectors/symbols will trend. But the SPY/QQQ will likely stall out for another 2-3 days before making another big move.
Get some.
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Nothing bad happendThe US markets fell sharply today. The S&P500 lost almost 2%. Many investors, especially on social media, are wondering whether the “Trump Rally” is now over. I think this is extremely unlikely. As is so often the case, markets tend to exaggerate, both upwards and downwards.
The price slide was triggered by news from China. Th AMEX:SPY ere, the start-up “DeepSeek” has announced that it has AI models that work just as well as their US counterparts at a much lower price and with less data.
This will certainly not have a lasting impact, but it should make us aware that the AI party will be over at some point.
DeepSeek AI Model Drives Bearish Pressure on U.S. Stock FuturesDeepSeek Model Sparks Decline in U.S. Stock Futures
U.S. equity index futures are experiencing a significant decline on Monday, driven by the overwhelming popularity of DeepSeek, an inexpensive Chinese artificial intelligence model. This has triggered a selloff in AI-related stocks, with megacap companies like Nvidia being particularly impacted.
S&P 500 Analysis
The S&P 500 has dropped over 5.00%, primarily due to the release of this cost-efficient AI model in China. The market remains under bearish pressure, particularly as U.S. stocks, including Nvidia, have already experienced substantial losses, with Nvidia alone losing approximately $400 billion in market capitalization amid this development.
As long as the price remains below 6,020, the market is likely to see bearish and volatile activity. A break below 5,969 could signal further declines toward 5,937 and 5,863.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5970
Resistance Levels: 6000, 6020, 6051
Support Levels: 5937, 5890, 5863
Trend Outlook
Bearish with Volatility
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-27 : Consolidation PatternToday is an incredible day in my world.
I have been warning of a major peak/top near Jan 20-23 for more than 45+ days. I have continued to warn traders of a major top/peak near the Inauguration and how I believe the markets would suddenly shift downward - targeting the Feb 9-11 Deep-V bottom.
All of my predictive analysis is based on Gann, Tesla (Energy frequency, amplitude, vibration) and Fibonacci research.
The reason I state this is because I want you to start thinking of price action in terms of energy expulsion and consolidation.
Price is the ultimate indicator. My research proves we can attempt to predict future price moves (tops, bottoms, strength, weakness, and others) with a moderate degree of accuracy.
As I continue to expand my research, tools, and resources, I will continue to improve my analysis/predictive capabilities.
To me, this is very exciting.
Today, I would expect the markets to consolidate in a fairly wide/volatile range.
Gold and Silver will likely continue to try to recover/rally out of these flagging/pennant formations. Silver is set in more of a range-bound price channel, whereas Gold is clearly moving into a Pennant/Flag setup.
BTCUSD appears to have broken the EPP Flag channel and should attempt to move down to GETTEX:92K over the next 5+ days.
Get some.
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As Goes January So Goes the YearI have written and talked about this statistical superstition born out of trading almanacs of the "January Effect" which proposes that the month of January's direction (a green bar or a red bar) will determine the final close of the year as a whole. I plugged the data into a spreadsheet this year mid-January to get the updated statistic and for the last 97 years this adage has held true 68% of the time. Like all statistics when studying markets "nothing is 100%" but it is safe to say "more often than not" this is true.
The January 2025 Monthly open is -3.03% from the Friday close... SPY is going to open -2.19% as of writing this morning. We still have a whole week of trading days left in January to see how 2025 will MOST PROBABLY play out.
There's a lot of "reasons" talk this morning about some Chinese AI being the culprit of the selloff. I never take heed of the need for the media to publish digestible stories to give such reasons: they are never tradable prior to the event they claim and each is a one-off so knowing the "reason" (if even true) is totally worthless for making money.
The more logical answer according to price which is far more actionable to traders is the failed breakout last Friday. While SPY made a new All Time High the Weekly itself failed to close to confirm it. Not following through on such a move is a clear bearish signal going into a weekend. Now THAT is a much better "reason" to be focused on this week (and every time it happens in the future).