$SPELL/USDT Breakout Alert!🚀 $SPELL/USDT Breakout Alert!
SPELL has broken out of a symmetrical triangle on the 4h chart, confirming a strong bullish move!
• Entry: CMP
• TP: 0.0008612
• SL: 0.0005143 for risk management.
Momentum looks after consolidation — eyes on continuation if volume stays strong!
DYOR, NFA
S&P 500 (SPX500)
S&P 500 E-mini Futures: Bullish Momentum Meets Key Resistance📈 Technical Analysis: S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES1!) – April 2025
🚀 Market Structure & Price Action for US500
The daily chart shows the S&P 500 E-mini Futures in a bullish recovery after a significant correction. The recent rally has pushed price back toward previous swing highs, an area likely to contain resting buy-side liquidity. This move suggests that the market is currently in a markup phase, but is now approaching a critical resistance zone where profit-taking and counter-trend activity may emerge.
🧠 Wyckoff Perspective
From a Wyckoff methodology standpoint, the recent price action resembles a classic accumulation-to-markup transition. The sharp selloff in March and early April appears to have formed a selling climax (SC) followed by an automatic rally (AR) and a secondary test (ST). The current advance could be interpreted as a sign of strength (SOS), but the proximity to previous highs raises the risk of an upthrust (UTAD) or a bull trap if supply emerges.
🌊 Liquidity & Potential Pullback
As price trades into the prior highs, it is likely "eating" buy-side liquidity—triggering stops and breakout orders. This process often leads to a liquidity sweep, where price briefly exceeds resistance before reversing as large players offload positions. If the market fails to sustain above these highs, a pullback or even a reversal could be initiated, especially if volume and momentum wane.
🌐 Market Sentiment & Fundamentals
Current sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with the S&P 500 E-mini trading above 5,500 and recent sessions showing resilience despite mixed earnings and macroeconomic uncertainty. The broader market is supported by expectations of stable Fed policy and robust corporate earnings, but there are persistent concerns about inflation and global growth. According to Markets Insider, the ES futures are up 0.59% recently, reflecting a positive but not euphoric tone. However, as noted by Investing.com, there are signs the market could be setting up for a reversal if bulls fail to maintain momentum.
🛠️ Trade Ideas
🟢 Bullish Scenario: If price breaks and holds above the previous highs with strong volume and closes, consider a long entry targeting the next psychological resistance (e.g., 5,700–5,800). Place stops just below the breakout level to manage risk. This would confirm continued demand and a potential extension of the markup phase.
🔴 Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above the highs and forms a reversal pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, upthrust), look for a short entry targeting the first support zone (e.g., 5,300–5,200). Stops should be placed above the failed breakout. This would align with a Wyckoff upthrust after distribution and a likely liquidity sweep.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading futures involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Please conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Could The Stock Market Crash? - WARNING 🚨MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on SPX .🚨
🚨 SP:SPX Could It Crash?🚨
Lets look into it deeper, very interesting chart but also a dangerous one. Need to see buyers soon or this is could be worse than people expect. 5-10% drop minimum and extreme bear could drop 40% total🚨
Watch video for more details
Bearish WXY Model Forming at Key Resistance – Caution at the TopSP:SPX just crossed the Monthly High, but the structure resembles a bearish WXY correction, and we’re now approaching critical levels.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
5481–5572: Weekly FVG resistance + 61.8% Fib Extension – potential top of the rally.
5293: The 50% retracement from the Apr 20 low – a break below confirms the bearish WXY and opens the door to new lows.
📌 Scenario Outlook:
✅ Bullish case: Room for upside toward 5685–5750, but only if we close above 5572 Weekly to invalidate the FVG.
⚠️ Bearish case: Current price action aligns with divergence (as seen with DJI) + WXY model. Caution advised — rallies may be fading.
💬 Chart attached shows the WXY structure forming with key divergences.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-25 : Inside Breakaway patternToday's Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern. I suggest this pattern could play a pivotal role in how the markets setup for the May 2 Major Bottom pattern I'm expecting.
You'll see in this video how any move to the upside could present a broadening of the consolidation range - resulting in even bigger price volatility going forward.
Yet, I believe the markets will stall and roll a bit downward/sideways today. Possibly resulting in a move back into the lower consolidation range as we ROLL off resistance.
As I suggested last weekend, I see no reason to assume the markets are "cleared for take-off" yet. Tariffs and political concerns are still driving uncertainty.
I think we are seeing Q1 earnings inflate the markets while the fundamental elements of the global markets are still somewhat unsettled.
I urge traders to HEDGE any open trades going into this weekend. If the markets don't make any clear moves today, hedge any positions you hold into next week.
Gold & Silver are showing signs of minor panic selling. I see that as traders wanting to retest the $3300/$33 levels for Gold/Silver.
I still believe Gold/Silver will skyrocket higher. But, probably not going to happen today.
BTCUSD is making an interesting move higher. Potentially invalidating the previous EPP pattern and/or setting up a very broad consolidation range.
It will be interesting to see how BTCUSD continues to trend over the next few months.
Remember, I'm hopefully helping all of you find ways to improve your trading and find better results.
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S&P 500 tests key resistance as trade uncertainty continuesTrump continues to say positive things - just now suggesting that they are very close to a deal with Japan on tariffs. But it is China where the bulk of uncertainty lies. He has been quite upbeat this week, but China continues to push back against the optimism.
European indices extended their gains, buoyed by the previous day’s upbeat mood, while US futures have given up their earlier gains. The shift likely linked to an interesting interview US President Donald Trump gave to Time Magazine.
While Trump claimed Chinese President Xi had personally rung him — and insisted that negotiations with Beijing were progressing — it was his remark that he’d consider “50% tariffs a year from now” to be a success that seemed to spook investors. Unsurprisingly, that struck a more hawkish tone, nudging some traders to lock in profits.
Earlier in the session, risk appetite had been given a lift after reports surfaced that China was weighing tariff exemptions for select US imports. This, combined with upbeat comments from Trump the day before and a solid set of earnings from Alphabet, helped extend the rally in equities.
Gold, meanwhile, gave back some ground — dipping below the $3,300 mark — as safe haven demand cooled in response to the renewed optimism. Yet, beneath the surface, caution remains palpable. Trump’s off-the-cuff comment about 50% tariffs a year from now served as a stark reminder that nothing is set in stone, and that the trade saga is far from over.
As such, while some of the worst risk-off flows may be behind us, it’s far too soon to declare an end to the market turmoil. A period of consolidation — both in equities and gold — may now be on the cards.
Meanwhile the S&P 500 has entered a key area of resistance between 5490 to 5550 area. A bearish trend line also comes into play. A clean break should be positive from a short-term point of view, while a sharp rejection is what the bears would be looking for.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
S&P500 INTRADAY resistance at 5510Global Trade & Geopolitics
China may suspend steep tariffs on some U.S. imports, like medical equipment and ethane, to ease pressure on key industries—hinting at a more pragmatic trade stance.
Apple plans to shift most U.S. iPhone production to India by late next year, while Walmart is helping Chinese exporters sell locally—both reflecting efforts to reduce reliance on China.
U.S.-Russia-Ukraine: The U.S. will push for Russia to recognize Ukraine’s right to its own military in any peace deal. However, Trump suggests Ukraine may have to cede some territory. Meanwhile, reduced U.S. aid is increasing Ukraine’s exposure to Russian cyberattacks.
Market Impact:
Watch for shifts in trade-sensitive sectors, supply chain plays (especially in tech), and defense stocks as geopolitical risk evolves.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5510
Resistance Level 2: 5660
Resistance Level 3: 5790
Support Level 1: 5110
Support Level 2: 4950
Support Level 3: 4815
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
April 25, 2025 - Trump’s Tango, Tech, and Insider DramaHello everyone, it’s April 25, 2025. We’re closing in on Trump’s 100-day mark back in the White House, and if there’s one word to sum up his impact on markets: chaos. With 137 executive orders signed already, he’s turned global markets into a high-stakes rollercoaster though this week saw signs of recovery, confidence remains fragile, and volatility is still running the show.
The main trigger? You guessed it: Trump and his tariff diplomacy. After weeks of U-turns, threats, and NYSE:TWTR meltdowns, he’s finally announced that talks with China have begun. That was enough to send the AMEX:SPY up 2%, pull the CME_MINI:NQ1! out of correction territory (+2.74%), and ignite a 5.63% jump in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, even though it’s still miles below its all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting at $3,332, BLACKBULL:WTI hovers around $63.21, and INDEX:BTCUSD has skyrocketed to $93,200. Not bad for a week that started in total disarray.
Now here’s where things get fishy: US indices started climbing before Trump’s announcement—classic “somebody knew something.” Insider trading? Just your average Thursday. And while Trump claims talks are underway, the Chinese side played coy, denying any ongoing negotiations. Either someone’s lying, or the talks are happening over dim sum in DC.
Beyond geopolitics, NASDAQ:GOOG crushed earnings expectations and added a juicy dividend and GETTEX:70B in buybacks, exploding 6% after-hours. Meanwhile, NASDAQ:INTC flopped—flat profits, poor outlook, and a CEO trying to turn cost-cutting into a growth story. The market wasn’t buying it: down 5.7% after-hours.
NYSE:NOW , though, is living its best life. Strong results, AI momentum, and federal contracts boosted shares 15%. Other names like NASDAQ:PEP , NYSE:PG , and NASDAQ:AAL warned on the future thanks to—you guessed it—political and economic uncertainty.
On the macro front, ECONOMICS:USIJC (US jobless claims) ticked higher, inflation seems to be cooling, and if next week’s PCE and employment data confirm the slowdown, the Fed might just blink and cut rates in May. Market hopes are pinned on Powell holding steady—unless, of course, Trump decides to live-tweet through it.
Futures are up 0.37% ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) this morning, signaling optimism—possibly misplaced—in Trump’s “friendly” overtures toward China. Let’s just say we’re one golf game away from another market tantrum.
Enjoy your weekend, stay alert, and cross your fingers for a quiet Sunday tweet-wise.
S&P500 Index End of Day Trend AnalysisS&P 500 Index Outlook:
The index may experience bearish momentum starting around April 25th or 28th, with key support at 5160. If this level holds and bearish confirmation does not emerge, the bullish trend is expected to continue toward the target of 6109.
Traders should wait for a confirmed short signal before considering bearish positions. Otherwise, the ongoing bullish momentum is likely to persist. The MastersCycle indicator has signaled a buy, with a suggested stop-loss at 5100.
Disclaimer: This is a personal market view. Traders are encouraged to rely on their own technical analysis and always trade with an appropriate stop-loss.
SPX on threshold of bullish breakout? I am cautiously bullishNations may be lining up to kiss Trump's a??? but SPX has come to kiss a confluence of trendline resistance as well as POC
Also markets we approaching month end. You only need to look at the past month ends and see what happens to the price, yes they tend to reverse very often if not always, specially if the prices are below 200 ema as it is now.
I would be watching how the market behaves next week. Soft economic data are pointing to weaker economy and the underlying problem of highly leveraged Hedge Funds remain. I wonder if they begin to deleverage some more at this level.
Any future decline would be a good entry point
$BTC $GOLD Performance% Comparison Chart (Apr '24-Apr '25)Performance% Comparison Chart (Apr '24-Apr '25)...
CRYPTOCAP:BTC surges back, locking in a 42% gain alongside TVC:GOLD over a year! S&P 500 shows life, but #Oil is the big loser, taking the biggest hit with a brutal -26% decline. Let's watch the shifts! But where does the momentum go next?!🤔
CRYPTOCAP:BTC TVC:GOLD SP:SPX MARKETSCOM:OIL
Cheers!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : EPP Flag Setup CompleteI created this video to highlight the current EPP Flag setup in the SPY/ES.
It is my opinion that the market are about ready to ROLL OVER into a downward trend because of this current EPP setup.
Once the FLAG forms (in this case a BULLISH FLAG), the next phase is a BREAKDOWN INTO CONSOLIDATION.
It is my belief the current FLAG will prompt a breakdown in price - moving into a lower consolidation range.
I'm highlighting this EPP pattern to help everyone learn how to use them more efficiently.
Get ready. If I'm right, we're going to see a big move downward over the next 2-4+ days.
Get some...
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 4-24 : Carryover PatternToday's Carryover pattern suggests we'll see similar price action today to what we saw yesterday.
We will very likely see a little support in early trading today, followed by a moderate meltdown-type trend.
I'm not expecting much to happen today - but we could get some news or other data that may prompt some type of bigger move in the markets.
Yesterday evening, I shared an "Update" video with everyone. In that video, I highlighted some of my active trades.
I've gotten a few messages from followers asking if I can share more data related to my trades. I'm sorry, but that won't happen in these FREE Plan Your Trade videos.
I shared some of my trades yesterday to highlight how I had moved into a moderate Short/PUT position, trying to stay ahead of the bigger market trend.
In other words, I'm not chasing the nickels. I'm setup to try to profit from the DOLLARS.
Gold and Silver may stay somewhat muted over the next 48 hours. But, I do expect them to try to melt upward.
BTCUSD appears to be setting up a BULL TRAP. I, personally, don't trust this upward price move because it is counter to the EPP price structure. I could be wrong.
But right now, I just don't trust the upside move in BTCUSD, knowing the SPY/QQQ should move into a deeper MAJOR LOW in early May.
Again, these videos are designed to help you build your skills and find your own style of trading.
I really do hope all of you are benefiting from my continued work to deliver these videos.
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S&P500 INTRADAY resistance at 5510Stocks are pulling back after Wednesday’s rally, pressured by renewed trade tensions. China stated that no deal talks are underway, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed scepticism over resolving the trade dispute. US futures slipped, the dollar weakened, and gold rose as investors sought safety.
Jefferies strategist Christopher Wood warned that US equities, Treasuries, and the dollar may face further downside, noting the market has likely peaked. Deutsche Bank also trimmed its S&P 500 target, citing the negative impact of ongoing tariffs on US companies.
It’s a packed earnings day: PepsiCo, Procter & Gamble, and American Airlines report before the open, while Alphabet and Intel are set to release results after the close.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5510
Resistance Level 2: 5660
Resistance Level 3: 5790
Support Level 1: 5110
Support Level 2: 4950
Support Level 3: 4815
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US500 - Will the stock market go up?!The index is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for the next Nasdaq buying positions with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. The channel breakdown and the index entering the supply zone will provide us with its next selling position.
The chief economist at Citigroup has stated that the imposition of tariffs in the United States constitutes a stagflationary shock to the economy. According to his estimates, there is a 40% to 45% chance of a recession. It is expected that GDP will increase in the second quarter, as consumers rush to make purchases ahead of the new tariffs. However, the most significant negative impact on U.S. economic growth is projected to unfold in the second half of the year.
You may have noticed that recent economic statistics are no longer moving markets. The reason is simple: markets are forward-looking and trade on expectations rather than past data. Economic figures reflect what has already occurred, while market pricing focuses on what lies ahead.
At this stage, current data has yet to fully reflect the impact of tariffs and trade tensions. Even if weaker numbers emerge, markets may have already priced in the potential resolution of the trade war and an eventual recovery.
Experienced traders understand that today’s developments are already factored into prices. What matters now is the outlook for the coming months—the real driver of market direction.
Ryan Petersen of Flexport noted yesterday that, three weeks after the U.S.imposed heavy tariffs on Chinese imports, bookings for ocean freight containers have dropped more than 60% industry-wide. He explained that the U.S. imports around $600 billion worth of goods annually from China, with those items valued at approximately $2 trillion at the retail level.
He stated that the first ships carrying goods fully subject to the new tariffs arrived on Monday, and shipping volumes are expected to decline in the coming weeks. However, due to high inventory levels, the impact on the retail sector may be delayed.
Petersen also expressed concern that a potential rollback of tariffs could introduce a new set of challenges. With ships currently being repositioned globally, a sudden wave of new orders could disrupt logistics networks—especially if markets perceive the suspension of tariffs as only temporary.
In my view, no one really knows how this situation will evolve, as a large portion of imports consists of intermediate goods and components used in final products. My guess is that this could lead to a surge in transshipment and even smuggling, though it could just as easily echo the unexpected consequences seen during the COVID era. We are truly venturing into uncharted territory.
Petersen concludes: “This is a strange era for global logistics, as we must simultaneously prepare for the unimaginable—like full U.S. self-sufficiency—while also planning for a return to something closer to normal trade relations.”
GOLD Goes "Buy The Dip", Following 200-hour SMA Major SupportGold prices have experienced significant volatility over the last days, with conflicting reports on the current trend. According to some sources, gold prices have increased, with spot gold reaching $3,500 per troy ounce, new all the history high on Tuesday, April 22, 2025.
The $3,500 milestone has sparked increased interest from investors and market analysts, meaning that Gold spot doubled in price over the past 5 years, 3rd time in history ever.
Despite the short-term volatility, gold has shown a strong performance since the beginning of 2025, with an increase of approximately 30-35% year-to-date. Market analysts remain bullish on gold, with some forecasting prices to reach $ 4'000 per ounce in the near term.
The main 1-hour Gold spot OANDA:XAUUSD graph indicates on 200-hours SMA technical support, with further upside opportunity due to forming on the chart descending triangle (flat bottom/ descending top) breakthrow.
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Best #GODL wishes,
💖 Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team
SP500 remains very bearish overall📈 In my previous post, I highlighted the confluence support zone and the potential for a bounce — and we got it. SP500 rallied around +10% off the lows.
But let’s not get too comfortable...
❓ I s the worst behind or is this just a trap before the next leg down?
From my perspective, the correction is not over.
The current bounce looks more like a bear market rally than a true reversal.
📉 Why I expect another drop:
1. Technically, as long as SP500 is trading below 5500-5600 zone, the structure remains bearish
2. Fundamentally, the backdrop hasn’t improved — if anything, it’s getting worse
3. Price is approaching a major resistance zone, which I plan to sell into
📌 My Plan:
I’m watching this zone for signs of weakness.
If momentum fades, I’ll look to short, targeting at least 5k, potentially even a new local low.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
US500 Day Trade Setup: Liquidity Pools, Gaps & What’s Next?The US500 (S&P 500) 4-hour chart recently showed a gap up, followed by a strong move into the previous range highs. This price action likely triggered buy stops and tapped into buy-side liquidity above the prior swing highs. After this liquidity sweep, the market has pulled back and is now consolidating just above a visible gap, which sits slightly below the current price level.
From a Wyckoff perspective, this resembles an upthrust after distribution, where price runs stops above resistance before reversing. The current pullback suggests a potential test of the gap area, which often acts as a magnet for price, especially if there’s unmitigated liquidity left behind.
Using ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts, the recent move above the range high can be seen as a raid on buy-side liquidity, followed by a retracement. The gap below current price represents an imbalance, and ICT traders often look for price to revisit such inefficiencies before resuming the trend.
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Backdrop
Recent data shows the S&P 500 has experienced a sharp correction in April, with a monthly drop of about 5.75% from the previous month, but it remains up 6.8% year-over-year (YCharts). The market has been volatile, with sentiment shifting due to macroeconomic concerns, including renewed trade tensions (notably new tariffs), a mixed earnings season, and questions about the Federal Reserve’s next moves (IG).
Wall Street analysts have recently revised their year-end targets lower, citing increased risks from tariffs and slowing earnings growth (Yahoo Finance). The VIX is elevated (28.45), and the put/call ratio is above 1, indicating heightened hedging and caution among market participants (YCharts).
🏦 Wyckoff & ICT Concepts in Play
🏗️ Wyckoff: The recent rally into the highs and subsequent pullback fits the upthrust after distribution narrative. If the market fails to reclaim the highs, a move back into the gap (potentially as a sign of weakness) is likely.
💧 ICT: The gap below current price is a clear area of interest. If price trades down to fill this gap, watch for a reaction—either a bounce (if demand steps in) or a continuation lower if the gap fails to hold.
💡 Day Trade Idea (Not Intra-day)
Scenario: If price trades down to fill the gap just below the current level (around 5,300–5,320), monitor for a bullish reaction (such as a strong daily close, a bullish order block, or a clear rejection wick).
Trade Plan:
🕵️♂️ Wait for price to fill the gap and show a bullish daily signal.
🎯 Enter a day trade long at the next day’s open if confirmation is present (e.g., a bullish daily candle close or a break above the previous day’s high).
🛑 Place a stop loss just below the gap or the most recent swing low.
📈 Target the previous high near 5,400 for a day trade, or consider scaling out if momentum continues.
Alternative: If price fails to hold the gap and closes below it on the daily chart, consider a day trade short the following day, targeting the next liquidity pool below (e.g., 5,200).
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should do your own research or consult with a professional before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-23 : Rally-111 PatternToday's pattern really showed up pre-market.
Where was the rally today? It happened before the US markets opened for business.
The SPY/QQQ had already moved up into my upper resistance area on strong buying overnight.
I knew I had to run my father around most of the day, so I booked my profits this morning and tried to catch one little SPY rally (that didn't work out).
So, I started taking some positions for next week's potential downtrend, and I thought, "How much risk am I taking on these trades if the markets continue to move upward?"
I realized I would be taking about $1000 to $1400 in total risk, but my expiration date is near May 16. So my target for any profit really needs to be before May 10th or so.
If the markets do what I expect, I'll be sitting back, watching my profits grow as the markets trend downward into my May 2 Major Bottom (I hope).
I created this video to highlight the now partially confirmed inverted EPP pattern that setup the Ultimate High in early trading today.
Now that we've completed the inverted EPP pattern, we should be looking for the ES/SPY/QQQ to move downward, shift into a sideways/upward price flag. Then, break down into the new Consolidation phase.
Essentially, if my EPP patterns play out well, I timed my move away from longs/calls and into shorts/puts almost perfectly. Now, I just need to sit back and wait for the markets to make a move.
This is what trading is all about. You can't kick the markets to do what you want them to do. You have to learn to take what the markets give you and fall in line with market trends.
When you do that well, profits start to fall into your lap (if you are patient).
Follow along as I break down these market trends and learn how to develop your own skills.
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S&P 500 | SPX500USD: Bulls Find Support — But Is It Enough?SPX500USD 12H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🔍
OVERALL TREND
📈 UPTREND (Tentative) — Market structure appears to be attempting a reversal from a recent pivot low. However, the macro trend remains under pressure unless price clears the key resistance range above 5,950.
📉RESISTANCE
🔴 6,152.5000 — PIVOT HIGH | Dynamic Resistance Level
🔴 6,086.2943 — SELL ORDER II
🔴 5,952.1652 — SELL ORDER I
📊ENTRIES & TARGETS
🎯 5,884.4400 — EXIT BUY | TP 4
🎯 5,640.5683 — BUY ORDER | TP 3
🎯 5,482.3500 — BUY ORDER | TP 2 | Mid-Pivot
🎯 5,254.5432 — BUY ORDER | TP 1
📈SUPPORT
🟢 5,021.6218 — BUY ORDER
🟢 4,879.2150 — BUY ORDER II
🟢 4,812.2000 — PIVOT LOW | Dynamic Support Level
📊OSCILLATOR SUMMARY
🧭 RSI (14): 51.98 — Neutral
📉 MACD Level: -41.34 — Buy Bias Forming
🚀 Momentum (10): -36.21 — Positive Divergence Developing
📊 ADX (14): 21.08 — Early Trend Formation
📉 Awesome Oscillator: -87.21 — Bearish but Flattening
🧮MOVING AVERAGE SUMMARY
✅ 10/20/30 EMA & SMA — All Showing Buy Signals
❌ 50/100/200 EMA & SMA — Still Bearish, Suggesting Long-Term Pressure
📊 VWMA (20): 5,289.90 — Bullish Price Reaction Above VWMA
📏 Ichimoku Base Line: 5,158.19 — Neutral, Needs Further Validation
🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES
Current price is battling between 5,300–5,400 resistance range — a break and close above 5,482 could trigger further upside
Significant bullish reversal candle formed near the last pivot low at 4,812
Volume profile suggests re-accumulation; price attempting to reclaim 5,300 structure
Momentum indicators show signs of shifting bullish, but not yet in strong confirmation territory
TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎
📈 Bullish bias above 5,254 with targets at 5,482 / 5,640 / 5,884
📉 Bearish pressure reactivates if price rejects 5,482 and closes below 5,021
👀 Monitor ADX for trend confirmation — under 25 = caution; above 25 = trend validation
🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Reversal Play):
— Entry: 5,254.54
— Targets: 5,482.35 / 5,640.56 / 5,884.44
— SL: Below 5,021.62
HIGH-RISK SCALP (Resistance Fade):
— Sell Order near 5,952.16 or 6,086.29
— Targets: 5,640 / 5,482
— SL: Above 6,152.50
“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-23 : Rally-111 PatternToday's RALLY pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will continue to push higher, possibly breaking upper resistance near $550/493.
As I suggested in this video, I believe the upward price trend bias will continue into Friday (4-25) and suddenly shift into a BEARISH price trend/bias early next week.
The May 2-5 Major Bottom cycle low, my research predicts, will happen and should prompt a fairly strong downward price trend as we near the end of April and head into early May.
Gold and Silver will likely consolidate a bit over the next 24-48 hours. So, this is a great time to pick lower entry price levels for LONGS/CALLS.
Ultimately, I'm still expecting Gold to rally above $3750 before the end of May and attempt to target $4500++ before the end of June.
BTCUSD is moving into a potential "INVALIDATION" phase. Although I'm currently estimating the probability of that invalidation at about 20-30%, it is still a valid price trend.
I believe BTCUSD will shift into a downward price trend as the markets continue to unwind excesses through the May, July, and October lows, according to my cycles.
The big opportunity for traders over the next 48 hours is playing the upward trend bias in the SPY/QQQ - then moving into a mode of preparation for next week's breakdown/downward price trend in the SPY/QQQ.
So, play it smart. Follow the chart and don't try to be a superhero.
Play what is in front of you and prepare for the bigger price swings headed into next week and beyond.
Get some.
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The SPX On Track To A New All-Time High In 2025 (6,958— Soon!)Do not let anybody distract you, do not allow yourself to be deceived. Know that the market is very resilient and this has been true for the longest time ever. The catastrophe that everybody is always expecting and is always due is never true. Ok, there was a correction, but that's it, from now on the market grows. That's just how it works.
Very, very strong bull markets, and the bear markets weak and short.
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) looks great right now and nothing can surpass the wisdom that comes from a chart. A chart cannot lie nor can mislead you in any way.
The charts have pure raw data, you can make your own interpretation of this data but there are no mistakes.
Here the chart shows a very strong higher low. The 0.5 Fib. retracement level was tested and it holds. Now, saying a "new All-Time High" might be speculation, but saying that prices will rise is simply how technical analysis works.
A low first pierced 0.5 and challenged 0.618 fib. The candle closed above and full green, the highest volume since 2010 and that is a clear signal that the correction reached its end.
The SPX is bullish now of course.
The next week we get a red week and this led to the present day, a higher low. A higher low is bullish and notice, the 0.618 level is no longer relevant. The correction that happened was really strong, there is absolutely no need for more.
So a strong correction developed and what comes next?
Prepare for a major rise, a new impulsive bullish wave.
The minimum target starts at 5,665. This is the resistance where the drop got started, this level needs to be tested based on TA. Depending on how this level is handled, we can extract how the market will continue to behave.
» I will make a prediction, the SPX will hit a new All-Time High in the coming months.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.