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Spx500forecast

15min SPX is about to give buy signal, but will fail imoVery weak day today. I want 3636 test and fail from there to close at the lows. Very important level to watch on closing level as mentioned before. So many are trapped since yesterday and the gap might not close till Wednesday next week at min imo Also no one would expect another 100 points trim tomorrow, everyone is looking how "oversold" it is and pray for a bounce. All we get is muted reaction and more selling. Tomorrow should mark temp bottom imo
SP:SPX
by RealTima
7
SPX is looking lower as wellI wanted one more high today to short and the price is just so weak, its unreal! This was my NQ update from last night No more longs for me till the quarter end tomorrow! All eyes on 3636 and 3600SPX on closing level! Closing below 3636 will bring mid 3500 (3555-45) next, then 3500. Closing below 3600 could cut another 100 points plus tomorrow! So far it bounced off my support (grey line below the price), that support is less important then 3636! So be very careful here! Also I wont aggressively short it, as the window for the low is tomorrow/Sunday (for futs) I will be taking off all my swing MNQ short tomorrow and wont hold over the weekend. Next week should get us a relive bounce into 6-7th high, then this can continue! Closing the month below 3600 will bring 3200 on the table for the next month or Nov too be seen This is not the time when you go all in with longs, have stops or wait for the extreme levels to come to enter (much safer bet)
SP:SPX
by RealTima
3
SPX quick update15min is diverging down, watch for 3731-32 print (I have few to short there), we came close enough though. That resistance line above it what must hold on any test, it will be quite bearish if it does today/tomorrow. Needs a gap up to confirm the low is in. I have trimmed my longs and entered with SPY Oct exp 351P, also have order to short at numbers mentioned above. For tomorrow Im looking for a higher low and move above that resistance to test the trendlines above at 3750 3750-60SPX is the next resistance after 3725-35SPX Im not shorting here till I see my 3731
SP:SPX
by RealTima
32
SPX Main resistance is at 3752-55We didnt get lower open I was expecting, instead it gaped up. Im not trusting this moves up till new low is made. This week should be green going into next one imo so have to mind that. Mon/Tue are the days for the temp low and since we made a higher high, it seems we got one yesterday. Will be watching levels to go long. Main support in 3680s (if it gets there, I will be starting with some longs) Supports are on the chart, below the price
SP:SPX
by RealTima
13
Very important place to hold, I think it wontSo close to new lows. DOW already made one last Fri. SPX to make today or tomorrow imo. Too many stops below that low Jun low, Im sure algos will shave those, before turn. Fear and Greed is at Extreme fear levels, VIX is above 31-32, perfect bottoming indicators to me Below the support line (3662-58) we will see 3636-20 and my ideal target 3588 Im not going long till tomorrow BTW ES already broken support and last night low and just needs a continuation
SP:SPX
by RealTima
23
SPX pathwayThis update works only if we wont flash crash tomorrow from the open or even pre-market. Next week is a directional change week! If we hold 3636-40 on closing level it will be quite bullish imo. But I still think we will deep down to 3588SPX before it finds a good bottom. Timing is limited for Mon/Tuesday am only, so tomorrow's action is very important. I think we bottom either tomorrow or Tuesday. Regardless of that low Im going to watch Tuesday higher daily close to mark temp bottom. Ideally we see 3960SPX on the move up by early Oct. But it can be limited to 3830SPX Going to start buying tomorrow if we hit 3636-40SPX and add at 3588SPX. My pathway is this: - bottom on Tuesday - up move into 3rd/4th - down into Oct 7th Dont get trapped with shorts next 2 days!
SP:SPX
by RealTima
29
$SPY $SPX - #SPY #SPX Where is the S & P 500 Index headed next?On Friday September 23rd, the FED held a very important meeting to discuss the current issues that we are facing economically, while most of the comments were bleak, there were a few clues that our supply chain could finally see a light at the end of the tunnel by next year (not without heartache of course). The largest issue we are facing is supply chain & employment retention issues. The supply chain will be slowly improving now until the end of the year. If you are following my social media page, I've stated that shipping prices will see a decline beginning this week (shipping is a large part of our supply chain issues). The second large issue is understaffed production. I believe this will adjust as more corporations begin laying off workers, the job market will tighten, making entry level positions more competitive. Real Estate will get slaughtered into the New year to make housing more affordable, but keep in mind we do have a shortage in homes (considering how many millennial/gen Xers are still living with their mamas). New home builders cannot profit with high inflation, high interest loans and a declining real estate market. The will begin to pay off debts first to avoid the new high rates and then buy back single family homes to flip for profits and/or buy back their own beaten down stocks. As FED pivots, homes will get purchased again so not at all am I expecting a 2008 scenario. When the FED decides to pivot, the best place to hold cash will be BITCOIN, GOLD, SILVER, STOCKS, (possibly real estate if you have cash on hand) ect and at that time $DXY will drop and the Dollar will no longer be the best store of value. I listened to the entire 2+ hours of the FED meeting and after analyzing the current data and Jerome Powell's hawkish nature, I'm NOT expecting a big bounce in the S&P 500 Index anytime soon. The shorts are piling in and for good reason because we will definitely drop down and make a fresh low this year. A pivot in our current sentiment isn't happening next month, the bounce going into October will be much weaker than the previous one we just had, maybe just to squeeze enough shorts out of existence before actually making the plunge into the final accumulation pattern. I will keep updating my thoughts as more data is printed but for now this is an estimate of how I see the price action flowing on The S & P 500 Index. Happy Sunday!!
AMEX:SPYShort
by ChaldeaCode
2
S&P500 | RECESSION FEARS GROWWorld's Equity Market trumple as Fed continue to raise interest rate and there is no hope to cut the rate in near sight. DXY is the only winner since the second half of the 2021. Oil price moves more downside as recession fear grow and we might have entered in recession way before. This is the analysis of S&P500 which is the major benchmark for the performance of how stock markets are doing all over the world. Currently the benchmark index is at key support of EMA200 level which is 36000; a) This is the same horizontal level where price got bounced on 13th Jun 22 b) EMA 200 resides at the same level. Let's talk about if this support doesnt hold; a) We have series of Lower Highs forming an indication of bearish trend. b) The RSI is in bearish territory where sell on strength should be adopted. c) The Harmonics ABCD will complete at 32K which is also a good horizontal support. Where do you see the market heading?
SP:SPX
by TradeTrio
2
S&P500 – not the bear market, just a correction!Hello, everyone! You know me as a Bitcoin analyst, but S&P500 have the strong influence on cryptomarket. Today I revealed that the “bear market” on traditional markets is going to end. I use quotes because it is not the true bear market, just the correction. I will explain you why. What is the bear market – it’s the 5 waves Elliott cycle to the downside, but if we try to count waves the potential wave 4 overlaps the wave 1 – it means that it’s not the waves 1 and 4. Thus we have to consider it as the ABC correction. Here this ABC is represented as a zigzag. Wave A consists of the zigzag abc inside it. The same is true for wave B. Now the price continues to draw the wave C. The target for wave C could be the 0.618 Fibonacci extension ($3550). Also the MACD indicator on the 1W timeframe showing us the potential strong bullish divergence – it’s the insane reversal signal for the end of the “bear market”.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Skyrexio
10
SPX all eyes on 3721 number!Resistance is at 3725-30 now. Maj support on closing level today is 3721SPX! The price is below that number. So if we close below (and Im looking for a rally back to 3730 and fail) then we could see my 3580 as early as Monday! Next week supports are: - 3662 - 3636 - 3580 - 3540-45 ES next stop is at 3666! We are below all the possible support fib extensions, new lows are coming! How do you feel now about 5500 call (I know some of you watch my channel here), being wrong all year and not admitting it its a diagnosis! Dont get trapped going into the weekend, being in cash is a position too P.S. I got stopped on todays lotto calls, 50% cut, thats why its a lotto
SP:SPX
by RealTima
12
SPX SUMMER RALLY BREAKING DOWN? With the SPX rallying over 18% from trough to peak over the last few weeks it looks like the recent upward trend could be under threat. As we can see on the chart above price is threatening to breach the lower third standard deviation (-3SD) off the linear mean at 4058.16. Given the high central tendency of signal to revert toward the linear mean(Pearson’s R^2 = 0.92), a deviation this far to the edge of the regression channel is not insignificant. We can also see that our 1 day RSI has gone below its midline into bearish trend territory and our MACD has rolled over with signal exhibiting wide downside divergence at the mouth. These are not bullish signals. If SPX price action fails to bounce back into the channel next week and falls firmly below the 4K line for a couple days or touches down to the 3850 price region, either of those would be enough to shatter the recent rally from a structural perspective. (Not financial advice.)
SP:SPX
by The_Firewalker
1