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Spx500long

SPX 4H Analysis📈Trade Idea📉 🟡 #S&P500 Index 4H ✍️We can have two trading scenarios for this index. Considering that S&P is in the Equilibrium range, it can move as a continuation movement (CP) to the supply ranges in the chart (Premium), of course, with the condition of penetrating and closing a four-hour high candlestick (PDH-PWH). In this case, consider two scenarios for trading. In the first scenario, you can use the supply ranges specified in the chart to activate sell orders. The second scenario is for traders who are looking for a long stop in this index, they can use the block order limits specified in the chart. For trading in these areas, you can place your trade as a limit by observing the stop loss. 🟢Minor Order Block >🟢3640$ -3684$ 🟢Major Order Block >🟢3740$ -3780$ 🔴Minor Order block >🔴4080$ - 4120$ 🔴Major Order Block> 🔴4165$-41250$ 📊Poc (Point of Control) : 3960$ ⚠️ Margin 1% For each position. ⚠️Use Tight StopLoss. ✍️Desert Eagle 📊Analysis Method SMART Money Concept + ICT+ Volume Profile (DYOR) 📆11.27.2022 ⚠️This Analysis will be Updated⚠️ 💸Good Luck Traders.
SP:SPXLong
by Trader_Needs
On the way to 4110-4150, waiting for a pullback again.Analysis of the spx 500 index on November 23 Today we are here to talk about the spx 500 index. And so let's see what happened to the index over the past day. What's on the market now: Today the index is trading at the level of 4003. Yesterday on the market we saw a sharp rise in the index and an attempt to get out of the current correction. As I said earlier, the next level of growth for the index will be the level of 4110-4150. Although now the growth seems obvious, there is still a chance for the market to develop a correction. Globally, I expect the market to continue rising to the 4150-4250 level, this forecast is confirmed as there is a lot of free money in the market due to the reduction of funds and their positions in bonds that I mentioned earlier. Also, we can expect that these volumes will go to the market, and we will see a sharp increase in the index. However, if this attempt is broken, then we will see stabilization in motion and an attempt to roll back the index to the level of 3860. What I'm looking forward to today: Today at the open, I expect an attempt to roll back the index to the level of 3970. But since there are new volumes in the market, therefore, there is still a possibility of a sharp increase in the index to the level of 4115. But if this attempt is broken, then we will see a sharp drop in the index to the level of 3860. Here are my trading recommendations for today. What I recommend If you want to go short: Short positions are possible from the 4110-4150 level, limit your losses. If you want to go long: Long positions are possible from the level of 3860, limit your losses. If you are out of the market: If you're out of the market. Then you need the perfect price to trade. Long positions are possible from 3860, limit your losses. If you want to open a short position, then it is better to do it from the level of 4110, 4250. Limit your losses. Also remember to contact me in 2 or 3 days for further trading advice. Subscribe to my channel and you will always be aware of the movement of the S&P 500 index . Press Boost if you agree with the current market situation. Thank you! See you next time! Goodbye!
SP:SPXLong
by kvatoo_FX
2
Get ready. The end of this correction is near, a key moment.Analysis of the spx 500 index 11/21/22 Today we are here to talk about the SPX 500 index. And so let's see what happened to the index over the past day. What's on the market now: Today the index is trading at 3949. Yesterday, as I expected, we saw an attempt to increase the index at the market opening, i mentioned earlier. However, there were few volumes on the market and they were enough to maintain and stabilize the index. Thus, yesterday’s attempt to grow was not realized. And so today the market will have another chance for the growth of the index. However, today in the morning the situation on the market is different than yesterday. Many market participants saw the weakness of the market and the hesitation of buyers. This will be a signal to experienced players to reduce their positions if the index fails to grow. This will cause the index to drop sharply. What today: Today at the opening of the market, rates are rising, the market is expected to be likely to move sharply. The index will have one last attempt to rise to the level of 4110-4150. However, if this attempt is broken, then we will see a sharp drop in the index to the level of 3860 and below. What I recommend If you want to go short: Short positions are possible with a sharp move down. You can go short if the market goes down sharply, but limit your losses. If you want to go long: Long positions are possible with a sharp move up. You can go long if the market goes up sharply, but limit your losses. If you are out of the market: If you're out of the market. Then you need the perfect price to trade. Long positions are possible from 3860, limit your losses. If you want to open a short position, then it is better to do it from the level of 4110, 4250. Limit your losses. Also remember to contact me in 2 or 3 days for further trading advice. Subscribe to my channel and you will always be aware of the movement of the S&P 500 index . Press Boost if you agree with the current market situation. Thank you! Bye!
SP:SPXLong
by kvatoo_FX
3
Last attempt to rise to 4110-4150 before a deep correction.Analysis of the spx 500 index 11/21/22 Today we are here to talk about the SPX 500 index. And so let's see what happened to the index over the past day. What's on the market now: Today the index is trading at the level of 3946. As expected earlier, the market started to correct. And yesterday we saw the price reach the 3920-3900 level which I mentioned earlier. Now the market is in the zone of consolidation, and will leave it when there are new volumes of money on the market. Today, the market is in a sideways movement, however, I expect an attempt to increase the index to the level of 3975-3990, but if experienced players enter the market, then we will see a sharp movement of the index to the level of 3860. However, if this attempt is broken, then the target for the index will be 4150. What today: Here are my trading recommendations for today. Today I expect the index to stabilize and try to rise to the level of 3990 and then the index will try to move to the level of 3860. But if this attempt is broken, then we will see a sharp increase in the index to the level of 4110-4150. What I recommend If you want to go short: Short positions are possible from the 4110 - 4150 level. This would be an ideal place to sell this week, limit your losses. If you want to go long: Long positions are possible from the 3860 level, this would be an ideal buy, limit your losses. If you are out of the market: If you are out of the market. Then you need the perfect price to trade. Long positions are possible from 3860, limit your losses. If you want to open a short position, then it is better to do it from the level of 4110, 4250. Limit your losses. Also remember to contact me in 2 or 3 days for further trading advice. Subscribe to my channel and you will always be aware of the movement of the S&P 500 index . Press Boost if you agree with the current market situation. Thank you! See you next time! Bye!
SP:SPXLong
by kvatoo_FX
2
SPX500: 4110-4150 before a deep correction, key point.Analysis of the spx 500 index 11/21/22 Today we are here to talk about the SPX 500 index. And so let's see what happened to the index over the past day. What's on the market now: Today the index is trading at 3965. Last Friday we saw the index approach the 3990-4000 level I mentioned earlier. Also at the end of the day we saw trade entries from experienced players. Today I expect the index to make one last attempt to get out of the sideways movement it has been in for the last 7-10 days. The market still has a chance to continue its movement to the level of 4110, however, there is a small possibility of this. Which is likely to be implemented in the morning. However, if this attempt fails, then the target of the index will be 3860. What today: Today, the index at the opening will have a chance to make the last attempt to rise to the level of 4110-4150. But if this attempt is broken, then we will see a sharp drop in the index to the level of 3860. What I recommend If you want to go short: Short positions are possible from the 4110 – 4150 level. This would be an ideal place to sell this week, limit your losses. If you want to go long: Long positions are possible from the 3860 level, this would be an ideal buy, limit your losses. If you are out of the market: If you are out of the market. Then you need the perfect price to trade. Long positions are possible from 3860, limit your losses. If you want to open a short position, then it is better to do it from the level of 4110, 4250. Limit your losses. Also remember to contact me in 2 or 3 days for further trading advice. Subscribe to my channel and you will always be aware of the movement of the S&P 500 index . Press Boost if you agree with the current market situation. Thank you! See you next time! Bye!
SP:SPXLong
by kvatoo_FX
1
Possible targets for Santa Claus Rally: 4060-4250-4400Analysis of the spx 500 index 11/11/22 Today we are here to talk about the SPX 500 index. And so let's see what happened to the index over the past day. What's on the market now: Today the index is trading at 3960. Yesterday, we saw a sharp rise in the index. I thought that such an event was unlikely, but it happened. As I said earlier, if there is such an abnormal event in the market, then the market will go to the level of 3970-4050. Where is the index located at the current moment. The current trading volume, which is present on the market, allows us to think that the level of 3970-4060 will be only a temporary point, then the market will need a small rollback to the level of 3880. Where will the market have a chance to start the Santa Claus rally. What I'm looking forward to today: Today, the market is still likely to move sharply to the level of 4025-4060. After that, I expect the market to stabilize and an attempt to roll back to 3880. Here are my trading recommendations for today. What I recommend If you want to go short: Short positions are possible from the 4060 level, limit your losses. If you want to go long: Long positions are possible on a rollback from the level of 3880. If you are out of the market: Long positions are possible on a rollback from the level of 3880, If you want to open a short position, then it is better to do it from the level of 4060, limit your losses. Also remember to contact me in 2 or 3 days for further trading advice. Subscribe to my channel and you will always be aware of the movement of the S&P 500 index . Press Boost if you agree with the current market situation. Thank you! See you next time! Bye!
SP:SPX
by kvatoo_FX
Observation of Recent Trends & A Likely Reversal; SPX500Good Day All, By looking at the first four days of November, it clearly shows a downtrend which resulted in more than 5% reduction in SPX500 levels. But slowly and steadily Prices are recovering and heading for the consolidation zone that is from 3830 - 3870, The 40 point range and the price's behavior will determine whether it'll be bullish/bearish, but judging from the key levels marked in black, though some may call it outdated, I have observed prices in many unique pairs almost always respecting levels of old. To conclude, I hope prices will continue its bullish trend past the consolidation zone for reasoning which may not sound logical but then again, I'm still new to this. If indeed by rare occurrence someone decides to use this prediction, please do your own analysis first and foremost, while i don't mind my idea helping others, I wouldn't like to see others fail alongside me due to my own. Take Profit 1 : 3855 Take Profit 2 : 3870 Stop Loss : 3790 Possible Prediction Expiry Date & Rules: If Price Breaks Out of Bounds & A Week Or So.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by xevious000
1
SPX updated Fri chartFibs are on the chart, so far stopped at 50% retracement, I would expect 61.8 to get hit today, right into the resistance trendline (black line) Yesterday's box was resistance, now its a support, use that if you want to go long (if we get a pullback today) I was expecting this rally, but missed am entry, had one NQ running on the long side from yesterday and that was closed at the open spike. I have also added back to my swing short MNQ (was closed those at 645 and 685 mentioned pre-market on that spike down), not doing anything else, as this can stretch up into the 7th and I dont want to increase my short position here. You saw how they can do destroy both sides with am fckery, so have stops if you are in green, do not let your trade turn against you! Again its Friday, DO NOT OVER TRADE! Dont give them back your weekly gains!
SP:SPX
by RealTima
31
SPX Weekend updateThis will be a quick update. As long as we hold 3907-13SPX on closing level we should see lower going into Tuesday am, then up into 2nd/3rd high. Another possibility is we bottom on the 2nd and reverse into the Midterms with higher levels to be seen, maybe even above 4-4.1k zone I really have no good support till the support cluster zone at 3739-3750SPX There are 2 supports on the way, look for 2 grey lines below the price. Ideally we gap down tomorrow and wont look back till 3750-40 zone is tested then a rally back to 3918SPX before the Fed decision. Im having a dilemma is we see a low or a high on the 2nd (pre-FED), ideally its a low and not the high, as I want to see a good push into Midterms with the high to be seen on week of Nov 7th. Then I would expect a strong move down to at least re-test of Oct 13th lows + or -, if not 34 handle. Its getting to a point where it can breakout, cant rule out that. If we do, we should see 4-4.1k and no way higher then 4300. Nov is a bearish month when going back to Mid-Term elections and since its a bear market, I expect Nov to be a red month with Oct being the high month. Tomorrow am will be a telling story, so far futures are slightly down and we have a gap from Sunday open, futures gaps always get filled! Will those be filled after a strong move down tomorrow into the 2nd or it might get filled before the open or in am at top. Again all eyes on 3907-13SPX as a maj resistance going into tomorrow. If the price closes strongly above that resistance tomorrow, I will get long into Nov 2nd high. So far Im swing short and quite under the water from Fri close. Its going to be a very volatile month, so dont get emotional thinking that you're missing the train and jump when tomorrow it all can dramatically change
SP:SPX
by RealTima
8
Buying SPX at previous resistance.US500 - 8h expiry - We look to Buy at 3851 (stop at 3825) Trades at the highest level in 6 weeks. An overnight positive theme in Equities has led to a higher open this morning. The previous swing high is located at 3912. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. Bespoke resistance is located at 4065. We look to set longs in early trade for a further test of the fragile looking resistance. Our profit targets will be 3925 and 4060 Resistance: 3912 / 3925 / 4065 Support: 3869 / 3850 / 3800 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by OANDA
Time to forecast the quick run upIn addition to wave theory I have developed a line theory of sorts. I draw lines based on only two points to judge support, resistance, or potential trends. I personally do not call things a trend until 3 occurrences are observed so marking these lines based on two points are not a trend. I draw the following: Red lines = Beginning of wave 1 to top of wave 2 generally contains entire impulsive wave. Green lines = End of wave 3 of 1 to end of wave 5 of 1 generally gets end of wave 5 of 3. Yellow lines = Beginning of corrective wave (A1) to end of wave C3 generally gets end of corrective wave (C5). Blue lines = End of Micro 2 to end of Macro 2 or 4 confirms end to macro impulse. White lines = End of wave 2 to end of wave 4, break beyond confirms impulse is over. I have remained in the camp of still being in Intermediate wave 5 down for at least a few more weeks, but some of the Line Theory above along with Elliott Wave Theory has me thinking otherwise. There are two main reasons I believe Cycle wave A has likely ended. 1 - Some Elliott Wave (EW) theorists hold that Wave 4 cannot go into the same realm of Wave 1 which has now occurred as of Friday. Intermediate wave 1 ended with a bottom of 3886.75. While this level remained a solid resistance, it was broken on Friday and Intermediate wave 4 is now above it. While this is a principal or rule of EW theory to some, I have seen these broken multiple times in my studies that otherwise kept waves intact and I do not give strong consideration on its own. 2 - Two major breaks with my light blue lines. Minor 2 inside of Intermediate 1 to Intermediate 2 was broke on October 25. This would confirm the current impulse has ended. Second, the light blue lines from a micro 2 to a macro 2 or macro 4 are always downward when that is the direction of the trend Minor 2 inside of Intermediate 3 to the current position (assuming end of Intermediate 4) is nearly flat while barely downward in the moment. This is stemming from the Minor 2 top at 3907.07 to the current top of 3905.42. Monday will likely tip this line upward. Here is the chart of my old theory with the two violations. If we are still in Cycle A and Intermediate wave 4, we have retraced 65.93% of Intermediate wave 3’s movement which puts this into the final quartile based on historical data. New Theory - Cycle B The only two things I do not like about this theory is that Intermediate wave 5 inside of Primary 5 would have been quite short at only 6 days. Granted this tied the all-time minimum length so its not impossible. Secondly, my early top estimates are around 4600, however, our recent gains have us moving so fast that we could hit that mark well ahead of schedule. Granted we will swing up in Primary wave A, down in B and then back up to our final top during wave C. I plotted out the full length of the bear market back on July 4th ( ). At that time I forecasted the length to be around 813 from start to finish which would place the bottom around March 2025. I also plotted the bottom in October this year and next major top in the summer of 2023. On August 20th, I broke down what a bear market over 813 trading days would look like based on historical wave lengths and relationships ( ). Cycle wave A is was estimated to last around 25% of the length of Supercycle wave 2. This would place Cycle wave A ending around October 18th. As of now, the bottom was October 13th, which is only 3 trading days earlier than estimated. This implies the bear market bottom remains on track for around March 2025 for now. If we are in Cycle wave B now, this would mean the market is in Sub-Millennial wave 1, Grand SuperCycle 5, SuperCycle 2, Cycle wave B and most likely Primary A, Intermediate 1, Minor wave 4. The full short reference to this point is 152BA14. Total stats for Cycle wave A had it begin at 4818.62 on January 4, 2022. It ended 195 trading days later at 3491.58. By October 13, 2022, the market had dropped 1327.04 from top to bottom which was a loss of 27.54%. Projection for Cycle wave B: Gain 1108.42 points over 190 days. LENGTH: Based on waves ending in 152B, the models weakly forecast the full length of Cycle B to last 29, 39, 65, 143 or 223 days in length. 142 days is near early summer estimates around May 10, 2023 while 223 days lines up with the late summer 2023 estimate near September 5. Based on waves ending in 52B, the same lengths are possible with the addition of 117, 146, and 165 days. The most model agreement is 195 days which would tie the length of Cycle A and end around July 26, 2023. Lastly, waves ending in 2B provide strongest model agreement at 98 days (March 23, 2023) followed by 195 days again. Waves ending in 52B tend to comprise 21-27% of the wave they reside inside. If the overall larger wave is around 810 days (new target based on Cycle wave A length), 21% could make Cycle wave B 170 days long while 27% is 218 days. Even though waves ending in 152B rarely last the same length or longer than the wave A that precedes them, I will place the estimate at 190 days for now. GAIN: Based on waves ending in 152B, the first quartile of movement retracement of wave A is at 51.30% while the median retracement is 71.43% and third quartile is 72.07%. Wave B has retraced 113.17% of wave A before which would present new all-time highs for the index if that occurred here. Waves ending in 52B have a first quartile retracement of 67.02%, median at 81.39% and third quartile of 94.28%. Lastly, waves ending in 2B have a reduced first quartile at 58.61%, median at 76.51% and third quartile of 88.81%. FORECAST: For now, I am projecting a top around 4600 by mid to late July 2023. This would be a gain of 1,108.42 points, or 31.75% off the bottom, in nearly 190 days. Based on these projections I am plotting Primary wave A and wave B at the following locations. PRIMARY WAVE A tends to contribute 12.5 – 61.93% to the length of the overall wave it resides inside. With an overall projection at 190 days, this could make Primary wave A 22 – 117 days long. The first quartile is 23.77%, median is 35.19%, and third quartile is 52.91%. That equates to day lengths of 45, 67, and 100 respectively. Wave As in generally account for around 25% of the waves the reside in. We will bump the estimated length to around 50 days which aligns with the final trading day before Christmas. The movement tends to contribute 24-156% of the overall move with the first quartile at 49.86%, median at 73.33% and third quartile at 89.84%. These find levels could place the next market top in 2022 at 3756.60 (already past), 4044.29, 4304.38, 4487.44, and 5223.26. At the breakneck pace the market has travelled in two weeks, a top around 4375-4430 is most likely. PRIMARY WAVE B tends to contribute 8 - 50% to the length of the overall wave it resides inside. The potential lengths based on the minimum, quartiles, and maximum would be 15, 24, 41, 60 and 95 days long. Additional datapoints can provide more numbers when considering the historical relationships between waves A and B. Wave A tends to be at least twice the length of wave B pitting the potential median length of this wave B near 22 days long. When considering the first quartile relationship wave B could be longer at 66 days. There is a Federal Reserve meeting at the beginning of February which would be approximately 25 days into wave B and another in late March at 59 days into wave B. We will plot the bottom of B at the latter meeting for now as the Federal Reserve should be able to see some inflation improvement from the 2022 rate hikes and the legislative agenda of a new Congress. Wave B’s movement is likely to make up 18-45% of the larger wave which would take it to roughly today’s trading prices. Coincidently, in March 2023 this would be around the market’s current resistance line. The line that began at the beginning of the bear market with the second point at the end Primary wave 2 is roughly the same as the line from the end of Primary wave 2 and Primary wave 4. These have been resistance lines for the market thus far, but once we break above them, they are likely to become new support levels. This would see wave B lose about 600 points or 13% over 59 days in the first quarter of 2023. These dates and levels will change as more data comes in from Primary wave A and line theory is plotted as well. The final set of projections will be the intermediate waves inside of Primary wave A. Wave 1 could last 5-10-13 days based on the quartiles and it is currently at 11 days. I project it to currently be in the final leg of Minor wave 5 with the Federal Reserve likely being the top and end of Intermediate wave 1 at 14 days long. The quartiles could deliver Intermediate wave 1 gains of 280-336-677 points. So far we have gained 413.84 which is above the median and we are not done yet. 677 points is possible placing the top around 4168 which is another 200 points up over 3 days. However, my line theory could place the top around 4030 which is just over 100 points from Friday’s close. Early guess is folks believe the Fed is taking a breather while my analysis is telling me they are about to do something unexpected set to temporarily shock markets. Wave 2 could last 1-4-5-8-17 days based on minimum-quartiles-maximum. The ratio of wave 1 length to wave 2 narrows the field to 2-5-11 days long. I will plot it around 5-6 days for now. The market could be looking at a drop of 172-220-358 based on the quartiles for movement inside of the larger wave while movement based on 1:2 ratios points at quartiles of 295-367-452. I will plot around a 330 drop for now. This places the bottom the day after election day. The market will likely rejoice if there is guaranteed gridlock in Washington. This is a perfect place to begin an expansive wave 3 rally. The data gets looser the more estimated variables deeper we get so I won’t get too specific yet. Based on contribution to larger wave, wave 3 could last 8-14-19-22-27 days. Based on relationship to wave 1 it could last 7-16-23-35 days and based on it relationship to wave 2 it could last 9-33 days. I will plot it around 17 days for now. CPI release would be 23 days deep so that is something to consider as well. The gain could take us up near 4300. Wave 4 could see a drop down toward 4100 over 5 days before wave 5 finishes out Primary A before Christmas. Ultimately the run up will not be close to sustainable which will finally force everything down where it belongs. The billionaires stating the economy is not in a good position will be correct soon, but lets enjoy the run up while we can.
SP:SPXLong
by StockSignaler
SPX update Oct 28thTodays candle, if it closes up (it seems that it will), going to cancel the topping pattern candles we had last 2 days, means more squeeze to come. Next stop is at 3907-09SPX for the top of this move. Support is at 3725-35SPX and I will be buying it for that last target with a stop I have posted in comments this am: That my 50% short was stopped at BE other 50% I took off after the AMZN move, also some protective longs sold yesterday evening at a loss and rest this am with a small gain. I went back to sleep in am and now its a more clear picture to me. Im still in that B wave down camp, only it might be a start of a new wave and that C can be shorter as we are approaching 3907-09. If it does want to extend then we could see very well 4k, but Im not in that camp just yet. My target is the same for the next low - 3690-3718SPX at min, below we could see a retest of Oct lows, which I personally think will be re-tested and it should make new lows into 34 and 32 handle. Again there is no more crash window, but month of Nov is a seasonally bearish month after Oct high! Note this, that its bearish during the bear market, which we are now! Many will be looking for a bullish month of Nov based on regular seasonal pattern. My swing short is quite under the water after those being BE last night, Im holding those for my targets mentioned above
SP:SPX
by RealTima
17