Ideal Sell trade of the day -- 30M trade Idea --
Confluences: broke below Breaker -- Previous OB had support at that Breaker (Which also had support inside a previous 45m FVG it rejected) so I expected that price was not needed to come back into this breaker again -- We also had a lower 30M fvg which we tapped into and did not need to fill, as it just tapped into the low of that fvg for liquidity and then sold lower.
We can also see that we had a Gap from the opening week which I did not mark on this chart but will show here: (BOLD RED LINES)
We can see we had major support and resistance there for manipulation lower very quickly to tae the lows and tap back into that previous orderblock.
9AM open was the EXACT time we tap into that 30M FVG and sell heavily.. talk about manipulation ... haha
we then take the lows from Asian and London ( London had already tapped Asian lows however I sure there were people who re-entered once more after getting stopped out)
It is now 11:52 and we are getting a retracement back into the Asian midpoint from our session earlier today, the question is will it become a support or be a resistance since we are tapping below it..
However, This is an outline of the ideal trade idea for someone who just wants to get in and out of the markets by a certain time. My aim is to be on the charts by 8:30-9am so that I can catch the retracement of the day. I don't need to catch the whole move. I want to be in and out of the markets. I am learning to control my greed because ultimately that is what causes you to lose your profits. Confidence and Determination to execute your trades is what is needed in order to be truly successful. That is why I am creating a robotic system that I don't need to think it can be just a pattern that I follow on the daily basis based n what the market gives me.
Spx500short
SPX still not positive.US500 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 3679 (stop at 3721)
Prices have continued the bearish move lower and resulted in 3 consecutive negative days.
We look for losses to be extended today.
A firmer opening is expected to challenge bearish resolve.
Resistance is located at 3690 and should cap gains to this area.
We look to sell rallies.
Our profit targets will be 3572 and 3550
Resistance: 3690 / 3800 / 4110
Support: 3570 / 3210 / 2800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
SPX last night email update chartMorning everyone,
Im sharing my last night work with you here. This was sent out to those who are on my email list.
It was a long update, I will copy paste only important stuff here:
I think we get Jun low to Aug high type of move but much faster.
Looking at the zoomed in chart (4h white background chart)
- You can see that I expect to have a deep pullback into Fri (ideal target is 3680-70SPX), another move up from there either to 3875SPX to finish up the whole move up of this 4th wave.
- Or we get Jun to Aug (but faster) move off the lows and get a move from upcoming Fri low back to 3785, down to 3645 and final strong move up to 4040-4100SPX. This pathway will make the next high not mid month but closer to the EOM (making higher monthly close)
After mid or end of the month high expect the final move down early Nov to finish up the whole move down of A wave from Jan high and mark the low for the year.
Targets to hit:
- If the price makes 4040-4100SPX , then the first target will be back to just a bit under 3600SPX
- Ideal target zone is 3475 and 3389-95SPX
- 3212SPX is the extended target
Trading plan for the rest of the week.
- Looking to start taking off my swing short at 3715-20SPX level and will start layering with longs there 25%
- Exit full short position at 3670-80SPX level and get 50% more longs to make it 75% long position
- In case we hit (less odds) 3640SPX I will be 125% long, otherwise I will add on a move above 3755-3760 test and hold.
On the simple daily SPX chart 110MA is below 50MA can be the main target to hit next, need to close above the mid Bollinger, which I think will happen on the move up after Fri low.
I really think the price should close the last gap from 3678SPX before the move up resumes.
I want to see a price gap down below 3750 from the open to have my plan playing out.
3640SPX is a very important number to hold on any closing level!
Numbers of importance for tomorrow:
Resistance:
- 3876SPX (closing above should see 3960SPX next)
Support:
- 3749-50SPX, closing below should see below 3700 next
- 3715-20SPX
- 3670-80SPX
- 3640-45SPX
Im Swing ShortSPX target 3680-88SPX now, ideal 3640-45 test
If we hold 3640 on closing level, I will be looking for 3900 test
Im swing short here with SPY puts, ES and NQ
Got a bit burned with stop losses, gave back most of my am profits.
Im getting a feeling that this will sell hard into Fri, will add to my swing short on any advance.
SPX supports to holdThe price is finally giving up, recent history is showing that the rallies are lasting 2 days, will it repeat today and we close red, we will see.
Numbers of importance for today:
Support:
- 3749 (on closing level)
- 3712.40
- 3680-88SPX (Again this number as an important) support, now becomes an ideal target)
- 3640.50 is a final must hold on any close today and tomorrow
Resistance:
- 3830
- 3860
- 3875
Tomorrow must be very careful with longs! this can really fall tomorrow if no turn today.
SPX gapped above 3735The price gaped above the main resistance line, there is noting much but air above.
Main target is 3850 now, while first resistance is at 3788-90SPX
Any pullbacks should be bought imo, especially 3735-15
Level of importance is 3715 on closing level, must hold on any closing to continue higher
SPX must take 3675 for higher levels to be seenI really want to see 3675SPX tested and then a move above it after a retracement.
The down trend channel is important here, so all eyes on 3675SPX!
Im out from my Fri longs at 3645, will re-enter
Also closed my SPY 346 calls at BE, very happy with not loosing there:)
Please note, all the purple lines are the unfilled gaps!
P.S. Dont forget to like (click star-ship button) my posts, so it gets pushed up on TV for others to see as well.
Thanks in advance!
SPX500 Update to Sell IDEA (L taken)To go over my thought process with this trade -- I realized We are going over those highs -- We had 3 distinct BSL zones look intreaguing -- The funny part is my Initial Entry that I was targetting ALL ALONG was correct..
This is the trade I am currently in targetting 3628.75.
-- SL NOW AT BE
- We had distinct lows all 3 were higher lows than the other..
However, today we broke the previous low from MIDNIGHT EST at 9:40AM right before the news came out.
We come to take all the Internal liquidity created within NY session to then continue the sell.
We had a Breaker and FVG waiting to get tagged as well as the Breaker from the previous low that was taken earlier this week as resistance.
There are other confluences I just can't think of them at the moment but will add any notes or anything interesting below this thread.
SP500 CONTINUES ITS DOWNTRENDAfter the Wednesday rebound, SP500 went into downturn again in Thursday, amid investors fears of economic slowdown and further interest increase.
The benchmark hit new low on Wednesday, before rebound, of 3602, which was not tested yesterday, but if the downtrend keeps its momentum, this level might be tested and even levels of 3480 might be reached. In the opposite scenario, if the trend reverses, the price might reach its high of 4160.
All technical indicators are confirming the bearish trend, with MACD histogram below 0 line and RSI approaching oversold zone of the 30 line.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
SPX is looking lower as wellI wanted one more high today to short and the price is just so weak, its unreal!
This was my NQ update from last night
No more longs for me till the quarter end tomorrow!
All eyes on 3636 and 3600SPX on closing level!
Closing below 3636 will bring mid 3500 (3555-45) next, then 3500.
Closing below 3600 could cut another 100 points plus tomorrow!
So far it bounced off my support (grey line below the price), that support is less important then 3636!
So be very careful here! Also I wont aggressively short it, as the window for the low is tomorrow/Sunday (for futs)
I will be taking off all my swing MNQ short tomorrow and wont hold over the weekend.
Next week should get us a relive bounce into 6-7th high, then this can continue! Closing the month below 3600 will bring 3200 on the table for the next month or Nov too be seen
This is not the time when you go all in with longs, have stops or wait for the extreme levels to come to enter (much safer bet)
SPX 500 how low can we go?In the past 2 years things were very strange, good and bad.
But now again during the uncertain times, what can we expect?
Well, I just put 2007-2009 crash chart, and what we can see, believe it or not, it looks very similar to the current one.
What needs to happen in the world to see such a collapse or even worse than in 2008..
There can be a lot of reasons, let's point out the top points - we have "old good" money printing machine continuation, energy crisis and war in Ukraine. So regarding the war, if putin will use tactical nukes (which is possible, but before he will lose even more soldiers on the battlefield) world will be in TOTAL shock and panic!!! And if this scenario playing out (which is obviously the worst and extremely unfortunate scenario), then we can expect SPX price even lower than 2100...
This is my personal opinion only. Thank you for your attention! :)
SPX quick update15min is diverging down, watch for 3731-32 print (I have few to short there), we came close enough though.
That resistance line above it what must hold on any test, it will be quite bearish if it does today/tomorrow.
Needs a gap up to confirm the low is in.
I have trimmed my longs and entered with SPY Oct exp 351P, also have order to short at numbers mentioned above.
For tomorrow Im looking for a higher low and move above that resistance to test the trendlines above at 3750
3750-60SPX is the next resistance after 3725-35SPX
Im not shorting here till I see my 3731
S&P 500 and the start down move coming soon here is my setup for on S&P500
my expectation is the end of the long up move gonna be from the area A or B
in chart all my SL for both area
make sure to trade with SL
the down move gonna be fast and maybe you will not able to enter the trade
the best way to trade it to wait until you see the first move then you try to have entry on 5060% of reverse wave i think this the best to have nice position
good luck
SPX Break 3646 and we are off to hit my buy zoneThis is why Im not jumping on the long side today just yet, another bull trap from the open.
I want new lows to enter with longs, ideally we hit 3588 or at least low 3600. Maj closing support is at 3636-39
The buy is coming soon, waiting to press at lower levels
Selling SPX into a rally.US500 - Intraday Expiry 9pm UK - We look to Sell at 3777 (stop at 3836)
Sentiment remains negative despite the pull-back higher in prices.
We are assessed to be in a corrective mode higher.
Horizontal resistance is seen at 3800.
Resistance could prove difficult to breakdown.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 3640 and 3600
Resistance: 3800 / 4155 / 4322
Support: 3640 / 3280 / 2800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
SPX500 getting absorbed by sellers!Hey tradomanics,
currently we see an inceberg-order and absorptionat the top of the day.
As long as aggressive sellers dont appear price wont drop as limit-orders can`t move the market, but we know we have a strong resistance here!
Overall a fakeout-zone so watch this price carefully! A another fakeout above this orderblock could provide more liquidity to the sellers.
Current situation is not very clear but buyers tend to exthaust so a drop is likely!
What do you think?