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Spx500short

Time to take advantage of the ES_F correction?Greetings traders. Upon viewing the Mini S&P, it seems a few factors have lined up to provide a shorting opportunity! First we have a great test and rejection of structural resistance around the 4475 area which lined up with the retracement zone of the move from 4550 down to 4293. Since then, we have put in an nicely formed impulse that diverges well between wavs 3 and 5. On top of that, price has formed a bat pattern that lends weight to a reversal that seems to be already under way! I am going to try a short with a target zone between 4383 and 4362 with stops above 4440! Good luck!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by east-west_trading
2
Warning Signals S&P500 SPX500 SPX DJI DJT - Macro Analysis🚨We are nearing a Dow-Sell-Signal acc. to the new Dow-Theory🚨 We had a drop of more than 3% S&P and Dow which is causing a secondary reaction. If the S&P stays below $4400 the secondary reaction is confirmed. This is the FIRST step acc. to the Dow-Theory system by Jack Schannep! The economy is still in a major post-pandemic depression and many S&P500 companies are not profitable anymore! FED has pumped up the stock market artificially with free funny money that it has even broken above a resistance trend-line (cyan line) which exists since 1936 and at the same time the Buffet indicator indicates an extreme overvalued sell signal! Also the Wave Trend Oscillator, MACD and StochRSI has crossed bearish at 2W TF & 3W TF recently which means that bullish momentum is exhausted and that we are at a tipping point right now. Basically it was a bullish signal that the $SPX has broken through the resistance trend-line (cyan line) but I think this was just a so called "overthrow" or "fake out"! Since May 2021 we have a divergence between the Dow-Jones and the Dow transportation average which is a disconfirmation of the stock bull market. SMI (smart money indicator) shows that smart money is scaling out for months now (not shown on chart). Furthermore, sentiment signals also indicated very rare warning signals. For instance, Jason Goepfert's (sentiment-trader) indicators flashed rare warning signals recently, which means that there is a high spread between bear market probability and macro index models. Last time Jason´s sentiment indicator showed such a high spread was 14 years ago! Also Robert Prechter's Bear Market Prediction (Macro Elliott Wave Analysis with Fibonacci-Cycles) is confirming that we are nearing the end of a major stock bull market soon. Ray Dalio´s debt cycle model (Short & Long-Term Debt-Cycles) is also indicating that we are on the verge of a serve debt crisis which will cause a major post-pandemic depression similar to 1929. Currently the consensus (the herd) is thinking that we are currently in a high inflationary environment, but this was just a temporary spike in inflation rate which is currently at a dipping point. A deflationary shock will come sooner or later but an accurate predication when this will happen is impossible. When the debt bubble implodes (credit crunch) there will be high deflation also when it could be short-lived (economic depressions are usually deflationary). Also smart-money is betting on deflation which is anticipated in the recent raise of bond prices. At the end of the debt cycle central banks will expand the money supply even further (more money printing) which could cause high inflation but this also depends on factors like velocity of money and on the credit supply. For instance Japan is in a depression for approximately 30 years and there is still no high inflation due to manipulation with negative interest rate policy (NIRP). However, you should know that in the background the elite has already established plans for the great reset which will force everyone to transition into a new monetary system. Banks and other financial institutions will use “Ice-Nine freezes” to get your money! Be prepared and have CASH on the sidelines. This could get very ugly! Of course these major stock market signals also have negative impact on cryptos as well... We recommend to accumulate gold and silver during the deflationary shock. Also US treasury bonds usually are a good investment in a low-interest rate environment (=raising bond prices). A deflationary shock will be a very good opportunity :-) Disclaimer! I´m not a financial adviser. For educational purpose only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading decisions. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
SP:SPXShort
by Asset-Ethology
1
Perfect Risk to Reward trade for SPXDespite the fact that the S&P is still largely bullish and a lot of data point to the upside, the truth is that currently the SPX has broken a very key trend that was tested many many times. It hasn't had a 10% correction since September 2020, while it has gone up 42% since its September 2020 low and 109% since its March 2020 lows. The truth is that it could keep going and I think it will go higher medium to long term, but I just feel that it will go to test 3900-4000 before going even more parabolic. Up until now most were going long on this very obvious trend. Too many perfect bounces on the Monthly Pivots + Diagonal + 50 DMA. Now all these are lost and they could turn into resistance after being support for so long. Of course the really long term trend is bullish and this might just be a trap. A trap to make everyone think the big trend is broken, only to send it higher. Essentially even if we don't win this trade, the R/R is very attractive. It is 5:1 and I think this trade has at least a 30-35% chance of winning. So if we consider the odds of this trade being a winner and the R/R we can clearly see that his trade is worth it.
FX:SPX500Short
by BitcoinMacro
1
Possible Diamond Reversal Part 2This is an update of the "Possible Diamond Reversal" idea. This is clearly a fractal diamond regression. The same setup occurred recently on Bitcoin. I added the 100 Day Moving Average as this seems to coincide where I placed the lower bounding trendline which I extrapolated from the secondary trend. This trendline goes back to the March 2020 recovery. Most significantly we have almost every important feature of a very large diamond reversal taking place and, most importantly, a bear flag appears to be forming which could validate the third peak and the associated downmove. Watch carefully here. This could be invalidated as Fractal 1 and Fractal 2 were. However, the bear flag type form is particularly interesting here and if that form concludes this could bring the broader large diamond form to a successful conclusion where the previous 2 failed.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by RogueEconomics
S&P 500 Short The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 Index just suffered five straight days of losses and their worst weekly performance since wait for it June. www.cnbc.com We taking this trade based on TECHNICAL ANAYSIS and FUNAMENTAL ANALYSIS, We expecting the pair to CLOSE the GAP before a Bullish continuation. Please use proper risk management depending on your account size, Use lot sizes based on these calculations. Here is a break down of your pip value in ZAR and Dollars 0, 01 = R1,43 / $0,10c 0. 05 = R 7,15 / $ 0.50 0.10 = R 14,3 / $1.00 1 Lot size = R 146,26 How to calculate Margin = (Lot Size * Contract Size)/Leverage, Lets say your broker gives you 1:500, and you open 0,2 size, How much are you exposing ? calculations : (0.2 * 10 000) / 500 = $4 (R58) also (1 Lot * 100 000) / 500 = $200 (R2 960) So, each time I open (1 Lot size, am exposing R2960 (Down payment) Remember, These are long term trades, It is advisable to have enough margin to handle the fluctuation of the markets. Please like, follow and share for more useful content
SP:SPXShort
by Pro-Trading-Africa
SPX500USDIt's likely that we will see a little bit of a pullback as we are at the top of the range. The S&P 500 has rallied a bit during the course of the trading session on Thursday before turning around to form a bit of a shooting star. The candlestick of course is very bearish, and it is worth noting that the NASDAQ 100 has formed something along the lines of a “evening star.” That of course is a negative sign, suggesting that perhaps stocks are going to roll over. To the downside, the uptrend line continues offer support, right along with the 50 day EMA. Beyond that, the 4500 level before they are also offer support, so I think it is only a matter of time before we see some type of bounce. We have been in an uptrend, and I think that does not change anytime soon, so therefore it is only a matter of time before buyers get in on dips and take advantage of “cheap stocks.” After all, this has been a bit of a “buy on the dip” type of market for ages, especially as the Federal Reserve continues to offer cheap money for traders to indulge in. Despite the fact that there has been talk of tapering later this year, the reality is that there is no real sense of them raising interest rates anytime soon. If we were to turn around a break above the top of the shooting star, then the market is likely to go looking towards the 4600 level, as the market tends to move in 200 point increments. After that, it will be interesting to see where we go next, but it is very possible it could be 4800. There is always the negative turn of events, and that would be something that I would play via puts, because flat-out shorting the S&P 500 has been a very dangerous thing to do for ages, and as a result it is difficult to imagine a scenario where I would actually do that. You look at the chart and you could see a plainly carved out up trending channel, so as long as that remains in effect, it tells you where you are going to be a buyer and perhaps take a significant amount of profits along the way. Because of this, as we are at the top of the range is likely that we will see a little bit of a pullback.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SmoothJB