Spx500short
S&P 5001. Stocks are historically expensive
The stock market could crash because equity valuations are historically very pricey. As of Dec. 29, the Shiller price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 -- a P/E ratio based on average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years -- hit nearly 34. That's more than double its mean and median over the past 150 years, and it's the second-highest reading next to the dot-com boom in the late 1990s and early 2000s. Historically, when the Shiller P/E ratio gets above 30, bad things happen (i.e., the market crashes).
2. Emotions get the better of investors
Never underestimate the power of short-term traders overreacting to a news event. Over the long run, operating earnings growth is what drives the stock market higher. But in the short run, investor emotions tend to whipsaw day-to-day market activity. As we saw in March, it doesn't take much to completely upend investor confidence and send emotional investors into a panic. It's possible this happens again in 2021.
SPX 4134.95 - 0.68 % SHORT IDEA * PRICE ACTION & STRUCTURE HELLO EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE IN THE MARKET THIS WEEK, HERE'S A LOOK AT THE S&P 500 .
* follow your entry rules on entries
* significant moves with the bears change the plan.
lets see how it goes.
many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules.
HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE & LET YOUR WINS RUN...
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES
RISK-MANAGEMENT
PERIOD - SWING TRADE
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
If this idea helps with your trading plan kindly leave a like definitely appreciate it.
Look At This! Please.An extremely rare pattern for an extremely rare time in the U.S.
Ending Expanding Diagonal patterns are not seen very often.
Not a natural looking pattern because the wild price swings aren't natural.
You know what else isn't natural?
The M1 money supply increase from 4 trillion to OVER 18 TRILLION in 2020. They increase the money supply by over 400%!!
Why do you think Bitcoin and blockchain is getting so much support?
Because people are realizing this ship is SINKING!!!
Why do you think decentralized finance is manifesting? You think that's random? No!! Things are created when someone see's a need and the world reaffirms the value in it through their belief and investment.
A break back below 3,800 would be a major sell signal for me and a break below 3,200 indicates the end of the bull market.
Not financial advice. Just what I'm seeing and what makes sense to me based on the data, wave counts, and price action.
I appreciate feedback on my wave counts though, so feel free to comment that I'm an idjit if you want.
SPX500 SELLThe following trade was taken earlier this morning for a sell position on the 15mim TF.
I trapped price in a mini area of consolidation (highlighted box) & anticipated for a break and close of the candle outside of the box. I also drew a mini trend line to see if it breaks the structure, which it did! This also allows for a tighter stop loss with a higher R:R
2021 is like 73s2021 is like 73s. let's see how this play. if it went well, buy dips at bottom if you can.
1. The four most expensive words in investing are: 'This time it's different. '” So said Sir John Templeton, the legendary investor and mutual fund pioneer. The phrase contains tremendous wisdom, but only if you truly understand what it means. ... “This time it's different” has become a ubiquitous phrase...
2. we will see increasing inflation & Covid case worldwide rising this year. they printed many trillions for check stimulus also fourth stimulus check again? also seems coronavirus won't go anywhere. you can see that Covid cases is still rising on worldometers site. Imagine 1-10 million cases daily? it's not great for economy & stock market. seems vaccine is still processing but not completely at all.
3. some investors will say " dollar is in bubble but stock market won't go down" they say same thing in 73s. that's not how this works. dollar inflation makes stock market volatility & shock..
4. The Buffett Indicator at All-Time Highs Is This Cause for Concern?. it shows 223% radio of market value GDP, 79% higher than long term trend line not internet bubble.
seems too higher.
5. 2021. many poor & middle bought stocks & meme from check stimulus while rich people buying at same time. this doesn't age well. "BUY, BUY, BUY" poor getting rich, rich getting richer? nah.
that's not how this works. 2008 & 2020 was different because market was bottom but 2021 Is top not bottom. that's why. Illuminati stays. in 2030, we will see 0.1% top getting richer ever while poor & middle bottom.
my prediction could be wrong or right.
Thank you. Sorry For My Bad English. Enjoy.
You know(!!) you are in a bubble ...... When:
The funding a 36-year stream of expected inflation-adjusted spending requires over 38 years of money up-front;
Every single decile of S&P 500 components is at record valuation extremes; www.hussmanfunds.com
The amount of leverage in the system (U.S. equity markets) is now easily the highest in history, by any measure, not just in absolute terms! (relative to GDP, etc. Margin Debt/GDP = Margin Debt/Market Cap x Market Cap/GDP Showing insane over-valuation across the board!);
In a world where speculators now value the stock of bitcoin at one-fifth the value of the entire U.S. monetary base;
The current SPAC mania is identical to the South Sea Bubble in as much as: "Let them see not what they do!";
In an economy with $11 trillion in corporate debt at $58 trillion in equity market capitalization;
When U.S. Market Capitalization exceeds 263% of U.S. GDP (the norm, not the low, being 78%);
Anyway, this is likely a Double Top here.
SPX 3974.13 + 0.29% SHORT IDEA * REVERSAL PATTERNS & PRICE Hello everyone
Hope you guys are good, here's a swing idea on the SPX 500 looking at it from the 4H chart.
* follow your entry rules on entries
* significant moves with the bears change the plan.
lets see how it goes.
AS ALWAYS PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT AND A LOT OF PATIENCE & AGAIN many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules.
HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE & LET YOUR WINS RUN...
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES
RISK-MANAGEMENT
PERIOD - SWING TRADE
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
If this idea helps with your trading plan kindly leave a like definitely appreciate it.
SPX - S&P 500 - BEAR OVERALL TREND /\ An Interesting TrAde Here - The Economic Crisis Remains To Be Seen - 1929 Crash PT 2 SPX
- Economic Instability
- Corruption
-Potential World Wide Revolution
- Locked Down
- Death Vaccine
- No Thanks 2021
- Hello Observers
- Remember /\ bull trap & \/ MASS BEARISH
USD
XAU
BEAR - EVERYTHING
BTC
COINBASE:BTCUSD
TVC:SPX
SPCFD:SPX FOREXCOM:SPXUSD OANDA:SPX500USD AMEX:SPXL AMEX:SPXZ AMEX:SPXV AMEX:SPXB AMEX:SPXE AMEX:SPXE AMEX:SPXN TASE:IS.FF702 USI:PVSPX OANDA:SPX500USD NASDAQ:MSFT BITFINEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCPERP
SPX 3943 + 0.1 % SHORT IDEA * REVERSAL PETTERNS & PRICE ACTIONHey everyone
Hope everyone had a good weekend, new week new opportunities. Here's a look at the S&P 500 from the 4H chart.
* The index has been trading in an ascending channel, looking for reversal pattens to capitalize on a move with the bears.
* We are trading at the formation of a doule top so should this pattern hold looking for a move with the bears.
* entries on lower time frames for marging and less risk.
* follow your entry rules on entries
* significant moves with the bulls change the plan.
lets see how it goes.
AS ALWAYS PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT AND A LOT OF PATIENCE & AGAIN many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules.
HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE & LET YOUR WINS RUN...
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES
RISK-MANAGEMENT
PERIOD - SWING TRADE
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
If this idea helps with your trading plan kindly leave a like definitely appreciate it.
S&P Further thoughts(a) is the 50MA, it can be seen to be curling upwards
and the comparison point (a) shows this ends in a bearish outcome
(b) is a similar points on TSI where I expect a reoccurrence of the pattern in oval to occur, likely acting bearishly.
As i have said before, assess the situation based on impact
2008 banking crisis the market collapsed
2020 COVID? Upward movement seems unjustified.
Here is a chart that further explains that philosophy.
I know the charts are kinda similar but I wanted to restate this for those unaware..