SPX500 4H still bearishHello traders,The price currently needs new negative momentum to enable it to resume the negative attack to soon target the 4183 level, and then let us wait for it to attack the 50% Fibonacci retracement level positioned near 4138.
Pivot Price: 4215
Resistance prices: 4265 & 4302 & 4346
Support prices: 4183 & 4138 & 4098
The expected general trend for today: bearish with the stability of the barrier
Spx500short
SPX ShortYesterday we observed a good rejection off of daily zone from SPX. now we wait for it to pull back to the daily zones coinciding with 8 EMA and the time base low AVWAP (red) and reject it.
inside value day today, so if it breaks PD VAH, there can be long opportunities but not interested in that today..
rest of the technical details are in the chart.
Key Technical Indicators Signal Downside Potential for S&P 500The market has recently exhibited a series of bearish indications, suggesting potential further downside for the SPX:
Price Action: The market gapped down after September 20th and hasn't recovered those levels.
Short-Term Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average recently crossed below the 21-day, indicating a potential short-term downtrend. Moreover, the price struggled to move back above the 50-day level.
Diverging Moving Averages: While the 21 and 50-day averages tilt downward, the longer 150 and 200-day averages remain bullish, suggesting a potential trend shift.
Critical Level Breach: The SPX closed below its 200-day SMA, a traditionally bearish signal.
Key Bearish Indicators:
TRIN: Indicates more volume with declining stocks.
TICK: Levels between -1000 to -1300 signal a bearish sentiment, hinting at institutional selling.
VIX: A 66% rise in the past week reflects increasing market uncertainty.
Prediction: Given these indicators, it seems probable that the SPX might not rebound off its 200-day SMA in the short term. There's potential for it to breach significant support levels, including S2 and the 1 Year anchored VWAP.
SPX is in an uptrend now Let's be honest. SPX is in an uptrend now. The price has been creating higher lows and higher highs. The downsloping trendline which was acting as a strong resistance in March 2023 was retested and confirmed as a support. Since then the price has been in the uptrend and in our opinion we are at the early stage of the new BULL MARKET.
Yes, you hear it right: BULL market.
The price remains above the ichimoku cloud and it looks like it's breaking the horizontal resistance.
It will take time for a price to recover but let's be clear here: we don't expect new lows on SPX. There will be more corrections and pullbacks but overall 4800 -5000 is a target which in our opinion we may see in 2024/2025
What do you think?
Do you agree? Leave your comment :)
SPx500 4H The S&P is awaiting negative momentum SPx500
if it falls above 4265 in this direction will rise to 4288 then 4312 then 4334
but if it is below 4265 the direction will go down 4219 , 4197 then 4177
Pivot Price: 4265
Resistance prices: 4288 & 4312 & 4334
Support prices: 4219 & 4197 & 4177
The expected trading range for today is between 4219 and 4288
timeframe:4
SPx500 4H Still bearishSPx500
if it falls above 4265 in this direction will rise to 4288 then 4312 then 4334
but if it is below 4265 the direction will go down 4219 , 4197 then 4177
Pivot Price: 4265
Resistance prices: 4288 & 4312 & 4334
Support prices: 4219 & 4197 & 4177
The expected trading range for today is between 4219 and 4288
timeframe:4
S&P 500 Analysis. Day trade Signal!!!Hello Everyone. I want share my idea about S&P 500 which will be signal for next week.
After Some pretty bearish momentum we got rejection from daily support. i think S&P will continue fall and i will try to catch that moment, for that i identify liquidity swings which gave me perfect entry area after used my Fibonacci levels, Fibonacci 78.60LVL and daily resistance is same place, trend what i see is still bearish, for that i decide to short it from That zone.
Here is my setup for my trading signal.
Open Short Position - 4332.1
Stop loss - 4358.00
Take Profit - First target at 4238.3 if it will reach then i will trail my stop loss at the Level.
Always Manage your own risk and make your own research!!!
SPX\S&P500 - H4\D1SPX\S&P500
W1 – the third wave pattern has formed. The previous week closed with the level consolidating and the 1st wave breaking through (4334.4) – global targets 4045 – 3800.
What can you expect?
You can consider an entry from breaking through the level of 4277 to continue the movement down to the levels of 4092. Having canceled the movement, the price will return to the level of 4340.
Targets 4185 - 4150 - 4092
$SPDN Quarter 3 (Q3) AnalysisI believe that SPDN will form a new all-time low in Q4 with a drop below $13.90. For those who are bearish on the S&P, I drew the key price targets on the way up for those who are long SPDN. For now the EMA ribbon is acting as an area of resistance and a red resistance line that intersects with the yellow resistance zone. These are short-term resistance levels to monitor.
SPX Market Crash (upcoming) - 35% why?Hi Everyone,
A summary of the last 5 recessions since 1981... These recessions triggered declines of at least 20%. The Great Recession from December 2007 to June 2009 was the one that most affected the market with a decrease of about 57%. Regarding macroeconomics, the Americans are currently implementing a monetary tightening policies and have announced a final interest rate hike before the end of the year, so in my opinion, a recession is now inevitable.
The SPX is currently forming a tweezer top on the 3-month timeframe... In my opinion, a 35% decline is possible to test the M Neckline (entry gate).
SP500 Correction LevelThe SP500 index continues to rise as long as it remains above the 20-week moving average, but this may be coming to an end. Weekly closes below $4436 will create a negative outlook. A correction could push the index down to the 100-week moving average of $4160. But as long as the index remains above $4436, the rise will continue.
S&P 500 ForecastS&P 500 moved towards the 3980 level as traders prepared for tomorrow’s CPI data meanwhile, the tech heavy NASDAQ Composite was up by 0.4%.
Today’s rebound is led by energy stocks. WTI oil managed to get above the $73 level as traders focused on the Keystone pipeline outage.
From a big picture point of view, S&P 500 continues to consolidate in the range between the support at 3915 and the resistance at 3975. RSI is in the moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain additional momentum after the CPI data and the Fed decision. If the CPI report shows that inflation is slowing down, the current consolidation will serve as a good base for an upside move. However, it should be noted that traders may remain somewhat cautious ahead of the Fed decision.A move below the 50 EMA, which is located near the 3915 level, may be interpreted as a sign of an upcoming sell-off. S&P 500 received strong support near this level, so traders may rush out of their long positions if this support level is broken
we still in down trend and we should break the yellow line and back 4100 level
The Fed is still playing catch up to tame rising prices after its protracted gross mischaracterisation last year of inflation as ‘transitory’ and its initially timid steps to withdraw monetary stimulus,
The world’s most powerful central bank is now confronted with two unpleasant choices next year, crush growth and jobs to get to its 2% target or publicly validate a higher inflation target and risk a new round of destabilized inflationary expectations. I think Rather than fall to 2-3% by the end of next year, U.S. core PCE inflation will probably prove rather sticky at around 4% or above.
Time For The Long Await Selloff?IF Intermediate wave 2 finally ended, this will serve as the current preliminary analysis for tracking Intermediate wave 3 down. Confirmation of Intermediate wave 2 ending will take at least 3 more days, so this analysis is subject to change. Based on the most specific historical models that are relationally relevant to an Intermediate wave 3, the quartile movement extensions serving as checkpoints and likely bottom (pink levels on chart) for Intermediate wave 3 are 165.83%, 181.41%, and 227.27%. The models cannot agree on a specific duration in hours, however, there are pockets of agreement with the strongest at 168-175 hours, secondary is 185-192, third is 149-156 hours. The next set of data is slightly broader and places the quartile movement extensions (light blue levels) at 147.09%, 165.83%, and 306.68%. Strongest model agreement for duration is at 70 hours (which was the length of Intermediate wave 2), secondary is 112 (length of Intermediate wave 1) and 426 hours while third model agreement is at 155, 174, and 199 hours. The broader set of historical data has extension quartiles (yellow levels) at 141.46%, 176.435%, and the third quartile remains at 306.68%. Strongest model agreement for duration is 70 and 426 hours (which are unlikely for wave 3) with secondaries at 112, 142, and 224 (double length of wave 1). Third most agreement is at 168, 174, and 213 hours.
Preliminary forecast is the bottom around 174 hours which is around October 6th. The bottom could be between 4114-4156, but likely below 4140. The levels in this assessment will not change but the forecasts for the bottom will be updated in future forecasts as each of the 5 waves near completion. Intermediate wave 4 should begin more upward movement after Intermediate wave 3 has completed. September looks like a selloff, but October should claw back 20-50% of the losses.
SXP500 Index 30/08 MovePair : SPX500 Index
Description :
Bullish Channel in Long Time Frame and Rejecting from the Upper Trend Line Completing its " 3rd " Impulsive Wave. We have Break of Structure and Making its Retracement in Corrective Waves " ABC " . Possible Rejection from Fibonacci Level 61.80% or Previous Resistance