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US SPX 500

SPX to find sellers at market price?SPX500USD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a top. A Doji style candle has been posted from the high. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 6058 level. Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today. We look to Sell at 6058 (stop at 6099) Our profit targets will be 5942 and 5920 Resistance: 6102 / 6190 / 6235 Support: 6030 / 5980 / 5940 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by OANDA
Why Blind Index Investing Could Be Costing You Thousands?!Index-based investing has been one of the most popular ways to grow a long-term portfolio for decades. Today, it has become even more accessible and favored, offering a safer foundation for investing and generally carrying lower risk compared to portfolios composed of individual stocks. For someone like me, a technical analyst, index investing isn't exactly an adrenaline rush. Under societal pressure, I decided to test a few hacks and dive deeper into it ;) I set out to compare three of the most popular U.S. index ETFs – SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (Nasdaq 100), and IWM (Russell 2000) – and analyze how to implement a brief technical analysis into index selection could influence long-term results. Starting in 2005, I "invested" $1,000 every quarter, completing a total of 81 test purchases. Each time, I selected the index that technical analysis suggested was in the strongest position. If done strictly and consistently, there were often situations where all three indices had just reached their all-time highs. In those moments, I had to make a choice. Technical analysis is not just about drawing lines on a chart – experience, market intuition, and behavioral patterns of the price play a big role here. My Test and Strategy The goal was to compare the following three U.S. index ETFs: - SPY (S&P 500) - QQQ (Nasdaq 100) - IWM (Russell 2000) Test conditions: - Start date: 2005 - Investment period: 81 quarters - Mandatory quarterly investment: $1,000 - Index selection: Based on technical analysis and market intuition. Distribution of trades during the test period: - SPY: 35 times - QQQ: 31 times - IWM: 15 times The chart illustrates SPY, QQQ, and Russell with blue arrows marking purchase points. Results of the Experiment Performance of my strategy: - +344% return - Invested: $81,000 - Final value: $360,000 Comparison indices (each quarter regular purchases): - SPY: +233% (final value: $272,000) - QQQ: +579% (final value: $552,000) - IWM: +128% (final value: $186,000) My strategy outperformed SPY and IWM because I focused on selecting the ETFs in the strongest technical condition at the time. While QQQ delivered higher absolute returns, my diversified approach offered competitive returns with lower risk and more stable outcomes. Key Takeaways 1. Diversity and Stability: Risk Mitigation and Return Optimization The goal wasn't just maximum returns but also reducing risk and adopting a smarter approach. While QQQ had the highest returns, remember that it is heavily concentrated in the technology sector, making it riskier. Back in 2005, it wouldn't have been easy to predict that QQQ would outperform. A technical analysis strategy allows for risk diversification by choosing the strongest index at any given time, delivering significant returns while maintaining diversity and stability. 2. Thoughtful Regularity Outperforms Blind Regularity Strict quarterly investing avoids the biggest mistake investors fear – timing the market. Regularity is crucial, but it needs to be thoughtful. The tests showed that blind purchasing could be costly: for instance, regular SPY purchases would have left $100,000 on the table, and IWM even more. My strategy allowed selecting the strongest index at each point, yielding significantly better returns. 3. Wrong Index Choice Can Be Costly Had I chosen only IWM throughout the period, my return would have been just +128%. This clearly shows the importance of not sticking to one index but instead evaluating regularly to find the one with the greatest potential at any given time. How to Choose the Best Index: Follow my Newsletter to Guide You One of many of the topics of this newsletter (You will find it here, in the profile section, visiting my "website") will be sharing my monthly and quarterly top lists of indices, making regular purchases easier for you. The test proved that sticking to one index isn’t the best way forward – but which one should you choose? That’s where the monthly top list comes in. I firmly believe this strategy and approach have significant potential to help investors make smarter and more confident decisions. That’s why I’m starting a newsletter, where one of the many topics will be sharing this list regularly: - The technically strongest indices for investing. - Explanations of why a particular index is technically more attractive than others. Conclusion My research proves that technical analysis and understanding of charts can be powerful tools for long-term index investing. Regularity, fact-based decisions, and risk diversification help achieve optimal results. Your portfolio deserves better decisions. Don’t waste time analyzing indices yourself. All the best, Vaido
AMEX:SPY
by VaidoVeek
1
SPX500 to find a top?US500 - 24h expiry Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs. Previous resistance located at 6102. A 5 wave bullish count has been completed at 6107. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. Further downside is expected and we prefer to set shorts in early trade. We look to Sell at 6102 (stop at 6147) Our profit targets will be 6003 and 5955 Resistance: 6102 / 6107 / 6179 Support: 6003 / 5955 / 5886 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by OANDA
S&P Scenario 2.1.2025In this market, in order to consider some long setups, we need to hold the 6060 level or something around it, and since we didn't hold this support, we had a way to go short after the breakout. Now I see a scenario like this: the market should come for the sfp below the low as shown, or it will start to rise directly into the long, but as long as we are below the 6060 level, I'm considering a long setup. I would take that if the sfp below the low was met.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Sony97
SPX500USD: Intraday DowntrendMarket Overview The SPX500USD index is currently trading within a moderate downtrend with a Trend Score of -40, as identified by BreadWinners INDI v2. The price is hovering near the Point of Control (POC) at 5,889, showing significant selling pressure. Short-term indicators suggest bearish momentum, but long-term moving averages hint at potential support near 5,800, which could lead to a reversal. The SPX500USD is currently in a moderate downtrend , with selling pressure dominating near resistance levels. Support zones between 5,827 and 5,752 remain critical for potential bullish defense. Traders should monitor these key levels closely, using the suggested entry and stop-loss levels for disciplined trading. Patience and risk management are key in this volatile environment. Resistance Levels: Primary Resistance: 5,889 (Point of Control). Secondary Resistance: 5,922.84 (BreadWinners Stop Loss level). Support Levels: Primary Support: 5,827 (BreadWinners Entry Price). Secondary Support: 5,752 (Lower Point of Control). Oscillators The oscillators indicate a mixed sentiment, with most leaning neutral and some showing divergence in momentum. Relative Strength Index (14): 39.65 (Neutral) Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3): 26.98 (Neutral) Momentum (10): -132.47 (Buy) MACD Level (12, 26): -35.46 (Sell) Stochastic RSI (Fast): 19.95 (Buy) Williams %R (14): -71.91 (Neutral) The Momentum and Stochastic RSI indicate potential for a short-term recovery, while the MACD remains bearish. Moving Averages Short-term moving averages continue to signal a sell, reinforcing bearish momentum, but long-term moving averages suggest support levels could hold. Exponential Moving Average (10, 20, 30): Sell Simple Moving Average (10, 20, 30): Sell Exponential Moving Average (200): Buy Simple Moving Average (200): Buy Hull Moving Average (9): Buy Trade Strategy Bearish Setup (Short Positions): Entry Zone: 5,889–5,900 (Primary POC and resistance zone). Stop Loss: Above 5,922.84. Target 1: 5,827 (Primary Support). Target 2: 5,752 (Secondary Support and Lower POC). Bullish Setup (Long Positions): Entry Zone: 5,827–5,752 (Key support levels). Stop Loss: Below 5,740. Target 1: 5,889 (POC and resistance retest). Target 2: 5,922 (Short-term breakout level).
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by ProfessorCEWard
"US500 / SPX500" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / SPX500" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the breakout of MA level 5960 (OR) Entry in Pullback 5820 Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 6100 (or) escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ Based on the fundamental analysis, I would conclude that the US500 / SPX500 is : Bullish Reasons: US economic growth: The US economy is expected to grow at a rate of 2.5% in 2023, driven by a strong labor market, increasing business investment, and a rebound in the housing market. Monetary policy support: The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates at a low level of 1.5%, which is expected to support borrowing and spending in the economy. Fiscal policy support: The US government has announced a series of fiscal stimulus measures, including tax cuts and infrastructure spending, which are expected to support economic growth. Corporate earnings growth: US companies are expected to report increasing earnings in 2023, driven by a strong global economy and a competitive dollar. Valuation: The US500 / SPX500 is currently trading at a relatively high valuation, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 20, but this is still below its historical average. However, it's essential to consider the following risks: Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth could reduce demand for US stocks and drive down the index. Trade tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and other countries, particularly China, could impact the US trade balance and economic growth. Inflation concerns: Rising inflation could lead to higher interest rates, which could negatively impact the economy and the stock market. Key Fundamental Indicators: US GDP growth: 2.5% (2023 estimate) Unemployment rate: 3.5% (2023 estimate) Inflation rate: 2.0% (2023 estimate) Interest rates: 1.5% (2023 estimate) Corporate earnings growth: 10.0% (2023 estimate) Market Sentiment: Bullish sentiment: 75% Bearish sentiment: 25% Neutral sentiment: 0% Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Thief_Trader
SPX500USD (6H/4H): HIGH-RISK DOWNTRENDThe SPX500USD on the 4-hour/6-hour timeframe is exhibiting significant bearish momentum, consistent with a short- to medium-term downtrend. However, longer-term indicators suggest that the index is approaching critical support levels that could provide a platform for a potential rebound. The SPX500USD remains in a short-term downtrend, presenting opportunities for bearish trades near resistance levels. However, long-term indicators suggest that the index is approaching a critical support zone that could provide a platform for a rebound. ***Traders should watch for confirmation of price action and volume at the 5,800–5,860 level before committing to long positions. OSCILLATORS The oscillators highlight a bearish sentiment with increasing selling pressure but suggest that the market is nearing oversold conditions, potentially setting up for a relief bounce. Relative Strength Index (RSI): 38.11 – Neutral, approaching oversold territory. Stochastic %K: 24.77 – Neutral, near oversold conditions. Commodity Channel Index (CCI): -102.47 – Neutral, signaling mild bearish momentum. Momentum (10): -75.92 – Sell, confirming bearish pressure. MACD: -29.63 – Sell, reflecting declining momentum and no imminent reversal signals. Williams Percent Range: -77.32 – Neutral, nearing oversold territory. MOVING AVERAGES Short-term moving averages confirm bearish momentum, while long-term averages signal potential support and a possible reversal point. Short-Term MAs (10, 20, 30, 50): All indicate “Sell” signals, confirming strong bearish momentum in the short to medium term. Long-Term MAs (200 EMA and SMA): Indicate “Buy” signals, reflecting the underlying bullish trend over the longer timeframe. Ichimoku Base Line: Neutral at 5,962.44. Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): 5,959.81 – Sell, reinforcing short-term bearish sentiment. Hull Moving Average (HMA): 5,862.93 – Buy, indicating potential support near current price levels. SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS Immediate Resistance: 5,960–6,000 (aligned with short-term moving averages). Major Resistance: 6,100–6,160 (upper pivot zones and psychological barrier). Key Support: 5,860–5,800 (aligned with Hull Moving Average and 200 EMA/SMA). Critical Support: 5,760 and 5,658 (historical pivot lows). PRICE ACTION The index has recently tested its resistance levels near 5,960 but failed to break through, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Strong selling pressure is evident in the price action, with lower highs and lower lows dominating the 4-hour chart. However, significant support is observed around 5,800, where the 200 EMA and SMA converge, offering potential for a bullish rebound if the level holds. BEARISH SETUP (Short Positions) Entry Zone: 5,960–6,000 (resistance levels and short-term MAs). Stop-Loss: Above 6,010 (next major resistance). Target: 5,860–5,800 (first support zone), and extend to 5,760 if bearish momentum persists. BULLISH SETUP (Long Positions) Entry Zone: 5,800–5,860 (key support area, aligned with 200 EMA/SMA). Stop-Loss: Below 5,780 (critical support break). Target: 5,960–6,000 (resistance levels), and extend to 6,100 if the rebound is strong. MARKET SENTIMENT Short-Term: Bearish – Downtrend persists, with strong resistance at 5,960 and 6,000. Medium-Term: Neutral – Oversold conditions may trigger a relief rally. Long-Term: Bullish – The 200 EMA and SMA indicate potential for a long-term uptrend if key support levels hold.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by ProfessorCEWard
S&P 500: Final Day Analysis with Key Levels and Trend OutlookS&P 500 Technical Analysis It's the final trading day of the year. The price shows bullish momentum up to 5,969, which must be confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing above this level. This could lead to a further rise toward 6,022, followed by a correction. Conversely, stability below 5,969 will trigger a bearish move from 5,969 toward 5,899 and potentially 5,863. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5937 Resistance Levels: 5969, 6022, 6053 Support Levels: 5905, 5863, 5790 Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum: Stability below 5,969 Bullish Trend: If 5,969 is broken
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
S&P500 ES ready to enter the buy zone based on my new indicatorTL:DR I created a new price + volume based indicator that sold BEFORE the most recent crash, and bought BEFORE the most recent rise. If this indicator is any indication of the near future, then it's showing a near future rise in S&P500 since there is an active BUY signal. Below is a more detailed description of the indicator I created which is typically based on simple price and volume action. I designed a new indicator that I dub the "Money Flow by NHBprod" indicator. It helps to EASILY identify potential trade opportunities without over complicating the process. In short, MFI typically uses volume and pricing data in its calculations which are 2 important keys to consider when trading. However, the actual indicator typically lags behind actual trade opportunities. I heavily modified the standard MFI so that this new indicator can be used to easily see where to buy and where to sell. It also has built in alerts which can be used to automate trading. How It Works The indicator calculates the Money Flow Index (MFI), but is heavily modified both in terms of calculations, performance, and output. The indicator computes the MFI using the closing price and a user-defined length. A linear regression moving average is applied to the MFI, smoothing out fluctuations to provide clear signals. Then we have Buy & Sell Zones which are Customizable thresholds that are used to determine when to buy and when to sell. When the moving average crosses into the buy zone, green highlights appear on the chart; similarly, red highlights appear when it enters the sell zone. Alerts: Integrated alert conditions notify traders when the moving average enters either zone, ensuring they never miss a trade opportunity. Simplifies Analysis: By focusing on the MFI's moving average and clearly marking significant zones, the indicator eliminates noise and simplifies market analysis. Enhanced Visualization: The green and red highlighted zones on the pricing chart offer an intuitive, at-a-glance understanding of market conditions.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by nhbprod
Potential bullish rise?S&P500 has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,995.10 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 5,936.66 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Take profit: 6,110.04 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lies up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
3
Why on Earth anyone invests in the Australian Shares? (SPX)The last 16 years. The US S&P 500 index (in red) Vs the Australian All Ordinaries index. The US broad market index up by 607%, the Australian index up by 58%. The US S&P 500 index is a broad measure of the top 500 companies in the US, and the All Ordinaries likewise from the largest 500 companies listed in Australia. The US represents about 25% of Global GDP Vs Australia at 1.6%. The US S&P500 index companies also earn about 40% of their earnings from outside America (due to their Global reach). Their companies also lead in tech, banking, defense etc. Why does anyone invest solely in the Australian share markets? The Australian index is very narrowly weighted to the big 4 banks (mostly leveraged on Australian residential real estate), and the large miners (leveraged on the commodity cycle). Both very narrow, non-diversified risky strategies, and clearly over the long term a crap investment compared to the breath of risk and performance outcomes of the US multinational giants of expansion and leading edge innovation.
INDEX:AORDLong
by platinum_growth
S&P 500 Third of a ThirdLooking at the way the price structured the pattern. I lean hard into it moving down into the second swing. We are at the end of sub-wave two of the ongoing second swing at this juncture. Just by logic having wave two end means we are moving into a third wave territory. Third waves are, in most cases, the best and most aggressive move to trade in. Thus the high at 6,085 should hold until we see it make a new low past the first swing low of 6039.25 Happy Trading :)
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by HydraFinance