S&P 500 Index Under Pressure – Another -10% Drop Incoming?Today, I want to analyze the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) for you. This index is one of the most important indices in the US stock market , which has been determining the direction of parallel financial markets such as crypto and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) for the past few days, so an analysis of this index can be important for us.
The S&P 500 Index started to fall after Donald Trump imposed new tariffs on countries around the world, which was like a coronavirus .
The question is whether this fall is temporary or will continue . To answer this question, we need to consider many parameters, but if we look at the sds chart from a technical analysis chart , we can expect a further decline .
The S&P 500 Index is moving near the Resistance zone($5,284-$5,095) and is completing a pullback . It also lost its important Uptrend lines last week, which is not good news for the S&P 500 Index and US stocks .
From an Elliott wave theory , the S&P 500 IndexS&P looks like it has completed the main wave 4 , and we should expect the next decline(-10%) .
I expect the S&P 500 Index to attack the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) at least once more. The area where we can expect the S&P 500 Index to pull back is the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
What do you think? Will the S&P 500 Index continue its downward trend, or was this decline temporary?
Note: If the S&P 500 Index touches $5,408, we can expect further Pumps.
Note: There is a possibility of a Bear Trap near the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) and PRZ.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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US SPX 500
S&P 500: Valuation Correction or the Start of a Breakdown?Valuation Correction or the Start of a Breakdown?
Zoom out. Clear the noise.
We might still sweep the lows, but when viewed on the weekly timeframe, this current S&P 500 move looks more like a healthy valuation correction than a structural breakdown.
Let’s break it down by the numbers using fractal analysis:
🟩 March 2020 (COVID Crash):
▪️~35% drop
▪️V-shaped recovery
▪️Oversold RSI bounce
🟨 2022 Bear Market:
▪️~27% correction
▪️Multi-month wedge consolidation
▪️Eventually led to an upside breakout
🟦 Now (2025):
▪️~21% correction so far
▪️Retesting long-term trendline
▪️RSI in familiar oversold zone
📊 Fractal Math:
- From 35% to 27% = 22.86% decrease
- From 27% to 21% = 22.22% decrease
Both legs show a consistent ~22% drop in correction depth suggesting bearish momentum is weakening with each cycle. Currently bouncing off the1844 days of support.
Is this the bottom? Will there be relief?
🔁 If this pattern holds:
- We could see a short-term sweep or deviation under recent lows.
- But structure favours a potential recovery from this zone, unless the trendline breaks decisively.
📌 Watch levels closely. Timing matters.
🧠 What’s your take, is this another “buy the dip” moment?
Do hit the like button if you liked this update and share your views in the comment section.
Has SPX formed a bottom?SPX500USD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
We look to buy dips.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
We look to Buy at 4900.5 (stop at 4767.5)
Our profit targets will be 5295.5 and 5365.5
Resistance: 5219.6 / 5350.0 / 5500.0
Support: 5100.0 / 5000.0 / 4812.2
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NASDAQ, S&P 500 and CoinMarketCap movements, Bitcoin chart
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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We need to check the movement after a new candle is created.
USDT, USDC should gap up to know that funds have flowed into the coin market.
On the other hand, if there is a gap down, I think funds have flowed out of the coin market.
Therefore, I think USDT or USDC are showing the size and flow of funds in the coin market.
-
(BTC.D 1M chart)
If BTC dominance is maintained above 62.47 or continues to rise, altcoins are likely to show a large decline.
Therefore, in order for an altcoin bull market to begin, it must fall below 55.01 and remain there or continue to decline.
-
(USDT.D 1M chart)
USDT is a fund that has a large influence on the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance rises, it means that the coin market is likely to show an overall decline.
On the other hand, if it falls, it can be interpreted that the coin market is likely to show an overall rise.
In order for the coin market to start an upward trend, it must fall below 4.97 and remain there or continue to decline.
In particular, if the Fibonacci ratio rises above 0.618, the coin market is likely to plummet.
If it remains above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618, it is likely to rise to around 7.14.
-------------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 12M chart)
It has currently entered the most important support and resistance zone.
-
(1W chart)
Therefore, the maximum decline point is expected to be around 14922.2.
In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near the most important support and resistance zone and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
---------------------------------------------
(SPX500USD 1W chart)
The key is whether it can be supported around 4773.4-4846.1 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, the maximum decline is expected to be around 3875.1-4116.0.
---------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
As I mentioned before, since the dotted trend line (1) is not acting as a clear trend line, there is a high possibility of volatility.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator creates a peak in the oversold zone and rises this time, there is a possibility that a trend will be formed as a trend line between lows is created.
However, the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line must be formed in the same direction.
In other words, since the current high-point trend line is creating an upward trend line, the low-point trend line that will be created this time must also create an upward trend line.
In that sense, the 69000-73199.86 section can be seen as an important support and resistance section.
If it falls below 69000, it is likely to touch the Fibonacci ratio section of 0.886 (56227.18) ~ 1 (61338.93), which was the previous high point section.
-
(1D chart)
On the last day of this volatility period, it fell below the upward trend line (2), showing a large decline.
Since it fell below the downward trend line, there is a possibility that it will continue to fall further.
At this time, the key is whether it can rise with support near 73499.86.
The next volatility period is around April 25 (April 24-26).
The point of interest is whether the price is maintained near 73499.86 or 89294.25 after the next volatility period.
-
The 73499.86 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising to around 73499.86.
Therefore, if support is confirmed near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, I think it is an aggressive buying period.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is a buying period until it rises again and supports near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
The next time to buy is when it shows support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.886 (56227.18) ~ 1 (61338.93) that I mentioned in the 1M chart explanation.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Could the price bounce from here?S&P500 is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4,963.98
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4,800.67
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 5,158.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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"SPX500/US500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SPX500 / US500" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑: (5730) Thief SL placed at the nearest / swing high level Using the 8H timeframe swing / day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 5300 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
"SPX500 / US500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰
As provided it went up up 🚀 completed my target's 🎯 💯💪🏻 ✅ ✔️
Click on it 👆🏻 just check out each and every time updates ☝🏻 ☺️
•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX
📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700
Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700
¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ )
²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² )
🎯 3 ... Will be updated based on market conditions by that time ☺️
📍 A wise 🦉 man said - always having patience " is " always gaining only /-
NASDAQ:TSLA ( i accumulate slowly until it cross above $400 )
rest of stocks i will follow index ☝🏻 i will invest based on market conditions ..... ✔️
S&P 500 Down 3% – Divergence AppearsThe S&P 500 (SPX) continues to show a strong bearish bias and is approaching the 5,300-point level in the short term. Selling pressure remains steady as post-“Liberation Day” uncertainty persists, with markets concerned that the recently announced tariffs could significantly impact the U.S. economic outlook. As a result, this could severely limit the performance of equity indices like the S&P 500.
Bearish Channel
Since February 20, the SPX index has maintained consistent downward momentum, establishing a new bearish channel in the short term. The index has now broken below the key 5,400-point support level. However, the speed of the recent declines may have created an imbalance in market forces, which could pave the way for a bullish correction in upcoming sessions.
Divergence in Indicators
MACD: Both the MACD line and the signal line have shown higher lows in recent trading sessions, which contrasts with the lower lows in the SPX price, indicating a bullish divergence.
RSI: The RSI is showing a similar pattern, with the line forming higher lows while price continues to make lower lows. Additionally, the RSI is now approaching the 30 level, which is typically considered the oversold zone.
These divergence and oversold signals suggest that bearish momentum has accelerated sharply, potentially signaling short-term exhaustion. As the balance between buyers and sellers begins to stabilize, this may be an early indication that upward corrections could occur in the next few sessions.
Key Levels:
5,780 points – Distant resistance: This level aligns with the 200-period moving average. A return to this zone could mark the start of a new bullish phase, posing a threat to the current bearish channel.
5,530 points – Near resistance: This area corresponds to neutral levels seen in recent weeks. It may become a target zone for potential corrective upward moves.
5,388 points – Key support zone: This level matches the lowest prices since September 2024 and is where the price is currently consolidating. If the index breaks decisively below this level, it could lead to a more extended bearish channel in the short term.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
April 3rd Daily Trade Recap EOD accountability report: +$161.25
Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: not good at all.
**Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
9:42 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
11:11 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal (double signal)
12:04 pm Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
1:31pm Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
1:40 PMVXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal double signal
Another wild day, market went extremely bearish and has been rejecting the 5 min resistance and playing out as expected.
SPX to find sellers at previous resistance?SPX500USD - 24h expiry
Daily signals are bearish.
Short term bias has turned negative.
Previous resistance located at 5700.
20 1day EMA is at 5699.8.
5705.4 has been pivotal.
We look to Sell at 5699.5 (stop at 5743.5)
Our profit targets will be 5585.5 and 5565.5
Resistance: 5630.0 / 5658.9 / 5700.0
Support: 5602.4 / 5564.3 / 5495.3
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
S&P 500: The Correction Is Not Over Yet – Targets Around 5000At the moment, the S&P 500 is holding relatively stable, but I believe the current decline is just part of a larger correction following decades of growth.
Right now, the index is retracing to the 50% pullback area (marked on the chart), which aligns with a typical retest before a potential continuation of the downward move. In this zone, a manipulation is likely, after which the decline may resume.
An additional confirmation of this scenario is the unfilled gap below, which remains uncovered. Historically, the market tends to close such gaps. Moreover, there are untested price levels lower on the chart, suggesting a high probability of further downside movement, with targets around 5000 points.
I will keep monitoring the situation and update my outlook as new data emerges.
Breaking: SPX6900 ($SPX) Surged 21% Today The price of SPX6900 ( SP:SPX ) surged Nearly 25% today amidst breakout of a falling wedge.
Created on the Ethereum blockchain, SPX6900 is an advanced blockchain cryptography token coin capable of limitless possibilities and scientific utilization. With a growing momentum and hardworking community the coin seems to be a contender in the incoming bullrun speculated by traders.
As of the time of writing, SP:SPX is up 16.35% trading in tandem with the 1-month high axis. a break above that point could signal a trend continuation to the $0.70 - $0.80 pivot.
Similarly, should SP:SPX cool-off, immediate consolidation point resides in the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement point.
SPX6900 Price Live Data
The live SPX6900 price today is $0.616856 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $45,031,583 USD. SPX6900 is up 21.61% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $574,288,459 USD. It has a circulating supply of 930,993,090 SPX coins and a max. supply of 1,000,000,000 SPX coins.
SPX500 2nd Leg Down? 21 Mar 2025
Yesterday's candlestick closed as a bull bar in its lower half with a long tail above.
In yesterday's report, we said traders would see if the bulls could create a strong retest of yesterday's (Mar 19) high followed by a breakout above. Or if the retest would lack follow-through buying, stalling around or slightly above yesterday's high area.
The market formed a retest of the March 19 high, but stalled and formed a lower high.
We said the move while strong, likely was simply a bull leg and a buy vacuum test of the trading range high. If true, sellers would emerge near the trading range high, which was the case. (Please refer to the tagged post)
The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback.
The pullback is currently underway but has a lot of overlapping candlesticks. The bulls are not yet as strong as they hope to be.
They need to create credible buying pressure - consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to increase the odds of testing the 20-day EMA or the January 13 low.
For today, the market may open lower today. If the market continues down, they hope the March 18 low will act as support, forming a small double bottom bull flag.
The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase.
The 9-bar bear microchannel on the daily chart and the 4-bar bear microchannel on the weekly chart increase the odds that the first pullback (current pullback) would be minor and not lead to a reversal up.
They hope the leg to retest the March 13 low will begin soon. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to increase the odds of another leg down.
The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway.
Traders will see the strength of the pullback. If it is strong (consecutive bull bars closing near their highs), they may look for a retest of the breakout point - Jan 13 low.
If the pullback lacks follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji bars, bear bars, long tails above bars), the odds of another leg down AFTER the pullback phase increase.
So far, the pullback has a lot of overlapping candlesticks which indicates that the bulls are not yet as strong as they hope to be.
For now, traders will see if the bears can create a strong bear bar today.
Or will the market open lower but lack follow-through selling, like yesterday?
I will update again later today.
SPX500 Move Up Expected!
HI,Traders !
SPX500 made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 5640.66 and the
Breakout is confirmed
Because the daily candle
Closed above the key level
So on the market open
We will be expecting a
Local pullback and then
A strong move up !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" Indices CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or swing low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (5920.0) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 5600.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Index-Specific Analysis, Market Sentimental Outlook:👇🏻
US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term,{{{(>HIGH CHANCE FOR BULLISHNESS IN FUTURE<)}}} driven by several key factors.
🔰Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental factors underpin the S&P 500’s performance:
Economic Indicators:
GDP Growth: Assumed at 2.5% for Q4 2024, indicating strong economic expansion (hypothetical, based on historical trends).
Inflation: CPI at 2.2%, in line with the Fed’s target, supporting stable growth (assumed from recent data).
Unemployment: At 3.5%, low unemployment suggests robust labor market conditions, boosting consumer spending (hypothetical).
Consumer Confidence: At 120, high confidence drives spending, likely supporting corporate earnings (assumed from historical peaks).
Federal Reserve Policy:
Rates at 3.00-3.25%, down from 4% in 2024, with one more cut expected to 2.75-3.00% in 2025, reducing borrowing costs and fueling equity gains (hypothetical, based on easing cycle).
Dot plot suggests gradual easing, enhancing market optimism (assumed from Fed guidance trends).
Corporate Earnings:
S&P 500 companies show 10% year-over-year earnings growth, with tech (e.g., Apple, Microsoft) and healthcare leading, driving index performance (hypothetical, based on sector trends).
Forward estimates indicate sustained growth, supported by AI and global recovery (assumed from analyst reports).
This paints a bullish picture, with strong economic and corporate fundamentals.
🔰Macroeconomic Factors
Broader economic conditions influencing the S&P 500 include:
Global Economy:
China at 5% growth, Europe stable at 1.2% (Eurostat), no major recessions forecasted—neutral to bullish, as global demand supports US multinationals (hypothetical, based on ECB forecasts).
Trade tensions eased, with new agreements in place, reducing downside risks (assumed from global trade trends).
Trade and Tariffs:
Trump’s tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China) have shifted trade flows, benefiting US firms—bullish long-term, short-term volatility (hypothetical, based on recent news).
Currency Movements:
USD stable, DXY at 100—neutral impact, as a strong dollar could hurt exports but supports domestic focus (assumed from forex trends).
Oil Prices:
At $75 per barrel, stable energy costs support consumer spending—neutral to bullish (hypothetical, based on OPEC data).
Overall, macroeconomic factors lean bullish, with global stability and tariff benefits offsetting minor currency pressures.
🔰Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
COT data from CME Group (hypothetical for March 2025):
Large Speculators: Net long ~60,000 contracts, down from 70,000 post-2024 highs—cautious bullishness, suggesting room for further gains.
Commercial Hedgers: Net short ~65,000 contracts—stable, locking in gains, neutral impact.
Open Interest: ~130,000 contracts—high, indicating strong market participation, bullish signal.
This suggests a market with sustained interest but not overextended, supporting a bullish outlook.
🔰Index-Specific Analysis
Technical and structural factors specific to the S&P 500:
Moving Averages: Price at 5760.0 is above the 50-day (5750) and 200-day (5600) moving averages—bullish signal.
Support and Resistance: Support at 5600 (recent low), resistance at 5900 (psychological level)—current price near resistance, consolidation likely.
Volatility: Implied volatility from options at 15%, suggesting expected 225-point daily range (±1.5%)—neutral, room for moves.
Market Breadth: 70% of stocks above 200-day MA, advance-decline ratio at 1.5—broad participation, bullish.
Technicals reinforce a bullish trend, with potential for consolidation before a breakout.
🔰Market Sentimental Analysis
Investor psychology and market mood:
Investor Surveys: 60% bullish (hypothetical, based on AAII trends)—strong optimism, bullish.
Social Media: Positive (e.g., market analyst predicting new highs)—bullish sentiment.
Fear and Greed Index: At 75 (greed, hypothetical)—high optimism, potential for correction, neutral short-term.
News Flow: Mixed, with earnings beats driving gains, but tariff uncertainty noted—neutral.
Sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, though greed levels suggest caution for short-term pullbacks.
🔰Next Trend Move
Based on the analysis:
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Likely consolidation between 5600-5900, with potential dip to 5600 if profit-taking occurs, or breakout to 6000 if momentum sustains.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Break above 5900 to new highs (e.g., 6100) if Fed cuts materialize and earnings beat expectations.
Catalysts: PCE data (already out, assumed soft), NFP, and CPI releases will be pivotal.
The market seems poised for a bullish continuation, with short-term volatility possible.
🔰Overall Summary Outlook
The S&P 500 at 5760.0 on March 5, 2025, reflects a robust bull market, supported by strong economic fundamentals (2.5% GDP, 10% earnings growth), a dovish Fed (rates at 3.00-3.25%, expected cuts), and broad market participation (70% above 200-day MA). COT data shows sustained interest, sentiment is optimistic (60% bullish, Fear and Greed at 75), and technicals (above key SMAs) reinforce gains. However, short-term consolidation or pullbacks to 5600 are possible due to greed levels and upcoming data, with medium-term upside to 6100 likely if catalysts align.
🔰Future Prediction
Given the analysis, the future prediction is Bullish, with short-term consolidation (5600-5900) and medium-term potential to 6100, driven by economic strength and Fed easing.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
"SPX500USD" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SPX500USD" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Sell below (5930) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 6025 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 5875 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 5750 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"SPX500USD" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
👉Fundamental Analysis
Earnings Growth: The SPX500 earnings growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Valuation: The SPX500 forward P/E ratio is around 17.5, slightly below the historical average.
Dividend Yield: The SPX500 dividend yield is around 2.0%, relatively attractive compared to other asset classes.
👉Macro Economics
GDP Growth: The US GDP growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Inflation: The US inflation rate is expected to remain around 2.0% in 2025, slightly above the Federal Reserve's target.
Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates relatively stable in 2025, with a possible rate cut in the second half of the year.
👉COT Data
Commitment of Traders: The COT data shows that large speculators are net short SPX500, indicating a bearish sentiment.
Open Interest: The open interest in SPX500 futures is decreasing, indicating a declining interest in the market.
👉Market Sentimental Analysis
Bearish Sentiment: The market sentiment is currently bearish, with many investors expecting the SPX500 to continue its downward trend.
Risk Aversion: The market is experiencing high risk aversion, with investors seeking safe-haven assets such as bonds and gold.
👉Positioning
Short Positions: Many investors are holding short positions in SPX500, expecting the index to continue its downward trend.
Long Positions: Some investors are holding long positions in SPX500, expecting a potential bounce or reversal.
👉Next Trend Move
Bearish Trend: The current trend is bearish, with the SPX500 expected to continue its downward trend driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Support Levels: The next support levels are seen at 5700 and 5600.
👉Overall Summary Outlook
Bearish Outlook: The overall outlook for SPX500 is bearish, driven by economic uncertainty, trade tensions, and slowing earnings growth.
Volatility: The market is expected to remain volatile, with investors closely watching economic data, earnings reports, and geopolitical developments.
👉Real-Time Market Feed
SPX500 Price: 5990.0
24-Hour Change: -1.2%
24-Hour High: 6050.0
24-Hour Low: 5950.0
Trading Volume: 2.2 billion
👉Prediction Next Target
T1: 5875 (short-term target)
T2: 5750 (medium-term target)
T3: 5650 (long-term target)
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
S&P 500 Index, Gold, and BitcoinToday, I’m analyzing the weekly charts of the S&P 500 Index, Gold, and Bitcoin. Notice anything interesting? 🤔
Since late 2022, these assets have been moving in sync, showing an unusually strong correlation. At times, it almost feels like they’re behaving as a single market. But spotting these connections provides valuable insights we can use to our advantage.
One chart that stands out is the S&P 500 Index, particularly its rebound from the dual Fibonacci support zone around $5520. This is a critical level, and as long as it holds, both Bitcoin and Gold are likely to maintain their upward momentum.
For now, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, and this trend could continue throughout the year. 🚀
Don't Miss Out We Predicted S&P 500 Drop to 5740 It Happened📉 Don't Miss Out – We Predicted S&P 500 Drop to 5740 , and It Happened! 🔥
In our previous recommendation, we clearly stated that S&P 500 would drop to 5740 , and it happened exactly as predicted, reaching the 61% Fibonacci level! ✅
🚨 Will You Wait Until You Fall with Losing Stocks? 🚨
The market doesn’t wait, and opportunities don’t last forever! If you’ve been following our recommendations, you’ve avoided the collapsing stocks we warned about.
⚠️ Don’t let the market get ahead of you – Follow our recommendations to stay on the winning side! 🔥💰
#SPX500 #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestmentOpportunities
Dow Jones at the bottom of the trading rangeGiven the recent emotional decline in the Dow Jones and S&P500, the Dow Jones is expected to make an upward correction from the bottom of its confirmed trading range. The stop loss is equivalent to the closing of the 4-hour candle below today's last low, with a target of 43,500 in the final step.
SPX500USD Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,757.1.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,713.4 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SPX Is About to Explode – Here’s What I’m WatchingSPX is at a critical level, and whichever way it breaks, the move could be huge. Here’s my take:
If we drop below 5663, I see a move down to 5534 – 5445. If that zone fails, we could head toward 5332, and if selling pressure keeps up, 5234 might be next.
But if we break above 5800, the bulls could take over, pushing to 5972, and maybe even 6149.
It’s all about reaction levels now. I’m watching these zones closely—what’s your take? Are we heading up or breaking down?
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trader Smarter Live Better
Shorting the S&P at 6000We previously picked the turning point of the S&P at the all time high.
We now expect this to continue with the downtrend as it approaches the strong 6000 resistance.
1) There is pattern
2) H4 and D1 are down
3) M15 is overbought, awaiting divergence
We target the low of 5915 which will give a 1:2.5 R:R