US SPX 500
SPX500 correction soon to be finishedQuick idea to show that the Hash Ribbon indicator has turned green on 1D an Hourly timeframe.
The MACD is about to touch bottom and reverse.
These are signs that this correction is about to end. The SPX 500 just needed some cool down before continuing its uptrend, starting Monday I think.
240729 Weekly OutlookThe following week have major data release including,
240730 Tue CB Consumer Confidence ****
240731 Wed Fed Interest Rate Decision *****
240801 Thu Initial Jobless Claims ****
240801 Fri Nonfarm Payrolls *****
Unemployment Rate *****
Consumer Confidence is the major leading indicator alongside Michigan Consumer index. Investors should follow the rise of two indexes to lead increase in economic data like inflation, GDP, labor market conditions, as well as economic conditions.
Fed rate is expected to remain unchanged, while market discounting the first cut in the cycle to come in September.
Labor market show resilience all the way that give space to maintain higher rates in this cycle for longer. Even the first rate cute is forecasted for September, I would still expect the higher rates to stay here for longer period due to resilient labor market, as shown by labor market indicators.
There are no signs for S&P to weaken this time, rather shuttle up and down at high levels. Note that last adjustment in S&P followed the deviation of 12% from major trend line 200SMA. Attentive investors could observe it previously.
When the market finally digest selling orders, S&P should resume the rising trend.
Go Long, Go Wealth (Microsoft)Microsoft made a significant move today. Based on my analysis, the price is expected to retrace to either the $438 or $429 level.
I anticipate that the price will stabilize at one of these levels before a potential reversal occurs.
Although I am not directly trading MSFT, I have invested in SPUS, which is following a similar trajectory.
SPX500USD Will Grow! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 5,665.3.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 5,860.7 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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SPX500USD ( TRADE BELOW RESISTANCE TRENDLINE ) ( 4H )SPX500USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price trade below resistance trendline , indicates the price is under bearish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : there is a blue line around 5,596 , indicates if the price trade below this level reach a support level , but if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level
NEW RESISTANCE LEVEL: there is a green line around 5,625 , it indicates the progress of the index
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line around 5,544 , indicates buying have already increase this level , and in this level create a demand zone
PRICE MOVEMNET : the price stabilizing below turning level around 5,596 , in my opinion until the price trade below turning level , reach a support level at 5,544 , then breaking this level reach a next target at 5,503 , if the price breaking turning level create a new resistance level at 5,625 and 5,661
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 5,625 and 5,661
SUPPORT LEVEL : 5,544 , 5,503
SPX500 / US500 Bullish Robbery Plan To Make MoneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 4h timeframe
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SPX500USD Will Go Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5,516.8.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 5,549.3 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Tesla's Stellar Performance Ignites S&P 500 The U.S. stock market reached a new milestone on Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024, with the S&P 500 closing above 5,500 for the very first time. This historic achievement was fueled by a powerful surge in Tesla's stock price, coupled with positive signals from the Federal Reserve regarding potential interest rate adjustments.
Tesla, the electric vehicle (EV) leader, emerged as the star of the show. The company's stock price skyrocketed by over 10%, propelled by exceeding analyst expectations for their second-quarter deliveries. This impressive feat marked Tesla's second consecutive day of strong gains, solidifying investor confidence in the company's future prospects. The positive momentum surrounding Tesla not only propelled its own stock price but also had a ripple effect on the broader market, particularly the Nasdaq Composite. The tech-heavy index followed suit, closing at a record high itself, exceeding the 18,000 mark for the first time ever.
Beyond Tesla's individual performance, another significant factor contributed to the market's bullish sentiment. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, in a much-anticipated speech, hinted at the possibility of future rate cuts. This dovish stance from the Fed was met with enthusiasm by investors, as lower interest rates are generally seen as a positive catalyst for stock prices. Chair Powell's comments suggested that the Fed is cautiously optimistic about progress made in combating inflation, potentially paving the way for a more accommodative monetary policy in the near future.
The confluence of these events – Tesla's dominance, the Nasdaq's record highs, and the Fed's softening stance on inflation – created a perfect storm for the S&P 500 to breach the coveted 5,500 barrier. This milestone signifies a period of exceptional growth and resilience for the U.S. stock market. It's important to remember, however, that market triumphs are rarely linear. While the current outlook appears optimistic, there are always external forces that can influence market direction.
Looking Ahead: Sustainable Growth or Market Correction?
The question now on everyone's mind is whether this record-breaking rally can be sustained. Analysts hold varying perspectives. Some believe that the market's current momentum is a reflection of a robust and growing U.S. economy, with factors like strong corporate earnings and continued technological advancements fueling the rise. They argue that the S&P 500's ascent above 5,500 represents a new chapter in market history, and further growth is possible.
However, others express caution. They point to potential risks, such as ongoing geopolitical tensions, potential supply chain disruptions, and the possibility that inflation might not be definitively tamed. These factors, they argue, could trigger a market correction in the future.
Investor Takeaways: Navigating the Evolving Market Landscape
Regardless of one's specific viewpoint, this historic event serves as a crucial reminder for investors. It underscores the importance of conducting thorough research, maintaining a diversified portfolio, and having a long-term investment strategy. Investors should also stay informed about economic developments and adjust their strategies accordingly.
The S&P 500 breaching 5,500 is undoubtedly a significant milestone. It reflects a period of exceptional growth for the U.S. stock market, fueled by a combination of strong corporate performance, optimism about inflation, and potential adjustments in monetary policy. However, as with any market rally, there are always underlying risks to consider. By staying informed, maintaining a diversified portfolio, and adhering to a well-defined investment strategy, investors can navigate the evolving market landscape and potentially benefit from the current economic climate.
FewEveryone senses there is something coming, but nobody knows what it is. Regardless the markets will correct massively, technically because we haven't had a 0.61 fib correction in a decade, secondly because the bags are too heavy and everyone is bagholding, we need to shake those who call themselves diamond hands at +50% price discounts, i.e. cheaper prices.
Capital is excessively cheap, Attention is overpriced. Manual Labor is underpriced we are living in a bubble state, some call it 'the everything bubble'.
Call me bubble boy, chicken little, i don't care.
A Nuke is coming.
July Economic Calendar - IMPORTANT EventsIt’s going to be a busy month for the Chair of the Fed (Jerome Powell), who delivers a speech today and then will testify later this month in front of Congress to provide updates on monetary policy decisions. Will we gain clarity on the timing of potential rate cuts this year, and if they are even being considered?
Crypto in June - How BTC responds
June saw significant volatility across the crypto market. Bitcoin fluctuated between price highs above $70,000 and lows of around $60,000, with substantial movement around 4 June when Bitcoin peaked above $71,000, before declining on 6 June and continuing a downward trend and falling to levels last seen in May. ETH and altcoins followed along, with Ethereum down approximately 11% in June . Pulling it back to the US markets, some analysts argue that the fluctuations was largely driven by uncertainty surrounding inflation data. The drop to $60k could likely be due to the reducing likelihood of multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve Bank this year, contrary to earlier investor anticipations (causing hesitation and a cautious approach).
Upcoming Events that could Affect Markets:
❗ Tuesday, 2 July 📢 Jerome Powell speech
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will provide an economic overview today, outlining current monetary policies. He will answers questions and the outcome of this speech can significantly impact financial markets and investor sentiment.
❗Wednesday, 3 July 📢 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
The upcoming FOMC minutes are expected to provide more details on the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged, and its revised economic projections. Key points could include the reasons behind the more hawkish stance on rate cuts, and the implications of updated forecasts for unemployment and inflation.
❗Friday, 5 July📢 US Unemployment Rate
The US unemployment rate is a key indicator of economic health, influencing consumer spending, corporate profits and the social sentiment. During May the US jobs sector added 272,000 jobs, further casting doubt on the rate cuts in the US this year.
❗Tuesday, 9 July 📢 Fed Chair Powell testimony
Jerome Powell is set to discuss the state of the economy, monetary policy decisions, and also outline future policy intentions in his twice-a-year testimony in front of Congress.
❗Thursday, 11 July 📢 US Inflation Figures
The year-on-year and month-on-month inflation numbers provide crucial insights into purchasing power trends, influencing market expectations for interest rates and the overall economic outlook. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 0.2% in May, the smallest advance in core CPI since October 2023.
Take extra caution when over the next few weeks as volatility will be likely depending on the outcome of these events.
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ECONOMICS:USINTR FRED:UNRATE ECONOMICS:USIRYY
SPX500USD Will Move Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,476.9.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,438.5 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SPX500USD ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 1H )SPX500USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price stabilizing below turning level at 5,488 , indicates under bearish pressure
PRICE MOVEMENT :
the price stabilizing below turning level at 5,488 , indicates to reach a support level, have two condition to reach this level , first condition corrective 5,488 before dropping to 5,438 , the second condition in a direct manner reach around 5,378 ,
if the breaking turning level at 5,488 , the price of the spx500usd reach a new historical peak , but reaches the resistance level early around 5,524 , after create new resistance level at 5,561
TARGET LEVEL :
TURNING LEVEL : 5,488
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 5,524 , 5,561
SUPPORT LEVEL : 5,438 , 5,378
SPX500USD ( UNDER ORDER BLOCK ) ( 4H )SPX500USD
HELLO TRADERS
AS I pointed out yesterday , the price breaking turning level reach to resistance level , rising + 380 pip , today will be attempt to touch support level
Tendency the price is a bearish pressure in 5,509
TURNING LEVEL : the price turning level at 5,509, price stable below this level it becomes reach a support level , but if breaking this level active bullish area , if by open 4h candle above turning level in the order block area , crated a new historical price
RESISTANCE LEVEL: if the price braking turning level at 5,509, the price will rise to 5,530 and 5,569
SUPPORT LEVEL : the price trade below turning level 5,509, it will reach the support level of 5,441 and 5,405 , stable this level reach to 5,345
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : price will 5,509, may be in corrective order block area before decline
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SPX500USD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 5,525.4.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 5,670.1 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SPX500USD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 5,469.2.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 5,438.7 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!