Global M2 Money Supply Vs S&P500So when we look just at the Global M2 money supply, we can see its increasing and sharply.
However, when you look at BTC, BTC is lagging behind, and the increase in M2 Global supply has yet to have an effect on BTC where we would expect to see a price increase as M2 money supply increases.
If you compare the M2 Global money supply against S&P500 though, it tells us a different story, where the S&P is leading and BTC is lagging.
Signalling to me a catch up in BTC is inevitable at this stage and its being squeezed at these levels as money flow increases.
A good signs imo and no doubt BTC catches up to S&P500
US SPX 500
Understanding Warren Buffett’s Investment PhilosophyWarren Buffett is arguably one of the most successful investors of all time. Over the years, he has developed a set of principles and strategies over his career. He was inspired by the teachings of key financial thinkers like Phil Fisher, Benjamin Graham and Charlie Munger.
Key Influences
Phil Fisher
Fisher’s approach focusses on quality companies with long-term growth potential, emphasizing focused portfolios and long-term holdings. He believed in gathering information about a company beyond what’s readily available. His lessons on maintaining a focused portfolio and committing to long-term holdings are clear influences on Buffett’s patient, value-driven investment philosophy.
Benjamin Graham
Known as the father of value investing, Graham’s core principle was to buy stocks at a price lower than their intrinsic value, creating a margin of safety (MOS). This strategy helps mitigate risk and increase the likelihood of future gains. Buffett absorbed Graham’s teaching on finding stocks that are undervalued and buying them at the right price— definitely a large contributor of his investment success.
Charlie Munger
Munger is Warren Buffett’s long-time business partner. He introduced the concept of economic moats, which refers to a company’s long-term, sustainable competitive advantages. Munger advocates investing in businesses that can fend off competition and maintain profitability over time. This philosophy drives Buffett’s focus on companies with strong market positions and solid long-term potential, favoring these over shorter-term, speculative opportunities.
Buffett's Investment Approach
1 - Buy for the Long Term. Buffett’s strategy emphasizes identifying companies that can consistently perform well over long periods. He holds stocks for years, or even decades, often looking for opportunities where other investors may overlook value.
2 - Buy at the Right Price . Buffett is known for his discipline in waiting for the right moment to invest. His approach ensures he doesn’t overpay, instead seeking stocks when they are priced below their true value, maintaining a margin of safety.
3 - Buy the Right Stocks . Buffett doesn’t just buy cheap stocks, he buys quality companies with sustainable advantages. His goal is to invest in firms with strong business models that will continue to perform well regardless of market conditions.
Warren Buffett emphasizes investing in companies with simple and clear business models , ones that fall within his circle of competence. He prefers to thoroughly understand the operations, products, and long-term prospects of a company before making any investment.
This principle is combined with in-depth analysis of how the company operates and how sustainable its valuations and future growth prospects are. If a business model is too complex or outside his expertise, he avoids it.
He prioritizes companies with integrity and transparency in their management. He believes in backing leaders who are passionate, have strong vision and execution capabilities and who use shareholder funds wisely. Trusting management to run the company effectively, with efficiency and accountability, is critical for long-term success in Buffett’s eyes.
Investing in quality companies isn’t enough—Buffett also insists on buying them at attractive prices. He maintains a strict discipline of buying with a margin of safety, ensuring the price paid is lower than the company’s intrinsic value. This means waiting for opportunities to buy great businesses at fair prices rather than settling for fair businesses at attractive prices , which may not perform well over time.
Buffett has made many of his lessons and strategies available to the public through his letters to shareholders and partnership letters. These documents offer insight into his investment approach, decision-making process, and lessons from both successes and failures. There are several key books that capture Buffett’s life, philosophy, and strategies in greater detail:
Warren Buffett’s Ground Rules
The Warren Buffett Way
Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist
The Warren Buffett Portfolio
The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life
Each of these resources provides a comprehensive look into the mind of one of the most successful investors of all time, offering practical advice and detailed case studies of his investments.
________________________________
SPX500 intraday dips continue to attract buyers.US500 - 24h expiry
Buying pressure from 5714 resulted in all the initial daily selloff being recaptured.
Broken out of the channel formation to the upside.
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Dips continue to attract buyers.
We look to set longs in early trade for a further test of the fragile looking resistance.
Our profit targets will be 5785 and 5800
Resistance: 5780 / 5784 / 5800
Support: 5745 / 5730 / 5714
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
spx &nasdaq in an iminent drop of valuespx showing an iminent short going in value, where it can go? last time i tryed to do the math it would go arround 2700 but without any sure, the major stock whealtiest did a 3x wealth since covid drop, this could be another timer that can quintuple the value, or make more 15x time the value that they had before covid, it is an iminent drop coming, in my opinion, good for everyone even for world economies, to triple their whealth and put the profits in their balance sheet and put time their gdp growth, is a question of timing, after covid drop, that in my opinion, didnt had too much growth in manufactories and jobs, only people gowing ther whealth by the 'inflation' fault,
anyway, there is an iminent drop in the stock market in the western countries, at least, im not into asian market but american indexes are in an eminent significant drop, in my POV.
Major Top Forming on SPXHello Everyone, a simple analysis of the RSI and current price action appear eerily similar to the 2022 peak. During the 2022 top we had financial experts and the media claiming victory stating that this bull market will continue, however we crashed soon after. Now the SPX is currently forming a topping process, this could be done or we could go a little higher before the bear market continues. It's clear that the SPX is making new highs while NDX and IWM fail to make a new high suggesting that this is the top.
If this economy is doing so good, then why does the FED need to cut interest rates? The fed is cutting interest rates because we are either in a recession or we are very close to one. There is no such thing as a soft landing. The truth is we may already be in a recession and it wouldn't be declared until we are deep into one.
If anything we are no longer going into a recession, we are going into a depression. Do not get lulled into a false sense of security like many others during the 2000 and 2008 top.
SPX500USD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5,711.6.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 5,801.4 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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S&P500 H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 5,732.82, which is a swing-high resistance that lines up with the 127.20% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 5,672.36, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 5,800.93, which is above 61.8% Fibo projection
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SPX500 / US500 Bank Money Heist Plan On Bullish SideBonjour My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist SPX500 / US500 Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 30m timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
SPX6900 and Project AEON probably moonsIf we could harness the power of God, could we flip the S&P500 ?
Deep within the clandestine vaults of SPX6900 Labs, a radical research experiment codenamed "Project AEON" sought the answer to this question. But then, the unexpected happened. A phenomenon known as a quantum glitch occurred, sparking life into 3333 Aeons - beings neither of this world nor wholly apart from it
SPX500USD Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 5,676.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 5,784.8 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SPX500USD 2024/09/11one of the benefits of using Elliot Wave is that it can help traders to understand the psychology and emotions behind market movements. if can halp traders to avoid being influenced by fear and greed and trade with logic and objectivity.
-You can't control the market! But you can control how you respond it
# Planning is the key element of trading! Plan it - Follow it! Trade it!
SPX500USD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5,664.8.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 5,801.1 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Why ORB + VWAP is Your New Best Friend in Trading -No, SeriouslySP:SPX Hey there, traders! Deno Trading here;👋 Stop feeling like the market is just a one big, mysterious puzzle, and felt you're missing the piece that makes everything click? Well, strap in, because today we're diving into the magic of the Open Range Breakout (ORB) strategy, sprinkled with a little VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) magic dust. Spoiler alert: This combo is like peanut butter and jelly for traders—simple, effective, and deliciously profitable.
The Chart (aka "The Battlefield")
Take a look at the chart above—our trusty S&P 500 on a 15-minute time frame. Notice those blue zones? That’s your ORB, the first 15-30 minutes of market action where all the cool kids (a.k.a. the big institutions) are making their moves. The VWAP line? That’s the referee, keeping everyone honest.
Now, let’s break down why ORB works most of the time (we're not wizards, after all, just really good strategists).
ORB: The Reliable Wingman
Imagine ORB as your super-reliable wingman. It’s there at the start of the trading day, setting the boundaries. If the price breaks out of this range, it’s like getting the go-ahead from your wingman to approach—“Yeah, this one's a keeper.”
In our chart, you can see how every time the price breaks above or below the ORB, it either rockets off to the moon 🌕 or dives deep into the abyss. And just like in life, we always want to go with the flow—if the price breaks out, we’re in for the ride.
VWAP: The Truth Serum
Now, let’s talk VWAP. Think of VWAP as the lie detector of the trading world. When the price is above VWAP, it’s like the market is saying, “I’m feeling good, let’s keep pushing higher.” Below VWAP? Well, it’s like the market’s had a rough night out, and it’s probably heading home early.
In this chart, you’ll notice how the price interacts with VWAP after breaking out of the ORB. When the price stays above VWAP after a breakout, it’s a sign that the bulls are in control—cue the confetti! 🎉 But when it dips below, the bears start growling, and you might want to reconsider your long positions.
Jokes Aside But Hey: ORB Always Works (Except When It Doesn’t)
Let’s be real for a second—ORB mostly works. Kind of like how your Wi-Fi mostly works until you really need it. But when ORB does work, it’s like hitting the jackpot. You’re basically riding the wave that everyone else is trying to catch. And if it doesn’t work? Well, blame it on the market gremlins and move on.
Why and Why again: ORB + VWAP = Trading BFFs
Let me wrap up that if you’re not using ORB with VWAP, you’re missing out on a killer combo. These two are like Batman and Robin, or coffee and donuts—they just make sense together. So, the next time you’re staring at your charts, remember: Trust in the ORB, let VWAP be your guide, and don’t forget to laugh at the market’s little quirks and use the news as your catalysts. Because at the end of the day, trading should be fun, profitable, and maybe just a little bit magical.
Now go forth and conquer those charts, my fellow traders! 🚀 Deno Trading in and out!
SPX forming a top?US500 - 24h expiry
Levels above 5630 continue to attract sellers.
The 161.8% Fibonacci extension is located at 5544 from 5650 to 5585.
Bespoke support is located at 5540.
Selling spikes offers good risk/reward.
Economic figures could adversley affect the short term technical picture.
We look to Sell at 5630 (stop at 5665)
Our profit targets will be 5540 and 5470
Resistance: 5630 / 5650 / 5680
Support: 5545 / 5540 / 5470
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
S&P 500 Index SPX To Rally FurtherThe S&P 500 index SPX is just 50 points away from breaching the previous all-time high.
The minutes of the Fed’s July 30-31 meeting, released Wednesday, said the “vast majority” of policymakers “observed that, if the data continued to come in about as expected, it would likely be appropriate to ease policy at the next meeting.”
Traders had already considered it a certainty that the Fed will announce its first interest rate cut in four years when it meets in mid-September.
SPX next targets: 5680 - 5825.