S&P 500 (US500):🔴Bearish or bullish...?!🔴By examining the weekly and 4-hour charts, we can determine the price was heavily pushed down after creating the all-time high.
I am not bearish for the long-term on the S&P500, but for now, I think the price can have a bearish reaction to the bearish breaker block and move down at least till the previous week's low, then we should study the price to find out the next move.
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🗓️27/05/2024
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US SPX 500
Spx500/USD , analysis on multi timeframe Hello traders,
It's my opinion on the S&P 500 across multiple timeframes. After analyzing the daily chart, I have observed that the price is currently in a strong bullish trend. However, based on candle formations, I believe that the price is likely to complete a pullback and reach the Daily Order Block zone at 5200.
Considering the dominant trend in the daily timeframe, i see this as a good opportunity to sell in the lower timeframes. It's important to emphasize the importance of implementing effective money management strategies to manage risk.
Remember that trading the S&P 500 or any other financial instrument involves risks, and it's important to make informed decisions based on thorough research, risk assessment, and your own risk tolerance.
If you have any further questions or need clarification, feel free to ask.
S&P 500 CUP & HANDLEHello Traders and welcome! Let's take a look at the S&P 500 today.
The price has formed a cup and handle on its weekly chart, successfully breaking above the breakout level of 4815.92. Levels to consider are 38%: 5325.92, where partial profit could be taken, and this level might be used as support in the near future. Further targets are 62%: 5634.84 and 79%: 5857.40.
SPX Showing Signs of Weakness at PCZ of a Bearish Alternate BatThe RSI on the daily has begun to rollover as the SPX appears to have rejected off of the Bearish Alternate Bat HOP level. There does not appear to be much nearby support within the range the SPX is currently trading in so if it gets back below the previous All-Time High I could see it coming back down to around $5100 maybe even $5000 - $4800. This all seems to be brought on by the increase in JGB Yields disrupting the Carry Trade. We may see them try to stabilize the carry trade around $5100 but there is a heightened chance of failure.
More on the carry trade can be seen in the related idea below.
Using S5TH (spx stocks above 200dma) as an oscillator timing cycPretty cool feature. You can use the 9month moving average in S5TH (spx stocks above the 200dma) to time the market cycle. Figure out the upward momentum (with help of game theory and TNX cycle). In practice and theory peoples options should be predictable because everyone act in their self-interest, seeking safety (hypothetical riskfree) and potential.
I use this as an oschilator (like RSI).. above 50% reading is bull market (because more than 50% stocks above it's 200dma).
This thing points to bull market to at least like 2025 summer. Worth noting that business cycle and TNX patterns are key here.
S&P500 - Bullish opportunites ahead! - Long in flight Last weeks levels provided to be partly actionable and price has immediately responded (See attached post). Comfortable holding this 50% long position with stop/target untouched. Will be looking for opportunities to buy the other 50% and increase risk as I'm confident in the bullish sentiment after last weeks Feds statement. I hold an underlying belief that the FED does actually have a decent pulse on the economy that drives the stock market - obviously not the "real" economy but an important one no less. I'm personally very bullish 2024 on nearly all assets.
So lets unpack the chart -
Daily chat shows a "comfortable" pullback. One very similar to Nov. 2024. Evidence on the RSI suggests we are positioned for months of bullish room to run ahead. So I'm interested in getting long at least back to comfortable new highs.
2 hour chart shows our first aggressive entry hit and the second entry came within .30% of getting filled. Although I would have loved the second to get filled, It's a non-factor. Thankfully price has strongly verified our bullish identification of these price levels and the overall theory.
Although the stop of the aggressive was close to the conservative entry - it was separated by several key levels and strategically placed. I've got a good idea of where things are going and the opportunities on the way are endless. The rest is risk management
Follow/like for more AMEX:SPY NYSE:ES GETTEX:MES #S&P500 Commentary
Best,
GrayTrader
S&P500 ForecastS&P500 Currently, there is a bearish trend projected to reach 5190 from the pivot point at 5225. However, if it breaks above 5245, confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing above this level, it could potentially target higher levels at 5261 and 5280.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 5225
Bullish Lines: 5245, 5261, 5280
Bearish Lines: 5190, 5168, 5150, 5099
SP500 Mid term planOur friend Fibonacci is showing up a possible next move for SPX. Actually is ranging exactly on the 1.618 level of the last leg, and usually this level to a retrace till the level 1. There we could probably see a reversal that could lead the price into the resistance area at 5250, but it's probably too early for that
SPX500USD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5188.9.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 5282.3 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SP500 in the hammer zoneSP500 reached a strong reversal area where price reacted in the previous week. I was expecting a little pump in my previous ideas, and honestly i wasn't expecting it to rise so much. But i am holding my short trades and i am adding more here, consider i expect a selloff this month. First target the support zone at 4990
SPX500USD - Bullish Momentum UnderwaySPX500USD has been undergoing some bullish momentum over the last few days. This may lead to a potential push to the $5350 region over the next few days. Further movement will take time to tell; but overall it’s currently looking good.
All 4 of our Core YinYang Oscillators and exhibiting Bullish Momentum; however since there is such low Volume, it’s hard to say how strong this momentum will be. Nonetheless prepare yourself for a potential movement upwards in the short term.
S&P500 Valuation In Current Economic EnvirontmentHello everyone,
as title says, today I would like to speak about the S&P500 and its market valuation in the current economic environment.
Since I prefer to study and analyze markets on higher time frames rather than day-to-day, this Case Study is based on quarter outlook (3M chart), to capture most of the available information using metrics that have significant inputs and outputs on the economy e.g. Interest Rates, Employment Rates, company Bankcruptcies & others.
I decided to make this Case Study since I believe we may be on the verge of facing difficulties on micro and macro levels, which in history led into a downturn of equity markets for a prolonged period of time.
It may be argued that some of these Cases are not relevant since they don't include full data, and that would be fair. But at the same time, I would point out that these data and used Cases are the most relevant to this day, because of their similarities to today's economic environment even if not in a full manner.
For better understanding, you need to take a look at Pic1.
(Pic1.:S&P500 chart with color legend)
-Captured time windows consist of the US Unemployment rate moving from relatively low levels to higher values in times when Interest Rates are relatively High. To make a better educated guess I included US bankcrupcies as an overall business health indicator.
-Inflation Rate or Federal Reserve Balance could be used additionally.
Historically, I would argue that the most similar to this day looks Case Nr.4
In both, we have:
a, rallied to ATH in unfavorable market conditions (3to4, 5to6?)
b, unemployment rate curving up from the bottom
c, bankcruptcies curving up from the bottom
d, interest rates are high (and cuts are around horizont)
Why is that important?
Because as Pic2. shows:
(Pic2.:S&P500 drawdown from top)
-In all of these cases market bled and did not start turning around BEFORE FED found the bottom rate.
And they have not even started cutting yet..
That in my view is a huge red flag and it brings attention to "Not IF we are about to go lower, but WHEN we are about to start going lower."
It may be a month, two or three... but if we take a look at what the chart and those economic metrics suggest, it's most likely will not be a pretty ride until all of those are resolved in favorable manner for markets, which may take year or longer as historical cases shown..
Unless they decide to print NEW TRILLION$$$
Hopefully, this case study was helpful for some of you in further market navigation.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot to me.
Also, if you are interested in more updates or you would like to receive personal analysis with lower time frame updates daily, let me know in the comments or DM.
Best Regards,
Joe
SPX500USD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5078.5.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 4997.7 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
🧑🎓 XAU/USD ANALYSE 📈 UPDATED MORE READ THE CAPTION?By Wolrd Forex Traders Hello 👋
"G old Market Analysis 💡📊👀
4H Time Frame Chart 📉🕒
_Bearish Signal ⚠️👎_
We're seeing a potential short opportunity in the Gold market, with a current price of 2354. Our target is 2300, which is a key support level. A breakout below this level could lead to a significant price decrease 📉💸!
_Analysis 🤔📊_
The 4H time frame chart shows a bearish trend, with a series of lower highs and lower lows. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also indicating a bearish signal, with a reading of . The Moving Averages are aligned, providing additional confirmation for a short position 💪📉.
_Trade Strategy 💰📉_
Sell: 2354 (short)
Target: 2300 (next support level)
Stop Loss: 2380 (bearish warning) ⚠️🚨
If the breakout occurs at 2300, the next target is 2270.
Note: This analysis is based on a 4H time frame chart and is subject to market changes and fluctuations. Always use proper risk management techniques and consult with a financial advisor if necessary.
Follow me for more market insights and analysis! #Gold #XAUUSD #tradingview #bearish #marketanalysis #trading #finance #investing"
SPX500USD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 5110.2.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 5146.0 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!