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US SPX 500

📊⤴️⤴️ EURUSD VIP BULLISH MOMENTUM LONG TRADE)⤴️⤴️📊Hello trader’s what do you think about eurusd)? dear traders I think 4H trand line this week Cpi news soo I think eurusd fullback resistance levels my Postens open 01.09000 Long trade) bullish momentum) Target 1.10357) Target 1.10837) Target 1.11657) GBP/USD remained consolidative on Thursday, bid just above 1.26 and offered just above its 10-DMA at 1.2707, as traders cogitate over U.S. and UK rate pivots later this year, looking toward Friday's payrolls data and next Thursday's CPI data for clues about the timing and depth of Fed rate cuts. For now, traders are reacting to Wednesday's slightly dovish Fed minutes, which noted prior rate hikes are having their intended effect reducing inflation and growth, and near-unanimity that rates will be lower by year-end 2024. Sterling traders' reluctance to move GBP/USD out of its 1.26-1.27 range hints at consensus that both the BoE and Fed are at peak rate levels. Though futures are pricing a near-80% chance the Fed will begin rate cuts in March 2024 (0#SRA:), ahead of the BoE expected in May 2024 (0#SON3:), the near-symmetrical rate paths foreseen for the two central banks in 2024 is keeping GBP/USD anchored near current levels. U.S. jobs data on Friday could disrupt the current GBP/USD rate stasis. Should payroll and earnings data surprise to the upside, a delay in Fed cuts is likely to weigh on GBP/USD, putting multiple support levels in the 1.2630s in sharper focus. FX:EURUSD
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
4750 Target met, trends in some conflict nowSo, we did hit that 4750 range, and ended up hitting it within just a few hours of my assessment that was the next area for us to head. That opens up a few trends to take us lower, specifically the 1hr and 2hr, as seen below in the trends; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4722 Downtrend (1/8/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High 2Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High 3Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low 4Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low 6Hr - 4759 Downtrend (12/20/2023) Higher Low 12Hr - 4762 Uptrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High So now the shorter timeframe trends are in some conflict with the longer timeframe trends, and being I capitalized well last week, I am in no rush to get between this fight. Economic Data; I could see the public debt today being a big issue, but the major one this week will be CPI data on Thursday, as covered in the video. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to be a concern as well. My sentiment is; Shorter Term - Neutral Short Term - Neutral Medium Term - Neutral/Bullish Long Term - Bullish Safe trading, and remember your risk management.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SemperTrader
3
End of Bullish Supertrend? Journey from Support to SupportDear Esteemed Members, The supertrend was bullish, but two sell signals concluded with a bearish price action. The rejections happened around the resistance level from a previous top. The price is now below the upper green support level. I think the S&P 500 market will reach the next support level: around $4600. So, I'd consider a short position. You can target the bottom support level of $4600, but keep a stop loss if the market reverses from the proximity of the violated support level. You can observe a similar setup on my yesterday ES analytics, where I explained a bearish MACD, RSI, BBP, and MFI. Kind regards, Ely
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by Elysian_Mind
3
Will US500 suppress the early optimism?US500 - Intraday Previous support level of 4700 broken. Short term bias has turned negative. We are trading at oversold extremes. We look for a temporary move lower. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. - We look to Sell at 4700 (stop at 4729) Our profit targets will be 4645 and 4615 Resistance: 4750 / 4820 / 4920 Support: 4610 / 4500 / 4415 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by OANDA
$SPY top at $472-474 and to bottom below $300If you've been following my ideas over the last few weeks, you'll know that I have a macro bearish view going into next year. I think the market is setup to drop 30-40%+. I know everyone is calling for new highs (Tom Lee, looking at you), but it's not going to happen IMO. We're not in a bull market, this is still just a bullish bounce within a bear trend. I'm not sure what the fundamental catalyst will be that will bring markets down so much... it's hard to ever know before it happens, but there will be something in Q1 that will be very negative for markets. However, until then, I think we have a little bit more upside in SPY as I shared in this analysis (short term view). Essentially, I think we have one more move higher to about $472-$474 and then I think we'll top and start moving lower. I've taken short term calls to express this view w/ expiration 12/29, and after some of the names I bought hit their target, I will start buying long term puts with expirations out to 3/18 and 6/21 2024. Let's see if this plays out over the coming weeks.
AMEX:SPYShort
by benjihyam
8
⤴️⤴️EURUSD BULLISH MOMENTUM Fullbacks)🚀🚀🚀The dollar edger higher on Friday but is set to end 2023 with its first yearly loss since 2020 against the euro and a basket of currencies, on expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will begin cutting rates next year as inflation moderates. Questions for 2024 will be when the Fed begins cuts, and whether the first rate reduction is made to avoid over-tightening as inflation drops, or due to slowing U.S. economic growth. With markets already pricing in aggressive cuts, debate is also focused on how much further the dollar is likely to fall. “We’ve already weakened quite a bit in anticipation of a Fed cut cycle to come,” said Brad Bechtel, global head of FX at Jefferies in New York. The dollar's decline accelerated after the Fed adopted an unexpectedly dovish tone and forecast 75 basis points in rate reductions for 2024 at its December policy meeting. Markets are pricing in even more aggressive cuts, with the first reduction seen likely in March and 158 basis points in cuts expected by year-end. (FEDWATCH) The Fed’s tone contrasted with other major central banks, including the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE), which maintained they will hold rates higher for longer. But “I do think they will capitulate. European growth is just struggling too much and inflation’s coming down relatively fast … same in the U.K. in many ways,” said Bechtel. “If all three central banks are cutting, it's going to be very hard for the dollar to weaken significantly." Against a basket of currencies, the greenback on Friday gained 0.13% to 101.32 DXY , rising from a five-month trough of 100.61 reached on Thursday. It is on track to lose 2.10% this year and is down 4.62% this quarter, the worst performance in a year. The euro EURUSD dipped 0.19% to $1.1040, hovering just below a five-month peak of $1.11395 reached on Thursday. It is heading for a 3.04% gain for the year, its first positive year since 2020. "Markets are looking for a cut earlier in the U.S. and are less certain that the European Central Bank will cut as quickly, so that's why the dollar is very soft," said Niels Christensen, chief analyst at Nordea. "We also have positive risk appetite which is another negative for the dollar. Going into 2024, the soft dollar will be a theme towards the March central bank meetings," Christensen added. Policymakers at the ECB and the BoE did not signal any imminent rate cuts at their policy meetings this month, but traders are pricing in 162 bps of cuts by the ECB next year, with the probability of two cuts by April. The BoE is also expected to cut rates by 148 bps in 2024. "While it feels like the market might have moved too far too fast, the facts are that growth is non-existent in Europe, slowing in the U.S., and inflation is falling globally," said CJ Cowan, portfolio manager at Quilter Investors. "The ECB is famously slow to change policy course so almost two cuts priced by April looks aggressive, even if it might be the right thing to do." Sterling GBPUSD rose 0.08% to $1.2745 and was on track for a 5.39%
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
SPY S&P 500 ETF Price Prediction for 2024This was my article about the SPY S&P 500 ETF price target for 2023:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/l6U1M9dJ-SPY-S-P-500-ETF-2023-Forecast-CPI-Report-Prediction/ I was bullish, but not enough! In the July 2023 meeting, the FOMC opted to raise interest rates to a range of 5.25%–5.50%, marking the 11th rate hike in the current cycle aimed at curbing elevated inflation. The prevailing consensus among market experts hints at a potential shift in strategy, suggesting that the Fed might commence rate cuts later in 2024 as inflation gradually aligns with the Fed's 2% target. Statistically, historical data indicates that approximately 11 months after the cessation of interest rate increases, a recession tends to manifest. This pattern places us around June 2024, aligning with my prediction of a dip in the SPY to approximately $430. Given that 2024 is an election year, there's an additional layer of complexity in predicting market behavior. Despite the anticipated mid-year dip, my inclination is that the SPY will conclude the year on a bullish note. This optimistic outlook hints at the onset of a 3-5 year AI bubble cycle, with the SPY boasting a year-end price target of $540. The integration of artificial intelligence into various sectors is expected to catalyze market growth and innovation, propelling the SPY to new heights by the close of 2024.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TopgOptions
🚀⤴️⤴️GOLD FULLBACK 2100)⏫️hello trader’s what do you think about gold) gold fullbacks support levels 2047) Gold if breakoutdown and this weekend looks better news CPI trader’s 2047) support levels and gold mowing fullback 2100)resistance levels)my position 2047) lounges 2100) key levels 2080 key levels 2090 key levels 2100 Gold finished the year at $2,063 an ounce, climbing more than 13% in 2023 for its first annual gain in three years, and logging a new record high within the year mostly supported by expectations that the major central banks will start cutting interest rates early next year. After implementing an aggressive rate-hiking cycle that started in early 2022, the US Federal Reserve is now expected to begin easing as soon as next March amid signs that inflation in the US is cooling. Moreover, heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the prospect of a prolonged war in Gaza spurred safe-haven demand for gold.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
⬆️🖼️. DOLLAR Index trade line bullish momentum analysis)⤴️⤴️Hello trader’s what do you think about DXY index )? traders are looking 👀 a 4H tame frame 🖼️ trade line dxy hitting support levels and trade line now dxy bak up ⬆️ 102.381 to 102.573) The dollar index fell to below 101 on Wednesday, the lowest in five months, as markets continued to position according to signs of cooling US inflation, and consequently, incoming rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Data released on Friday showed that the core PCE index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, fell to 3.2% in November from 3.4% in October, coming in below forecasts of 3.3%. Markets are now pricing in around a 90% chance that the central bank may start its cutting cycle by March. The dollar traded close to multi-month lows against other major currencies, but has been gaining ground versus the Chinese yuan amid expectations that the People’s Bank of China would lower key rates next
TVC:DXYLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
⤴️⤴️GPBUSD) bullish on the market) analysis)🖼️🚀The dollar crept higher on the first trading day of the year as attention turned to economic data this week that may provide clues on the Federal Reserve's next moves, while bitcoin surged ahead of $45,000 for the first time since April 2022. The dollar index DXY , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, fell 2% in 2023, snapping two years of gains. It was last at 101.44, up 0.059%, as investors weighed the prospect of the Fed cutting rates this year. The dollar's ascent weighed on the Japanese yen USDJPY the most, with the Asian currency down 0.35% at 141.36 per dollar, having slid 7% in 2023. Rescue teams in Japan on Tuesday struggled to reach isolated areas hit by a powerful earthquake on New Year's Day, with reports of more than 20 people dead in a disaster that toppled buildings and knocked out power to thousands of homes. Markets are now pricing in an 86% chance of interest rate cuts from the Fed to start from March, according to CME FedWatch tool, with over 150 basis points (bps) of easing anticipated in the year. "The question is when and how fast rate cuts will be delivered," Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, said in a note. "Moderating price pressures and weaker growth impulses have seen the pendulum of market sentiment swing dramatically from the 'higher for longer' mantra of most of last year to pricing in aggressive easing" from central banks, Chandler said. The focus now switches to a slew of economic data due this week, including the data on job openings and nonfarm payrolls. Minutes from the last Fed meeting in December are scheduled for release on Thursday and will provide insight into the central bankers' thinking around rate cuts this year. "The positive sentiment from end-2023 may roll over into this week as all eyes turn to the U.S. jobs report on Friday," said Nicholas Chia, macro strategist at Standard Chartered. At its December policy meeting, the Fed adopted an unexpectedly dovish tone and forecast 75 basis points in rate reductions for 2024. That contrasted with other major central banks, including the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE), which reiterated they will hold rates higher for longer. Still, traders are pricing in 158 bps of cuts by the ECB this year, while the BoE is also expected to cut rates by 144 bps in 2024. The euro EURUSD was down 0.13% to $1.103, inching away from the five-month peak of $1.11395 it touched last week. The single currency gained 3% last year, its first yearly gain since 2020. Sterling GBPUSD was last at $1.2729, up 0.05% on the day, having clocked its strongest performance last year since 2017 with a 5% gain, although a weakening economy and election uncertainty make a repeat performance unlikely. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar AUDUSD was up 0.35% at $0.68335. The New Zealand dollar NZDUSD was little changed at $0.63155. The crypto world started the year with a bang, with bitcoin BTCUSD touching a 21-month peak of $45,532 on rising expectations that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission would soon approve exchange-traded spot bitcoin funds.
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
SPX500USD Will Fall! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 5h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 4792.3. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 4745.2. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SignalProvider
2
EURUSD) bearish on the market) analysis)💥💯💯The US dollar fell against its major trading partners early Thursday ahead of a trio of economic releases at 8:30 am ET. The third estimate of Q3 gross domestic product is scheduled for release at 8:30 am ET, at the same time as weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's manufacturing reading for December. Later, the Conference Board's leading indicators report for November is due at 10:00 am ET, followed by weekly natural gas stocks data at 10:30 am ET and the Kansas City Fed's manufacturing reading at 11:00 am ET. A quick summary of foreign exchange activity heading into Thursday: USDEUR rose to 1.0982 from 1.0943 at the Wednesday US close and 1.0937 at the same time Wednesday morning. There are no EU data on Thursday's calendar but European Central Bank policy board member Philip Lane is scheduled to speak at 11:00 am ET. The next ECB meeting is set for Jan. 25. GBPUSD rose to 1.2663 from 1.2639 at the Wednesday US close and 1.2655 at the same time Wednesday morning. The UK CBI distributive trade survey showed expectations of a large contraction in retail spending in December, data released overnight showed. The next Bank of England meeting is scheduled for Feb. 1. USDJPY fell to 142.6838 from 143.5636 at Wednesday US close and 143.4100 at the same time Wednesday morning. There were no Japanese data released overnight. The next Bank of Japan meeting is scheduled for Jan. 22-23. USDCAD fell to 1.3343 from 1.3368 at the Wednesday US close but was up from a level of 1.3338 at the same time Wednesday morning. Canada retail sales and average weekly earnings data for October are scheduled to be released at 8:30 am ET. The next Bank of Canada meeting is set for Jan. 24.
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
SPX500USD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 4766.8. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 4805.8 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SignalProvider
3
Will the S&P500 Index Touch a New All-Time High(ATH)❗️❓📈Because the S&P500 Index is near an All-Time High(ATH), I decided to analyze this index for you and answer the question of whether the S&P500 Index can create a new All-Time High(ATH) or not. 🏃‍♂️The S&P500 Index has already managed to break the 🔴 Resistance zone( $4,640-$4,540 ) 🔴 and is moving near the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and Resistance lines . 🔔I expect two scenarios for the S&P500 Index: The scenario of S&P500 Index falling to the broken 🔴 Resistance zone( $4,640-$4,540 ) 🔴 (as a pullback ) and rising again. In the second scenario, the S&P500 Index falls to the 🔴 Resistance zone( $4,640-$4,540 ) 🔴 and continues falling to the Fibonacci levels that I marked for you in the chart. We saw a bull trap in this scenario. 🔔So, in general, I expect that the S&P500 Index will NOT be able to break 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡and will decrease by at least ➖3% in the coming weeks. S&P500 Index (SPXUSD),4-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
SP:SPXShort
by pejman_zwin
7