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Spxanalysis

SPX Market Top? The Immediate Future Looks BadLet's look at a few things here - First: Based on the last down swing we have reached the 1.272 extension which, based off the patterns taught by Larry Pesavento, is a key extension for trend reversal (the other, 1.618 I have on the chart as well, as that'd be the next target if this one fails). Second: Volume is telling us a similar story, I added my relative volume oscillator to show how volume has been below average on upswings, then above average on sell offs. These moves haven't had any confirmation volume on the way up which looks bearish for the future (looks worse on weekly and monthly charts). Third: Major RSI divergence - which is my go to for catching trend reversals. This too gets worse on the weekly and monthly charts. Fourth: the immediate pattern is an ascending broadening wedge - more bearish immediate implications. I don't think there's a question regarding IF we go down here - just how far? I am extremely bearish long term so I think you know my answer. I'd also like you to take a look at this post from @Ajion showing that the current pattern has major resemblances to the market top in 2000 during the dot com bubble, a link to his post is beneath this.
SP:SPXShort
by J-Streak
Future Target Extensions on SPX using Wicks and ClosesJust posting this so I can refer back to it later. These are the extension targets for SPX based on the future price target projections pulled from the January 26th peak. The index broke out the descending triangle so at the point of the breakout I have the High to Low measurement in yellow, and the High Close to Low Close measurement in bright blue (with the extensions in matching colors). *Note - Failed pattern breakouts tend to deflect at these extension levels, so just because the measured target is high, doesn't necessarily mean that the price will reach this level.
SP:SPX
by J-Streak
S&P 500’s (SPX) Elliott wave analysis: 4 hr tf analysisPrice action for the S&P 500 from January 29, 2018 till present date has been captured in this analysis using a contracting triangle Elliott wave structure. The implication of this structure for the S&P 500 is that price should resume its bullish trend once a breakout occurs out of the triangle. Breakout point as used in this analysis is ~ $2718.51 The post thrust measurement (target area) for the bullish interpretation can be calculated by measuring the width of the triangle and projecting it on top of the breakout point. The width in this case is 2863.99 – 2533.29 = 330.70 A vertical projection of the width above the breakout point means that the S&P 500 should target ~ $3,049.21 (330.70 + 2718.51 = $3,049.21). The point of invalidation (POI) of this analysis is a price close below ~ 2542.92 at which point the wave E would have overlapped wave C, which is unacceptable for a contracting triangle.
SP:SPXLong
by Coin_Analyst
SPX - Half Way ThereThis is a re-post of a chart from one month ago after the dow dropped 700 points in one day. My extrapolation from that post compared this to 1987, in which there was a 2 year run up, and then a quick crash which erased 1 years worth of gains. While this 2018 crash appears to be slower in time than 1987's two month crash period, the charts nonetheless look the same to me. If we extrapolate, then SPX's current price has only reached half way to where it will eventually bottom out, which should be around 2380.
SP:SPXShort
by Trader9898
SPX - Tonight We're Going To Party Like It's 1987?Looking at the monthly logarithmic chart of the S&P 500, this chart reflects what would happen if we had a repeat of 1987. Heading up to October 1987, there was a straight line run up of approximately 2 years, then a crash to the 0.5 Fib line quickly in 2 months, where the crash erased the gains of the prior 12 months. If we extrapolate the same scenario for the S&P 500 for 2018, there was also a straight line run up for approximately 2 years, and if the S&P 500 retraces to its 0.5 Fib line, it would hit 2380 in approximately 2 months, which would also erase roughly 12 months worth of gains from Feb 2017 to Feb 2018.
SP:SPXShort
by Trader9898