probable tightening range (SPXL)given the amount of retracement if we stay over 97 and attract volume setting and confirmin this as a higher low around the .5 its likely we enter a tightening range going for a touch of vwma and then setting a lower high. id like to close that day around the highs for a bull daily case. horizontals are valid targets.
SPXL
seems a lot like volatility has returned as the norm (SPXL)theres a chance that getting back to all time highs may take a lonh time, and when we get there we may be heading into another drop. if volatility has returned as the new norm there is a lot of evidence to suggest that we wont see a stronger market than 2021 until at least 2023. should we make a second break to the downside whether it is sooner or later a touch of vwma monthly is not unthinkable.
spx run up at gap close may fail (spxl)if we dont break 133.33 confidently, and confirm 15 min reversal pattern with a lower low 131.85 this may signal overheated conditions in spx
should we keep the uptrend holding 130.69 and continuing higher i imagine we have a go at 135, although id still be wary of buying borader markets right now except for a quick flip
if we dont hold 130 and cant get back over 130.66 we will probably see 127.66 again soon
volatility comes in waves
the odds we close up at the highs are low but if we do theres a good long in it
SPX sky is the limit now SPX is trading at all time highs now. We remain bullish but will keep a support level at 4784 to manage our risk.
We use Aspen Trading Support & Resistance Levels to risk manage our positions. These levels are invite only and can be accessed through url in my profile information.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for information purpose only and does not constitute any investment advice.
SPY - Perfect Time for Entry!-What is better than hopping on the SPY during its recovery? Well, the answer is NOTHING!
-SPY has seasonal/monthly drops where our boy cools down and hitting back the previous highs is his habit.
-So what else is left other than loading on short-term options and rolling the profit in the house?
ES1! - Inverse H&S Break Target .618 AchievedThe market feasted on the fuel from the iH&S break and has powered price to the Golden Section of the Pattern Break Target. Along the way a H&S was invalidated and a Diamond served as a continuation pattern to the upside. Big Tech continues to report as both MSFT and APPL have set up above support in sideways patterns.
SPY - Finally finding a support?-After tumbling and moving indecisively up and down since September 22, looks like SPY finally shows some signs of a potential rise.
-Economy is still under great pressure, we won't be too optimistic and only are putting our target back at the previous highs.
-Load the dip boys!
SPXL - 3X SPX Bull We will be using the SPXL again for the next SELL Setup.
Many of these 3X ETFs, such as TQQQ outperform on the
downside.
It has performed very well and has Larger Objectives @
the 94 Level.
It can be used to hedge against Positional SELL entries
that require a small hedge, it tends to erase any mistakes
very quickly.
Todays Price Action and Thoughts for Next Week
One a sleepy Friday in July the market that was up pre-market sold off fairly significantly
So what happened?
Look at the Fibs marked with yellow arrows and you can see all part of the plan.
We arrived at the .50 Fib just before the open and ended at the 2.0 Fib (not a real fib numbers)
Currently price is inside of a triangle that will broken - it is balancing for a bigger move. That said this looks like a double bottom over a multi-day period.
For us to reach the bottom of the triangle we will get to the 2.272 Fib - most likely this will bent or even broken to clean up the VPOC at 4291
Lately the Market Movers have decided to use a fib number between two obvious levels to make a turn - looks random but its not, either a .61 or .50.
Ironically the 4300 level is the buy - but truly who knows exactly, best to wait for a a couple of 15 minute candles to confirm.
There are VPOCS at 4291 and 4229 - these may or may not be target this upcoming week. Mind your risk!
Fed hasn't turned off the spigot so no reason to become negative - and while I hate to say it, because it seems nonsensical, buy the dip. Its better deal than was on Wednesday :P