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SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-3 : GAP Breakaway PatternFirst off, thank you for all the great comments and accolades related to my calling this breakdown (nearly 60+ days ago). Did I get lucky having these new tariffs announced, causing the markets to break downward? Probably. Did my research suggest the markets were going to break downward anyway? YES. Did my research predict these tariffs? NO. My research is specifically price-based. You'll notice I don't use many indicators, other than my proprietary price pressure and momentum indicators. The purpose of what I'm trying to teach all of you is that price is the ultimate indicator. You can use other indicators if you find them helpful. But, you should focus on the price chart and try to learn as much as you can from the price chart (without any indicators). Why, because I believe price tells us everything we need to know and we can react to price more efficiently than getting confused by various technical indicators. At least, that is what I've found to be true. Today's pattern suggests more selling is likely. After the markets open, I suggest there will be a bunch of longs that will quickly be exited and shorts that will be exited (pulling profits). Thus, I believe the first 30-60 minutes of trading could be extremely volatile. My extended research suggests the markets will continue to try to move downward (over the next 60+ days) attempting to find the Ultimate Low. But, at this point, profits are profits and we all need to BOOK THEM if we have them. We can always reposition for the next breakdown trade when the timing is right. Gold and Silver are moving into a PANIC selling phase. This should be expected after the big tariff news. Metals will recover over the next 3-5+ days. Get ready. BTCUSD is really not moving on this news. Kinda odd. Where is BTCUSD as a hedge or alternate store of value? I don't see it happening in price. What I do see is that BTCUSD is somewhat isolated from this tariff news and somewhat isolated from the global economy. It's almost as if BTCUSD exists on another planet - away from global economic factors. Still, I believe BTCUSD will continue to consolidate, attempting to break downward over the next 30+ days. Remember, trading is about BOOKING PROFITS and moving onto the next trade. That is what we all need to focus on today. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
19
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-4 : Breakaway PatternToday is a very interesting day because my MRM investment model turned BEARISH on the Daily chart. That means we have broken through major support because of this tariff war and the markets are not OFFICIALLY (based on my models) into a Daily BEARISH trend (or a Daily Broad Pullback Phase). What that means is we need to start thinking of the markets as OVERALL BEARISH and trying to identify support - or a base/bottom in the near future. This is no longer a BULLISH market - everything seems to have flipped into a BEARISH primary trend (OFFICIALLY). So, watch this video to understand how Fibonacci price levels will likely play out as the SPY targeting the 500-505 level (possibly lower) and where the same Fibonacci price levels will prompt the QQQ to target 395-400. BUCKLE UP. This is a BIG CHANGE related to overall market trend. Gold is holding up much better than Silver. But I still believe this is a PANIC selling phase in Gold/Silver and they will both base/recovery and RALLY much higher. The funny thing about the cycles in Gold/Silver is this: In 2007-08, just after the major expansion phase completed, the Global Financial Crisis hit - prompting a large downward price rotation in metals. Maybe, just maybe, this forced tariff war issue is a disruption that will "speed up" the process of metals rallying above $5000++ over the next 60+ days. I see this move as PHASES and it appears the tariff disruption may prompt a faster Phase-Shift for metals over the next few months. We'll see. BTCUSD seems to be in SHOCK. It's really going nowhere on very low volume. If BTCUSD is a true hedge or alternate store of value - I would think it would have an upward reaction to this selling. We'll see how this plays out. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
Warning: what can save us from a collapse: must read.⚠️This analysis isn’t purely chart-based, but in this macro environment, understanding the bigger picture is essential for predicting market movements. Hopefully, TradingView will allow this idea so that everyone can read it. What Can Save Us? Before looking for a solution, we must first acknowledge the problem—and then determine if and when a resolution is coming. 1. Trump’s Tariffs & Policies: A Market Shock Trump’s economic strategy marks a radical departure from the policies of the past 30 years. However, previous administrations weakened U.S. global influence, shifting power in favor of China. Since Trump's motto is "Make America Great Again", serious changes are inevitable. Until investors fully grasp these policies, uncertainty will persist. Let’s break down the key areas of impact and Trump’s expected responses: 2.Monetary Policy & The Federal Reserve The Federal Reserve (FED) and Jerome Powell are not aligned with the White House. Powell is sticking to his monetary policy approach, but Trump needs 0% interest rates to implement his vision. Markets hate uncertainty, and this is fueling volatility. 🔴 Trump's Response: Expect a bombshell move—Trump will fire Jerome Powell and replace him with a Fed chairman who supports rate cuts to 0%. This will cause short-term chaos but ultimately fuel a massive market rally as: ✔️ The housing market recovers ✔️ Liquidity surges ✔️ Stocks skyrocket 3.U.S. Dependence on China & Russia for Raw Materials The U.S. imports essential resources from China and Russia, making it vulnerable. The BRICS alliance is strengthening, further threatening U.S. dominance. 🔴 Trump's Response: Trump has openly expressed interest in acquiring Greenland, citing its rich natural resources. He will take it by military force if necessary, positioning the U.S. as a raw material powerhouse on par with Russia. 4.Lost Allies: Canada, Mexico & South America Canada is aligning with Europe Mexico & South America are leaning towards BRICS 🔴 Trump's Response: To counter this: Canada will be pressured into rejoining a U.S.-led trade bloc—or face potential annexation. South American economies will be crippled by tariffs, forcing them to reintegrate under U.S. influence. 5.Geopolitical Conflicts: Middle East & Ukraine Iran is aligned with Russia & China Ukraine relies on Europe (France, UK, EU), rather than the U.S. The U.S. is not benefiting from these wars 🔴 Trump's Response: If Zelensky continues to align with Europe, Trump may order a full-scale U.S. bombing of Ukraine, flatten Kyiv, eliminate Zelensky live on TikTok, and then split Ukraine with Russia. This move would: ✔️ Strengthen U.S.-Russia relations ✔️ Secure a deal on Greenland ✔️ Humble Europe 6.Conclusion: A Global Power Shift Expect a period of chaos and fear. However, what investors must understand is that Trump is 100% serious about these moves—and he will execute them regardless of global opinion. If Trump’s strategy works: ✅ The U.S. will regain dominance ✅ Markets will rally hard ✅ Confidence in the U.S. economy will be restored If Trump fails: 🚨 A prolonged economic downturn (15-20 years of stagflation) 🚨 U.S. & Europe suffer major losses 🚨 Best move? Relocate to Asia or the Middle East before the crash. So, even if Trump’s policies seem insane, the best-case scenario is that he succeeds. 💡 DYOR (Do Your Own Research) #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trump #MAGA #Geopolitics #StockMarket #SPX500 #Trading #Investing #Economy #FederalReserve #RateCuts
FX:SPX500
by CryptoNikkoid
6
Welcome to the real world Uncle Sam!The market can withstand a lot of pressure. It can handle: the dawn of "fake news" and outright "lying" the pollution and "enshitification" of social media imperialist ideas of a Gaza takeover partnering with a Russian totalitarian state overhyping of AI and Nvidia's overpricing populist politics unworldly valuations of tech stocks What it cannot handle is: Upsetting the world order Undermining of NATO, Europe, and allies Starting trade wars with your best friends Establishing tariffs which will harm the US economy I love the US stock market, and US animal spirits, it's the best in the world. But when risk rises, then secure investments like bonds/treasuries become the smart money move. Stocks become "risk off" Risk is rising, tariffs will pressure inflation, inflation kills economies and markets. The European defense industry will benefit, the US consumer will pay higher prices. Higher risk, could mean a lack of confidence, and confidence powers the stock market. Batton Down the Hatches. Trading Note: I sold all my US holdings on Tuesday, at the break of the double top neckline (see chart). My target price is the 2021 high, before the one-year bear market. Its a big drop, I give it a 60-70% chance. RSI & ROC Negative Medium-term divergences Of course this could all change if Trump backtracks on trade wars, tariffs and imperialist rhetoric. But until then, enjoy the ride.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by liberatedstocktrader
13
Using Fibonacci/Measured Moves To Understand Price TargetThis video is really an answer to a question from a subscriber. Can the SPY/QQQ move downward to touch COVID levels (pre-COVID High or COVID Low). The answer is YES, it could move down far enough to touch the pre-COVID highs or COVID lows, but that would represent a very big BREAKDOWN of Fibonacci/ElliotWave price structure. In other words, a breakdown of that magnitude would mean the markets have moved into a decidedly BEARISH trend and have broken the opportunity to potentially move substantially higher in 2025-2026 and beyond (at least for a while). Price structure if very important to understand. Measured moves happen all the time. They are part of Fibonacci Price Theory, Elliot Wave, and many of my proprietary price patterns. Think of Measured Moves like waves on a beach. There are bigger waves, middle waves, smaller waves, and minute waves. They are all waves. But their size, magnitude, strength vary. That is kind of what we are trying to measure using Fibonacci and Measured Move structures. Watch this video. Tell me if you can see how these Measured Moves work and how to apply Fibonacci structure to them. This is really the BASICS of price structure. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by BradMatheny
SPY: Breaking Levels; TASPY broke down the Weekly demand line and now looking to break the Monthly demand. Looking to possibly test the bottome weekly trendline. Possibly a 530 price target and if weakness continues, possibly below more to 520 then 510.46 to fully retest that bottom trendline. The market has bene crazy, people calling bottom, wanting to catch the reversal. I mean, I would want to catch this “V” up too, but have to see if it keeps trending down to the bottom trendline. LMK what you think and if you have any TA, tag me! *Not FA
AMEX:SPYShort
by sweatytrigger
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 4, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📊 March Employment Report Release: The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the March employment report, with forecasts predicting an addition of 140,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. This data will provide insights into the labor market's health and potential implications for Federal Reserve policy.​ 🇺🇸💬 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's Address: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at 11:25 AM ET. Investors will be closely monitoring his remarks for any indications regarding future monetary policy, especially in light of recent market volatility.​ 🇺🇸📈 Market Reaction to 'Liberation Day' Tariffs: Following President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs, dubbed "Liberation Day" tariffs, the markets experienced significant declines. The S&P 500 dropped 4.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 6%, marking the worst trading day since 2020. Investors are bracing for continued volatility as the market digests the potential economic impacts of these tariffs. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, April 4: 👷‍♂️ Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +140,000​ Previous: +151,000 Indicates the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector.​ 📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 4.1%​ Previous: 4.1%​ Represents the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.​ 💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3%​ Previous: +0.3%​ Measures the month-over-month change in wages, providing insight into consumer income trends.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
S&P 500 to tank to 5,100 pointsPEPPERSTONE:US500 The S&P 500 broke below critical support after Trump announce massive tariffs on everyone, worst than expected. Volume is increasing to the downside, and it looks like the next wave down has already started. Wave C is supposed to be equal or larger than wave A, and reach the next critical support, which will lead us to 5,100 points in the next couple of weeks. I heard that net tariffs on China are 54%, does than means that iPhones are going to rise in price 54%? Maybe it will be reconsidered later, and the market will bounce in the future, but not likely in the short term. Good luck to you
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by Raul_Dominguez
Opportunity Beneath the Fear: SPY's Reversal SetupIn the Shadow of Headlines: SPY’s Drop Could Be 2025’s Big Opportunity As markets react sharply to renewed tariff fears and Trump-related headlines, SPY continues its descent. Panic is setting in—but behind the noise, a strategic opportunity may be quietly forming. While many rush to exit, others are beginning to position for the bounce. A well-structured entry strategy could be key to turning uncertainty into gains. Entry Zone (Staggered): 🔹 543: First watch level—look for signs of slowing momentum. 🔹 515: Deeper entry point as the selloff extends. 🔹 <500 (TBD): Stay flexible—if panic accelerates, this could mark a generational setup. Profit Targets: ✅ 570: Initial rebound target. ✅ 590: Mid-range level if recovery builds. ✅ 610+: Full recovery potential—rewarding those with patience and vision. Remember: Headlines fade, but price action and preparation stay. This selloff may continue—but it might also be laying the foundation for 2025’s most powerful move. The key? Enter with discipline, protect your capital, and let the market come to you. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 3 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first, then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
Tariff FUD is reking ports. SPY 505 First Stop. 460 Second.Trading Fam, It's no surprise that Trump's implementation of high tariffs would cause initial FUD. This can be observed in the massive spikes on the $VIX. What is unknown and has caught many traders by surprise, myself included, is how substantial of a drop would be incurred by investor uncertainty. Initially, it did appear that 500 might hold. That was a huge support. I knew if it broke, the sell-off would be deep. But I held hope that the market would hold above this trendline. It did not. So, yesterday and today, investors who held are incurring substantial losses. For those who were smarter than me and sold at or near the top, congratulations! You've saved yourself some duress and cash. Now, some are calling this the beginning of a longer bear market. I still don't see it that way. Honestly (and I know this will be hard to believe), I still see the SPY hitting my target #3 at 670-700 before 2026 comes to an end. Longer-term we still remain in a massive secular bull market since 2009 and to break this long-term trend, the SPY would actually have to break below 300. That is a long way down and I just don't see that happening, though as always, I definitely could be wrong. Shorter-term I am seeing two prominent areas of support. The first has almost been reached at 505. If I would have played this correctly, I'd be DCA'ing in my first load of cash here. The second area of support is at around 460 and slightly rising daily. This would be where I DCA'ed in another load of cash. However, if that broke, I'd exit immediately and reassess the charts. 300 is a long way down, but over the past 5 years we have seen some extraordinary market price action and volatility. TBH, even the best of us technicians are struggling to understand the larger macro-economic picture, but I'd wager to say that tariff fears may be overexaggerated as market reactions often tend to be. One interesting note is that crypto price action no longer seems to correlate and prices have help up surprisingly well. Could this be our first indicator that the markets are due to turn up again in a few weeks/months? Unknown. But I can promise you I'll be watching this all closely. ✌️Stew
AMEX:SPYShort
by stewdamus
If you own a pair or NIKE! then this is your time #Shareholder Confessions from the Desk: Kim K Didn’t Move Nike, But Let’s Be Real… So, it turns out Kim K’s magic touch didn’t send Nike stock into orbit. Shocking, I know. Apparently, even the queen of shapewear can’t single-handedly inflate a multi-billion-dollar company’s share price. But let’s take a step back—because at this price, Nike is looking very interesting. Forget the short-term noise. Nike is still the #1 IT gear for young adults and Generation Chic. You know, the people actually setting trends and spending money: #Rappers – Because what’s a flex without fresh kicks? #Tech bros – Coded an app? Great. Now go drop $200 on some sneakers. #Creatives – The artists, designers, and influencers making sure you think about buying Nikes even when you’re not. At the end of the day, Nike isn’t just a brand—it’s a lifestyle, a uniform, a status symbol. Stocks go up and down, but when it comes to culture, Nike runs the game. So yeah, maybe the Kim K collab didn’t ignite a moonshot. But give it time. The streets, the startups, and the studios are still rocking the Swoosh. And that’s why I’m watching.
NYSE:NKELong
by TwoBULLISH
S&P 500 correction before the global fall.S&P 500 correction before the global fall of the usa stock market. Hey traders! I’m sure many of you have noticed that after the introduction of retaliatory tariffs, the markets started getting pretty choppy. The S&P 500 took a serious dive. • On the weekly chart, I’ve marked a support level + the 161.8% Fibonacci level, where we might see a bounce back to the $5680–$5800 range. • But from there, I think we could see the start of a major crash—both in equities and crypto—that could last 1–2 years. • Based on my estimates, the S&P 500 could drop back to 2020–2021 levels, a wide range of 2200–3000. • For Bitcoin, we’re talking around $5000; for Ethereum, $100–$300; and for Solana, $2–$12. 3D Chart: 3W Chart: Real-world events that could tank the stock market this hard: Global Recession: If major economies (US, China, EU) slide into a recession at the same time—think trade wars, rampant inflation, or a debt crisis—investors will dump risky assets like hot potatoes. Trade War Escalation: Harsher tariffs between the US and China/EU could wreck supply chains, crush corporate earnings, and spark a full-on market panic. Geopolitical Conflict: A big blow-up—like a full-scale war or crisis (say, Taiwan or the Middle East)—could send capital fleeing to safe havens (gold, bonds), while stocks and crypto get slaughtered. Collapse of a Major Financial Player: If a big bank or hedge fund goes bust (Lehman Brothers 2.0-style) due to an overheated market or bad debt, it could trigger a domino effect. Energy Crisis: A spike in oil/gas prices (from sanctions or conflicts, for example) could kneecap the economy and drag risk assets down with it. Market Bubble Burst: If the current rally turns out to be a massive bubble (and plenty of folks think it is), its pop could pull indexes down all on its own. Looming Wars: A potential Russia-Europe war starting as early as 2025, or an Iran-Israel conflict that drags in multiple nations, could destabilize global markets, spike energy prices, and send investors running for the exits.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by SergioRichi
Tariffs Drop, SPX Slips, I Sip TeaTariffs Drop, SPX Slips, I Sip Tea | SPX Analysis 04 April 2025 Tariffs are back on the menu, and Wall Street’s not exactly throwing confetti. Trump’s talking tough again, markets are wincing, gold is surging, and Bitcoin - being Bitcoin - couldn’t care less. But me? I’m grinning like the cat that shorted the cream. The plan said: Stay bearish below 5700. Get aggressive below 5500. Add bear pulse bars and Tag ‘n Turn entries on any decent rally. That wasn’t guesswork. That was structure. And so far, it’s working like clockwork. ⏰ My income swings are ticking over nicely, I’m not rushing anything, and I’m sipping tea while stocks tumble. If we continue this slide into Friday, I’ll be adding more with a gleam in my eye and a sneaky Newton quote at the ready… --- Gravity's Pull – And A Little Newtonian Swagger Overnight futures are down again - not panic-sell levels, but that smooth, sinister kind of selling we like to see when we’re positioned right. If the market decides to tumble out the apple tree altogether? You’ll hear me shouting: "HOW DO YOU LIKE THEM THERE APPLES?" And rightly so - because this isn’t luck. It’s directional structure meets mechanical setups, seasoned with a little GEX wizardry. --- Expert Insights – Trade the Plan, Not the Panic When headlines scream, traders often get twitchy. But this week is proving (again) that reaction is no match for preparation. ✅ Bear swings don’t need news. They just need structure. ✅ Sell the rallies – not your conviction. ✅ GEX often shows you where the market might want to pin – and when you can hit that sweet spot with a Bulls Eye butterfly, the payoff is huge. The secret? Plan the trade. Execute with structure. And don’t flinch. --- Fun Fact Sir Isaac Newton – the original gravity guy – lost over £20,000 (millions today) in the South Sea Bubble of 1720. His famous quote? “I can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people.” He’d have loved the GEX data. And probably traded options too. (With a monocle. While sipping tea.) Happy trading, Phil Less Brain, More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece p.s. Ready to Profit While Others Panic? Markets are flinching. Most traders are reacting. But the SPX Income System? It’s executing. Like a machine. ✅ Sell the rallies ✅ Tag the turns ✅ Bank income swings without flinching Join the Fast Forward Mentorship – trade live, twice a week, with me and the crew. PLUS Monthly on-demand 1-2-1's Or watch the free training to see the SPX Income System in action. No fluff. Just profits, pulse bars, and patterns that actually work. LINK IN BIO
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
Trump Goes 'Cynosure' of All Eyes as He Walked Into '1930' RoomThe Striking Parallels Between Trump's 2025 Tariffs and the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 The recent trade policies under President Trump's second administration bear remarkable similarities to the controversial Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, both in approach and potential consequences. These parallels offer important historical lessons about protectionist trade policies. Protectionist Foundations and Scope Both trade initiatives share fundamentally protectionist motivations aimed at shielding American industries from foreign competition. The Smoot-Hawley Act increased import duties by approximately 20% with the initial goal of protecting struggling U.S. farmers from European agricultural imports. Similarly, Trump's 2025 trade agenda explicitly aims at "backing the United States away from integration with the global economy and steering the country toward becoming more self-contained". What began as targeted protections in both eras quickly expanded in scope. While Smoot-Hawley initially focused on agricultural protections, industry lobbyists soon demanded similar protections for their sectors. Trump's tariffs have followed a comparable pattern, beginning with specific sectors but rapidly expanding to affect a broad range of imports, with projected tariffs exceeding $1.4 trillion by April 2025—nearly four times the $380 billion imposed during his first administration. Specific Tariff Examples The parallel implementation approaches are notable: Trump imposed a 25% global tariff on steel and aluminum products effective March 12, 2025 Trump raised tariffs on all Chinese imports to 20% on March 4, 2025 Trump imposed 25% tariffs on most Canadian and Mexican goods Smoot-Hawley increased overall import duties by approximately 20% Smoot-Hawley raised the average import tax on foreign goods to about 40% (following the Fordney-McCumber Act of 1922) Global Retaliation and Economic Consequences Perhaps the most striking similarity is the international backlash. The Smoot-Hawley tariffs triggered retaliatory measures from over 25 countries, dramatically reducing global trade and worsening the Great Depression. Trump's 2025 tariffs have already prompted counter-tariffs from major trading partners: China responded with 15% tariffs on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, and 10% on oil and agricultural machines Canada implemented 25% tariffs on approximately CA$30 billion of U.S. goods The European Union announced tariffs on €4.5 billion of U.S. consumer goods and €18 billion of U.S. steel and agricultural products Expert Opposition Both policies faced significant opposition from economic experts. More than 1,000 economists urged President Hoover to veto the Smoot-Hawley Act. Trump's 2025 tariffs? Reaction is coming yet... Potential Economic Impact The historical record suggests caution. The Smoot-Hawley Act is "now widely blamed for worsening the severity of the Great Depression in the U.S. and around the world". Trump's "more audacious intervention" similarly carries "potentially seismic consequences for jobs, prices, diplomatic relations and the global trading system". These striking parallels between trade policies nearly a century apart demonstrate that economic nationalism and retaliatory trade cycles remain persistent challenges in international commerce, with historical lessons that remain relevant today. Stock market Impact Just watch the graph.. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
April 3rd Daily Trade Recap EOD accountability report: +$161.25 Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: not good at all. **Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System ** 9:42 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 11:11 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal (double signal) 12:04 pm Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 1:31pm Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 1:40 PMVXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal double signal Another wild day, market went extremely bearish and has been rejecting the 5 min resistance and playing out as expected.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
Post-Trump Dump: Bear Bias ValidatedPost-Trump Dump: Bear Bias Validated | SPX Analysis 03 April 2025 Well, we’re officially post-Trump-dump, and the market’s not exactly throwing a parade about it. Futures have dropped nearly 200 points and are camped out near the lows as I write this. It’s shaping up to be one of those "big gap, big drama" mornings – the kind that rewards patience and punishes panic. And while every headline’s now spinning a narrative about tariffs, Trump, and trade wars… Our community was already leaning in the right direction: Buy the rumour, sell the news. ✔️ No surprise here. My discretionary override to stay bearish below 5700 is paying off. No whim. Just discipline. So, what’s next? Simple. Stick to the plan. --- Market Cracks, But I’m Not Calling a Collapse Let’s get this out of the way first: I don’t think this is the Big One. No market apocalypse. No Armageddon. No bunker required. This looks more like a tariff reset than total collapse - a sharp repricing, not a system failure. But that doesn’t mean there’s no money to be made. Far from it. Here’s what I’m doing right now: Bearish swings are active and in profit below 5700. Aggressive add-ins under 5500 using: Pulse bars 10-min Tag ‘n Turn setups GEX flip has slid to 5640, but I’m still anchored at 5700. Why? Because a few ticks don’t warrant overcomplicating. I’ll reassess GEX levels at the open for any spicy shifts. And importantly… My bull swing hedge might finally be worth something - giving me room to de-risk last week’s exposure while continuing to profit on the downside. --- 🎯 Expert Insights – Don’t Change the Plan for Clickbait Here’s what most traders get wrong on days like this: ❌ They abandon their bias because of headlines. ❌ They tinker with rules based on GEX micro-movements. ❌ They overreact to volatility instead of letting price confirm action. What I’ve learned (the hard way, years ago): ✅ Structure matters more than spin. If you had your levels mapped, this wasn’t a surprise. ✅ Your plan is only as good as your commitment to it. Today is just another reason why I remain bearish until 5700 breaks. ✅ Reacting emotionally to news is a rookie mistake. Today’s dump was just a fast-forward to what was already brewing. 🧠 Fun Fact In 2018, when Trump first tweeted about tariffs, the market dropped over 1,100 points in a single session - then rebounded completely within 3 weeks. Moral of the story? Markets overreact. Patterns don’t. Your job is to follow the pattern – not the press conference. --- Video & Audio Podcast On Main Blog Happy trading, Phil Less Brain, More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece --- p.s.Want to Stay Calm in Market Chaos? Today proves the value of: ✅ A mechanical strategy ✅ A clear structure ✅ And a mindset built for turbulence Join the Fast Forward Mentorship - trade live, twice a week, with me and the crew. PLUS Monthly on-demand 1-2-1's Learn how to profit from panic - without the panic. Or watch the free training to see the SPX Income System in action. Let’s trade this system together - real time, real trades, real profit. LINK IN BIO
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton