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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-23 : CRUSH PatternToday's CRUSH pattern suggests the markets will struggle to find any support for a rally. A CRUSH pattern is usually a large breakdown type of price bar that moves aggressively against the dominant trend. Som, today I'm expecting some fairly large price action and I believe the markets may start a breakdown move this week as we continue to get more news related to the Israel/Iran/US conflict. This week will be a "resettling" week in my opinion. Buyers will start to actively liquidate and reposition assets as we move deeper into this conflict. When buyers turn into sellers (to get out), the markets usually react very aggressively in trend. Metals continue to hold up without making any big moves. I believe the increased FEAR level could play out as a moderate rally for metals over the next 15-30+ days. BTCUSD broke down very hard (more than 6%) over the past 3-4+ days. This is a big move downward for Bitcoin and could suggest US technology stocks/sectors could also collapse on fear of a "rollover top" in the US stock market. Smart traders will hedge and pull capital away from this potential top - just like I've been suggesting for the past 2-3+ weeks. Oddly enough, if we do get a rollover/top this week because of the Iran conflict, it plays right into my Excess Phase Peak pattern and the predictions I've been making over the past 4+ months. No, I don't foresee events like this Israel/US/Iran conflict. I can't see into the future. What I can do, and continue to try to deliver, is the best analysis I can offer without becoming BIASED by indicators, comments, or other inputs. I just read the chart and will tell you what I see as the most likely outcome. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
7
A Trend on Borrowed Time, A Micro ED within a Larger ED?Since mid-last month, the broader equity market has been grinding higher — but not with confidence. The advance has been marked by choppy, overlapping price action that feels more hesitant than bullish. Yes, prices continue carving out higher highs and higher lows, but MACD momentum tells a different story. With every push upward, the MACD weakens, flashing warning signs beneath the surface. Taken through the lens of Elliott Wave theory, this unfolding pattern carries all the classic fingerprints of an Ending Diagonal — a structure that often signals a trend on borrowed time. Key Characteristics of an Ending Diagonal: 1. Position in the Wave Structure: A. Occurs in Wave 5 of an impulse wave or Wave C of a corrective pattern (such as a zigzag or flat). B. Rarely, but sometimes, seen in Wave 3 of an impulse, but this is generally associated with a leading diagonal, not an ending one. 2. Structure: A. Composed of five sub-waves, labeled (i), (ii), (iii), (iv), (v). B. Each of these sub-waves subdivides into 3 waves (i.e., they are all corrective or "3-wave" structures, often labeled as a-b-c). C. This gives the whole pattern a distinct 3-3-3-3-3 internal structure. 3. Price Behavior: A. Overlapping waves: Wave 4 often overlaps with the price territory of Wave 1, which is normally a rule violation for standard impulsive structures — but it's allowed in an ending diagonal. B. Converging trendlines: The upper and lower boundaries of the diagonal typically form converging lines (like a wedge), though they can also be parallel in some cases. C. Diminishing momentum: Often accompanied by momentum divergence, meaning price makes a new high or low, but momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) do not confirm. 4. Implication: A. An ending diagonal suggests the current trend is running out of steam. B. Once complete, a sharp reversal or significant correction is expected. In my analytical view, the byproduct of an Ending Diagonal often lures market participants into a conflicted state — cautious, yet unable to ignore the persistent upward grind. You’ve probably heard the old market adage: “Don’t fight the tape.” In this case, that mentality sets in as traders, wary but worn down, finally throw in the towel and join the advance — only for the market to seemingly punish that decision with a sharp reversal. Many experienced traders describe their Ending Diagonal experience the same way: “The moment I finally stopped fighting the trend and got long, it was as if the market was waiting for me — and reversed hard.” That is how I would describe this micro ED we appear to be in the final stages of what I’m counting as the micro wave v of (v) of Minor A. For now, no key structural support levels within the Micro Ending Diagonal have been breached, so the advance can certainly stretch a little higher. But make no mistake — in my opinion, this remains one of the most dangerous, deceptive patterns to engage with. Last week, I closed my short out-of-the-money ES call positions during the micro wave iv pullback (not shown on the above chart). Ideally, I’m looking for an opportunity to reestablish a similar position this week. From there I will reassess the larger Ending Diagonal pattern you see outlined on the chart above.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by maikisch
$Entire Market - MASSIVE MOVE COMING SOONSo to keep things short, i've just seen the most massive move in my data i've ever seen in the history of my data. Moves like this indicate an extreme event in the world being priced in. NEVER in the history of my data have i seen this kind of move in ANY stock and it's being shown in almost ALL stocks. I think that at some point in the next 14 days we're going to have a massive 4-6 Sigma event either being rate cuts or war stuff. I don't know what it can be myself but i see the state of the world + the absolutely mind boggling move in the data and can put 1+1 together. This combined with my AI having sold all stocks on Friday... yeah. Something is being priced in. I had in fact thought this was like a GME thing cause i first saw it in GME's data but it's in fact a move in data for ALL stocks and happened on Friday. My dumbass bought GME on Friday thinking we were gonna see a move next week. To keep things short the TLDR is: -MASSIVE MOVE SOON (Next week - Maybe the week after) -Likely direction is BIG DOWNS OR BIG UPs. Only huge outsized moves coming. -How to play it: Straddle for safety. Puts for big risk big return. I think we're dropping like -$100 bucks on SPY within a month based on this alone. Won't bet on it until my AI says to do so however. Right now it's just sold all stocks, hasn't bought puts yet or bought calls. Also something like -15 bucks on TQQQ and GME to $11. That or the exact opposite with some absolutely batshit insane ripper due to announcing to replace Jpow and doing rate cuts as soon as next week. It's either this or actual war, but anyway something's being priced in HARD and across the ENTIRE market. This kind of move is going to happen soon and quick, with this kind of insane liquidity, something is going to break... Not gonna share future updates on the data for this event as to keep some secret and for myself to make money without affecting this trade by informing half the internet. Might eventually make it into a subscription thing on my website for those really interested but for now nah.
NYSE:GMEShort
by leenixusu
1
06/20/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis06/20/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +1437.50 Sleep: 6 hours Overall health: hanging in there ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)** — 6/20/2025 9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double sell) :check: — 6/20/2025 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 6/20/2025 11:14 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (triple buy) :check: What’s one key lesson or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? Fed's Barkin: There is nothing urgent in the data warranting a rate cut at this point. What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6015 = Bullish, Under 6005= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by WallSt007
Weekly Market Forecast: Wait To Buy S&P, NAS, & OIL!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 22-28th. The tensions in the Middle East take center stage, as Iran has signaled they are willing to discuss limitations on there Uranium enrichment program. This could allow outflows from safe havens and inflows to risk assets. Keep and eye on Silver for shorts, in the near term, though. Let's see if the market tilts its hand early next week. Monday should bring clarity. Wait for confirmations before entering trades. A break of structure would be ideal! Enter on the pullback to that structure point. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by RT_Money
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-23 : Afternoon UpdateWhat happened to the CRUSH pattern? Everyone wants to know why the CRUSH pattern didn't show up today. Well, I keep telling all of you these SPY Cycle Patterns are based on GANN, Tesla and Fibonacci price structures. They do not take into consideration news, global events, or anything outside of PRICE. They are predictive - meaning they attempt to predict potential price shapes/patterns weeks, months, and years in advance. The markets, obviously, are seeking some normalcy after the Iran conflict. I thought the CRUSH pattern would have been a perfect fit for today - but obviously the markets didn't agree. If you have been following my videos, you know I keep saying the US stock market is acting as a global hedge for risks. Traders are pouring capital into the US stock market as a way to avoid global risk factors. Traders are also pouring capital into Gold/Silver. Demand for physical metals is through the roof right now. Time will tell if my Excess Phase Peak pattern plays out as I expect or if we rally to new ATHs. Obviously, this sideways rollover topping pattern could present a breakaway in either direction. Again, my patterns are not correlated based on news or other events. They are strictly price-based. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
After 45% Profit On Last Trade, I Am Re-entering UMACTrading Family, On our stock trades, using my new liquidity indicator, we have been solidly beating the market with a cool 15% profit since our first trade with it. If you had held the SPY from the same time, your profit would have been a more meager 6.5%. Our indicator is proving beneficial, to say the least. And the last time it gave me a buy signal on UMAC, we banked 45% in profit on my last exit. I then determined that if it did not give me a sell signal (it hasn't), I would look to re-enter at that 7.66 level. We have reached that level, and I have dipped my toes back in at 7.94. I would look to double up my position if we drop even further to that 6.44 level, but I don't know that we will. My target of 11.76 will give us another 48% profit on this trade, and I have a SL set at 6.18 for a nice 2.17 rrr. Let's go! Stew
AMEX:UMACLong
by stewdamus
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 23–27, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 23–27, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🌐 Geopolitics Add to Risk Aversion The S&P 500 is up about 0.9% so far in June, but analysts warn it’s facing a “precarious” phase amid renewed Middle East conflict and looming U.S. tariff deadlines in July–August. Elevated oil prices could fuel inflation, while fiscal and debt ceiling pressures weigh on sentiment 🎙️ Powell Heads to Capitol Hill Fed Chair Powell will testify before Congress this week. His remarks on inflation and rate outlook—particularly regarding the Fed’s recent dot-plot revisions and monetary policy uncertainty—will be central to market direction 📈 Nike, FedEx & Micron Earnings Under Focus Key corporate earnings (Nike, FedEx, Micron) could provide fresh insight into how tariffs and supply-chain disruptions are impacting major U.S. businesses 🛢️ Oil Prices Elevated Oil remains range-bound at multi-week highs near $75–80/bbl following U.S.–Israel military action in Iran, which briefly spiked prices ~7–11%. Continued dependence on Middle Eastern supply may keep energy complex volatile ⚖️ NATO Summit Tightens Security Focus NATO leaders meet in The Hague, marking an elevated global defense posture amid geopolitical uncertainty. Defense and aerospace stocks may remain pressured or volatile depending on summit outcomes 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Monday, June 23 9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Services & Manufacturing PMI (June) 10:00 AM ET: Existing Home Sales (May) 📅 Tuesday, June 24 10:00 AM ET: Consumer Confidence Index (June) Testimony: Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears before Congress 📅 Wednesday, June 25 10:00 AM ET: New Home Sales (May) 📅 Thursday, June 26 8:30 AM ET: Advance Q1 GDP (Final Estimate) 📅 Friday, June 27 8:30 AM ET: Core PCE Price Index (May) — Fed’s preferred inflation gauge ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before investing. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #Fed #oil #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Big CorrectionThe S&P index. The chart shows the potential end of the final rally from the 2009 low. Currently, with this rally from the recent 4,800 low, we are still in a correction period that will end in late October (highs and lows are irrelevant), & We have a date coming up in August so let's see what happens there. After this period, we will have a rally combined with uncertainty and unjustified speculative movements (bubble) that could take us to the final peak, which I expect in 2026. This remains a possibility, but don't base your trades on it. However, caution is often good.
SP:SPXShort
by mmj50
Low frequency trading (LFT) vs HFTHey fellow tarders and financial mojol, I've got some insider info that's going to blow your minds! 🤯 According to my top-secret sources (aka my pet parrot who squawks numbers at me), low-frequency trading algorithms have finally figured out the true fair price of the S&P 500. Drumroll, please... It's $550! That's right, folks, all those high-frequency trading bots are currently aiming for this magical number as we speak. But wait, there's more! The next step in this thrilling financial adventure involves radiowaving all the way down to $400. Yes, you heard it here first. We're talking about some serious next-level trading strategies that involve actual radio waves. Who needs fiber optics when you've got good old-fashioned radio, right? So, buckle up and get ready for the ride of your life. The market's about to take a trip back to the good old days when $550 was the dream and $400 was just a stone's throw away. Happy trading, and remember, if your broker gives you weird looks, just tell them you're tuning into the market's frequency! 📡💸
AMEX:SPYShort
by protarder
MAJOR TOP IS NOW IN PLACE 5th wave up from 4835 has ended 6059The chart posted is that of the sp 500 and I now have counted 5 waves up as ending based on this wave structure I will look for two things to happen a rather deep ABC if there is a bull market intact and it should decline in 3 waves back to .236/382 area from 6059 - 4835 The 4th wave or A low This MUST HOLD at .382 or The cycle has ended the 5 wave sup from march 23 low 2020 I sold longs this morning based on NAAII exposure and Now have moved to a 100 % long VERY DEEP IN THE MONEY PUTS 2027 Best of trades The WAVETIMER
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-20 : Pause Bar PatternToday's Pause Bar pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will slide into a sideways type of PAUSE in price action today. I'm not expecting much to happen and if we do see any breakaway or breakdown trending it will likely be related to news. While we have options expiration today and a host of other things that could drive the markets, I believe the markets are struggling to find direction right now. Thus, a pause in trading would be somewhat normal after a holiday-shortened trading week. Gold and Silver are struggling after a brief rally last week. I believe this is fear related to the Israel/Iran conflict. Metals should continue to move higher. BTCUSD is slightly higher (forgot to cover BTCUSD in the video), but not moving into a breakaway phase. Overall, everything is very flat in early trading today. It may stay that way with my PAUSE BAR pattern. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
$COIN 30% Pullback Confirms if we Fakeout Recent 15%+ Rally 🧨 COIN SHORT TRADE IDEA — FAKEOUT TRAP IN PLAY Ticker: NASDAQ:COIN Date: June 20, 2025 Thesis: Breakout trap setup — expecting a rug pull / red reversal tomorrow to confirm. 🔍 Context Price broke above range today with a big +18.8% candle to $295 — but... Volume spike may signal exhaustion, not strength. RSI = 68 → near overbought MACD curling into a bearish cross — same signal preceded the last -30% and -40% drawdowns. History: Same range-break setups in Dec and Feb collapsed hard (-30 to -40%) over 16–25 days. 💣 Trade Plan (Short Setup) Entry Trigger: 🔻 Enter short if price closes below $277 tomorrow — confirms breakout trap. Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $253 (top of old range) 🎯 Target 2: $235 (mid-range support) 🎯 Target 3: $208 (full breakdown move, matches last 2 cycles) Stop Loss: 🛑 Above $297 (breakout highs) Timeframe: 1–3 weeks (16–26 bars historically) 🧠 Bias Bearish unless bulls hold $280+. If we get a big red daily candle tomorrow, fakeout confirmed — high-probability follow-through expected.
NASDAQ:COINShort
by TazmanianTrader
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏦 Fed Holds Rates, Warns on Tariffs Fed kept interest rates steady on June 19, cautioning that tariffs could stoke inflation and slow growth. Inflation projections were raised from 2.7% to 3.0%, while growth estimates were revised lower to 1.4% 🌍 Middle East Risk Drags Markets Global stocks fell and safe-haven assets surged after U.S. futures weakened amid heightened tensions in the Israel–Iran conflict. Yields were mixed: gold weakened and bonds gained, while oil held steady near seven-week highs 📈 Treasury Yields Edge Higher Despite safe-haven demand, U.S. 10‑year yields ticked up as markets absorbed the Fed’s updated rate outlook. The yield curve remains elevated ahead of next week’s $38 bn auction of long-dated notes 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 20: (No major U.S. economic reports) Markets will be driven by Fed commentary follow-ups and geopolitical headlines over the weekend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #fixedincome #inflation #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-19: GAP Reversal Counter TrendToday's pattern is a GAP Reversal in Counter Trend mode. I believe this could represent a breakdown in the ES/NQ as the US stock market is closed for the Juneteenth holiday. Obviously, after the Fed comments yesterday (stating "uncertainty") and with the continued Israel/Iran conflict playing out, it makes sense to me that the US markets would move into a pre-weekend consolidation phase. Even though the US stock market will be closed, the futures market will likely stay open and will carry some general market sentiment and reactions to news. Watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin should be very interesting today. I suspect the markets will continue to consolidate downward today - leading to a potential breakdown seeking support day on Friday. Buckle up. We'll likely have 3-5+ days of news related to the Israel/Iran conflict and other issues over this weekend. It could be very interesting to see how the global markets move through this news. Get some. Happy Juneteenth #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
9
$FTNT In a Wedging PatternI bought a ½ size position on June 2nd after it had tremendous volume and institutions protected it from slipping below the 50 DMA the day before. It has been nothing but sideways since and I am slightly underwater. My stop is a decisive close under the 50 DMA. I did not feel the Wed June 18th qualified as decisive. Mark Minervini may call this a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern). In any event it is clearly in consolidation mode and could break either way. I will either be selling if it does not recover the 50 DMA or will be adding if / when it closes above the downward sloping upper trendline. I thought this would be a good one for your watchlist. If you like the idea, please make it your own and follow “your” trading rules. Remember, it is your money at risk.
NASDAQ:FTNTLong
by jaxdog
3
SPY where are we going into OPEX and last week of June tradingYesterday was almost an indecision candle on daily. Markets cheered the jobs data earlier in day with a nice green candle, however the pump faded going into FOMC, where AMEX:SPY and SP:SPX were around 600/ 6000 at 2pm. FOMC event mostly turned out to be a "non-event". While the no rate cut and 2 for 2025 were largely expected, Powell spooked the markets commenting that he expects higher inflation in months ahead due to tariffs. Off course this set of a set of comments from Trump which was expected as well. While markets are closed today (Juneteenth) futures are open, and in after hours and now we have drifted downwards... as of this writing SPX is around 5950. Bulls lost the 9 sma yesterday and now are trying to defend the 20 sma. Tomorrow is OPEX so expect some volatility and movement to where big money is positioned. Certainly bulls can show up and reclaim 9 ma at 6003 or if we lose 5950, the next level down is below 5800. Meanwhile JPM collar is intact... Do we go down from here. Tomorrow will be key as we will know if we have lost 20 sma or regained 9 sma and how this week candle looks like. Bulls can charge but is there enough gas in tank to make meaningful upside move? Maybe possible pump to open next week (around 6060 was recent high), but bears are now lurking to take us down towards that 5800 level next week. As I said earlier tomorrow will be telling and I will update over the weekend.
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by Options_Life_
06/18/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +521.25 Sleep: 5 hours (bad sleep) Overall health: My Ultrahuman Ring is saying I might be getting sick. 9 need to recover sleep and take care of body today and tmr. I think my lack of exercise this week is catching up to me. **What was my initial plan? ** Looking at things premarket, things looked a bit weak as it was about sell off in the morning with bearish structure and DHC. Went in for a short at 1 min MOB but it didn't react and just broke thru, so flipped to bullish side and took it to the next resistance. overall plan for the day was to look for chop zones to scalp b4 fomc, but that actually didnt happen until after fomc. ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)** 4/5 — 9:50 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 10:52 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal :check: — 12:10 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (Double signal) :x: — 12:11 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 1:40 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (Double signal) :check: Next day plan--> Above 6015 = Bullish, Under 6005= Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007