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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : Finding Confirmation & MoreThis video will become the start of more advanced training videos to help all of you understand how to use your own skills/tools/resources to try to find the best opportunities. As I state in the video, I will never tell you what to trade. EVER! It is unethical and illegal. I'm not a broker or financial advisor. I'm a software developer/trader and I like to try to unlock the secrets of the markets using price action and inference models (and more). This video teaches you how to use my CRASH INDEX and the SuperTrend indicator as a way to develop better allocation and risk protection skills for your own trading. Let's face it - trading is about developing a process to consistently GET PROFITS. It doesn't really matter if they are 10%, 20%, 30% or more. If you are able to consistently execute good trades and PULL PROFITS - you will grow your account- right? So stop swinging for the fences. Learn to develop skills that keep you on the right side of these big trends. It's not that hard. In this video I try to teach you to use Daily, Weekly, 240 min, 120 min, 60 min, 10 min, and 5 min data using my Crash Index to help you learn to trade the SPY/QQQ. The Crash Index is suited for the SPY/QQQ in most cases. There are instances where the Crash Index may reflect some type of counter-trend - so remember to use Fibonacci Price Theory on the underlying symbol (SPY or QQQ) as final confirmation. And, remember to try to understand primary trending (longer-term trending) vs. short-term trending. If you are going to try to trade a "counter-trend" swing - cut your trade allocation down by 50-60% (or more). Counter-trend swings are usually going against the major/primary trend. Anyway, watch this video once or twice. I hope it helps all of you understand and build your own skills to trade more efficiently. The trick is to get it down to a process where you know how to allocate your capital and you know how to confirm/invalidate trade setups/triggers. Once you get to that point - you turn into a trading machine. The only step of the process that is really difficult to handle/manage is the BOOK IT phase. If you book your profits early - you may feel bad about leaving profits out there you could have had. But, a PROFIT is a PROFIT. And the goal of trading it to PROFIT more than you LOSE - right? Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
3
Beyond The Plan Your Trade Videos - Trading Algos/ConfirmationMany of you follow my morning Plan Your Trade videos - and I thank you for your loyalty and dedication. The Plan Your Trade videos are specifically deigned to highlight my SPY/GOLD Cycle Patterns and, over the course of the past 9+ months, I've started trying to teach all of you Fibonacci Price Theory and the concept of the Excess Phase Peak pattern (and Cradle Pattern). My goal is to teach you to learn to understand price structures, setups, and actions as a way to try to advance your technical analysis/trading skills. There are so many others out there trying to teach you to use indicators and other types of analysis to try to identify trading opportunities/setups. Some work, some don't. Technical analysis using Indicators, Elliot Wave, or other forms of predictive analysis/AI are only about 50-75% accurate at best (IMO). Nothing is 100% perfect. After 35+ years of trying to unlock the secrets of price action to devise a 100% accurate trading system, the closest I have come is a system that generates about 65-75% accuracy - but still manages to take some losses. I do believe I can find that 100% accurate system (hopefully before I die). But the reality is it is almost impossible to accurately predict price movement 10-20+ days in advance with any degree of accuracy. Over the past few weeks/months, we've seen the SPY/QQQ move through various stages/phases. Over the past 4+ weeks I've been warning of the broad-consolidation phase that is currently setup on the SPY/QQQ. I believe this huge consolidation range is very dangerous for traders and that extreme volatility will create lots of risk/opportunities for those capable of trading within this range. But, at the same time, failing to take advantage of tools to help traders hedge, daytrade, or otherwise balance allocation/risk levels is something I really don't talk about much. I like to say "I do the research - you make all the trading decisions". This video highlights some of my advanced algos and how I use them, in conjunction with the EPP and other patterns, to try to gauge market opportunities vs. risks. Trust me. I've learned not to GO BIG on trades over the past 20+ years because I've blown up a few accounts trying to get greedy. Right now, I focus on trying to be on the right side of trends (if possible) and to balance my portfolio in 10-20% increments. For example, if I believe GOLD is going to move higher, I may start out with a 5-10% allocation into GLD or UGL (start small). If that trade works and Gold starts to make a move higher, I may try to add a bit more to that initial trade. If it doesn't work out, I may try to add a little bit more at a better entry price level - but I focus on not letting that trade occupy more than 15-20% of my total portfolio. That way, if I take a loss on the trade, it is a small loss compared to the overall account capital. If I take a 50% loss on a 20% allocation - that is only a 10% loss on the TOTAL ACCOUNT SIZE. Get it? So, the reason for this video is to show you how you can still use technical strategies/indicators to try to confirm you intraday trading and swing trading opportunities. I like to use the SuperTrend strategy on charts to identify general trending. I'm urging you to consider my Plan Your Trade videos as "one component" of your skillset. You need to use your own skills/techniques/analysis to try to manage risks vs. opportunities as you continue to trade. I highlight some of my algos because they become another "component" of my analysis when I'm trading. If I don't see broad market capitulation related to Daily trending - then I try to stay VERY CAUTIOUS. If I do see some capitulation within my algos suggesting the markets are starting to trend upward or downward, then I may try to take advantage of that opportunity. Ideally, the process of trading is to use everything you like and can rely on to help confirm you decision-making. Then, fall back to a efficient trade allocation process that attempts to limit your risk level. The biggest mistake I see people make is to go ALL IN or TOO HEAVY into a trade thinking they can't lose. Yes, you can lose. So can I. That's why it is important to contain risks and protect capital at all times. I'll try to create another video showing you how I use the SuperTrend indicator to help confirm some of my intraday analysis for trades. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-8 : EPP & Cradle Pattern UpdateThis video highlights why I continue to stay very cautious of this upward price move in the US markets. It also highlights that the current trend is BULLISH - not BEARISH. When I post the videos in the morning, I've been selecting BEARISH as the general trend because I believe the markets are going to roll over into a breakdown phase. Until that happens, though, the markets are in a BULLISH price trend - attempting to possibly break above the current Ultimate High. This is more of an instructional video - trying to show you why I continue to urge caution related to trends and why I belive we may have many months to go before the US markets really start to make a bigger "exit trend" type of move (exiting this broad consolidation range). The other thing this video should teach you is how to identify EPP and Cradle patterns more efficiently and how to use them. Ultimately, everything I share with all of you is designed to help you understand price as the ultimate indicator. If you can grasp these concepts and understand how each phase of price structure presents opportunities, then you should be able to time and execute your trades very efficiently. As I've stated in the videos, because of family medical issues over the past 60+ days, I've moved away from daytrading and gone back to a 2-5+ week swing trading style. Simply put, I'm driving all over the place taking care of my family, seeing doctors, and other stuff - so I can't stare at my PC/Phone while the markets are open. I'm also taking very low risk trades. If I decide to get into a trade, I'm usually avoiding the SPY/QQQ and selecting some SPDR sector (or other ETF) that allows me to play the move I expect without risking a fortune doing it. Anyway, I hope you enjoy this video. I'll probably create one more after this video posts. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
1
$SPY / $QQQ – Bull Flag Breakout in Progress?📈 Both AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ just broke out of bull flag patterns after a strong recovery from the April lows. 🔍 Technical setup: Flags formed after a vertical rally ✅ Breakout candles with follow-through ✅ Still riding key EMAs (20/50) with decent volume ✅ 📌 Targets based on flagpole projection: AMEX:SPY → ~582–590 NASDAQ:QQQ → ~505–510 However… mind the context: We’re heading into macro risk events, and positioning is getting crowded. These breakouts need confirmation via volume + higher high closes.
AMEX:SPYLong
by SmartSignalss
SPX500 local top at 5700? Serious retrace could hit 5500SPX back to its "Liberation Day" highs and possible end of local wave. Local 4.236 fib at 5700.72 may have marked end of this wave up. Dip targets include the various green fibs but major target 5505.42 Green Zone below is a MUST HOLD or we return to Bear Markets. . =================== Previous Charts below ================== Major TOP call: Liberation Day top call: Tariff Relief road map: ================================================================ .
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by EuroMotif
2025 forecast NYA Wave B top nearing 20% decline plusThe chart posted is that of the NYA .12/8 /2024 Major wave B top forming target 20,190 alt 22130 . Cycles are bearish into 2025 and well into oct 2026 Depression Like decline . into oct 2026 . First big decline should take us down into the spiral turn date 3/10 2025 week . in what should be an 11.8 to 16.6 % decline we should then see a rally into Mid July to Sept 2nd Then cycles begin next bear cycle phase . Down hard in most of 2026 The market in this decline should take us down about another 26 to 35% in wave 3 , The final low if the big picture is correct should see a major low oct 10/20 2026 the total decline should be 38% to 44 % Gold should see 1050 to 1489 . Bonds should form a rally but will fail over n over . BMV:US should see 119 to 121 handle in 2025 by mid oct 2025 . . Tariffs and the trade war are the main reason . But the markets since 2009 have been Liquidity driven with zero rates forced money flows into Assets 2025 will see a Deleveraging of inflation assets as we decline in housing markets based on the 18.8 year cycle in housing . Unemployment will see a sharp rise into 5.5 -6.1% into oct 2025 . based on downsizing of the federal workers Bitcoin will see a drop min 42/35 and a final low is 18500 to 22100 peak to low . . In dec 2021 Forecast called for a 20 plus decline into oct 10 to the 20th 2022 into 3510 to 3490 in the sp 500 .Dec 2022 forecast was calling for a rally to new highs in all indexes . In dec 2023 forecast called for the sp to reach 5636 to 5818 and the year of a vix of 29 or better we saw 60 . What next is at most I have said is a target in the sp of 6183/6235 We may or may not reach that But if is going to it will be jan 2 to the 20th 2025 . The last of the money flow . Best of trades WAVETIMER
TVC:NYA
by wavetimer
7
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-8 : Carryover PatternToday's Pattern is a Carryover pattern in Carryover mode. After yesterday's FOMC news (unchanged), the markets are seeking a bit of direction. Bitcoin rallied and INVALIDATED a EPP Flagging pattern. In my opinion this suggests the SPY/QQQ may attempt to move a bit higher after the Fed decision. Although, I still believe the global markets are reacting to uncertainty and tariff news within a very broad consolidation range. So, I'm cautious of trying to go ALL-IN on any long trades at the moment. Until we break clear of the consolidation range, price could break strongly to the downside on news or geopolitical content. In reality, any type of big news could prompt a downward price move within an uptrend or a consolidation range. It just seems as though the current global market environment is fraught with uncertainty - so I continue to stay cautious. Gold and Silver pulled downward overnight. But I still believe metals will continue to rally - attempting to hedge against global risks. With Bitcoin rallying a bit higher (still in consolidation) - let's see how the next few days play out. I would be surprised if BTCUSD and the SPY rallied to new highs before the end of May. VERY SURPRISED given the status of the global markets. But, the markets can stay completely irrational much longer than I can try to fight them. So we have to move WITH the markets - not against them. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
13
Up-a-Bar, Down-a-Bar? Sorted.Gap Higher Into 5700 Heat Ever make a tiny tweak to your bias, ignore the noise, and then watch the market validate every inch of it? That’s the vibe this morning. Yesterday’s post-FOMC tag of the lower Bollinger Band confirmed the mechanical turn, and if you’ve been following along, that means our bullish bias got an official upgrade. Futures are already up 60 points overnight, price is lifting into the 5700 zone, and yes… that broken wing butterfly we placed in the slop is now basking in the spotlight. Didn’t catch the full breakdown of that clean +98.1% ROC win? You should. Because boring trades print – and this one did just that. --- SPX Market View Let’s talk about the move we didn’t miss. We spotted the sideways chop. The indecision. The textbook “up-a-bar, down-a-bar” noise. But instead of guessing direction into FOMC chaos, we made a minor but vital adjustment: Bullish above 5600. Stay mechanical. Stay patient. That call aged well. FOMC came and went with all the urgency of a soggy biscuit. The lower Bollinger Band tag arrived right on cue, and with overnight futures up strong, we’re sitting in validation territory. Now today? 5700 becomes the zone of truth. It’s the GEX cluster. It’s the high of the week. (so far) It’s where a gap-and-go or gap-and-fade could unfold. If price breaks clean, we could see new highs forming into the weekend. If not, expect a choppy pullback from the open before things stabilise. Either way… Already in swings. Already got B&B on. No need to chase. Let the market come to us. This is why structure wins. Expert Insights: Flipping bias mid-chop – let price confirm. Don’t front-run. Forcing entries post-gap – wait for structure, not speed. Ignoring prior levels – 5700 is loaded. Watch for traps. Missing the post-review edge – yesterday’s trade gives today’s confidence. Chasing noise into FOMC hangovers – let the dust settle before committing. --- Rumour Has It… Apparently, the Fed’s post-FOMC statement was originally just a shrug emoji and the word “meh” repeated 17 times. When asked to elaborate, the AI bot in charge blinked twice and played a jazz loop. Traders remain unsure if it was dovish or just tired. This is entirely made-up satire. Probably! Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity? --- Fun Fact In 1983, the S&P 500 posted its largest one-day post-Fed reversal at the time, rallying over 3% after a morning selloff – all while inflation was double digits and headlines screamed chaos. The takeaway? News means nothing if your setup is clean and your risk is defined. The same edge applies today.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
Weekly Forecasts UPDATES! ALL Markets Analyzed! Stocks & FOREXIn this Weekly Forecast UPDATE, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Metals futures, and the FOREX Majors for Thursday, May 8th. The targets set in last weekend's forecasts are still in play! Trade accordingly. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6J1!
by RT_Money
2
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 8, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 8, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 Fed Holds Rates Steady Amid Economic Uncertainty The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5%, citing concerns over rising inflation and economic risks. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized a cautious approach, indicating no immediate plans for policy changes. 🤝 U.S.-China Trade Talks Scheduled Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and chief negotiator Jamieson Greer are set to meet China's economic head He Lifeng in Switzerland, marking a potential step toward resolving trade tensions. The announcement has positively influenced global markets. 📈 Record $500 Billion Share Buyback Plans U.S. companies have announced a record-breaking $500 billion in share buybacks, reflecting growing hesitation to make capital investments amid economic uncertainty driven by President Trump's trade policies. Major contributors include Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), and Visa ( NYSE:V ). ⚠️ Recession Warnings from Economists Former IMF chief economist Ken Rogoff warns that a U.S. recession is likely this summer, primarily driven by President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies. He suggests that markets are overly optimistic and not adequately accounting for the risks. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, May 8: 8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET: Continuing Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET: Nonfarm Productivity (Q1 Preliminary) 8:30 AM ET: Unit Labor Costs (Q1 Preliminary) 10:00 AM ET: Wholesale Inventories (March Final) 10:30 AM ET: Natural Gas Storage ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
SPY Chart Analysis Symmetrical Triangle Signals Potential BreakThe SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is exhibiting a classic technical setup that may lead to a significant price move. As of early May 2025, SPY is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, a pattern commonly associated with periods of indecision and coiled momentum. The Technical Setup A symmetrical triangle forms when the price creates lower highs and higher lows, resulting in converging trendlines. Unlike directional patterns such as rising or falling wedges, symmetrical triangles are neutral by nature and can break either upward or downward. The tightening price action reflects a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers, typically followed by a breakout once either side gains control. In SPY's case, the upper trendline is sloping downward while the lower trendline slopes upward. Price is currently moving within this narrowing range, with volatility compressing. This structure is a hallmark of market consolidation and is often seen ahead of larger directional moves. Key Price Levels While the triangle pattern itself does not predict direction, it does define key technical levels: A breakout above the upper trendline would suggest renewed bullish momentum. A breakdown below the lower trendline could indicate the start of a new downward move. Traders and investors should watch for a strong daily close beyond the triangle boundaries, ideally supported by increased volume, which would signal conviction behind the move. Volume and Market Context The volume profile has been declining during the formation of this pattern, which is typical and further validates the setup. Volume contraction during consolidation is often followed by a surge when price breaks out, making volume a crucial secondary indicator for confirmation. It’s also worth considering the broader market context. SPY has been recovering from its recent pullback, but resistance remains overhead. A confirmed breakout from this symmetrical triangle could act as a catalyst for continuation. On the other hand, a breakdown may open the door to further downside as support levels are tested. Conclusion SPY is at a technical crossroads. The symmetrical triangle pattern suggests that the current sideways movement will soon resolve into a more directional trend. Rather than predicting the outcome, traders should stay alert for a confirmed breakout or breakdown, supported by strong volume. This will provide the clearest signal on SPY’s next move and help define risk and reward going forward.
AMEX:SPY
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-7 : Post FOMC UpdateThis video highlights a number of factors why I believe the markets are stalling and are likely to REVERT back to the 515-525 area on the SPY. Without any real economic driving component, while tariffs and other concerns continue to play out, I believe the SPY will continue to search for Ultimate Support over the next 5-7+ months, then move into an upward reversion phase. Part of what I'm trying to teach my followers is to try to understand how price operates in structures and phases. Price only does two things: TRENDS or FLAGS Within those phases, price structures (EPP, Cradle, and others) take over to determine how and why price may or may not attempt to make certain price moves. Additionally, without any bias, or economic impetus (driver), price tends to REVERT. In this video, I show you how to use the STDDEV channels to identify possible target areas for the different phases of market trend. Ultimately, IMO, trading is about being able to see the price structure, phases, and path of least resistance (in terms of bias/expectations). This helps us position for the highest probability outcome (and hopefully for successful trades). Remember, all of these techniques can be applied to intra-day charts the same way I'm applying them to Daily and Weekly charts. Remember, price only does two things: TREND or FLAG. Once you understand that, applying price structures/phases to price while it TRENDS or FLAGS helps you to gain a keen understanding of where price may target/move in the immediate future. Hope this helps. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
10
FED DAY IS HERE! $qqq at MAJOR resistance. Today will be a tellQQQ is stuck under the 200sma and a supply zone. WE have used up a lot of the tarriff deals news flow. The market will be looking to uncle Jerome for direction. If he comes in dovish and says the inflation is tempered we could push through into the suction zone. If he comes in hot and says the tariff war heating up inflation we could get a big pause on the rally. with the QQQ under so much supply this is a logical spot for Powell to dump on the market. We have the 9ema under if we break under it will trigger a short for me. if we stay above its a leave alone unless we remount the 200sma on the daily chart.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by kunal00
$STZ Get Upgrade and $125 Price TargetNYSE:STZ Has been in a stage one base for about 4 months and is above all the Moving Averages with the fastest on top and slowest on bottom. With the new upgrade can it breakout into a stage 2 uptrend? I have an alert set at just 188.50, right in the resistance area. I will take the trade if it triggers with a stop just below the most recent low of 182.62. That makes a well-defined risk reward for me. On the fundamental side, we are moving into summer and beverage sales could easily pick up.
NYSE:STZLong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video For 5-7 : Breakaway In CounterToday's Breakaway In Counter Trend mode suggests the markets will likely attempt to break downward before the end of trading, today. Why do I state the downward trend direction? Because the LT/ST trends are BULLISH and the general upward price trend in the SPY over the past 5-10+ days. Counter-trend patterns are typically inverted compared to the general 5-8 day price trend. If we can't clearly identify a 5-8 day price trend, then the counter-trend patterns should be determined based on the ST/LT and BIAS trend information on the SPY Cycle Patterns data window. Today, being a FOMC comment day, should stay rather muted/sideways in early trading. Normally, on FOMC days, the markets tend to stay paused ahead of the FOMC comments. I believe the FED will not raise or lower rates - meaning NO CHANGE. I don't believe the US Fed has any reason to be concerned with US economic performance right now. Gold and Silver should move into a rally phase today - but that will likely come near the end of the day as the FED comments drive the markets. BTCUSD has moved into an early FLAGGING formation. This could be very interesting as BTCUSD has been leading the SPY/QQQ by about 4-6 trading days over the past few weeks. If BTCUSD continues to lead the SPY/QQQ - that means the SPY/QQQ would be in the early breakdown phase right now - moving into a FLAGGING formation possibly next week. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
4
5600: Bullish Border or Bear Trap?Theta’s Working. Setup’s Lurking. This market’s behaving like it needs a reboot. We’ve got the classic tag‑n‑turn setup doing a dodgy impression of itself-upper band got touched, but instead of a clean pivot, we’ve now got a bearish pulse bar flashing and a near‑miss on the lower Bollinger Band. It’s like waiting for a bus, getting two at once, and realising they’re both headed to “Confusion Junction.” So here’s the deal: 5600 is now the cliff edge. Stay above, and we’ve got some bullish life. Drop below, and we’re in breakdown city. If you’re testing the waters today, keep it light. FOMC is on deck, and that alone can whiplash any intraday idea straight off your charts. Meanwhile, theta quietly does its work in the background, even if price action’s stuck in a tight horizontal fog. And for the more cautious of you yes, we’re experimenting with broken wing butterflies as a way to lean into the system without going full throttle. More on that in today’s Fast Forward call. --- SPX Market View Let’s break down the weirdness. We’re in a mechanical tag‑n‑turn, but it’s misbehaving. Usually, the upper Bollinger Band tap sets off a swift reversal. But this time? We got the tag… and then nothing. Just sideways drift. Until yesterday, that is, when bear pulse bars flickered in, suggesting sellers might finally be stretching their legs. Now? We’re hovering just shy of a lower Bollinger Band tag, with the bands pinching tighter than a miser’s wallet. This setup is usually the calm before either a surge—or a slip. Enter the line: 5600. • Above 5600: bull bias stays alive. • Below 5600: breakdown setup gets the greenlight. The GEX crowd seems to be repositioning slightly, but the main range remains intact. Volatility premiums are compressing again, suggesting the real move hasn’t triggered yet. If you’re risk‑curious but cautious, broken wing butterflys are worth exploring. By placing your risk off-centre, you create room to collect theta while limiting max damage if direction gets wonky. I’ve been testing it in real-time, and I’ll share specifics on today’s mentorship call. And then, of course, we’ve got the FOMC main session coming up. If that makes your stomach churn—don’t trade it. Watch it. Tomorrow’s another day. No one gets a prize for being caught on the wrong side of a news candle. --- Expert Insights: Assuming a tag means turn – the tag-n-turn isn’t magic. Wait for confirmation. Forcing trades around news events – FOMC days don’t need your capital. Underestimating sideways risk – no trend doesn’t mean no danger. Skipping risk-defined plays – BWB’s give breathing room when setups are unclear. Failing to adjust bias – bullish and bearish both live here—bias must shift with price. --- Rumour Has It… A mysterious algorithm known only as “TurnTagger X” is reportedly running its own contrarian SPX strategy. It waits for tag-n-turn setups-then does the exact opposite, cackling through your stops. One trader claims it’s powered by caffeine, salt, and old Janet Yellen quotes. Could be hedge fund AI… or just your broker’s cat walking on the keyboard. This is entirely made-up satire. Probably! Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity? AI-Powered ETFs Go on Strike A rogue batch of AI ETFs issued a joint statement this morning refusing to rebalance “until humans stop panic-buying tops.” BlackRock is reportedly negotiating with a mediator chatbot named GaryBot-9000. Retail Traders Launch ‘NapMap’ App After months of whipsaw hell, Reddit traders launched NapMap – a tool that identifies the safest hours to sleep through “algorithmic tantrums.” It’s already outperforming the S&P. CBOE Announces ‘Calm VIX’ The Chicago Board of Exchange revealed its newest product: a “Calm VIX” that tracks how unbothered markets pretend to be. Readings are currently at ‘Zen Master’ despite 4 black swans circling the drain. This is entirely made-up satire. Probably! Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity? --- Fun Fact The phrase “broken wing butterfly” comes from aviation-not options. Pilots once used the term to describe asymmetric recovery manoeuvres. Traders later borrowed it to describe strategies with off-centre risk profiles-ideal when you expect range but want room for error. Bonus trivia: the strategy can be structured for credit or debit, making it one of the few “choose-your-own-adventure” plays in options. Cartoon metaphor for using broken wing butterflys in volatile markets.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 7, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 7, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏛️ Fed Decision Day Amid Tariff Pressures The Federal Reserve concludes its two-day meeting today, with expectations to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5%. Despite President Trump's calls for rate cuts, the Fed remains cautious due to inflationary risks from new tariffs and migration policies. 📈 U.S.-China Trade Talks Resume U.S. stock futures rose overnight on news of upcoming high-level trade talks between the U.S. and China, marking the first discussions since the imposition of 145% tariffs on Chinese goods. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer are set to meet with senior Chinese officials later this week. 🛢️ Oil Prices Rebound on Demand Hopes Oil prices climbed as U.S. production declined and demand in Europe and China showed signs of recovery. Brent crude rose 0.6% to $62.52 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate increased 0.74% to $59.53 per barrel. 💼 Key Earnings Reports Ahead Several major companies, including Uber ( NYSE:UBER ), Disney ( NYSE:DIS ), and Novo Nordisk ( NYSE:NVO ), are scheduled to report earnings today. Investors will be watching these reports for insights into corporate performance amid ongoing economic uncertainties. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, May 7: 2:00 PM ET: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Announcement 2:30 PM ET: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Press Conference 3:00 PM ET: Consumer Credit Report (March) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
4
MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025 📈 5625 5638 5650 📉 5614 5602 5590 Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support! Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:MES1!
by J3Trad3s
1
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025 📈 19840 19900 19965 📉 19779 19717 19655 Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support! Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by J3Trad3s
Tesla Grabbing Liquidity Market Context 🚩 1-Month Move: +7.3% (from $261.30) 1-Year Move: +45.6% (from $192.50) Technicals RSI: ~68.4 (nearing overbought ) Moving Averages: Above 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day MAs (uptrend, but showing signs of exhaustion ) MACD: Bearish crossover forming (momentum fading, potential pullback ) Trade Setup Instrument: TSLA ❌ Direction: PUT Entry Price: $280.21 Take Profit 1 (TP1): $270.00 (~3.6% gain ) 🟢 Take Profit 2 (TP2): $260.00 (~7.2% gain ) 🟢 Expected Move: ~8–10% downward Best AI Signals on the market.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by AlphaSignals_ai
5