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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-4: Election Week Is HereGood morning, everyone. This video highlights why I believe traders should stay very cautious through the early portion of this week and into next week. My research suggests the SPY & QQQ will stay somewhat range bound this week while the markets move into a SHOCK phase. The elections are really going to take center-stage and even though I expect some reaction after the election are over - I'm not seeing any real trending opportunity in the SPY/QQQ until after November 20-25. Thus, I suggest traders stay in a 80-85% CASH mode and trade very small allocation levels over the next 2-3 weeks. There is nothing wrong with moving into a CASH position and sitting on that cash till the market show more opportunity for profits. Gold and Silver will struggle within a sideways range over the next 5 to 8+ days. The election event will likely drive some volatility in metals, but I see metals stalling out for at least 3-4 more days - trading in a sideways range. Ultimately the SPY/QQQ, Gold & Silver are going to attempt to break downward - away from the Phase #3 & #4 consolidation phase. I see that as the Anomaly Event I discuss in this video. Bitcoin appears to have already starting to break downward, away from the Phase #3 & #4 Excess Phase Peak setup. In this case, Bitcoin may be leading the global markets a bit and attempting to find the Ultimate Low over the next 2+ weeks. Still, at this stage, the best advice I can offer is move assets to CASH and wait out the consolidation in the markets. Again, I don't see the markets moving into any real trending until after February 12-13 and possibly as late as February 20-25. Buckle up. I think the markets are going to go into Anaphylactic Shock because of the election and post-election events. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
11
SPX500 H1 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementSPX500 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 5,769.26 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 5,804.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 5,727.17 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:SPX500Short
by FXCM
#202444 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: Bearish. 5730 was expected support and if bears are strong, 5800 stays resistance now. Expecting more sideways movement before another impulse down. Next target for bears is 5600 and bulls need a daily close above 5800. Thursday’s selling was strong enough for more downside but could also just have been distorted price action since it was end of the month. Friday was disappointing for bears already, which is why I think the selling is not as strong as hoped. Quote from last week: comment: Another disappointing week for the bulls. Big question now is the same as for dax and nq, was this the last before a deeper pullback or can we print 6000 before 5700? I don’t know and I am not going to pretend I do. Market is in breakout mode and the triangle has a bit more room to go. We simply need more price action because right now the market is in balance around 5870. comment: Reasoning here is almost identical to dax and nasdaq. Selling was strong enough for a second leg and a measured move leads down to 5555, which is near the 50% retracement. I won’t repeat the same stuff here what I wrote for dax. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 5700 - 6000 bull case: 6000 remains bulls target but if we get a daily close below 5700, we will likely see 5550 before 6000. If we stay above, we will continue sideways. Invalidation is below 5700. bear case: Bears need to keep the pullback shallow and probably below the daily ema 5830. If they manage, their next target is 5670 which is the weekly 20ema and below that is 5555 for the measured move target, 50% retracement and July low. Invalidation is above 5830. outlook last week: short term: Neutral. Bearish below 5820 for 5800, below 5800 we likely see 5730. Bullish above 5860 for 5880+ and above 5930 we will see 6000. → Last Sunday we traded 5846 and now we are at 5758. Outlook was ok. short term: Neutral until we break below 5700. I favor some more sideways movement before the second leg down but it should stay below 5830. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: None chart update: Added current valid bear trend lines and a potential bearish wave series down to 5555.
CME_MINI:MES1!Short
by priceactiontds
Hey SPYLOVERS here are 3 Scenarios for this week check it out...Another week analyzing SPY's behavior correctly as we planned. I’d like to invite you to review my previous analyses of the price movements throughout the week, so you can see that I base my strategy solely on price action and institutional supply and demand concepts—simple methods that the price has respected. In this case, we won’t be seeing historical highs anytime soon. I believe we’re in a pullback where we need to monitor closely to see if the price might return to the order block I have around $563.60. This area is significant because it’s where the highest concentration of orders in the market is currently positioned. If we look at the last candle SPY closed with, although it ended higher than the previous one, it’s still showing selling pressure, so we’ll likely continue on the path of selling for a few more days. The key is to analyze the next move the price makes when it touches the order block: Here are 3 possible Scenarios. Scenario 1. If the price reaches this zone ($563.60), it might dip a little further as a fake-out before bouncing back strongly. Here, we need to pay close attention to the candlestick pattern that appears in this area. Scenario 2. If it respects the order block but doesn’t bounce with enough strength, we might be witnessing a Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which could later bring the price to the inflection zone (the blue middle area). Scenario 3. If the price breaks my order block with strength and volume, then we’re validating a CHoCH (Change of Character), where we could see the price move to the inflection zone (the blue middle area). No matter what happens, remember to always watch the candlestick pattern and the volume. That’s the main fuel behind the price's strength, and analyzing it this way will make your analysis more accurate. Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE! Best regards.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RocketMike111
3
SPY What Next? BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the SPY next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 571.04 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 577.68 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYLong
by AnabelSignals
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 11-1 Update: Silver Still LeadingPlease watch this video to understand why I believe the downside risks are still dominant related to price trending. Yes, we've seen a solid recovery today, but watching Silver and RSP, it appears the Excess Phase Peak pattern is still progressing toward a breakdown new low. I urge all traders to stay very cautious of the risks throughout today and Monday. The markets need to climb higher quite a bit to invalidate this pattern - and I don't see that happening before Nov 5. Buckle up. Get some.
COMEX:SI1!Short
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Nov 1: CRUSH PatternToday's CRUSH pattern suggests the markets may experience a very large and violent price move - likely downward. My experience with CRUSH patterns is they are often related to the dominant trend on the Daily chart and seeing as though we are in the midst of a fairly solid rally phase (recent higher highs on almost all charts), I believe this CRUSH pattern will resolve to the downside. Many of you know I've been predicting a very strong pullback leading into the US elections, and yesterday, we saw what may have been the start of that pullback. Today's CRUSH pattern could carry us into very strong market selling into the end of trading today and I believe traders should have already moved assets away from the current risks in the markets. It seems as though almost every market I review has moved into an Excess Phase Peak pattern over the past 2-3+ days. Today, I'm looking for Gold & Silver to attempt a breakdown away from the Phase #3 consolidation of the Excess Phase Peak pattern. BTCUSD is set up almost exactly the same - looking for a breakdown. The SPY/QQQ are moving into that consolidation phase and looking for that breakdown in price. It's almost as if the markets are reacting to some pending event that drives uncertainty.. THE ELECTION. Smart traders (skilled intraday traders) should be able to pull off some really great trades throughout the day. Smart Swing traders are waiting for the base/bottom (Ultimate low) and are looking to move into CALL OPTION trades as a hedge related to a post-election rally phase. If you missed all of this over the past few weeks, today is nothing more than a panic reaction to risks. The markets will settle after the election and will likely move back into a solid bullish price trend after Nov10th or so. Buckle up - this could be a wild day. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
8
Trading Plan ES TODAYCurrent Position: Average entry price stands at 5741, ATM. Trading Plan: Targeting a push toward 5800, with plans to exit prior to the U.S. market open. Although seller momentum appears depleted, I remain cautious about the likelihood of a sustained rally. Intraday Strategy: Hold a bullish outlook until the market open. Anticipate a retracement toward yesterday’s close, at which point I intend to re-enter long positions. Monitoring Approach: I will closely supervise the U.S. market open trades with heightened scrutiny compared to pre-market positioning.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by OssianH
$SPY tough spot right now, but there's still a glimmer of hope!On the daily chart, there are three bearish signals without even considering indicators: 1. Price is below the EMAs. 2. With a gap down. 3. From a coil spring. On the weekly chart, the trend remains intact. However, if we drop below the fast EMA, a significant test will be the slow EMA. The key level to watch is the low of the daily channel line at $554, which aligns with the weekly slow EMA at approximately $551. For me, that represents the definitive line in the sand for SPY.
AMEX:SPY
by WavesInvesting
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 10-31: Halloween BreakdownThis short video discusses why traders need to prepare for a downward move and the eventual move into Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak pattern (consolidation). I believe this consolidation phase will be very short-lived. So be aware of the continued risks to the downside. This election has many traders concerned about pre-/post-market jitters. Bonds continue to put pressure on the debt markets, and Gold and silver are not contracting downward (as I suggested), reflecting a real panic-type trending mode. Spend a bit of time watching my past videos. It is very impressive that you called this move 3+ weeks in advance, and I continue to believe we will see a base/bottom setup just after the election. So, there is still a boatload of opportunities for skilled traders. Buckle up - this move downward is likely to be very volatile. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
6
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-31 : Consolidation PatternToday's video highlights the power and simplicity of what I attempt to do for all of you. I'm not perfect. I don't see into the future using some magic crystal ball. I use my tools and skills to watch the markets and apply my knowledge to the charts to identify the most likely future outcome. My SPY Cycle pattern predictions seem perfect, showing a top setting up between Oct 29-31, then rolling into a reasonably sharp market decline. Yesterday's Excess Phase Peak pattern in Silver seemed to lead to weakness in the markets while the SPY was attempting to break through the Flag Apex pattern. Combined, this cross-market weakness has translated into a very strong overnight selling event where the SPY is already off more than 0.50% and Gold/Silver are struggling near recent highs. I hope viewers are learning from watching my charts and research. I try to explain things as clearly as I can and show you how to apply these techniques on your own. As I state in this video, you can build better skills. You can improve your abilities to attempt to see into the future (a bit) and learn to apply better trading abilities. You don't have to be tied to failed techniques and indicators the rest of your life. It just takes some patience and a lot of learning. Anyway, I hope you see how my effort are helping you and I will continue to do my best to educate you and help you stay ahead of these market trends. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
Best Level to BUY/HOLD TSLA 100% upside TP 500/550 USD🔸Hello traders, today let's review 8hour chart for TSLA. Entering re-accumulation stage now, expecting range bound trading during next few weeks as we enter pullback/correction. We are closing in on heavy overhead resistace / limited upside currently. 🔸The speculative chart pattern is bullish C*H in progress, expect more range locked price action for a few weeks as we re-accumulate and get ready to clear the overhead resistances. Measured move price projectiong for the C*H structure is 500/550 USD, 100%+ upside from the recommended BUY ZONE. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for TSLA to re-accumulate in the sliding bull flag formation into the liquidity zone and get ready to BUY/HOLD low near 220 USD, target based on measured move projection is 550 USD. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
17
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update For 10-30: ConsolidationWhat an interesting day regarding how the markets reacted to the Flags and APEX setups. My update video was perfect as we saw the market break away from the Flag Apex and trend downward almost all afternoon. With BTCUSD moving into a Flagging formation within a potential Excess Phase Peak pattern near $72, things are about to get interesting. Either we see the breakdown of support in the markets over the next 4-5+ days or we see support hold and the markets rally a bit higher going into the long weekend. It's an either A or B type of scenario right now. I estimate fear and uncertainty drive the markets about 3.5 to 5.5% lower before the election. Buckle up and prepare for real market volatility. By tomorrow's end, make sure you are protected from risk. Beyond that, at this point, it is a wait-and-see type of situation. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
3
2024-10-30 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Many bull trend lines are gone for good. Bears closed at the lows and they desperately need follow through tomorrow. If nq won’t keep the markets afloat tomorrow and drops below 20400, we will likely see a big sell off with 20200 or lower. Dax looks done, clear break of the trend line, swing shorts are juicy here. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Bull trend line is now also broken and once market prints below 5800, this is over until year end rally might try 6000 again. Same logic as dax but market is not as bearish after today. Bears need follow through below 5820 and then 5800, if they get it, buckle up. Bulls obviously want to reverse up like the past 2 weeks and trade above 5900 again. current market cycle: triangle probably broken - entering bigger trading range key levels: 5800 - 5870 bull case: Bulls need to stay above 5830 or we test 5820, followed by 5800. Today’s close does not look good. Before the close I heavily favored the bulls to reverse this again but then we saw couple of sell spikes which erased the previous lows. Market turns neutral again above 5865. Invalidation is below 5800. bear case: Bears need follow through. No surprise. 5800 is the target for tomorrow, once they get it, market is free to fall down to 5730-5740. Interesting day ahead of us. Invalidation is above 5920. short term: Leaning bearish if we stay below 5865. Best chance for bears in a long time. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Selling 5880 and buying 5850 has been profitable for many days now. So it was today.
CME_MINI:MES1!Short
by priceactiontds