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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-30 : GapUp-Higher PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will attempt to GAP higher at the open, then continue to trend upward throughout the day. I go into great detail in this video trying to highlight the setups and constructs of price for my followers. We are moving into a very volatile period for the markets with what I believe will be a low liquidity event taking place throughout the election. My thoughts are that liquidity will dry up later this week and early next week before the election day (we also have a Holiday on Monday). So, if my analysis is correct, we are going to be looking for the US and global markets to clearly illustrate extreme anticipation/fear related to who the US will elect. That should translate into extreme potential market volatility. I urge traders to watch this video (and some of my more recent videos). Now is the time to prepare for this extreme market volatility and to learn to PULL AWAY from risks. There is no reason to be trading like normal throughout this event. By late today or late tomorrow, you should really ask yourself "how much are you willing to risk throughout the election event and long weekend". Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
$LRCX Bottom Fishing After ERNASDAQ:LRCX I bought a half size position on the initial earnings pop and I just brought it up to a full size position. I rarely bottom fish a stock but this one sold off hard into earnings and then beat expectations. It really needs to get up and over the 50 DMA (red) and the DT line to prove it is going to run but I like it here and have my stop just below the earnings gap up which makes for a great risk reward trade. I will not lose much if I am wrong. From @TradingView In the week heading into the first quarter earnings report for its 2025 fiscal year (FY), Lam Research Corp. LRCX stock was down nearly 15%. Furthermore, analysts were lowering their price targets for LRCX stock over concerns of slowing growth that would make it difficult to see the stock outperforming the market. However, the stock is reversing course with a gain of over 4% in early trading the morning after the company’s earnings report. Is this a temporary lift or a sign that Lam Research may be proving its naysayers wrong?
NASDAQ:LRCXLong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 10-29 : Ripper Apex BreakoutThis short video highlights the Apex Volatility breakout in the SPY today and shows the ripper rally in Gold & Bitcoin. If you've been following my research, you already know I called these moves many days ago. If you are new to my videos, this is an excellent way for you to see what I do, learn from my videos, and attempt to see now my research fits into your trading style. My single goal is to make you a better trader - and I hope I'm doing that with all the content I provide. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
Weekly Options: Range Bound and Prepped for Both Up or DownAMEX:SPY AMEX:SPY is currently consolidating between a key support level and long-term trend support, hovering in the $580.90 - $583.60 range. The market's short-sighted focus on upcoming major tech earnings and elections has kept price movement tight. We’re positioned at a crucial point that could either send AMEX:SPY surging to new all-time highs or testing the daily 21 EMA for support. While our bias leans bullish, the downside trade presents a hedge opportunity, especially valuable for tech-heavy portfolios. Our Weekly Options 💡: 📉 $577 PUT 11/6 Entry: Confirmed 15-30 minute close under $580.90 with a retest rejection 🎯: $578, $576, $574.73 📈 $582 CALL 11/6 (Consider Call Debit Spread to lower cost: $584 STO | $582 BTO) Entry: Confirmed 15-30 minute close over $580.90 and trend support 🎯: $582, $583.60 Stay prepared for a potential breakout or breakdown with these setups, and let the chart confirm the direction.
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-29 : Gap Defender PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Gap Defender in Counter Trend mode. Even though I forgot to show you the pattern page in this video, today's video suggests the SPY will attempt to protect and defend yesterday's opening gap price range - possibly attempting to move a bit higher as I predicted. With Bitcoin rallying away from the consolidation range, I see this as a "move to hedge against fear". I believe Gold and Silver could make a strong move higher as this hedging moves across all fear-base hedge assets. Additionally, both presidential candidates support renewed legislation for Bitcoin & Cryptos in the US - so either way I believe the digital currency world is ready for US involvement. Right now, I see the markets as trying to make a "last gasp effort" at a rally into Wednesday. Then, I believe the markets will roll into a broad contraction phase setting up just before the election as liquidity vanishes from the markets. Price volatility should be EXTREME between Nov 1 and Nov 6. Play the next 2 weeks very smart. Otherwise, your lumps could be painful. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
10/28 Confirmed yearly bull flag. Overview : The AMEX:SPY closed the week lower, breaking a six-week winning streak that had started just before the first rate cut. NASDAQ:QQQ managed to stay green, hovering near an all-time high. Last week, the Fed reported 738,000 new home sales and 3.84 million existing home sales. Notably, while existing home sales are declining in a descending triangle pattern, new home sales have been forming an ascending triangle—signaling diverging trends in housing demand. The job market showed resilience, with jobless claims lower than the last two readings, indicating improvement. However, this job strength could complicate rate cuts since the Fed targets stable inflation around 2%. This week brings major data releases: Tuesday’s job openings, Wednesday’s Q3 GDP, and Thursday’s and Friday’s PCE, Core PCE, and the U.S. unemployment rate. Expect a quieter start to the week but brace for potential volatility in the latter half. According to the CME tool, the likelihood of no rate cut has dipped to 1.1%. This rate cut probability has fluctuated widely over the past two weeks, from 13% to 1%, making it crucial to understand how the CME calculates this metric: 1.Market Data: Fed Funds futures prices reflect market expectations for Fed rate changes. 2.Probability Calculation: The tool derives implied rate change probabilities from the difference between current rates and futures prices. 3.Assigning Probabilities: Each possible outcome—rate cut, hike, or no change—is assigned a probability based on the futures data. CME Group holds a key position in financial markets, having formed from the merger of major exchanges: the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), and Commodity Exchange, Inc. (COMEX). This vast network underscores why CME’s Fed tool is a pivotal reference for understanding rate expectations. In the crypto world, ETFs, especially those from BlackRock, have been on a BTC buying spree, significantly outpacing their usual purchase amounts four out of five trading days last week—continuing a pattern that began on October 14. Since then, BTC has climbed from the key level of $62.8k to around $69k, although other institutional players remain less active. This is reminiscent of BlackRock’s February buying spree, which saw BTC rise from $52 k to $61k in just two weeks, with BlackRock averaging $600 million in BTC purchases daily. We’re watching this as a potential signal, though no one’s showing similar interest in ETH ETFs, not even BlackRock, who seems to have stopped DCAing into it. BTC TA : W : The week ended with a small red candle, a relatively calm finish considering BTC is nearing $70k. Could this set us up for a breakout ahead of election results and potential rate cuts? D : Volatility hit hard last week, as anticipated. After a rally to $69k, Friday saw a dip, but big players defended the $66.5k level. Zooming out, BTC’s price rejected the upper bound of a year-long bullish flag, confirming the breakout on October 16 and reducing fake-out risks. However, there are currently no bullish divergences across MACD, RSI, CVD, or OBV. 4h : The recent triple divergence has been cleared, with no new divergences appearing. 1h : Overbought RSI and a shooting star at Monday's open signal a short-term correction, with support at $68.2k and $67.7k. Alts Relative to BTC : ETH remains in a consolidation phase, still far from breaking all-time highs like BTC. SOL has been tracking BTC's moves more closely, while NEAR is close to its yearly low of $3.8. Meanwhile, SUI, APT, and TAO saw 20%-30% corrections last week. Bull Case : We’re breaking out of a year-long bull flag, potentially en route to $100k, with BlackRock leading the charge. Trump appears likely to win, the CME tool shows only a 1% chance of no rate cut, and gold is on the rise. Unless gold crashes, BTC might hold steady. Bear Case : Is this just another bull trap set by market makers? Fear and Greed Index : 54 – Neutral. We may see a shift to greed if BTC breaks above $73k.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by EvgenCapital
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-28 : Top Resistance PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Top Resistance pattern in Countertrend mode. I believe this pattern will represent a moderate early topping price action in the SPY/QQQ - resolving slightly to the downside, then rolling into an upward price trend near the end of the day. The reason I believe this to be the case is because of two factors. A. The Countertrend mode suggests the top will actually be a moderate bottom in price (a pullback resolving as a base/bottom). B. The continued bias for the markets is slightly upward, thus I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to reach new intermediate ATHs before we start to move into the pre-election downtrend. Gold and Silver will struggle today as both appear to be consolidating in a FLAGGING formation. Bitcoin is still consolidating in the Phase #3 sideways consolidation pattern of the Excess Phase Peak pattern. Everything is playing out generally very well aligned to my research and cycle patterns. Last week I warned that market price would likely be very difficult in comparison to my SPY Cycle Patterns and that traders should begin to move to protect capital. This week is the last week you have for any upside opportunities. You need to plan to protect capital (if you plan to) before the pre-election correction. I believe skilled traders will be able to move back into the strongest sectors at a 5.5 to 8.5%+ pullback just after the elections. That is a smart move if you can pull it off. Also, don't hold any Gold/Silver futures contracts through the 2-3+ days around the election day. Volatility will be EXTREME and unless you can take the lumps (margin calls), I don't advise anyone trying to trade metals on November 5-6. If you do, get in and get out QUICKLY. Here we go... Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Combined US Equities Lousy Breakout means BreakdownThe combined US equities chart failed to push significantly and is consolidating. when it does this, it looks like it is rolling over to fall off a cliff. IF we look carefully, besides the weakening technical indicators, there is also weakening price action, with the second or third lower high in the hourly time frame. That said, the decision box needs to be broken out of, and then the critical support (red line). Once these give way, it would be too obvious and there should be a sizeable retracement to the previous support, now being the downside target.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Auguraltrader
Preparing For Pre Election Volatility - Stay Protected From RiskI wanted to highlight what I believe is the most likely 5 to 10+ day price activity and why I believe traders should immediately begin to prepare for extreme price volatility. I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into a very moderate rally phase over the next 2 to 4 days, then peak near Oct 30-31 and shift into a very aggressive downward price trend. That downward trend could evaporate 5.5 to 8.5%++ (possibly even resulting in a 10-14% downward price move in some of the most volatile tech sector stocks/ETFs). Traders really need to understand the risks of holding positions through the election vs. the opportunities of CASHING out of 80-85% of your holdings and attempting to buy back into those same symbols at a 5.5 to 8.5% discount on November 6-8. Think about it. Why take the 6 to 10%+ risk when you don't have to. Again, I'm trying to help you plan and prepare for what I believe is likely to happen. I could be wrong - we'll see. But, even if I'm wrong about some of my expected ranges, you would still be able to buy back into these shares at a reasonable price no matter what happens. Remember, a quick 6 to 10% pullback can provide a very good opportunity for skilled traders. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
FX:SPX500Long
by BradMatheny
#202443 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 : Multiple ways to draw triangles and bull wedges on the daily chart. It has room to go more sideways but Friday’s reversal was so strong an market closed at the lows, that I think many bulls have enough reason to be disappointed and will exit once we break below 5800 and then we will likely see 5750 next. Above 5905 I am wrong and this will likely be the leg to 6000. Quote from last week: comment: Monday made the 50 points higher and that’s all bulls achieve last week. We had two pause bars on the daily chart with Tuesday and Thursday but that was not enough to put doubt in bulls minds that this rally is over. 6000 is the target and, same as dax, we will likely hit it one way or the other. comment: Another disappointing week for the bulls. Big question now is the same as for dax and nq, was this the last before a deeper pullback or can we print 6000 before 5700? I don’t know and I am not going to pretend I do. Market is in breakout mode and the triangle has a bit more room to go. We simply need more price action because right now the market is in balance around 5870. current market cycle: nested bull wedges and a minor triangle from past 2 weeks key levels: 5800 - 6000 bull case: 6000 is the target. Bulls now tried many times to break above 5930 but continue to fail. Same reasoning as for dax. Can the market find more buyers above 5900 next time we get there or do we have to pull back down to 5730 first? Until we see a daily close below 5800, bulls are still favored, since we are only closing above the daily 20ema. Invalidation is below 5800. bear case: Bears are printing weak bear bars and can not close below the daily ema. Pure guesswork as of now, which side will give up first. We will very likely get a bigger move next week, so don’t blow your account until then. If bears move strongly below 5800, 5730 is next and there it’s big decision time if we see 6000 or not. Invalidation is above 6050. outlook last week: short term: Neutral between 5870 - 5930 and bullish above 5930 for 6000. → Last Sunday we traded 5906 and now we are at 5846. Most of the week was neutral, and we closed just 60 points lower than last week. short term: Neutral. Bearish below 5820 for 5800, below 5800 we likely see 5730. Bullish above 5860 for 5880+ and above 5930 we will see 6000. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed wave count
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
Weekly Forex Forecast Oct 28th: S&P500, NASDAQ, & DOW This is the Weekly Forex Forecast for Oct 28 - Nov 1st. The S&P500 and NASDAQ are neutral at the moment, but the trend is bullish. Patience will pay off if we wait for confirmations to bullish orderflow. The DOW is looking weaker than the other two. It is clear the short term profit targets are to the sell side liquidity. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by RT_Money
2
$spx going to 11k over the next 3 to 4 yearsIm expecting the current bull to continue for another few years, with a deep correction in between now and the expected target of 11 k, by 2028/29... From there I expect SP:SPX to enter a sideways bear market such as the ones of 68/75 and 2000/2009 in order to form the 4th base of the secular run since 1929 (shown the comments). Bears always get it wrong, because of their self-delusions about the world and often also themselves! It's bulls who - due to their prescience and foresight - actually get to foresee tops in the market. Bears never catch a top, if they do it's either by coincidence, luck or something a four year old could have seen, like the covid top... anyway... we see so much madness in the ideas section, it's even fun!
SP:SPX
by LotusTrading20
2 Confirmations last week just as we planned, What's next? SPY PRICE HAS BEEN MOVING IN OUR FAVOR ! CHECK MY LAST WEEK ANALISIS, Before we get to the analysis i just want to say... So far, the price has moved in our favor. If you check the results of previous analyses, you’ll see that the price has moved exactly according to my analysis of price action, supported by institutional trading concepts. Each green check mark represents a prediction that was correctly fulfilled according to the analysis from one week ago. My analyses are weekly, carefully prepared every weekend, but note: the study of price movement and the forecasted direction here, is based on my experience as a trader. I DON’T KNOW WHERE THE PRICE IS HEADING! IN FACT, NO ONE DOES! Every price movement and behavior is based on a historical movement of institutional supply and demand. Based on the years I’ve spent studying this concept, I can predict the next price movements. However, it’s crucial to emphasize that trading is ultimately speculation, but if you have really good fundamental study in price action & structure, your margin of error will always be minimal. So This analysis is for you but at the same time for entertainment purposes do not take trades because I'm greedy on any active, please do your own research first and you will have tyour final decision. BACK TO SPY... The price indeed broke out of the channel after we saw it crawling like a worm along the channel support. Indeed, the price began to range after the channel breakout. Looking at the overall structure, the price has been losing strength and volume since last week. I have a feeling we won’t see all-time highs soon, as it’s time for the price to start accumulating or simply making its natural pullback. I'm expecting the next move to either be a pullback that touches my "order block" zone and then starts gaining momentum to recover all that decline, or, in another scenario, if we see enough volume on Monday, it could start fluctuating in a range to accumulate before touching new all-time highs. BUT! The price could reach highs while forming its accumulation range. However, what we’re looking for is a decision from the price to break out of the range and reach new highs along with a new extreme! So be patient; this week will be very interesting to analyze in terms of price behavior. Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE! Best regards
AMEX:SPY
by RocketMike111