YEN BOTTOMING Look for ABC up back to 144/145The us $ yen trade should now be setup to rally But I can allow one more minor low into,786 But we should begin the final rally up into June 9 to the 16th for support in the carry trade and in SP500 into a seasonal cycle peak . As I have posted the long term chart of a massive Head n shoulder TOP in yen trade . Best of trades WAVETIMER
Spy!
Apple losing $3Trillion clubNASDAQ:AAPL lost a fair amount of market share this week.
Coming under pressure from comments by Trump and tarrif news.
Apple seems to be a target for the president despite him answering a call on live TV today using an Iphone...kinda ironic.
Apple could easily chop in this 9% range before it makes a definitive move.
I lean more bullish since we're testing the lows of the trade range.
If Apple holds here it could be forming a right shoulder for a very bul,ish inverse head and shoulder pattern.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update : Memorial Weekend RisksThis EOD update is to help you try to position for the risks associated with a further breakdown in price trends over the lone Memorial Day weekend.
I know this video will be posted late in the day - but I want you to learn how to hedge against risks and try to learn to take your profits when they are THERE.
This is a really quick video.
Stay safe this weekend and thank you to all our VETS for your service and sacrifices.
We honor you this weekend.
GET SOME.
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Repeat of Late Apr-May lows & rallyThe chart shows the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) on a 1-hour timeframe, with a pattern appearing to be repeating itself from late April/May(Liberation day announcements) dip and then boot and rally from trade announcements, all marked by colored lines.
The colored lines (blue, red, purple) highlight a recurring price action setup. Each set of lines seems to mark a sequence of movements:
Blue: Sharp drop, then gap up
Red: Consolidation at a lower higher from gap up, return to high, consolidation back lower at previous lower high
Purple: Breakout & reversal upward.
$DASH Ready to Breakout?NASDAQ:DASH looks like it is getting ready to break out. It is only $11 off, its 52-week high. Recent upgrades increased price targets to $235 and $240.
One could look at the chart pattern and say it is a complex reverse head and shoulders, and today’s bar found support right at the neckline. I have been in this name for about 2 weeks as it recovered the 50 DMA (red). I will be looking to add to my position if it can clearly break above the area of resistance at the horizontal line, around $207.
This is a trade I am already in, and it is my idea. If you like the thought, please make it your trade that fits your trading plan.
$KTOS Looks Ready to Breakout!NASDAQ:KTOS is a small cap stock with the potential for big gains. They are in the Defense and Security sector and could benefit from U.S. military spending. It is also very liquid with over a million shares traded daily.
This stock is sitting near all-time highs here and looks like it is ready to break out. But it could be a double top as well.
I have been in this trade for a few days and added yesterday when it looked to me to reverse the down day. It needs to clear $36.85 - $37.00 to be a clear breakout. Over that level everyone is in the money.
This is my idea and my trade. If you like the idea, please make it your own and honor your trading rules.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 5-23 : Carryover PatternLooking at the charts today, I want to say that it certainly looks like the SPY Cycle Patterns are blending into a consolidated CRUSH/BOTTOM pattern (see the weekend patterns) today and possibly "carrying over" into the early trading next week.
I have been warning of a pending rollover/breakdown in this uptrend for weeks. Today's breakdown seems a bit aggressive, but it is what it is.
If the patterns are consolidating/blending into a bigger breakdown over the Memorial Day weekend, then we could be looking at a very big downward/rotational move in the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin over the next 5+ trading days while Gold/Silver continue to rally.
Silver is lagging Gold right now, but I don't think that lasts. Once Gold gets back above $3400, I believe Silver will start to make a big move higher.
The big question in my mind is - how does this carry into Monday's holiday trading schedule and into Tuesday's OPEN?
I'll have to see how things play out today - but it certainly looks like I'll be adding some SPREADS to potentially catch any big move over this weekend.
GET SOME.
This could play out exceptionally well for skilled traders.
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Tesla (TSLA): Daily uptrend support and potential bull flagHey guys/gals,
Today, I am showing you the daily chart of Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), which provides an idea of where this stock may be heading next.
As you can see, the support trendline from the 21st April low is still well intact. Currently, Tesla is holding this line very well and over the past few days, it's clear that it has also been in consolidation mode. Taking a deeper look, the consolidation period seems to be forming a potential bull flag pattern. Minus the upper wick which could be a price anomaly due to a fake-out, a real actual breakout from the bull flag in combination with a bounce from the support trendline could help Tesla reach $365 as the next resistance point.
On the contrary, and it does depend strongly on what the broader market does next (as Tesla is a high beta stock), its flag pattern may not play out and a break below the support line could send the stock all the way to first support at £325.
This wholly depends on the wider market. On my other posts, I've made it clear that S&P 500 AMEX:SPY is also forming a flag pattern, with many other indices following suit.
Note: Not financial advice.
SPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SPY is trading in an uptrend
And the index made a retest
Of the key horizontal level
Of 579$ from where we are
Already seeing a bullish
Rebound so as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
S&P 500: Consolidating & forming bull flag on support trendlineSo, we all know that the market is taking a breather, and the past week has been mostly flat (kind of). There have been plenty of headlines, some good, some bad. Most notably, the news about the Moody's US credit downgrade. I woke up one morning, took a look at LinkedIn and saw all the CFA-certified investing experts expecting a massive game-changing moment, potentially a market crash.
Except, the market hasn't responded so negatively. In fact, I'd say that while long-term yields have been rising, the market has been doing its own thing .
For instance, taking a look at the daily chart of the S&P 500 paints a different picture of the doom and gloom that I've been hearing ALL weekend and ALL week long. As you can see, the index is currently sitting on the daily support trendline which goes back to the 7th April low.
On that trendline, taking a closer look, it seems the flat price action has been forming a bull flag. It's quite narrow and tight. But it certainly is a fine-looking bull flag. And a break above that would take the S&P 500 even higher.
This would also likely have a positive effect on other indices. Furthermore, it might be worth keeping an eye on the big S&P 500 stocks that are high-beta and like to follow the market.
So, to my point about how the market has been doing its own thing...seems that the Moody's downgrade could have possibly been already priced-in. I could be wrong, of course, as markets are still quite volatile and fragile to any sort of macro and global developments about trade and conflicts around the world.
Thank you for reading.
Note: not financial advice
$SPY – Bearish RSI Divergence + Gap Below = Risky Setup👀 The RSI divergence has been signaling weakness for several sessions — with lower highs on momentum while price made higher highs.
And now, we’re stalling right at a volume shelf (see VRVP) with a big unfilled gap looming just below.
⚠️ Things to watch:
Bearish RSI divergence ✔️
Price breakdown confirmation below $582
Gap fill target = ~$572
VRVP shows thin volume beneath current price
If momentum rolls over from here, this could accelerate fast into that gap zone.
$YOU – Wedging with Confluence of MA’s & AVWAPNYSE:YOU is a name I have “thought” could move higher. It is the Clear System at select airports. They continue to expand to other busy airports, and it is an IPO from 2021, so it has had time to squeeze out pure speculation.
To be sure this type of wedging pattern can resolve either way. It is more of a consolidation type pattern. I like the fact that it is above the shorter-term Moving Averages but is stuck just below the All Time High AVWAP and the 50 DMA which also coincides with the upper downtrend line (DTL) of the wedging pattern.
For me to take a trade it either needs to move up through the AVWAP, the 50 DMA and the DTL, in which case I will go long with a stop under the most recent higher low. If it breaks down, I will consider a short trade.
If you like this idea, make it your own and make sure it fits with your trading plan.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-22 : Inside Breakaway CountertrendToday's Inside Breakaway in Countertrend mode suggests the markets may attempt to move downward - away from the recent highs.
I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into a sideways/consolidation range over the next 3-5+ trading days before attempting to make any big moves. We have a holiday-shortened trading week next week, and I believe the markets are moving into the Summer doldrums.
Overall, I would ask traders to stay cautious of this transition in the markets over the next 5--10+ days and prepare for volatility to increase after June 1st.
You all know what I believe is the most likely outcome - a rollover topping pattern followed by a breakdown in price targeting the 525-535 level on the SPY. We'll see what happens going forward.
Gold and Silver pullback back overnight which suggests the metals markets were a bit overheated to the upside. I still believe Metals will continue to push higher.
BTCUSD is trading up above $111k. Here we go.
BTCUSD is moving up into the potential rejection level that I suggested in my 5-20 video as a MASSIVE WARNING setup.
This is where we'll see how BTCUSD plays out - if we continue to push higher or if we REJECT and move into a broad downtrend.
I didn't expect it to happen only TWO DAYS after my video - but here we are.
Time to get muddy and play what price puts in front of us.
Get some.
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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 22, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 22, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📈 Treasury Yields Surge Amid Weak Bond Auction
U.S. Treasury yields continued their upward trajectory, with the 10-year yield nearing 4.6% and the 30-year yield surpassing 5%, marking the highest levels since early 2023. This increase followed a weak $16 billion auction of 20-year bonds, which attracted less investor demand and sold at higher-than-expected yields. Factors contributing to the rise include fading recession fears, persistent inflation concerns, and growing fiscal worries related to potential tax cut extensions.
📉 Stock Market Declines as Tech Stocks Retreat
The stock market experienced significant losses, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 1.9%, falling below its 200-day moving average. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell 1.6% and 1.4%, respectively.
💼 Snowflake ( NYSE:SNOW ) Reports Strong Earnings
Snowflake Inc. reported record quarterly revenue of $1.04 billion, surpassing expectations. Product revenue increased 26% year-over-year to $996.8 million. The company raised its full-year forecast to $4.325 billion, reflecting a 25% year-over-year increase. Despite a GAAP net loss of $430 million, Snowflake posted an adjusted profit of 24 cents per share, exceeding the 21-cent estimate.
📊 Morgan Stanley Turns Bullish on U.S. Stocks
Morgan Stanley has shifted to a bullish stance on U.S. stocks and bonds, raising its outlook due to signs of market stabilization and improving growth conditions. The bank maintains a base target of 6,500 for the S&P 500 by mid-2026, with a bullish scenario projecting 7,200.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, May 22:
8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims
9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Services PMI for May
10:00 AM ET: Advance Services Report (First Quarter 2025)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for SPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 594.29
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 563.56
My Stop Loss - 611.99
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
This is why I am still Bullish until then The way I have been counting the market since march 23 th 2020 low this was the Bullish count . A diagonal I can come up with a lot of targets . I rather wait till I have 5 up I still think we break just above the BB bands we sure did at the low 4835 = was .786the wave 2 drop on Pct basis and was equal to on points . Best trades Wavetimer!
The Walt Disney Stock Future Goes 'Shining Bright as Never'The Walt Disney Company’s stock (DIS) has demonstrated robust performance following its Q2 2025 earnings release a week ago, with both fundamental and technical indicators reflecting positive momentum.
Here’s a detailed analysis:
Fundamental Perspective
Disney’s Q2 2025 results exceeded expectations, driven by strong execution across its entertainment, streaming, and experiences segments. Key financial highlights include:
Revenue Growth. Revenues rose 7% year-over-year (YoY) to $23.6 billion, surpassing estimates of $23.14 billion.
Profitability Surge. Adjusted EPS jumped 20% YoY to $1.45, beating forecasts of $1.20. Net income swung to $3.3 billion from a $20 million loss in Q2 2024.
Streaming Strength. Disney+ added 1.4 million subscribers (reaching 126 million globally), defying expectations of a decline. Combined Disney+ and Hulu streaming operations generated $336 million in profit, a sevenfold increase from $47 million YoY.
Guidance Upgrade. Disney raised its fiscal 2025 adjusted EPS forecast to $5.75 (up 16% YoY), citing confidence in double-digit operating income growth for entertainment and sports, and 6%-8% growth for experiences.
Growth Drivers:
Entertainment. Segment operating income rose $0.5 billion YoY to $1.3 billion, fueled by streaming profitability and box office success (e.g., Moana 2).
Experiences. Theme parks and consumer products saw higher attendance, guest spending, and cruise demand, though international parks faced headwinds in Shanghai and Hong Kong.
Strategic Initiatives. The upcoming Abu Dhabi theme park and ESPN’s direct-to-consumer launch are expected to drive long-term growth.
Technical Perspective
Disney’s stock firstly reacted positive to the earnings beat, reflecting renewed investor confidence:
Price Action. Shares surged 10-12% post-earnings, hitting an intraday high of $103.31. Over the past month, DIS gained 31%, including a 20% rally in five days.
Valuation. The stock trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 2.1x sales, a premium to industry averages but below its historical norms.
Analyst Sentiment. The average price target stands at $126.50 (14% upside), with a Street-high target of $148 (33% upside).
Technical Indicators:
Momentum. The breakout above key resistance levels (e.g., $100) signals bullish sentiment, supported by high trading volume.
Volatility. Beta of 1.01 aligns with market volatility, while short interest remains low at 1.24% of float.
Risks and Considerations
Macroeconomic Uncertainty. Disney acknowledged potential impacts from tariffs and global economic conditions.
Valuation Premium. While growth prospects justify some premium, prolonged macroeconomic stress could pressure multiples.
Investors challenge
Disney’s Q2 2025 results underscore its ability to execute on streaming monetization, theme park innovation, and content-driven growth.
Fundamentally, raised guidance and streaming profitability signal a turnaround, while technically, the stock’s breakout suggests locally bullish momentum.
Following historical patterns we are Bearishly tuned at this time, with targets to fill the gap at $92.17 per share (left after Earnings report), and drilling all the way below.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
S&P 500 1W forecast until mid June 2025It's in reversal now. Uptrend has finished and downtrend is starting. A fall downto 5105 is on the table. It may last until the middle of June 2025.
This view is also supported by my VIX forecast.
Weekly updates of 1D chart are available through social media links in my profile.