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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 3, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 3, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 U.S. Private Payrolls Surround Weakness The ADP report showed a drop of 33,000 private-sector jobs in June, the first decline in over two years, reflecting businesses holding back hiring amid trade uncertainty. However, layoffs remain low, signaling no acute stress yet 📊 Markets Braced for NFP Caution Markets are wary ahead of this morning’s Non‑Farm Payroll (NFP) release—currently projected at +115,000 jobs and 4.3% unemployment—based on indications of labor-market cooling from weak ADP numbers 💵 Canadian Dollar Strengthens The loonie jumped 0.4% as investors adjust expectations for broader central-bank dovishness, driven by the weak U.S. jobs signals and optimism over a revived U.S.–Canada trade dialogue 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, July 3: 8:30 AM ET – Non‑Farm Payrolls (June): Forecast: +115,000; Previous: +139,000 (May). Watching for signs of sustained job-growth slowdown. 8:30 AM ET – Unemployment Rate: Forecast: 4.3%, up from 4.2% in May. A rise may increase odds of rate cuts. 8:30 AM ET – Average Hourly Earnings (MoM): Forecast: +0.3%; prior: +0.4%. Cooling wages would ease inflation pressures. 8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims: Track week-to-week stability or worsening of labor-market conditions. 9:45 AM ET – Services PMI (June, flash): Monitor for signs of slowing in U.S. service-sector activity. 10:00 AM ET – ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (June, flash): Forecast: 50.8. A reading below 50 suggests contraction in services. ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #jobs #Fed #labor #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Why Price Action Beats News **07/02/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis ** EOD accountability report: +763 Sleep: 4.5 hours Overall health: sleep deprived ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success** — 9:57 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 11:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal :x: **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** You can't trade on news, the only thing that matters in day trading is price action. Bad news can still make the market go up. News The U.S. economy lost 33,000 jobs in June, as per ADP, badly missing forecasts for a gain of 99,000. MICROSOFT TO LAY OFF AS MANY AS 9,000 EMPLOYEES Tesla’s NASDAQ:TSLA Q2 deliveries miss consensus expectations **What are the critical support levels to watch?** --> Above 6250= Bullish, Under 6240= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
$ORCL Beats Earnings – Flat Base Breakout?There is a lot to like about NYSE:ORCL both on the chart and fundamentals. Not only did they beat earnings and now get an upgrade (see below), but the stock has also now formed a flat base after earnings. What that means to me is that buyers have pushed the stock up and there are not enough sellers to bring it back down. I have an alert set at 215.01. If that triggers, I plan to open a full-sized position with a stop just under the most recent low (202.54). That is a 6% risk. Although, if it does not perform well right off the bat, I may close it on whatever day I open if it falls below the day low. All TBD. If you like this idea, please make it your own and follow your trading plan. Remember, it is your money at risk. Oracle rises as Stifel upgrades to 'buy' ** Stifel upgrades stock to "buy" from "hold", citing strong momentum in its Cloud business and disciplined cost management ** Increases PT to $250 from $180, implying an 18.91% upside to stock's last close ** "We believe Oracle is well positioned to accelerate total Application Cloud growth to the low teens range in FY26" - brokerage Oracle Beat Expectations Wednesday, June 11, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET Oracle (ORCL) reported earnings of $1.69 per share on revenue of $15.90 billion for the fiscal fourth quarter ended May 2025. The consensus earnings estimate was $1.64 per share on revenue of $15.54 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $1.66 per share. The company beat expectations by 1.81% while revenue grew 11.31% on a year-over-year basis.
NYSE:ORCLLong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-1 : Post Market UpdateToday was a very powerful day for the Cycle Patterns - particularly for Gold and BTCUSD. Gold rallied as the Cycle Pattern predicted a RALLY in TREND mode. BTCUSD collapsed on a CRUSH Cycle Pattern. The SPY Cycle Pattern predicted a Gap Reversal pattern. We did see the Gap today and a moderate reversal in price. But the SPY, as usual, continued to try to melt upward. I highlighted a very interesting TWINNING pattern in Bitcoin in this video. Pay attention. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
SPY S&P 500 ETF Potential W-Shaped Recovery Forming We may be witnessing the formation of a W-shaped recovery on the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – a classic double-bottom structure that often signals a strong reversal after a period of correction or volatility. Let’s dive into the technicals and what this could mean in the sessions ahead. 🔍 The Technical Setup: SPY recently tested key support around the $485-$500 zone, bouncing off that area twice in the past few weeks. This gives us the left leg of the W and the first bottom. After a modest relief rally to ~$520, we saw another pullback – but this second dip failed to break below the first bottom, a hallmark of the W-pattern. As of today, SPY is starting to reclaim ground toward the $517-$520 resistance zone. If bulls can push through this neckline area, especially with volume confirmation, we could see a breakout that targets the $530-$535 area in the short term. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: Support: $490-$500 (double-bottom support zone) Neckline/Resistance: $530 Breakout Target: $550 (previous highs) Invalidation: A break below $490 with volume could invalidate the W-recovery idea and shift bias bearish. 📊 Momentum & Volume: RSI is climbing back above the 50 level – bullish momentum building. MACD shows a potential crossover forming, hinting at a shift in trend. Watch for increasing buy volume as SPY approaches the neckline – that’s where the bulls will need to step up. 🧠 Macro & Earnings Angle: Don’t forget – we’re entering a heavy earnings season and rate cut expectations are still a wildcard. A dovish tone from the Fed and strong corporate results could be the fuel that sends SPY higher to complete this W-shaped recovery. 🧭 Final Thoughts: This is a high-probability setup if neckline resistance is broken cleanly. Wait for confirmation before going heavy – fakeouts are common in double-bottom scenarios. If we do get the breakout, we may be looking at a broader market rebound going into summer. 🔔 Set alerts near $525. A confirmed breakout could mean the bulls are back in charge.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TopgOptions
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 1, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 1, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📊 Core Inflation Edges Higher May’s core inflation rose unexpectedly to 2.7% year-over-year, up from 2.6%, casting uncertainty over the Fed’s timeline for rate cuts. While headline CPI sits at 2.3%, the resilience in underlying prices complicates policymakers’ projections for later this year 💵 Weak Dollar, Rising Rate-Cut Bets Markets are reacting to “summertime data”—like the core CPI uptick—with renewed optimism. Traders now see up to 75 bps in Fed rate cuts later this year, while the dollar remains near 3½-year lows on concerns about Powell’s independence and trade developments 🇨🇦 U.S.–Canada Trade Talks Resume Trade talks between the U.S. and Canada restarted today, following Ottawa’s suspension of its digital-services tax. Progress toward a broader agreement could reduce tariff risk and offer further relief to risk assets 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Tuesday, July 1: All Day – U.S.–Canada Trade Talks Markets will watch for updates on tariff resolution and broader trade deals. Any breakthrough could notably boost equities and improve trade sentiment. 10:00 AM ET – ISM Manufacturing PMI (June) A below-50 reading again would reinforce the narrative of industrial weakness. A rebound could support equities and temper recession concerns 10:00 AM ET – JOLTS Job Openings (May) Still at elevated levels (~7.39 million in April), this metric assesses labor-market resilience. A decline could shift rate-cut expectations. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before investing. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
06/30/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +212 Sleep: 7 hours Overall health: Good, caught up on workout and sleep over the weekend. ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 2/4 success** — 12:20 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal :x: — 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!:check: — 1:55 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal :x: — 2:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** The X1 Signals today has been happening after market structure signals and usally that means MM is going to change the direction to the opposite way to scam us. Based on that, I decided to lock out my account after making $200 today so i don't get caught in the scam. News EU TO ACCEPT TRUMP’S UNIVERSAL TARIFF BUT SEEKS KEY EXEMPTIONS — 2:07 PM What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6240= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
$AAPL In ConsolidationNASDAQ:AAPL is consolidating here in a wedging pattern. I do not know which way this will resolve. But, since I rarely if ever short, I am looking on the long side of a trade. The thing I like about a consolidation pattern like this is, you know when you are wrong very quickly. My plan is to take a ¼ size long position if / when it moves above the 50 DMA (red) with a stop just below the most recent low (which would also correspond to dropping below the lower wedging trendline. Then if it can break out over the upper downtrend line, I will look to build out my position. I thought this would be a good one to put on your watchlist. If you like the idea, please make it your own so that it fits within your trading plan.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by jaxdog
1
SPY Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on SPY and concluded the following: The market is trading on 614.85 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 586.37 Safe Stop Loss - 631.68 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
3
06/27/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis 06/27/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +915 Sleep: 6 hours Overall health: edgy from sleep ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 3/4 success** 9:37 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal :check: 9:55 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: 10:31 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double sell) iffy 1:43 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** Early on in the market, I noticed that there was heavy manipulate by the MM with violent buy and sell. This somewhat warns that today's market could be tough to trade and you have to be very patient. News PRES TRUMP: ENDING ALL TRADE TALKS WITH CANADA; WILL TELL CANADA ITS TARIFF LEVEL IN COMING DAYS - around 1 :40pm est What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6200= Bullish, Under 6185= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
Beating the S&P 500 with TradingView's Stock ScreenerThis is Mo from MWRIGHT TRADING. The date is Friday, June 27th, 2025. This video is about selecting stocks that collectively have the potential to consistently beat the S&P 500 I look for smooth and consistent long-, mid-, and short-term performance. For that we need Building a Screener What I look for - Liquidity - that means money, or trading volume. - Room to move - no overhead resistance - Favorable trends - stable moving averages - Good short term signals - a good intraday chart Filters - Market Cap 300M to 2B Not too big, and not too small - Perf 10Y > Perf 5Y No long term dips in performance - Perf 5Y > Perf 1Y No short term dips in performance - SMA(300) < Price Price above moving average - SMA(200) < Price Price above moving average - Avg Volume 10D > 100K No lightly traded stocks. Liquidity needed - + SMA(200) >= SMA(300) Stacked long-term SMAs - + SMA(50 >= SMA(200) Stacked short-term SMAs - + ROE, Trailing 12 Months > 0% (Chris Mayer) Improving ROE Examples - SENEA - DGII Review the charts - Verify short term performance - Multi-VWAP (1 hr Chart) - Free Indicator - Above a rising 5-Day AVWAP - Magic Order Blocks (5 min Chart) - Free Indicator - No major overhead resistance - Verify fundamentals and long term performance - ROE (Quarterly) - TV Indicator - Rising ROE - Float Shares Outstanding - TV Indicator - Lower float means lower supply. When high demand occurs, this can act as a price catalyst. - Multi VWAP from Gaps - Free Indicator - Stacked is good - 3 SMA Ladies - Custom Indicator - Stacked is good
NASDAQ:SENEA
by mwrightinc
9
Nasdaq Hits New ATH at $22,570 – Eyes Now on $23,200 and $24,000By analyzing the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the index followed our previous analysis perfectly, hitting the $22,400 target and printing a new all-time high at $22,570! Momentum remains strong and bullish, and we expect price to continue climbing toward the next targets. Based on the original projection, upcoming targets are $23,200 and $24,000. Stay tuned for the next update! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
IG:NASDAQLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
4
June 27th, 2025 - Morning BriefFriday, June 27, 2025. Markets are on the edge, and if you thought summer would bring calm, think again. Today’s script is pure adrenaline. Overnight, the U.S. and China finally inked a trade deal that actually matters: tariffs are coming down, and rare earths are flowing again. Tech and manufacturing stocks are already celebrating, with SP:SPX and CME_MINI:NQ1! futures inching toward fresh record highs. NASDAQ:NVDA is still the market’s favorite lottery ticket, hitting another all-time high. Meanwhile, NYSE:NKE just spiked 10% premarket after beating earnings. Never mind the $1 billion tariff punch, they’ll “manage it.” Sure. But the real show is the May PCE inflation data dropping this morning. The Fed’s favorite gauge is expected to tick up to 2.3% year-over-year, with core PCE at 2.6%. If the numbers surprise, brace for whiplash in rates and risk assets. GDP’s third estimate confirmed a -0.5% contraction in Q1, so the “soft landing” crowd is sweating. Jobless claims and new home sales hit at 10:00 AM ET. Expect every algo on the Street to be watching. Trump is making noise about firing Powell before 2026, which has traders betting on earlier rate cuts. If you’re looking for stability, you’re in the wrong casino. Here’s where things stand: - OANDA:XAUUSD : $3,280–$3,334/oz (slipping as risk appetite returns) - BLACKBULL:WTI : $65.64–$65.82/barrel (steady, but one headline away from chaos) - BINANCE:BTCUSDT : $107,215–$107,477 (down, but still a six-figure fever dream) - CME_MINI:ES1! : Hovering just below the 6,144 record Today’s takeaway: The market’s running on hope, caffeine, and denial. Stay sharp, one bad print and the rally could turn into a stampede for the exits. Welcome to the volatility vortex. Been building something for US swing traders — if you’re one, I’d really appreciate your feedback. Free to test, link in Bio
AMEX:SPY
by SmartApingAI
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 27, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 27, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 Global Markets Bet on Dovish Fed Pivot Markets are pricing in more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts—approximately 125 bps by end-2026—due to speculation that President Trump may replace Chair Powell with a dovish successor. Investors caution excessive political influence could jeopardize Fed independence 🏦 Fed Governor Warns of Tariff Risks Fed’s Michael Barr emphasized that tariffs could trigger inflation and unemployment, reinforcing the Fed’s wait‑and‑see approach. Expect modest rate cuts later this year, contingent on economic signals 📉 Q1 GDP Revised Sharply Lower First-quarter U.S. GDP was downgraded to an annualized contraction of 0.5%, a deeper fall than previously reported. The revision underscores drag from weak consumer spending and trade disruptions 📃 Trade Deficit Widens in May U.S. goods trade deficit expanded 11% to $96.6 billion, driven by a $9.7 billion drop in exports. Trade gap dynamics remain a headwind for growth projections 🐘 JPMorgan Sees Stagflation Risks JPMorgan revised its U.S. GDP growth forecast down to 1.3%, warning that tariff-related “stagflationary impulse” is complicating growth and inflation outlooks—and making recession risks more real 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 27: 8:30 AM ET – U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment – June (Prelim.) Expected to reflect growing economic caution. The index fell in May; traders will watch for further weakness. 10:00 AM ET – Fed Stress Test Results Fed to release annual bank stress-test outcomes. Strong results support financial stability, while weak spots could unsettle markets ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #inflation #macro #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
06/26/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis 06/26/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +731.25 Sleep: 5 hours Overall health: meh ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 3/3 success** — 9:38 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3 — 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 11:27 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? today was another interesting day, i am noticing that when market structure changes 2x in the same direction, it is usally pretty effective and scammy at the same time News *NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA SHARES HIT A NEW HIGH TO RECLAIM WORLD'S LARGEST STOCK TITLE - market is being carried by the momentum of mag 7 What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6175 = Bullish, Under 6155= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007