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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12/30 : GAP ReversalThis week should resolve as a Momentum Rally in the SPY/QQQ. Yet, I believe price action will be very volatile as we are still transitioning through the holidays. Overall, I expect the SPY/QQQ to attempt to mount a fairly solid rally this week - possibly attempting to reach new All-Time highs again. Then, I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into an extended topping pattern over the next 2+ weeks - resulting in a breakdown trend after the Inauguration. Gold and Silver appear to be trying to base/bottom and we may see a decent rally in metals this week. I hope so because I don't believe Metals should be this low compared to the risk factors throughout the global markets. Bitcoin is transitioning through an EPP pattern Flag breakdown event. If this continues, I suspect we'll see a downward price move targeting $74k before the end of January 2025. Remember, my Daily/Weekly Cycle Patterns are designed to help us plan and prepare for market opportunities. No, they are not 100% perfect all the time. But I don't know of anything else that can attempt to accurately identify price trends, setups, events weeks and months into the future. 2025 is going to be a great year for traders. Remember, it is all about what you can do with the information I share to profit from these moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2025 STOCK MARKET PREVIEW – It's a BEAST!2025 Stock Market Preview – It's a BEAST! You are going to want to watch this video as it's JAM packed with great information for the new year! It may be long but aren't you trying to learn and become a better investor or trader?! Get ready for 1 HOUR of action-packed, game-changing insights: -Economic data -Technical analysis on NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM -My 2025 predictions -How to prep for the next stock market crash -How I'll be monitoring the markets What do you think will happen in 2025? Share your thoughts in the comments below! You won't find this much FREE CONTENT anywhere else! Let's dive in!
ECONOMICS:USINTRLong
by RonnieV29
20
12/30 Watchlist + NotesAMEX:SPY - Short week from Xmas leaves us with an inside weekly setup to start the new year. The way 2-1-X and 3-1-X setups (Inside bar setups) work, is they either confirm what happened previously, or negate it. In this specific scenario on the weekly, we have a large red week of selling (2D, followed by a pretty neutral inside week (1). Next week either goes 2D, confirming the selling from the previous week and therefore showing evidence of continuation lower, or we negate that selling by making a higher high (2U) and looking to reclaim the highs from the big red week from when FOMC occurred. We can't predict which way the next week will go, but we can at the very least imagine what has to occur for both bull and bear scenarios to be successful. Simply put, above last weeks high means we are targeting the weekly high from the week prior to last week. Below last weeks low means we are targeting the weekly low from the week prior to last week. Break either side and come back into last weeks range means we are failing to confirm/negate what the signal is indicating, and then we target the other side. EX: Monday pokes above last weeks high but closes red. We then would look to engulf the week and create a 1-3 combo on the weekly. This week should be similar to last week, meaning it may be tougher to trade since we have a few negative considerations and less ideal conditions to trade. Considerations for the upcoming week: For starters, we have another short week with new years day on Wednesday being a full day closure for the markets. Short week means less time for weekly candles to form, and therefore, likely chance of less volume to occur compared to normal weeks. Secondly, its the new year! This means we see all new candles on every timeframe up to the yearly chart. So, new Year, Quarter, Month, Week, Day, Hour, etc. Because of this, we will see issues with decoupling. This means the Year, Quarter, and Month will all be the same exact candle until we get to the second month and quarter of the year. Because the week starts in 2024 and ends in 2025, the week will be decoupled, but the M, Q and Y will not. Again, not the biggest issues ever, but just considerations to have in mind. Weekly Watchlist: (Side Note: I have added all of my charts for individual tickers mentioned for further clarity on what I am seeing with these setups) Bullish: NASDAQ:MRVL - 3-1-2U W to confirm bright green M, Y NASDAQ:AVGO - 2-1-2U W to confirm FTFC Up. Relative strength. 4HR 2-1-2U and 1HR 3-2U for Intraday entries Monday Bearish: NASDAQ:SMCI - Shooter 2U W to confirm failed 2U month. Super nice Daily BF NYSE:AI - 2-1-2D W to trigger Shooter failed 2U M. Gorgeous monthly Broadening Formation. NASDAQ:MSTR - 3-1-2D W. BTC with a weak setup on the major TFs. Looking to capitalize through MSTR and other names in that space NYSE:BRK.B - Shooter 3 D. Weekly 2-2U too weak to hit magnitude last week. Month is 3-1 but big red currently. May be early on this but with similar setups in the Financial industry, this is one I want to watch. NASDAQ:AMD - Hammer revstrat D to trigger Weekly 2-1-2U at Monthly Exhaustion level. Yearly has a nasty bearish revstrat setup forming, but if we are just daytrading this, it looks good for an exhaustion play intraweek. Otherwise will be watching all next year for that Y revstrat to play out Neutral: NYSE:SHOP - 3-1 W. Month Failing 2U. NASDAQ:NVDA : Currently Shooter 2U W. Normally this is just bearish, but the 2W chart can go hammer 1-2-2U, and M is 2D but close to open meaning it is failing that downside signal. I could see this going either way, but its such an interesting setup that I wanted to include it.
AMEX:SPY
by Alanger17
ES Weekly Trading Plan: Balancing Market Strategy 12/29 🚨Trading Plan: Balancing Market Strategy with Failure Scenarios 🚨 Market Context The market is currently in a balancing phase, with defined extremes of the balance zone at 6164 (high) and 5898 (low). Our approach will focus on trading around the midpoint and targeting key levels, while remaining aware of potential failure scenarios where the market tests beyond the extremes but fails to sustain momentum. Key Levels Balance Zone High: 6164 Balance Zone Low: 5898 Midpoint (Pivot): 6031 🎯 Upside Targets: 6072 6108 6144 📉 Downside Targets: 5999 5964 5928 🧑‍💼 Strategy Overview Objective: Trade within the balancing market, utilizing the midpoint as a pivot for directional bias, while also preparing for failure scenarios at the balance zone extremes. Risk Management: Place stops just outside the balance zone extremes to avoid being caught in a breakout trap. Execution Plan: Follow a systematic entry and exit plan based on price action near key levels, with heightened focus on failure scenarios at the extremes. Trade Execution Plan Pivot Zone: 6031 If price holds above 6031: Look for long opportunities targeting upside levels. If price breaks and holds below 6031: Look for short opportunities targeting downside levels. Upside Trade Setup: Entry: Enter long positions near 6031 on confirmation of support (e.g., strong buying momentum, bullish candlestick patterns). Targets: 6072 → 6108 → 6144 → Stop Loss: Place stops just below 5999 to protect capital. Downside Trade Setup: Entry: Enter short positions near 6031 on confirmation of resistance (e.g., strong selling momentum, bearish candlestick patterns). Targets: 5999 → 5964 → 5928 → Stop Loss: Place stops just above 6072 to protect capital. ⚡ Failure Scenarios Looking Above 6164 and Failing: Scenario: The market breaches 6164, signaling potential breakout buyers, but quickly reverses and re-enters the balance zone. Trade Opportunity: Short the market on confirmation of failure (e.g., rejection candlesticks, increasing sell volume). Targets: 6144 → 6108 → 6072 → Midpoint (6031). Stop Loss: Place stops just above 6164 to avoid prolonged breakout risk. Looking Below 5898 and Failing: Scenario: The market breaches 5898, signaling potential breakout sellers, but quickly reverses and re-enters the balance zone. Trade Opportunity: Long the market on confirmation of failure (e.g., rejection candlesticks, increasing buy volume). Targets: 5928 → 5964 → 5999 → Midpoint (6031). Stop Loss: Place stops just below 5898 to avoid prolonged breakout risk. Fake Breakout from Midpoint (6031): Scenario: The market shows a directional breakout from 6031 but fails to sustain momentum, reversing back into balance. Trade Opportunity: Trade in the direction of the failed breakout, targeting the opposite side of the balance zone. Stop Loss: Place stops just outside the failed breakout level. 💡 Risk Management Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of account balance per trade. Use tight stops to minimize loss in failure scenarios. Break-Even Adjustments: Move stops to break-even once the first target is hit. 📈 Trade Monitoring Order Flow Analysis: Continuously monitor volume and order flow near extremes and the midpoint for signs of breakout or failure. Market Context Update: Adapt the plan if the market establishes a new range or breaks out of balance. 💰 Exit Plan Take profits incrementally at each target. Exit immediately if the market signals sustained breakout momentum beyond the balance zone extremes. 🔔 Stay disciplined and adapt to the price action! #BalanceZone #MarketStrategy #RiskManagement #SPX
CME_MINI:ES1!
by dhjesus
es1! retests 5kes1! appears poised for a larger move down, based on the smaller timeframe count . this leads me to believe that es1! has entered a larger fourth wave. historically, these waves take an average of 2 months to play out and typically result in a 12% decrease from the high before completing. wave 4's often retrace back into the territory of the prior degree's wave 4, and i expect this one to follow suit. pay attention to the green trendline i've drawn on the chart,,, it serves as a solid guide for where i anticipate es1! to find a bottom. dipping below the trendline is acceptable, provided we don't see any weekly candle closes beneath it. even if a weekly candle does close below, a strong recovery the following week, such as a gap-up scenario , could invalidate the breakdown. there’s not much else to add here, as the chart is fairly straightforward. keep an eye on the trendline and monitor weekly closes for confirmation. 💸
CME_MINI:ES1!
by notoriousbids
SPX Head & Shoulders Top on Daily... Watching for $5600 to $5200Hi Traders, SPX is showing signs of a potentially bearish formation—a head and shoulders top. Historically, this pattern has signaled increased downside risk for equity markets. As the price draws closer to the neckline, a break below could take us to the next major support level around 5,600. This will be a crucial zone to for traders and investors to monitor closely. Market conditions could sour quickly and an accelerated drop should cause traders to act cautiously over the next couple of weeks. Good luck out there. Mark
SP:SPXShort
by MarkStPeter
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-27-24: Momentum Rally PatternThe last Friday of the year (2024) should show up as a moderate Momentum Rally in the SPY/QQQ - possibly seeing the SPY target 603 or higher by the end of the day. Gold and Silver are consolidating into a FLAGGING formation. Bitcoin is trapped in a consolidation range (right shoulder) pattern that should break downward over the next 5+ days. This is the time to position your trades for the beginning of 2025 and prepare for moderate volatility as the markets struggle for direction. The Momentum Rally pattern, today, should present a very clean opportunity for skilled day traders. I believe a deeper low is likely to setup between January 15 and January 25, 2025. So, be prepared for another roll to the downside after we get past the New Year. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
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