NVDA Earnings - Must Watch EarningsNVDA Earnings Wednesday after market
This is crazy that 1 stock may be the pain or gain for the markets in 2025
Glass Half Full
-NVDA is a revenue monster
-Earnings trend continues to point higher
-Demand for chips remains high (minus DeepSeek scare and uncertainty)
-19% weight on SMH
-7% weight on SPY
-8% weight on QQQ
-NVDA bullish can single handedly lift the markets and renew optimism and risk appetite
Glass Half Empty
-NVDA is overvalued
-NVDA hasn't hit all-time highs since Nov 2024 (with fakeout in Jan 2025)
-NVDA's reign is over and competition is heating up in the chips space and AI arms race
-NVDA bearish can be the wave of risk off that confirms current market concerns and fears
It's a big deal - plan and trade accordingly. Thanks for watching!!!
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
US $ YEN BOTTOMING NOW SHARP RALLY BULLISH FOR SPY QQQThe chart is my work in the US/YEN I have NOT ALTER the Wave structure . We will now see a BOTTOM on the short term here or a minor new low .From here we should see a rather nice RALLY up in an ABC to .382 /.50% of this decline .This is friendly for the SPY and QQQ . BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER
Markets have Bottomed - Here's WHY!I believe Markets have Bottomed - Here's WHY! NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM CBOE:MAGS TVC:VIX
In this video, I will go over what I believe is going on in the markets and where we will go next from here.
Doing all this while looking at all the probabilities and what they are telling us.
Not financial advice
SP 500 roadmap for the next few days The chart posted is the cash sp 500 based on lots and the Math we should hold the 6009 area if this is correct and then drop into some bad news in a 3 wave drop to .786 or a minor new low at 5886 Not sure yet .I am back in Cash 100 % just relaxing and watching the MATH best of trades the WAVETIMER
SPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
SPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 609.70 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 600.34
Recommended Stop Loss - 615.13
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26-25 : Rally In Counter TrendToday's Rally in counter-trend mode aligns with the current breakdown as a strong possibility of a Rally (Upward) type of trend.
After yesterday's deep low and moderate recovery near the end of the day, I suspect the SPY is setting up another Excess Phase Peak base - transitioning into the upward Flagging formation.
Because of this, I suspect today's Rally pattern will result in a moderate Melt-Up type of price action in the SPY/QQQ.
It may also prompt metals to rally off yesterday's lows as the Panic selling mode ends.
BTCUSD I still seeking a new low and trying to find the consolidation phase. I believe BTCUSD could fall further before finding support.
This is going to be a very interesting ROLL of price related to the SPY/QQQ, Gold and Silver, while Bitcoin continues to try to identify lower support.
Almost like a "disconnect" is taking place.
Ultimately, I think we'll see a peak between March 5-12 in the SPY/QQQ - rolling downward into the March 21-24 Major Bottom.
Get some today.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPX Final Blow Off TopSPX going through it's final peak euphoria wave before the final blow off top in my opinion. Recession is coming as indicators such as Sahm Rule, Inverted Yield Curve are predicting a recession. The FED is blindsided by a dead cat bounce in inflation and will find themselves in a position to cut rates insanely fast.
$SPY $SPX Pullback to Gap Fill? I've been waiting for a rocket to AMEX:SPY $630 but my monthly tells me that February wants to close red. Here is my daily with a fib that we cant seem to hold above although today we did close above once I have been waiting patiently in this box unlike others, I have constantly reiterated, don't try to be a hero inside of the box. Now that the Box seems to be pushing towards the upside, I can't help but notice we continue printing bearish candles regardless of direction. Today we closed with a Hangman, which begs the question, could we perhaps lean bearish for two of the most bearish weeks of the year in comparison? I'd like to think I'm not wrong here and we will get a spill before anyone gets an expected blow off top. Be careful out there, volatility remains present and the VIX was above the 50DMA last time I checked. If we can get this gap fill and start moving back up, I will be confident in the gap fill being bottom. Seeing as $593 AMEX:SPY alert for bottom never filled, I will have to assume it's still a possibility. Taz out.
Combined US Indexes - Incoming Break or Bounce ?From the previously marked timeline on 18 Feb 2025, just days later, you see the combined US Indexes plummet to cut through the middle decision box (purple), and extrude out below. This formed the double top second peak in essence, and the days following just closed at a two month low.
While this might appear Bearish, it is worth noting the lower tails in previous candles which are followed by rallies to the upper resistance. Would this happen the third time?
I would beg to differ...
In fact, marked out is a critical support point which should be tested in early March. At that point (yellow ellipse), there is a confluence of a previous trend change support, the current TDST and just below that the larger consolidation range support.
While the RoVD is slightly bullish, the MACD is dipping with MACD in bearish lower half, and the signal line tapering down towards the boundary into bear territory.
In summary, it looks slightly bearish to the critical support point. From there, it would be good to see if it bounces or it breaks down.
S&P500 How Expensive Is It?The Average Wage Earner Needs To Work166.5 Hours To Buy One Share Of The S&P500
If this chart does not drive the point home. Nothing will.
Sometimes simple common sense is more powerful than all the fancy analysis one can buy or think of to create.
Price is what you pay, and value is what you get! Remember that my friends.
DANGER IS SCREAMING AT YOU!
$TSLA testing new lows, Downside not complet yetAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. In this blog space we already propagated the idea that there is some more downside until the reaches the 200 Day SMA. We see that NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 20 Day, 50 Day and 100 Day SMA and the next stops are the 200-Day @ 276 $.
But if we look at the Fib Retracement then the levels @ 0.618 with price 273 $ and the Fib level @ 0.786 with a price 215 $ are the key support level. If it reverts back to the 0.786 Fib level then it will loose all its election related gains.
But in contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are consolidating and not breaking down as $TSLY. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks.
Long AMEX:TSLY between 250 $ and 200 $.
UP UP N AWAY TODAY LOW is 5 waves down for C or 1The chart is the spy The wave structure is a very clear 5 waves down to end wave 1 of the BULLISH Count wave C for WAVE B Low BOTH are Bullish Understand NOW . Best of trades WAVETIMER I am 70% long from 5969 and down at 5945 and added at 5908 enjoy the LONGS IF NOT Miss out
SPY Weekly Chart! I think downtrend has startedFrom a weekly chart perspective, I think we are going to start bear market pretty soon. Volume has been the lowest and I also see TTM squeeze in the weekly which was last seen in the pandemic era. I really think that investors should sell or cover their open positions.
SPY Weekly Chart! I think downtrend has startedFrom a weekly chart perspective, I think we are going to start bear market pretty soon. Volume has been the lowest and I also see TTM squeeze in the weekly which was last seen in the pandemic era. I really think that investors should sell or cover their open positions.
VIX daily - opex weekend at 28th FebWe are heading into an OPEX this 28th of Feb.
Volatility is running and seems like fear is all over.
Crypto is crashing and people are talking about fear and losing everything....
Well, the big whales are buying the dip and Eric Trump just tweeted about buying the dips.
For having a bottom process, it is essential to see the TVC:VIX hit that 23-25 area while its #RSI should be around 70 on the Daily chart.
In that way, we are more likely to have the bottom area and see the market turn and hard.
The US10Y is now at 4.3% which is going down and pushes the NASDAQ:TLT to higher prices.
I lean to the local bottom around 580-585 in the AMEX:SPY with a nice capitulation move that seems to be coming exactly with the OPEX and with liquidity issues in the entire market and in crypto.
I am looking to buy the dip and keep adding to my long positions in crypto.
CRYPTOCAP:AVAX CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:BTC $PAAL $DSYNC $AINTI AMEX:NHC LSE:ALU MYX:ASTRA $XBG and much more.
SPY support & resistant areas for today Feb 25, 2025AMEX:SPY So these are the support and resistant points for TSLA. Bounce off on these areas can initiate long or short positions.
If yall want me to post this every morning 9.30am please boost and follow me, so i know it is valuable for yall. Thank you
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-25-25: Rally PatternToday's Rally pattern will likely prompt a fairly strong recovery (upward) price move in the SPY before the markets turn/rollover and head lower again after reaching a top.
I see this move paired with the Metals cycle patterns, which suggest metals will move downward. I believe this will be the result of stronger USD price levels, which will translate into an initial SPY rally phase (driving the price higher) and then rolling over into more selling.
Ultimately, I believe the lows on Wednesday or Thursday will be the immediate base/bottom for this breakdown phase (near 587-593).
I'm not getting overly aggressive related to today's RALLY pattern.
I don't believe the markets have the momentum to rally very hard today and I believe we'll see a ROLLOVER type of move today - resulting in more downward selling.
BTCUSD is usually tied to the QQQ/NQ related to price action and the breakdown of BTCUSD may put additional pressure on the QQQ/NQ today.
So, get ready for a pretty volatile day. My estimate is price will ROLL DOWNWARD after a moderately strong open. Then, get ready for some volatility.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.25.2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for 2.25.2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs on Canada and Mexico 📈: President Donald Trump has confirmed that tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will proceed on March 4, 2025. This decision may impact trade relations and market dynamics.
🇰🇷💰 Bank of Korea Rate Cut 💰: The Bank of Korea is expected to reduce its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% on February 25, aiming to support economic growth amid recent slowdowns.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Tuesday, Feb 25:
🏠 S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET) 🏠: Provides data on home prices across 20 major U.S. cities, offering insights into the housing market trends.
📈 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 📈: Measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions. Analysts forecast a slight dip in February to 102.1 from January's 104.1, indicating potential shifts in consumer behavior.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
$SPY Bull & Bear Options to End FebruaryThe AMEX:SPY is at a crossroads as we close out February. We’ve had hotter-than expected inflation, talks of tariffs, promises of deregulation, China’s stimulus rollout, and Wall Street’s continuing “soft landing” narrative. This is a time to be cautious. Friday’s PCE inflation data could sway the Fed’s March rate decision. Midterm elections and tax cut debates are heating up. Regardless of the noise, the levels show us the way.
We are trading in the range of $591 to $600. For this week, we will be using support over $597 as the entry for calls and a rejection under $600 for puts.
Here are this week’s AMEX:SPY options:
(15-30 minute candles for confirmation and stop-loss)
📜 $595 PUT 3/10 or $591 3/11 (Cheaper, but higher risk)
Entry: Retest & rejection under $600
Target 🎯 : $595, $591.50, (Continuation: $587, $585)
📜 $603 CALL 3/11
Entry: Breakout & retest over $597.70
Target 🎯: $601, $603, $603.44, (Continuation: $606, $608)
HIGH TIMEFRAME FVG STRIKES AGAINThey say look to the left right? Here we can clearly see the benefits of plotting previous level FVG's on higher timeframes, as well as basic daily liquidity. When plotting like this, it helps in contract selection. As options traders we're looking to make the most out of the market right? Whats sexier than a contract going from like .10 to $200!? By plotting liquidity and FVG's, we are aided in contract selection and it takes a lot of the hoping and wishing out of the trade. Are we sweeping liquidity or not? Are we on track to reach a higher timeframe FVG or not? Make sure you have your contract levels planned prior to market open so you can take advantage of these life changing moves!
My ideal entries. This doesn't always happen but its nice when it does!
- Break of 30m PMKT ORB (initial entry)
- Break of 15m ORB (add)
- Break of 30M ORB (add)
- Break of FVG (SELL!!!)
Just look to the left! Draw the lines, draw the boxes. and don't panic, you got this!
The blue shaded box at the bottom is a previous FVG plotted from the 6HR timeframe
S&P500 Index Goes 'Floundering', ahead of Bearish HarvestWhile the S&P 500 is generally expected to perform well in 2025, with forecasts suggesting gains ranging from 9% to 14.7% depending on the source, there are several factors that could lead to a less favorable performance or even a decline:
High Valuations: The S&P 500 is currently trading at high valuations, with a P/E multiple of 22 times projected earnings, which is above historical averages. This elevated valuation increases the risk of market downturns if there are negative economic shocks.
Economic Uncertainties: The economic landscape is filled with uncertainties, including potential inflation increases and geopolitical tensions. These factors can impact investor confidence and lead to market volatility.
Interest Rates and Bond Yields: Higher bond yields can reduce the attractiveness of stocks compared to bonds, potentially leading to a decline in stock prices.
Earnings Growth Expectations: While earnings are expected to grow, there is a risk that actual growth may not meet these expectations, which could negatively impact the market.
Policy Risks: Changes in trade policies, such as tariffs, and shifts in fiscal policy could also affect the market's performance.
Historical Patterns: Achieving three consecutive years of high returns (above 20%) is rare for the S&P 500, suggesting that 2025 might not see such strong gains.
Overall, while there are positive forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2025, these potential risks could lead to a less robust performance or even a decline if they materialize.
// While salmon make up the bulk of their diet, Coastal Brown Bears also enjoy a fresh flounder now, and again.
Best wishes,
PandorraResearch Team 😎