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SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.5.2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 📊 Trade Balance: The U.S. trade deficit is expected to widen to $96.50 billion in December, up from $78.20 billion in November. 📈 Key Data Releases: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (8:15 AM ET): 🏢 Forecast: 148K | Previous: 122K Services PMI (9:45 AM ET): 🏭 Forecast: 52.8 | Previous: 56.8 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET): 📊 Forecast: 54.2 | Previous: 54.1 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up will get a rejection below 6032. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Slight move higher as a continuation and drop down 1% off the HCZ. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Consolidate lower and pump back higher. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by TrendTao
Nov 1, 2024 Pre-Election Modeling UpdateThis video highlights the work I did on November 1, 2024 using my ADL predictive modeling system. We are now 3+ months past the Nov 1, 2024 modeling date and the SPY SPDR sectors are showing various stages of completion related to the ADL predictive price levels. Some are higher. Others are lower. Some are right in the middle of the predictive ranges for Feb 15, 2025. The reason I'm providing this update is to keep you informed of the variance in longer-term predictive data and how new updated data shows the SPY should stay somewhat solid above 570-580 over the next 60= days while the QQQ may fall to levels near 495 to 470 over the next 60+ days. When you are attempting to trade, the best information you can get is something that helps you identify what is likely to happen in the near future. Predictive modeling is all about using current data to try to predict future data ranges and actions. Get ready; the next 3+ years will be incredible for skilled traders. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:XLIShort
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Feb 4, 2025: Rally PatternToday's rally pattern will attempt to provide some relief related to the recent breakdown in the SPY. Overnight, the ES/NQ rallied to FILL THE GAP. So, today, I believe the SPY will attempt to rally back above 600-601, then stall out and consolidate. Today may be a "GO GOLFING" day in the markets. I would not advise anyone to get Uber-Long in the markets right now. My research suggests the markets will roll downward near the end of this week - seeking the DEEP-V bottom/base I've predicted near 2-10~2-13. Gold and Silver should attempt another rally phase over the next 3 to 4 days. I expect metals to continue to rally into this expansion phase, and I'm initially targeting $3200 for gold. Bitcoin is trapped in a big Excess Phase Peak pattern that I believe will resolve into a breakdown price trend. The Deep-V and other breakdown patterns, which my cycle research says are pending, will drive Bitcoin downward, possibly targeting the $72k levels again. Today may be a relatively FLAT type of Rally day. So, play cautiously. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
3
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.4.2025🔮 📅 Tue, Feb 4 🌎 Market-Moving News: 📢 Tariffs in Focus: 🇺🇸🔁🇨🇦 U.S. imposes 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico, 10% on China, while Canada retaliates with 25% tariffs on U.S. goods. 🏦 Central Banks: 📉🇪🇺 ECB cuts rates to support growth, while 📈🇯🇵 BOJ hikes rates, signaling diverging global monetary policies. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📉 JOLTS Job Openings (10 AM ET): Forecast 8.68M (Prev. 8.75M) 🏭 Factory Orders (10 AM ET): Forecast +0.2% (Prev. -0.7%) 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: Initial push higher before rejecting below 6044, leading to consolidation. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Rebound attempt, but potential rejection back into the Equity Equilibrium Zone, causing choppy action. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Early dip, potential bounce, but structure favors continued weakness before stabilization. #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao 🚀
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Feb 3, 2025 Afternoon UpdateWell, it seems everyone did quite well playing my prediction of a breakdown (again) in the markets today. Last week, I continued to warn the markets were very fragile and would likely break downward aggressively. Of course, the political drama (tariffs) helped to move the markets a bit this weekend. But, still, it was great to hear from everyone who made a healthy profit today. GET SOME. I also have been getting questions about the RALLY - RALLY - (counter-trend) RALLY setting up on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday this week. So, I created this video to help you understand why I believe those RALLY days will be rather muted on Wednesday/Thursday and maybe a type of topping pattern on Tuesday. I see the markets as breaking downward (breaking away from the dual Excess Phase Peak patterns), and because of that, I see the markets should attempt to move aggressively downward over the next 15+ days. I don't see any reason for the markets to mount a big rally right now - unless we are talking about a pullback in a downtrend. So, watch this video, pay attention to what I see, and then we'll see how things play out. Go GET SOME. This is a true trader's market. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-3-25 : Breakaway PatternOn a day like today, where the markets broke down with a huge GAP downward, what can I say except... Just like I predicted. For months I've been warning of the Jan 21-23 Inauguration peak/top that will lead to a Deep-V breakdown on Feb 9-12. And, like clockwork, the markets peaked just after January 23 and rolled downward into the breakdown phase - headed towards my Deep-V base/bottom setup near Feb 9-12. At this point, I'm just going to sit back and collect my profits. You should be doing the same thing today - BOOK those profits. Gold and Silver are moving into an upward CRUSH pattern. It could be very explosive. Bitcoin has broken downward again - just like I predicted. Over the next 30+ days, the markets will enter a very volatile and rotating price phase. Be prepared for wild price rotations. This is a true trader's market. Go get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
11
DJT DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group) is showing strong bullish momentum this week, breaking through key resistance levels around $36 with high volume and confirming a potential continuation toward the $45 target. The weekly chart highlights expanding Bollinger Bands and solid price action, while the hourly chart shows bullish EMA alignment and strong momentum, supported by elevated RSI levels. With buyers clearly in control, $45 is a realistic target for this week as the stock maintains its upward trajectory.
NASDAQ:DJTLong
by ImSamTrades
SPY | The End of a 16-Year Bull Cycle? Major Correction Ahead?🔎 Overview: The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has been in a massive bull run since the 2009 bottom, forming a clear 5-wave structure based on Elliott Wave Theory. Now, the market is showing multiple top signals, suggesting that a major correction may be imminent. 📉 Key Warning Signs: 1️⃣ 5-Wave Completion: The 5th wave is approaching a key Fibonacci extension level (0.618 of Waves 1-3), a common reversal zone for extended moves. The previous wave count has been respected perfectly, reinforcing this structure. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Circles Alignment: Price is reaching the outermost Fibonacci arc, a historically significant zone where reversals have occurred. The market has reacted strongly in previous arcs, indicating this could be another turning point. 3️⃣ RSI Bearish Divergence: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is making lower highs while price is making higher highs—a classic bearish divergence signal. Previous similar divergences led to major corrections, including 2000, 2008, and 2021 dips. 4️⃣ Overextended Market Conditions: Volume is declining despite new highs, signaling weak buying pressure. Sentiment is euphoric, typically a late-stage bull market characteristic. 📊 Possible Scenarios: 🟢 Bullish Case: If SPY breaks and sustains above the 0.786 Fibonacci level (~672), we could see an extension. 🔴 Bearish Case: A break below 600 and a weekly close under 575 would confirm the start of a major correction back to the 350-400 zone (previous wave 4 region). 🚨 Final Thoughts: The technical evidence suggests that SPY is in a late-stage bull cycle, and the risk of a major pullback is high. While timing exact tops is difficult, long-term investors should be cautious, and traders may want to start looking at hedging strategies or taking partial profits. 📢 What’s your take? Are we near a major top, or is there more upside left? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇 #SPY #SP500 #StockMarket #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #RSI #BearishDivergence #Trading #Investing 🚀📉
AMEX:SPY
by EduNuri
2
2/03/2025 Weekly Analysis + WatchlistSPY - Failed 2U week after going outside month the week before. Not super shocking, but now we sit in an interesting spot. The new month will open inside bar and has to either take out previous month highs (Which is ATH) or Jan Lows. Seeing that the range is pretty wide for downside, It will take less effort to make new ATH. Not that it means a whole lot, but that is something to note. Next, we see the week closed failed 2D, but is pretty much slapped right in the middle of last weeks range, so it will take an equal amount of effort to make a HH or LL. Finally, from a daily perspective we have a large failed 2U with slight PMG to the downside. We are definitely primed for a sharp corrective move Monday, but of course anything can happen, we are just much closer to seeing the bear scenario than bull. In my mind, the ideal weekly scenario is this: Monday sees sharp corrective move, taking out the PMG guys, then the rest of the week climbs, triggering the weekly 2-2 Rev, which then ideally sends us into ATH once more before seeing either BF expansion on the Month (since we would go 3-2U.), or seeing us start to come back through last months range for a larger corrective move. In the pure bear scenario, we trigger the daily reversal, head down to weekly 2-2 cont. trigger, then see if we can make progress down back through a few daily gaps, ultimately targeting prev month low for the 3-2D M. Given that we are going into a new monthly open after going 3, we could very easily just chop and go nowhere for the week seeing as we may just remain inside week with the month being inside to start out before possibly seeing control more clearly dictated in the 2nd/3rd week of Feb. Main advice regardless is to trade things that are moving early on like gappers, and anything where the month goes 2U or 2D in the first week. Avoid inside bars if possible and trade light! Main setups for the week: Bull: GE - Inside D and W ORCL - Hammer W to head back through D gap. Cautious with this one MRVL - Weekly 2-2U. Daily gap fill to the upside after giant gap down to exhaustion risk Bear: BA - Shooter 3-2D weekly. Bear Revstrat daily. Daily BF looks solid. MSFT - MoMo Shooter M, 3-2D W, Daily 2-1-2D. Check daily BF. Still has magnitude after massive ER drop VZ - Weekly 2-2D, Daily shooter 2-1-2D, FTFC Red. Check daily BF Neutral: RKLB - Inside week. Nuclear Green FTFC and super crazy ATR lately
AMEX:SPY
by Alanger17
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.3.2025🔮 📅 Mon, Feb 3 ⏰ 10:00 AM ET 📊 ISM Manufacturing PMI Previous: 49.3 Forecast: 49.2 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by TrendTao