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Spy500

SPY Retracement Scenario Before Continued Sell OffHere is a scenario for a 50%-61.8% retracement for SPY, up above $282, before continuing it's sell off. Looking to the left, there was a very similar structure in late February into early March. You can see how the peaks are quite identical, and on the low following the last peak, there was a retracement between 50%-61.8%... and also to the area of the 100MA. Currently, that would represent a bounce up above 282 before the selling resumes. On the current chart, I drew 2 fib lines... The left one is just to show that the intraday bounce on Friday, March 22 came no where near the level that could be expected from the earlier chart, which would have been between 282.30 and 282.90. It instead topped out at 281.51. This was also well short of the 100MA. If that was THE retracement, then steep selling is likely to continue. If the low associated with the left fib lines is not "the low following the last peak", then we can count it as not in yet, and take the lowest low from the end of the day. The right fib lines are to show how high the retracement could be before the selling continues. Also, notice the little RSI divergence to end the day... Both scenarios are bearish, and would see new lows by this time next week. This is merely to point out the precedence of a possible nice bullish play before we get there....IF the bounce to 281.51 was not it. Travis JMJ - UIOGD
AMEX:SPY
by Procinctu
SPY update -At the cuspUpdate. SPY has moved higher but this trade is still in play. Recommended course of action would be to sell here but be prepared to buy back if we cross both the yellow resistance line AND orange line. Trend meter indicates possible further bullish action but all other indicators suggest a drop from here. Also possible, we could grind out along the yellow line without breaking it. Moving up or down will likely hang on a "positive" US/China trade deal announcement before month-end or even week's end.
AMEX:SPYShort
by jdharward
SPY500 - charts confirming bull run is over?You can see where the support (blue trend line) broke down while a new down trending line of support (red line) was created. Previous support line now acts as resistance. Failure to break back above the 2009 trend confirms the longest bull market in history has come to a close. Enter the bears. I also see the left shoulder and head of a possible H&S formation. Perhaps we'll get news of a trade deal between the US and China, providing the catalyst needed to send prices higher, completing the right shoulder before said agreement falls apart or fails to materialize, sending prices down to 2470 and more likely, 2080 (.618) Or any other number of possible catalyst. A H&S pattern is not required to send price lower. We could just as easily bounce along the new RED support line down to 2470.
AMEX:SPYShort
by jdharward