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Spylong

SPY: Short & Long Trading OpportunitiesSPY Daily providing brief directional opportunities for acute trades to the upside. Higher levels of conviction support the control held by sellers in the market auction; With a volume shelf last revisited and sustained notable in March 2021. After holding fair price of 377.03, the next critical level on watch for acceptance or rejection of fair value is 381.58, then KL of 385.42 (20SMA). Trend has been shown to be weaker when reaching resistance levels originating from March 2022. Levels >389.78 sees a revisit of next favorable area of structure via a gap to late 390's. Directional performance is contingent on using combined volume and value area placements during current market conditions// IV: 24.79%, IV Percentile: 79% , ATR: 8.79, Beta: 1.00
AMEX:SPY
by GroundNinja
SPY MACD/RSI divergenceLooking for a bear market rally over the next several weeks as the MACD and RSI have a divergence with the SPY; RSI also has a divergence on the weekly. I think we will eventually go lower on the SPY but for the next few weeks it's hard say bearish is the direction. The market has put in some strong selling this year, so far, and just needs a break from bearish activity. It's just the way it works. Also spotted a Bearish Elliot Wave 5 count that ended 2 weeks ago, so expect bullishness for now. Have a good 4th of July.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Options_Trading
SPY Analysis (July 1st)We are seeing a Heikin Ashi reversal candlestick forming on the weekly chart for SPY Heikin Ashi candlesticks are used by chartists to identify trends more easily, as well as to identify potential trend reversals. Reversal Heikin Ashi candlesticks have small bodies and long upper and lower shadows. Interestingly, we are seeing a reversal Heikin Ashi candlestick occur at the Golden Ratio. The Golden Ratio refers to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (though in the context of Fibonacci extensions, the Golden Ratio can also refer to the 1.618 extension). Those levels are often seen as the most reliable Fibonacci levels as they reflect a mathematically harmonic ebb and flow. The Golden Ratio forms order out of irrational numbers and is used to form order out of the randomness and chaos of the stock market. The Fibonacci retracement levels on this chart are drawn from the November 2021 high down to the March 2020 low and are not logarithmically adjusted. In general, logarithmically adjusted Fibonacci levels are more reliable, but both formats are used by traders. Of note, historically, the S&P 500 is stronger in July than in June. From 1980 to 2019, the average return for July was 0.79% while it was just 0.02% for June. (Source: stockanalysis.com) Also credit to @Breakout_Charts for this idea.
AMEX:SPY
by SpyMasterTrades
11
SPY AnalysisThis chart shows a trend-based Fibonacci retracement. The trend points used are (1) The market high right before the 2020 selloff, (2) the market low from the 2020 selloff, and (3) the most recent market high (in January 2022). As the chart shows, SPY has nearly perfect retraced back to the Golden Ratio. My expectation is that SPY will rally into and throughout July 2022. What are Fibonacci numbers? Fibonacci numbers are merely a series of numbers in which each successive number is the sum of the prior two numbers. As the series grows, the ratio of each Fibonacci number to the previous Fibonacci number in the series converges to 1.618. Meanwhile, the ratio of each Fibonacci number to the next Fibonacci number converges to 0.618. These ratios often help us mathematically predict important support and resistance points of price action. Do Fibonacci numbers actually work? The stock market has always conformed to Fibonacci numbers both because many traders use them and it is thus self-fulfilling, but also because Fibonacci numbers help us mathematically approximate the ebbs and flow of crowd psychology and the fear and greed which dictate market participants' actions. Each time fear takes hold, market participants sell and cause price to fall back to a previous Fibonacci number (often the Golden Ratio, reflected as the proportion: 0.618). Then once the pervasive fear wanes, market participants begin to get greedy as they see a buying opportunity in the lower prices of the market. The fear that once caused selling then shifts to a fear of missing out on profit, and greed regains control of the market. Just as selling begets selling, buying begets buying, and so price continues up to a higher Fibonacci number, thus forming a pattern called the Golden Spiral. If you don't believe that the stock market has always conformed to Fibonacci numbers, try drawing a Fibonacci retracement level on the S&P 500 (SPX) from its all-time low in 1877 to its high in 1929 just before the Great Depression. You will see that the low point of the Great Recession was, of course, a Fibonacci ratio. This is just one of an endless amount of Fibonacci sequences that the stock market has followed over the years. Fibonacci sequences dictate price action on all timeframes. To the uninformed person, these endless golden spirals that dictate price action on multiple timeframes simply seems random...
AMEX:SPY
by SpyMasterTrades
8
10 yr yield VS Inverted S&P 500It appears 10 yr yields have peaked which should be great for equities. Interestingly when you flip the S&P 500 you pretty much get the yield curve. We have seen clear inverse correlation. Oil and Nat gas also looked like they topped so I suspect peak inflation has been reached for a while and the fed may begin to pivot and either hike much less (25 bps), stop hiking, or lower the rates as rates follow bond yield. This will make for excellent tailwinds in asset markets.
SP:SPX
by ceesounds
2
SPY Likely in Final Bottoming PhaseThis is a monthly chart of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) with the Ichimoku Cloud indicator applied. Outside of the context of recessions, SPY has typically bottomed after finding support on the Base Line (red line) of the Ichimoku Cloud. Although SPY has currently fallen below this line, this does not necessarily mean the Base Line has failed, more likely SPY is simply in its final bottoming phase and is forming the tail, or lower wick, of the monthly candle. It is very conceivable that June will finish the month closer to the Base Line, which if the case could send SPY higher, in the months to come as the trend will continue. There are quite a few additional indicators and oscillators that suggest this may be the case. However, if SPY finishes the month clearly lower this Base Line, then that would be quite bearish and would cause reason to believe that the long-term bull run is perhaps ending.
AMEX:SPY
by SpyMasterTrades
7
QQQ bullish and SPY bullish, QQQ gap fillSo we have been trading in a range on the SPY for the better part of the past week and a half. And in the past hour we broke that range to the bearish side. So time to go bearish... well not so fast. Everybody could see that channel and all we really did on the SPY was pull back into the top point of the double top bottom from earlier in May, so expect people to be buying at that level. Also, the QQQ just filled the gap it had from 2 weeks ago (see chart). Tomorrow will be interesting but expect strong buying to get back into that range.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by Options_Trading
1
Will the recent range break to the upside? CPI - the catalyst The overall market absorbed another profit warning from $TGT yesterday and rallied from the lows of the range. $407 held once again and we rallied up to the highs of the recent range. We already have 7 sessions within this tight range. In case of a move in either direction, we expect at least 10 points of upside/downside. As long as the CPI numbers come in lower than expected on Friday, we expect the $SPY to get above $422-425. For now, one can buy the dip at the lower part of the range and sell into the resistance area.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Eclubtrading