Spylong
SPY - Long the Market!-After a week full of war news and fear, we might be heading into a new week with some positive start!
-Before the "I do my macro analysis, and I don't agree, the market is going down" guy with a drained brokerage account steps in the comment section after his margin call, we would like to say that we feel bearish in mid-term. We feel like after all these SWIFT sanctions, frozen Russian billions and increasing swap rates, there definitely will be some real blood this year. And it looks like the blood will come after the recovery!
-So now that we have apologized from the "Macro Econ" guy, let's come back to the analysis and look into how we can make some $$$ on short-term. We see a possibility of a rise back to $450 levels and $470 afterward. Some weekly puts might be sold with an Iron Condor strategy in mind as you might need to sell calls at any moment given the volatility of the market.
-Enjoy the trades and don't forget to join us on our group link is in bio!
SPY S&P 500 ETF W-Shaped Recovery The SPY S&P 500 ETF wend down after the huge amount of puts that i noticed last week:
Now i am considering a W-Shaped Recovery to $470 by the end of Q2.
The Ukraine invasion was price in at $410 and the interest rates will be lower than expected due to the war.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SPY bounce at 400Ok so the SPY has gotten through the choppy area of the 420s. Now, there are no major supports before it gets to 400. On the chart I drew out 3 possible scenarios, or ways I'm looking for the market to start a bounce at 400. The first one is if we trade down to 400 during the day, especially early in the day, I'd look for the bounce later in that day. The second possibility is if the SPY sells down into close but we are not at 400 yet, and then the SPY opens below 400; BUY THAT OPEN!!!! The last possible I'm look for is if the SPY just sells down into close for the day, getting below 400; it will probably go through that level with relative ease. Don't know what day this will play out but looks like it will be soon, like within a week; but I would not look to play the bullish bounce with options less than a week to expiration. And the reason why, is the last thing I will caution you with, watch out for scenario 1 turning into scenario 3. Where we get below the 400 point level early one day, start bouncing, and then the end of day start selling off and make a new daily low going into the close. That's why you want to give yourself a little bit of time on the options. I'm going on vacation, so if it happens while I'm gone I wanted to give you what I was, am, looking for. I do have take profit stops at those level but if it does it while I'm gone I might not get into bullish positions. Good luck and make that money.
$SPYThe investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Index. The Trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the "Portfolio"), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.
SPY Long after a small consolidation (ideally a consolidation at this KL, but the market is too volatile so we might get a push right on Tuesday) we will uptrend:
1) engulfing candle on 4h chart
2) doji candle on 4h chart
3) major KL 430s area (res to supp)
note: market is tanking and is in need on a little push before major pull (FED Meetings and the rest... ugh something to be done I guess)
TP: estimate to MA50 + KL 442 areas
*not an ideal entry presented yet, needs a closer to 430s area for a given SL under 430. However if it will show signs of uptrend the the entry might be presented at 436 with close in SL.
Must look for headlines about the date of Russian invasion on Ukraine and Biden's speech making poor SPY into bleeding
(for some reason it feels all this headlines so empty and artificial... hmmm wont say it, okay I will: they manipulate the market on purpose!
- oh, what? - not a secret? - sigh lol
Also note: I do this because I am forced by tradingview lol
SPY bearish options todayI was monitoring the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (ETF) options market and the puts are dominating the options today.
2/3 puts, 1/3 calls and some important dark pool prints sells.
My expectation is for a retracement at the $422 area, followed by a W shaped recovery.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Spy price prediction The market is experiencing a deep correction due to the uncertainty of the corona, the war between Russia and Ukraine and the increase in the interest rate of the Federal Reserve do not so much help the market to rise again to say the least
In my opinion the all-time high will be in the end, it will not be as fast as it did in the crisis at the beginning of the Corona, I think the market will go aside for a long time because of uncertainty and inflation but will slowly rise as it does in any health or political crisis to this day
This year will end NEGATIVE in S&P but NOT BEFORE we see ATHs!However, I see a 15% rise to ATH in the S&P 500 FROM HERE! SEPT '22 P Target.
Let's see how this plays out. First half of 2022 will see a 15% rise from here regaining previous ATHs into SEPT 2022. From this point I see a capitulation candle (-23%) ENDING THE YEAR NEGATIVE.
This is my 2022 forecast for the SPX.
2024 will mark a brand new Bull market.
SPY Stock Analysis - Day Short Term Bullish Pull Back Feb 15thTraderMan PennyPorkChop looks out for opportunity to survey and examine the latest value activity in the market in a way that makes it helpful to you.
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SPY Stock Analysis - S&P 500 SPDR ETF Stock Price Prediction for Tomorrow.
February
We go over the SPY stock - S&P 500 SPDR ETF stock, and give our stock price prediction on the SPY stock, our SPY stock price analysis, and stock price forecast on SPY for tomorrow TUESday February .
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BEARISH ALT COUNT DIA I HAVE JUST SOLD out of All long calls and now moved to a 100 %net short based on this wave structure . moved into sept 365 dia puts at 26.25 .If this count is what it is then we should not see the dow break the low of jan 27 and this would take the sp and qqq to new lows sp 4138/3980 qqq 321/316
BEAUTIFUL Cup and HAndle on SPYWell, looking at ES on a 30 minute time frame, right off the bat I see a nice Cup n Handle forming. Where right now we are forming the handle and are looking for a strong breakout to the upside. If this can hold valid, im expecting ATLEAST 4763 on ES. I think that is about 484 on SPY. We will atleast see a nice gap fill to 465 (labeled in the yellow box) That is probably the best bullish sentiment I see right now for SPY/ES this week!
SPX Continues Rally This Week (atleast)Please don't listen to me. I have no actual formal financial training. I only got into this as a hobby. My training is in medicine and I'm much better at reading EKGs than predicting the future market.
I do however enjoy reading candlesticks and believe the emotional component behind them can say a lot.
Using this to keep a log of my thoughts. My belief is SP500 closes higher this next week solely off this weeks candle and believing that greed drives the market more often than fear.
My target is 4500 and I will be waiting for an entry on Monday below 4400 but above 4310. After that I'm uncertain if it will go down lower or continue the rally. I believe in strong candlesticks and will continue to believe in long if the price action shows a strong upward trend this week.
$SPY gets back to $450, now what? We have been looking for $SPY to get back to $450, provided it could clear the 200-day moving average.
It has been pretty much rangebound between 430 and 440 -- roughly speaking -- and once it cleared the latter, $450 was the upside target. It's not just the 50% retracement, but back into the December lows.
From here, we'll have to navigate. another push higher could put the 61.8% retracement, 21-day and volume-based VWAP in play. If we fail here, last week's high near $444 and the 10-day moving average are in play.