Short term bounce, that's itWe have been getting a consistent Faithful down trend since 2018 well actually since 2015 it just got faked out and came right back in line. With that in mind it'd be wise to assume we'll just continue till the stock possibly reach single digits.
1. With the pandemic, travel has been affected as such airlines can't get the customers to sell their products to in which they get the most of their revenues from.
2. With monetary tightening or interest rate hikes. This will further be tapered as we receive a hawkish fed's response to the economy.
Buy the rip in this one and sell afterwards.
Spylong
SPY correction is overThe FUD induced sell off has come to a finish. The SPY showed that the 300 MA is a respected level of support by bouncing off of it Monday. This was followed by 3 inside bars. Multiple inside bars indicate consolidation, a close above that range in a downtrend indicates a trend reversal. A break below that range in downtrend would indicate continuation. The SPY had a strong day rally to close out the day that emphatically showed the downtrend is over. I expect a gap up over the 200 MA Monday morning and a push back to $450. QQQ has a similar setup although less bullish.
SPY reversal formingSPY daily fib levels holding very well. 4 hour as you can see a bullish divergence is forming, and 4hr bear volume is decreasing as bull volume is increasing. I'm expecting a reversal to the upside by Friday entering next week. Feel free to criticize or educate me on anything additional.
SPY: Bouncing between the 50 + 100D EMASPY bouncing between the 50D above and the 100D below. Will most likely stay that way this week. Safer players will wait until $460 or $64.72 trades to make a decision on what to play. Playing in the middle won't net much gain for SPY players.
If you play SPX or ES_F you can play the middle IMO.
SPY Super Predictable.Hello Traders,
It's been awhile since I've shared with the class, so I figured I'd give a little Christmas treat.
In Dec., SPY has been extremely predictable so far. Those trendlines (the 2 red and 2 long green and blue), those were drawn around the 6th. As you can see, the PA has been very true to the trend.
Now, this is where it gets a little more exciting. IF TODAY CLOSES ABOVE THE NECKLINE, which happens to be the trendline, or one of the upcoming days... There is a potential IH&S (inverse head & shoulders aka H&S bottom).
I realize that is a little tight with that right shoulder only a point or so away from the bottom of the head, but technically it still applies. Since it is I would guess that this means there could be more Throwback (moves down before up) and this would hurt post breakout performance.
Note: this IHS could totally wipe since it's unconfirmed so far. Also, the target is not a prediction of date, could happen sooner, could happen later. The other wrench is the throwback, if we see a lot of it, the target will significantly be reduced. Even if we decide it's not going to be a IHS it's still an (Eve & Adam) double bottom with a fast reversal on the Adam side, so bullish either way.
With all that said, I think we are looking at a nice little melt up to end the year and pending any crazy news, we should also have a pretty bullish January. So move all of your doomsday predictions out at least a month bears.
Good luck and Merry Christmas.
Sincerely,
Mike
****Be sure to Like, Follow, Support****
Buy the bounce on the EMA 50Since february 2020 a green candle has been seen round 16 times on the top of the EMA50.
For 13 times out of 16 SPY took +2.62% in the next 5 days. Sometimes much more on a longer period.
In order to trade this pattern the best is to buy at the closing, and to put a close stop loss (something round 0.3%...).
This kind of stop loss worked 12 times out of 13...
The Risk/Reward is here very high....
I put a 4x leverage, and I bought IBUS500 at 4711 (stop-loss round 4697 (= -0.36%) ).
Yesterday SPY bounced on the support, it was also a good idea to play it. Hope you done it.
For the Nasdaq100 it widely crossed the support, and then came back.
The best option was to wait the bounce, in order to avoid this whipsaw. Some bulls has been caught by their stop-loss.
Hope you like this idea, I would be happy to talk about it.
Critical levels for spyKeeping an eye to see if we bounce at the top of the red channel and retest the bottom of it, or if we we break the trend and test the next resistance levels. You can see in the green channel, bigger picture we filled the gap to the downside so I’m looking for confirmation on continuation but there is a lot of bearish divergence I’m seeing with this one. I am newb tho
$SPY last rally of the year?$SPY continuing its last rally of the year. but starts to show its weakness in smaller time frame chart. the weakness can be visibly shows in smaller time frames showing the momentum
of SPY start to curl down and volume of buyers starts to slowdown. respectably, although the it start to show some weaknesses doesn't mean its going to pull back. the stock is still
above the ema line. once we crossed that line in 1hr and 4hr time frame. that's probably our signals for the possible pull back. as of what happened yesterday SPY is just consolidating.
day trade and scalp play target.
buy call above 478.65-479 sell at 480+
buy puts below 475.68 sell at 474.50 or below
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Inverse H&S (bottom) on the 1hr SPYHello Traders,
This is a follow up on my last post. Some traders have never heard of the term Head & Shoulders Bottom, it's a small technicality, so I will be more clear. Looks like we have confirmation. So we could have some throwback, but ultimately the direction is up. You may see more shorts jump in angrily, but that's how it is. Unfortunately, there are always people on the right side of the trade and the wrong side.
Also, with throwback and only 71% of meeting that 2nd (longer target) it doesn't make things so cut and dry; however, December is typically a smooth riding month, so I wouldn't be surprised if we see a bit of a melt up. The odds are very much in the Longs favor here.
Lastly, please note, there is also a Double Bottom (Adam & Eve DB). Confirmation was at around 459.05.
I wish you all the best!
Cheers,
Mike
SPY AnalysisThe Middle Gann line is of interest in this case
I propose an ascending broadening wedge to form above the middle Gann line
This is shown by the bars pattern placed
The 50MA is an area of support
The above idea can be applied to this ticker
It seems far fetched but when COVID is compared to other drops in the market, COVID outweighs them all, yet we receive the smallest bear move
Troubling