SPY market internals: BULL until SEPT!These lines represent the plotted EMA angles of SPY(close, 100) and SPY(close, 200). What is interesting about the current cycle is that it is behaving exactly like the cycle from 2019 ---where the white line begins higher than the pink at the beginning. This pink line is nothing more than the (difference) between between the other lines. If things continue as they have in the past, I expect this market to run bullish until Sept-- which is approximately 100 days of green. It appears that 100 days (or 3 months) has been the holding period lately before everyone takes profit.
Spylong
$SPY New 52 Highs Towards Re-ElectionAfter watching the Fox interview with POTUS. He seems almost confident the market will be seeing all-time highs leading to November. The dollar ( DXY ) has been weakened, TVC:USOIL still getting bids, and TVC:TNX closed higher. The market has usually been used to manipulate the real economy, and with NYSE:AZN phase 1 data due tomorrow... this could be the catalyst to push higher.
Warning: Anything can happen and this market is currently in a euphoric trance. But politics aside, the market is all this administration has.
SPY 340 Target by August 1stI think SPY has either a lot of room to go up after this last round of consolidation or it will lose support and drain out. I wouldn't bet against the SPY ETF or the American Economy so we must just keep up the march into the higher 300s. SPY has been showing strength here at these levels. Today we opened with a gap up into the 322 range after closing the previous session at 317. The last time we hit 325 we were rejected and spent two weeks retesting 300-305 range. I don't think that will happen again but the new phase of lockdowns has added more uncertainty to already uncertain times. Best of luck traders and go make money.
SPX Long (But not for Long)Please do your due diligence, this is just my opinion:
Still long for now and still expecting new all time high. I expect the NDX to slowly continue its downtrend while the rest of the market catches up. I did reduce my year end target from 4k though.
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SPY fake sell off todayIf you look at the MACD from previous periods it looks like, comparing to previous MACD bull runs, we are just getting started.
Todays sell of was definitely one to scare off the bulls but we are hitting resistance and going to recover
if you look at the 4 hour MACD we are barely going to flip the MACD to bullish and the AO indicator is already showing signs of bullish movement
Plus we still have to close the gap made right before the drop of Feb 19 around the $330 area
IF there is a real sell off it might be when we hit the $330 level soon or around August
doesnt seem like we are going down any further
Bullish until Q3 and possible $400 SPY by EOY
SPY Call SignalSpy might breakout here soon and it has gaps to fill on the upside, very bullish here
Target is 312, then 318, then possibly 322
I called this in the group chat at 309.58
The group chat is having a 20% sell for the 4th of july ( Use coupon code: "July4" ) and will go on until sunday the 5th. I would , love to see anyone who supports my posts join our group and make even more money with us as we grow richer and richer by the day: If your interested join through DMing me
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🤔Going long or short on the S&P? Then watch these key levels👀The whole world has their eyes on the S&P500 using it as a gauge for what type of recovery we will be getting.
The most important point on the chart is the 3,000~ area, this is acting as support on the 4-hour, daily and weekly.
If a single level is acting as support on multiple time-frames, it’s an area being watched by EVERYONE, people are looking to go short on a break or long on a bounce.
Monthly resistance is at the monthly all time high of 3,260~, we tested the area once and got rejected pretty sharply.
In June support was tested 5 times, and survived.
There are three ways I see the S&P playing out, I’ll start with bullish to bearish.
Bull case (green line) – the bull case is that the S&P breaks through monthly resistance and goes on to make new highs, if it clearly broke the 3,260 area, any retest of the area would be a good time to go long.
Neutral case (blue line) – currently the S&P500 is range bounding, it could carry on doing that for the next month between support and resistance.
Bearish case (white line) – S&P breaks the major support level at 3,000 and goes to re-test the lows made in March. If it broke the 3,000, I’ll be looking to go short on an pull back to the 3,000 level.
The 3,000 area is a great place for fake outs and traps, because it's on everybody's chart.
just because the S&P goes below 3,000 does not mean it’s a single to go short, it has broken that area 5 times in June an pulled it back each time, trapping shorts.
I would like to see a few daily candles closes below 3,000 or above 3,260~ before entering any long or short trading position, if I see a trading opportunity I'll post it later this month.
Fear and greed are controlling the markets right now, with the FED keeping the S&P at these levels. News will be a major catalyst.
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$BA Earnings Option Play | WatchlistTechincal Analysis of $BA plus this week's option play.
British Airways finally receives its first Boeing 787-10 months later than planned.
What we are looking for:
Retest of the previous channel resistance (blue downtrend)
Breakout from $198 (Bullish Signal)
Last but not least, to send BA to the moon ($234), we need to breakout from the fat orange downtrend.
This play is intending for covid to not impact airlines. If covid makes a crazy breakout, we might see trouble for airlines.
The Play:
- BA ripped 14.4% today, which means contracts are worth 200%ish more than they were yesterday. In other words, we will aim to grab BA at the low of what looks to be next week or the week after.
Play 1:
- BA $232.5 call 7/24
This play is sitting up 114% on the day compared to the $230 strike below which is up 198% today. Once BA has a down day these premiums will get cut, giving us a buying opportunity.
DotcomJack | Easy Loot
Do Not Trade This!
Bank Bros 4 LyfeNever forget.. Donald Trump from New York is the DEALER of this party.
I hope you didn't get faked out on that day of consolidation and loaded the boat with a GIFT form the gods of retouching 301 - 303.
Beautiful hand played by the dealer.
Wulcya at the line in the sand, I could see us busting it up tomorrow!
SPY trying to trick us into buying puts eh?SPY is not going down without a fight. I think today's episode might be another "buy the dip" opportunity. Wouldn't it be convenient if we could all buy puts and cut straight to the depression already? I know the answer is "YES" but the market has a way of burning all bear money (before) it moves in that direction. Right before the big move down, the people that had this planned for months are out of money. Happens all the time. =/ I know that SPY is trying to trick me into going all in PUTS, but not this time.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES1!) Price for the futures has been consolidating above the previous high, from the current fall we experienced after the very tall COVID-19 rebound. A much needed pullback was needed considering we came off the bottom of March extremely fast. We are still in an overall uptrend, confirming that with price not falling below the $300 level with the pullback and staying above, with a fake-out towards the end of the fall.
Overall a uptrend is still intact, this simply could mean a dip. Staying above the previous high with current fundamentals in tact; NY started phase 1 reopening, China said it would start to be the biggest buying in soybeans again (Trade Deal), higher consumer sentiment and spending gradually increasing along with jobs slowly coming back is all progress forward. The jobs number won't immediately go back to where they were quickly, that major factor has been priced into the market. I believe all funds and major players are aware they wont come back as fast but doesn't mean we aren't making positive growth.
Currently the dollar is getting extremely hurt from this but is inversely related to the growth of the S&P. A ton of money was being pumped into the economy all over the world mostly in USD or debt that was formed to USD. The Euro of course has followed the exact path of the market and has been booming. All countries invest between each other within their respected Treasuries. Seeing the central banks are inside the Treasury, makes sense the banks are then in control of investments coming into the country and vice versa as we invest in other countries through bond offerings.
S&P 500 LOOKING FOR MORE UPSIDEAfter having a major retracement s&p 500 is looking strong again. We can see a perfect buy signal on my indicator being confirmed(the blue oscillator line being pulled into the white which is supported by the pink line and bouncing off).
I will be looking at the drawn resistance lines and how price reacts at each one. I would especially be aware of the price action around the light blue horizontal.