Spyshort
S&P 500 / SPY Breaks Down to Support, Bounce or Larger Crash?The S&P 500 has broken down to trendline support after a failed breakout at 4240. The SPY index formed a high at 4238 and tried to break it at 4255, but failed to hold above that alltimehigh. It is now testing trendline support, and the question is whether price will bounce here at support or will support fail to hold and thus lead to a much larger correction.
Part of the reason that I'm looking at the S&P500 even though I mostly focus on Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies is that the correlation between the two has recently been quite high, and they have both been retracing in the past few days, so a recovery in the S&P500 could also bode well for a recovery in Bitcoin and the wider cryptoassets.
The key level to watch is 4175. If this level holds, then we remain above the trendline and can expect another leg up. If we close below 4175, then be prepared for some volatility upon trendline break as we might have formed a double top, which will likely also trickle over to Bitcoin and other risk-on assets as well. Of course, it's possible that what we are seeing is similar to what we saw back in March, when price failed to hold a higher high, broke down a bit, and then rallied higher.
If price does break down, then the 200 day moving average at 3900 should serve as ultimate support, though I'd think that the Biden administration and the Federal Reserve would have stepped in before that happens.
Selloff StartedWe've broken the major support line for our uptrend, implying that the bulls are no longer in power. Watch the weekly candle that will close soon. It looks like a bearish engulfing weekly candle that could engulf the last 2-3 weeks.
I am a bear. Keep that in mind, BUT, look at it!
(Not financial advice)
SPY - Still see a Market Correction in the near future.Made this video to look at what I'm seeing in the market that has me a little on edge. Looking at the Weekly and Daily chart of the S&P. We can't continue to push the limits like we have for the past 5 years. Something has to give soon. The RSI is showing a broadening down trend for the past few years, with an uptrend support cutting through. This is creating a Pennant in the higher range of the RSI and it's not looking favorable to the upside, once the breakout occurs. The MACD confirms the uneasiness in the market, as it's drawing out to a torn flag in the wind. This shows a dispute in the market. BASL3, which may take affect on June 28th, could push price up, as this has a high potential to drive precious metals up. Only if the Dollar stays flat or dips a little.
Keep a close eye on the markets movement over the coming Months. I expect this week to be a red week for the S&P.
As always, hedge wisely and keep some money as buying power. It's always good to know that you're prepared for the rainy day.
SPY 422.60 + 0.91 % SHORT IDEA * REVERSAL PATTERNS & PRICEHELLO EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE IN THE MARKET THIS WEEK, HERE'S A LOOK AT THE S & P 500 INDEX. That has been trading in a rising wedge looking for a shift in momentum of the index should we push down with the bears to see a break below of structure looking for sells on the index a break above of the support level signals continuation and cancels the trading idea.
* follow your entry rules on entries
* significant moves with the bears change the plan.
lets see how it goes.
many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules.
HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE & LET YOUR WINS RUN...
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ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES
RISK-MANAGEMENT
PERIOD - SWING TRADE
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If this idea helps with your trading plan kindly leave a like definitely appreciate it.
SP500 - SHORT; Nothing but Shorts (SELL!!) here!A ~25% decline from here should be rather quick and uneventful. However, such a decline is likely to be just the first leg on a long road to a full ~70% decline by the end of this full cycle. - Which would be nothing more than a garden variety return to the Historic Norm ! The same goes for all US Indexes and those who are historically informed (or reviewed the evidence, presented in virtually every single recent post) should not be surprised at all.
The Carry Trade Currencies - and equivalents relative to the VIX post;
AMD PUTS - TRADE OF THE YEAR IF IT BREAKS 300% GAINERGuys,
If this breaks under this is a MASSIVE gainer on PUTS. Massive. Not only will it full fil the trend bounce at $60 and the possibly descending broadening wedge which overall tends to be bullish with big break upside. It gives you the possibility to not only be short but confidentially swap short to long at $60.
MASSIVE PLAY HERE.
ONLY WORTH TRADING IF IT BREAKS UNDER THE HEAD AND SHOULDERS.
SPX Intraday Week 18 UpdateI think a minor correction is starting, generally considered three waves. You can count five in here but I don't have enough time for that right now. Risk management is essential in this choppy defensive market condition. The five wave obviously finished at 4220 last week. The buying strength just isn't present at these levels. A wise man once told me the five wave is the riskiest to trade. Manage accordingly.