SQ
THE WEEK AHEAD: US MID-TERMS; SQ, MRO, ROKU, ATVI, HTZ, YELPUnless you've been living under a rock, you'll know that Tuesday is the U.S.'s mid-term elections. Polls will be open throughout the New York session and won't close until we're well into the Asian with polls closing on the East Coast first and then gradually progressing west through time zones. Actual results aren't likely to be known until at least 9 p.m. or so CST, so if you're going to play, you're potentially in for a long night. The only instrument probably worth looking at from a liquidity/volume standpoint for scalping around the time of election results is the E-mini S&P futures (or a corresponding proxy) and/or futures options, which is why I've posted a marked-up /ES chart here, which identifies fairly transparent, large time-frame horizontal support/resistance areas, so that when you drill down into lower time frames, you'll have those for context. Naturally, this is not as big of a deal as the general elections (if you recall, a really wild ride that was basically over by NY open), but may present some good scalping opportunities. On Tuesday night after NY close, I'll drill down a little more in time and mark up the chart a little further ... .
Aside from the elections, we've got some earnings on tap, too: OXY (96/34) and MYL (89/48) announce earnings on Monday after market close; LLY (82/29) and CVS (70/35) on Tuesday before market open; SQ (83/73), MRO (72/51), and ROKU (69/96) on Wednesday after market close; ATVI (85/46), DIS (73/26), HTZ (89/96), and YELP (83/72) on Thursday after market close. My preference in single name is for underlyings with a rank >70 and a 30-day >50, so I would lean toward playing SQ, MRO, ROKU, ATVI, HTZ, and/or YELP as volatility contraction plays. This is particularly nice here, since those all occur after the elections, which will allow the broader market to sort itself out first.
On the exchange-traded fund front: USO (100/32), XOP (70/37), EEM (73/26), IWM (65/24), and QQQ (62/26) round out the top implied volatility rank exchange-traded funds on my list.
Since I'm already in most of the exchange-traded funds (although I don't have any RUT on): CAT (78/36) already announced earnings, but still has some volatility left in it, as does NFLX (69/53), so I could see selling in a little premium in those if the post-election market just gives me nothing better to do ... .
Watching SQ hourly chart to signal a solid entry for a swingSQ has a night daily equilibrium playing out. We're looking for the hourly supports to break next week to signal healthy daily consolidation is coming to set a daily higher low above 64.69. I will potentially buy the hourly trend change, another strategy I may employ is to wait for the daily trend to change and break our resistance of 80.32 - that would eliminate some of the reward and some of the risk.
I'll be keeping an eye on SPY to ensure it does not break it's recent lows - if the market dumps to lower lows, I certainly do not want to be holding any swing positions!
SQ Buy targetSquare pretty over-sold on the weekly (so are many stocks just now though) which was followed by a $35 - $100 run last time, so might consider a long after the weekend.
Dream target is highlighted.
> Will be looking for positive Bitcoin moves that could influence this increasingly crypto focussed company in the long-term.
> Cashapp downloads are looking good, still getting dominated by Paypal & Venmo combined figures (same company). Cashapp has good "cult" following, awaiting news on expanding into new markets.
(Not much information, but want to free up chart space)
SQ weekly support testSQ bounced off a weekly support that goes back many months, if we can break the high of Friday, I will look towards teh .382 and .5 fibs for potential profit targets, if we break 71.52 to the downside, I would be looking to scout a higher low entry compared to 65 perhaps off of a second touch on the line - profit targets the same as if we just see continuation.
Monday to give direction on SQ for the coming weeksSQ 4hr chart equilibrium break will give direction for the coming week - breaking up above 92.39 increases confidence in continuation to new all time highs this week, and a break of 89.31 will have us looking to test 83.34 as a daily support. The weekly chart is getting extended with 6 green weeks in a row and a bearish reversal spinning top doji on declining bull volume. If we do lose daily support, consolidation on the weekly would be very healthy so long as the bulls can hold the MA20, somewhere around $70 next week, and do it on decreasing bear volume. Weekly support is 63.21 and is nowhere near at risk of being lost
$SQ - SQUARE SCREAMING TO TAKE PROFIT$SQ
If you are trading Square, I would be very careful. On the weekly chart, price is touching the top of the massive ascending channel (likely to test the bottom eventually), huge bear div on RSI, and a potential reversal doji. Technically, this screams "take profit."
$SQ Overbought - Topped Out$SQ Square - After some positive news today Square pushed once again for fresh all-time highs - for a stock that was already looking fairly over-extended before today.
I'm long term bullish, but this stock definitely looks due for a corrective pull-back in the very near term. The rise since early may (>80% gain) is now looking borderline parabolic. Targeting mid-70s before end of September.
Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
Square: Short term drop coming - Wait for support to be testedSQ still moving in the upward channel, but failed to drop down after touching resistance a couple weeks ago. Resistance was retested and rejected, with the RSI showing a strong bearish divergence. Wait for the bottom of the channel to be tested to buy in, or wait for breakout above resistance. Target in the low $60's. Good luck.
My opinion not financial advice