maybe this is an intermidiate bottom, and perhaps notbtcusd is in the throes of a love affair with a low dollar. since dxy has made its move, and inflation has peaked withthe news of a more hawkish monetary policy, a lower dollar means higher bitcoin. its convenient that the higher we go in major indices bitcoin seems to follow suit with even more bullish action. if this is atill a bear market for indices i would bet its still a bear market for bitcoin. if dxy goes higher ill sell btcusd and gbtc. if we get over this pivot im interested in upper horizontals as long as trama is rising and sss signal green/qqe long. it could follow the green path. if we stay below this pivot, and sss signal goes red/qqe short im interested in lower horizontals. it could follow the red path.
SSS
what does a break of 4000 mean for the s&p?nothing, or little to nothing can bedrawn from just the break of 4000 alone. 4000 is a psychological level thathasnt been visited for any great length of time since the first time we saw that level. if we get back above this sss supply zone were headed for the pivot, and if we fade out of that zone were headed for lower horizontals.
could this be a weekly bottom in bitcoin?btcusd has been making its way to the low end of this SSS supply zone. if we stay beneaththis pivot id imaginewere headed for a breakof the lower levels or the bottom of this range, and if we head upwards were likely headed for a test of sss signal or the top of this range. qqe is long so im buying until this zone dries up, and imselling a rally on this timeframe. as is shown in this fixed range volume profile the majority of the action since the top has beenright below this pivot that ive drawn in dashes.
what a great stock to own long termfacebook is one of those companies that is pretty well here to stay. i could see this over $600 one day. once we get over TRAMA and sss, qqe go green i would have no problem averaging into this for a passive investment in tech. facebook will always think of new ways to squeeze more money out of their user data.
need green sss for long term buy nasdaqrecent data suggesting the bottom is probably not in for the nasdaq means we need to see sss signal green on the monthly and cross above pivot for upper horizontals to be in play. till then were not averse to lower horizontals, or even touching the sss supply zone. qqe going long monthly would mean a long term entry averaging up into nasdaq funds would be profitable.
hard turn up for vixes1! puts have been lining up for a pump in vx1! and this is captured in uvxy hourly as a bullish engulfing in reversal in red territory sss candles. as long as we hold hourly lows vix and we cross above pivot turning sss signal green and printing a qqe long upper horizontals are in play.
i think tesla oversold is an intraday bounce candidateqqe recently went long tesla, and i think theres something to it if rsi chooses to reverse and cause some squeeze. if we get the volume trade switch back to the bulls on the hourly, this horizontal might hit. theres short long and pivot targets as well as the path i think tsla might take.
what if we distribute further in major indices?spx is in a correction wave of a terminal thrust distributively, and if we sink we distribute further. the .382, tram, and sss ma are levels of resistance and .618 and lower anchored vwap band are levels of support, .5 and nearby levels are pivot, but we may trend much lower in major indices. there are still bullish scenarios marked out and fib retrace levels are a guide as well as sss signal and qqe entries.
i like semiconductors correcting from oversoldsome meaningful bounce is taking place in big tech at least intraday, andsemiconductors as a lead bear are taking part. SOXL is trapped under yeasterdaysgap up, and todays gap up. ive marked outlong short pivot and drawn a bull and vear scenario. there is no bias, but i am long semiconductors when price is so low, at least intraday.
rangebound trading cant last bear flag or breakoutprice action daily nasdaq is ranging around the lows with the bounce not escaping vertical gravity, and the candlestick pattern forming either a bear flag or a bullish reversal. if we cross above pivot im looking at upper horizontals as resistance, and if we cross below it im looking at lower horizontals as support.
a few different scenarios for emini nasdaq front monthif we enter this sss suply zone and bounce we may have one of the green scenarios play out. if we fall beneath it and start confirming a lower high on some resistance beneath it we could be headed for one ofthe red scenarios. below pivot im looking at lower horizontals and above it im looking for higher lines.
not all is woe for the s&plooks like we may touch that sss moving average, and then revisit trama. if we remain beneath this pivot i think the supports marked out are in play, and if we climb back above it the upper resistances are targets. we are inside the bar enough that a bounce could lead to bullish action, but still hanging low enough that if we break the previous sessions lows its hard to find an area that stops the bleeding.
touching TRAMA and SSS signal with QQE longi imagine that if we cross above this pivot hourly and beat TRAMA and SSS signal turning it green the QQE long entry will play out for bulls aroundupper gorizontals, and if we stay beneath those levels turning TRAMA back down hugging SSS signal lower remaining red i would look for lower horizontals.
looks like gap down and bounce could go both wayswere off the lows for the session in the nasdaq, nq1!, and ndx, and creating a slightly higher low than yesterday. we have retested sss moving average, and nearly crossed signal to the upside. if we fall beneath pivot i would look toward sss supply area, and lower horizontals. if we stay above pivot and TRAMA i would look for upper horizontals.
seeking over $200 soon for this semiconductor stocknvda has made a quick return over the past couple months, and theres no reasont that if the broader market continues bullish that nvda should not participate. if we get higher lows in daily qqq i would imagine over $200 for nvda, or around the highest horizontal is in play. if we resist from the first horizontal and set lower highs daily qqq breaking pivot to the downside nvda i would go for thoelse lower horizontals.
the last time this chart pattern happened we consolidatedthe 4hr picture on qqe and sss is short. the last time this happened we had to revisit some area of supply/movingaverage in order to continue. theres nothing saying the dollar cant squeeze and bitcoin experience a little snapback to recent lows, and i would be cautious entering long here hoping to bump higher on the weekly. the picot price ive marked out here in the middle is critical, and i would look to target upper horizontals if we can hold that level, and the lower horizontals if we start resisting there.
semiconductors could be in for a huge bull moveif we stay above pivot, there is nothing stopping the top of the sss supply zone from being reached, and qqe rsi signaling bull with a green sss on the weekly. if we pivot higher i would aim for upper horizontals, if we fin ourselves making a bear cross at this key resistance i would aim for lower horizontals if sss stays red.
aapl showing how broader market will fareim depending on this large cap value in tech to lead the way for the rest of the market as a bellweather in technology. if we fall beneath pivot to start testing sss signal as resistance and it turns red were headed for daily consolidation in tech and the broader market, probably testing that ma as support. if we keep a green signal, and hold pivot testing as support we should move toward upper horizontals as long as we do not h/s around potential neckline.