Stablecoins
USDD Strablecoin DepeggingAs i warned you in the past article, TRX is about to collapse because of USDD:
According to their website, USDD is secured by the over-collateralization of multiple mainstream digital assets (e.g. TRX , BTC , and USDT). The total value of collateralized assets is significantly higher than that of USDD in circulation with the collateral ratio set at 120%.
This is the USDD collateral:
TRX 10,929,535,279
BTC 14,040.6 = about $313Mil
USDT 29,964,253
USDC 39,719,839
so besides TRX , the total amount of other collateral is $383Mil for a stablecoin that has a mk cap of $724Mil.
Now let`s say TRX drops to the Covid level of $0.0072, which is not unrealistic in my opinion.
Then the TRX collateral of 10,929,535,279 coin will be worth $78,692,654.
Assuming that BTC won`t go lower, then still the liquid collateral of USDD will be around $462Mil for a mk cap now of $724Mil, which will result in a huge depegging od the "stablecoin".
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
📈 Tether Dominance Long-Term Bearish Trend ConfirmedLast week closed as an inverted hammer and this was the "last hooray".
EMA50 still stands as support but we have multiple lower highs since June 2022.
The weekly MACD just entered the bearish zone:
The weekly RSI is also showing a strong bearish bias:
All the USDT (Tether) will be used to buy Bitcoin and Altcoins.
Here we can see clearly on the daily timeframe how MA200 has been lost as support:
Below this level Tether Dominance is always bearish.
Notice bear volume being at its highest since November 2022 when USDT.D started to decline.
The next drop will send USDT.D to around 4.81%, a major drop.
This is the level it traded at around April 2022, this would mean Bitcoin trading at about $40,000.
There is strong support at this level just as Bitcoin will face strong resistance at $40k.
Everything is pointing in the same direction... Bitcoin will grow like the world is ending... But the world isn't ending, it is just the end of an era where a new financial system will emerge.
✔️ Bitcoin is the future of money.
✔️ Cryptocurrency is the future money.
✔️ Bitcoin is the present of money.
✔️ Bitcoin is very likely to save us from another 2008.
Namaste.
SVB, Silvergate Collapse & Affect on CryptomarketHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
In a twist of events, an incident that happened within the banking realm created chaos for the crypto realm. I bet you didn't have that on your bingo cards for 2023...
In the past few weeks, there have been two significant bank failures in the United States that have sent shockwaves throughout the financial world. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank has sparked concerns about the stability of the banking system and the future of the crypto industry. The failure of these banks highlights the fragility of the financial system and the challenges faced by institutions that operate in high-risk sectors like tech and crypto.
Silicon Valley Bank ( SVB ) was closed by the FDIC on March 9 due to its heavy losses caused by the downturn in technology stocks and the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive plan to increase interest rates.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is an independent agency created by the US Congress in 1933 to maintain stability and public confidence in the nation's financial system. The FDIC provides deposit insurance that guarantees the safety of deposits in member banks, up to a certain limit. In the event that a member bank fails, the FDIC will step in to insure deposits, provide assistance to depositors, and liquidate the failed bank's assets. The FDIC also regulates and supervises member banks, as well as conducts research and analysis on the banking industry.
Silicon Valley Bank bought bonds using customers' deposits, but the value of those investments fell as interest rates rose. This is usually not a problem for banks, but Silicon Valley Bank's customers were largely startups that needed cash. Venture capital funding was drying up, and companies were tapping their existing funds deposited with Silicon Valley Bank, which was at the center of the tech startup universe. In response to this liquidity crisis, SVB sold a $21bn bond portfolio at a loss of $1.8 billion. The bank attempted to fill the solvency hole with a combined equity offering of $2.25bn on March 8, but the attempt failed. This is the largest failure of a financial institution in the United States since Washington Mutual collapsed more than a decade ago. The closure of SVB had an immediate effect on some startups that had ties to the bank, as they scrambled to pay their workers and feared having to pause projects or lay off employees until they could access their funds. SVB , the 16th largest bank in the US, had assets of $209 billion, with more than 50% of its investments tied up in long-term securities, including exposure to the Silicon Valley tech and health startup world. The bank's sudden collapse has raised questions about its risk management practices, and the impact of its closure on its clients, who are largely startups and wealthy tech workers. The bank's large uninsured deposits and exposure to high-risk sectors like tech and crypto contributed to its downfall.
But SVB isn't the only one... Silvergate Bank, which has been a significant player in the crypto world, has announced that it is closing and returning deposits. The bank's holding company, Silvergate Capital Corporation, stated that the decision was made "in light of recent industry and regulatory developments." The closure follows the loss of one billion dollars in a quarter after customers withdrew $8.1 billion, and a subsequent filing in March revealing even worse financials. The closure of Silvergate Bank is concerning for the crypto industry, as it may lead to companies turning to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier. Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Paxos have already started moving away from the bank. The collapse of the bank will likely draw scrutiny from lawmakers who are concerned about the crypto contagion affecting the traditional financial sector. The Silvergate Exchange Network, which allowed crypto exchanges like Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken to move money between themselves and other institutions, has also been shut down. The bank's financial struggles have been ongoing for some time, with some of its high-profile clients like FTX and Genesis also experiencing challenges. Silvergate's collapse raises concerns about the future of the crypto industry, as companies may turn to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier for everyone involved. The bank's failure is also likely to draw scrutiny from lawmakers concerned about the potential contagion of the crypto industry on the traditional financial sector.
Late Friday night Coinbase, a popular cryptocurrency exchange, announced that it would suspend conversions for the USDC stablecoin. This led to a rush of people trying to sell their USDC holdings, causing it to depeg from its value of $1 and trade as low as $0.87 before recovering to $0.92. Another stablecoin, Dai, also depegged and experienced a high volume of trading. Stablecoins are important in the cryptocurrency market as they provide a way for traders to move funds between different exchanges or cryptocurrencies without having to convert back to fiat currency. They are also used as a store of value by some cryptocurrency investors who prefer a more stable asset compared to the volatility of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. If stablecoins depeg permanently, it could lead to a loss of confidence in their stability and reliability. This could potentially cause a sell-off of stablecoins and a shift towards other assets perceived as more stable, such as traditional fiat currencies.
But before we panic too hard and FUD out, it's important to note that the impact of this crisis on cryptocurrencies such as alts and Bitcoin would depend on the severity and duration of the stablecoin depegging event, as well as other market factors such as investor sentiment and regulatory actions. In the past, there have been instances of stablecoins temporarily depegging from their underlying assets without significant impact on the broader cryptocurrency market. One notable example of a stablecoin depegging in the past is the case of Tether (USDT) in 2018. Tether is a stablecoin that is pegged to the value of the US dollar , with each USDT token representing one US dollar . In October 2018, Tether's price dropped below the $1 peg on several cryptocurrency exchanges, leading to concerns about the stability of the stablecoin. The depegging was attributed to a variety of factors, including regulatory pressures, concerns about Tether's reserves, and a general market downturn. The depegging led to a sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin ( USDC ) and TrueUSD (TUSD), which saw increased demand as traders and investors sought more reliable alternatives. Despite the depegging of Tether, the broader cryptocurrency market did not experience a significant impact, with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies largely unaffected. However, the incident highlighted the potential risks and uncertainties associated with stablecoins and their reliance on centralized institutions to maintain their pegs.
In terms of price action for the immediate term, the Tether (USDT) depegging event in 2018 did have some impact on the cryptocurrency market prices, although the impact was relatively limited and short-lived. Following the depegging of USDT, there was a brief sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin ( USDC ) and TrueUSD (TUSD). This led to increased demand for these stablecoins, which helped to maintain their pegs to the US dollar . However, the broader cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin , was largely unaffected by the Tether depegging. While there was some initial volatility and uncertainty, the market quickly stabilized and resumed its upward trend.
💭The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank is the second-largest bank default in U.S. history and puts the golden trifecta rule of banking (liquidity, solvency, and profitability) into review. This failure reminds us of the unintended consequences of unorthodox monetary policies, pandemic remediation measures, excessive leverage, and democracy eroding rulings. SVB had significant exposure to long-term securities and the Silicon Valley tech and health startup world. The bank's uninsured deposits pose a problem but insured deposits will be available as soon as Monday.
The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank underscores the need for stricter regulatory frameworks and tighter risk management practices in the financial industry. The failures also highlight the importance of diversification and risk mitigation strategies for banks and their clients. As the financial industry continues to evolve, it is essential that institutions keep pace with the changes and adapt their practices to ensure their stability and resilience in the face of future challenges.
_______________________
📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍
We thank you for your support !
CryptoCheck
Stablecoins Depeg: Twist of Events, Banking CrisisHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
In a twist of events, an incident that happened within the banking realm created chaos for the crypto realm. I bet you didn't have that on your bingo cards for 2023...
In the past few weeks, there have been two significant bank failures in the United States that have sent shockwaves throughout the financial world. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank has sparked concerns about the stability of the banking system and the future of the crypto industry. The failure of these banks highlights the fragility of the financial system and the challenges faced by institutions that operate in high-risk sectors like tech and crypto.
Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) was closed by the FDIC on March 9 due to its heavy losses caused by the downturn in technology stocks and the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive plan to increase interest rates.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is an independent agency created by the US Congress in 1933 to maintain stability and public confidence in the nation's financial system. The FDIC provides deposit insurance that guarantees the safety of deposits in member banks, up to a certain limit. In the event that a member bank fails, the FDIC will step in to insure deposits, provide assistance to depositors, and liquidate the failed bank's assets. The FDIC also regulates and supervises member banks, as well as conducts research and analysis on the banking industry.
Silicon Valley Bank bought bonds using customers' deposits, but the value of those investments fell as interest rates rose. This is usually not a problem for banks, but Silicon Valley Bank's customers were largely startups that needed cash. Venture capital funding was drying up, and companies were tapping their existing funds deposited with Silicon Valley Bank, which was at the center of the tech startup universe. In response to this liquidity crisis, SVB sold a $21bn bond portfolio at a loss of $1.8 billion . The bank attempted to fill the solvency hole with a combined equity offering of $2.25bn on March 8, but the attempt failed. This is the largest failure of a financial institution in the United States since Washington Mutual collapsed more than a decade ago. The closure of SVB had an immediate effect on some startups that had ties to the bank, as they scrambled to pay their workers and feared having to pause projects or lay off employees until they could access their funds. SVB, the 16th largest bank in the US, had assets of $209 billion, with more than 50% of its investments tied up in long-term securities, including exposure to the Silicon Valley tech and health startup world. The bank's sudden collapse has raised questions about its risk management practices, and the impact of its closure on its clients, who are largely startups and wealthy tech workers. The bank's large uninsured deposits and exposure to high-risk sectors like tech and crypto contributed to its downfall.
But SVB isn't the only one... Silvergate Bank, which has been a significant player in the crypto world, has announced that it is closing and returning deposits. The bank's holding company, Silvergate Capital Corporation, stated that the decision was made "in light of recent industry and regulatory developments." The closure follows the loss of one billion dollars in a quarter after customers withdrew $8.1 billion, and a subsequent filing in March revealing even worse financials. The closure of Silvergate Bank is concerning for the crypto industry, as it may lead to companies turning to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier. Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Paxos have already started moving away from the bank. The collapse of the bank will likely draw scrutiny from lawmakers who are concerned about the crypto contagion affecting the traditional financial sector. The Silvergate Exchange Network, which allowed crypto exchanges like Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken to move money between themselves and other institutions, has also been shut down. The bank's financial struggles have been ongoing for some time, with some of its high-profile clients like FTX and Genesis also experiencing challenges. Silvergate's collapse raises concerns about the future of the crypto industry, as companies may turn to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier for everyone involved. The bank's failure is also likely to draw scrutiny from lawmakers concerned about the potential contagion of the crypto industry on the traditional financial sector.
Late Friday night Coinbase, a popular cryptocurrency exchange, announced that it would suspend conversions for the USDC stablecoin. This led to a rush of people trying to sell their USDC holdings, causing it to depeg from its value of $1 and trade as low as $0.87 before recovering to $0.92. Another stablecoin, Dai, also depegged and experienced a high volume of trading. Stablecoins are important in the cryptocurrency market as they provide a way for traders to move funds between different exchanges or cryptocurrencies without having to convert back to fiat currency. They are also used as a store of value by some cryptocurrency investors who prefer a more stable asset compared to the volatility of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. If stablecoins depeg permanently, it could lead to a loss of confidence in their stability and reliability. This could potentially cause a sell-off of stablecoins and a shift towards other assets perceived as more stable, such as traditional fiat currencies.
But before we panic too hard and FUD out, it's important to note that the impact of this crisis on cryptocurrencies such as alts and Bitcoin would depend on the severity and duration of the stablecoin depegging event, as well as other market factors such as investor sentiment and regulatory actions. In the past, there have been instances of stablecoins temporarily depegging from their underlying assets without significant impact on the broader cryptocurrency market. One notable example of a stablecoin depegging in the past is the case of Tether (USDT) in 2018. Tether is a stablecoin that is pegged to the value of the US dollar, with each USDT token representing one US dollar. In October 2018, Tether's price dropped below the $1 peg on several cryptocurrency exchanges, leading to concerns about the stability of the stablecoin. The depegging was attributed to a variety of factors, including regulatory pressures, concerns about Tether's reserves, and a general market downturn. The depegging led to a sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin (USDC) and TrueUSD (TUSD), which saw increased demand as traders and investors sought more reliable alternatives. Despite the depegging of Tether, the broader cryptocurrency market did not experience a significant impact, with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies largely unaffected. However, the incident highlighted the potential risks and uncertainties associated with stablecoins and their reliance on centralized institutions to maintain their pegs.
In terms of price action for the immediate term, the Tether (USDT) depegging event in 2018 did have some impact on the cryptocurrency market prices, although the impact was relatively limited and short-lived. Following the depegging of USDT, there was a brief sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin (USDC) and TrueUSD (TUSD). This led to increased demand for these stablecoins, which helped to maintain their pegs to the US dollar. However, the broader cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin, was largely unaffected by the Tether depegging. While there was some initial volatility and uncertainty, the market quickly stabilized and resumed its upward trend.
💭The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank is the second-largest bank default in U.S. history and puts the golden trifecta rule of banking (liquidity, solvency, and profitability) into review. This failure reminds us of the unintended consequences of unorthodox monetary policies, pandemic remediation measures, excessive leverage, and democracy eroding rulings. SVB had significant exposure to long-term securities and the Silicon Valley tech and health startup world. The bank's uninsured deposits pose a problem but insured deposits will be available as soon as Monday.
The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank underscores the need for stricter regulatory frameworks and tighter risk management practices in the financial industry. The failures also highlight the importance of diversification and risk mitigation strategies for banks and their clients. As the financial industry continues to evolve, it is essential that institutions keep pace with the changes and adapt their practices to ensure their stability and resilience in the face of future challenges.
_______________________
📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍
We thank you for your support !
CryptoCheck
#Stable Dominance , Dump will Continue, Here's Why!Once this pennant breaks below BTC is likely to hit $22.5k+.
Is it likely? I think Yes.
Lower support is around 4.14%
Once this level hits expect some correction in the market.
The charts show the possibility of the continuation of this uptrend.
Invalidation:- Break and close above 4.85%
Let me know what. you think.
Please hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section.
Stay safe
#PEACE
Market Dominance of different assets w and w/o stablecoins1. Bitcoin dominance w/ostablecoins
2. Bitcoin dominance with stablecoins
3. Altcoins dominance w/o ETH w/o Stablecoins
4. Altcoins dominance w/o ETH with stablecoins
5. ETH dominance w/ostablecoins
6. ETH dominance with stablecoins
7. Stablecoin dominance
📈 Tether Dominance, The Final ConfirmationIncredibly enough, some people still have doubt that Bitcoin and the Altcoins will continue to grow.
Here is the final confirmation in the form of a strongly bearish USDT.D chart.
Remember that one mentioning this thing is about "to speed'...
Well, this "thing" has more down to go before it finds support.
At least one more strong red candle, then a small bounce before more lows.
Namaste.
💵USD.Dominance Diverging⛽Fuel For Future Financial Flurry🤺👑
King Dollar Has Been Demonstrating It's
Dominance Over Markets, Especially Crypto Since
Bottoming In Quarter One Of 2021
Holding The Moniker Of The Dollar Prince
Even I've Been Surprised By The
Recent Strength, Though That Seems Set
To Finally Change
🔮
A Collection Of USD.D Stable Coin
Charts For Your Viewing Pleasure Below
Remember US Dollar Dominance Down =
Risky Markets Up
💹
As An Aside, So Much For
The Fed Printing All Dem Dollars
One Would Think QE Isn't Money
Printing After All..
🤔
USDT.D
USDC.D
DAI.D
TUSD.D
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
CRYPTOCAP:USDC.D
CRYPTOCAP:DAI.D
CRYPTOCAP:TUSD.D
💸
MarketCap of Cryptocurrencies except stable coins (TOTAL-USD)ℹ️ This is the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies, excluding major stable coins (USDT, USDC, BUSD, DAI, GUSD, PAX, SUSD, USDK, EURS).
🟢The chart indicates a possible bear trap.
However, to be confirmed, the index needs to break through the resistance shown in the blue region above to have an upward confirmation.
If that happens, the LS Volatility Index is expected to drop to zero, indicating an approximation to the 21 moving average.
🔴In a bad scenario, the marketcap can reach new lows, possibly reaching the next Fibonacci level.
In that case, the LS Volatility Index would rise to 100, indicating an even greater deviation from the 21 average.
Crypto Market Risk ExposureThis layout is used to understand the level of risk exposure in the crypto market.
There are 3 data, in order from top to bottom:
1. USDT+USDC+DAI: Market Cap main stablecoins.
2. USDT.D+USDC.D+DAI.D: Dominance main stablecoins.
3. Bicoin/Dollar.
The data seen together makes us understand whether investors prefer to go risk-off or risk-on based on the divergence/convergence between the values of USDT.D+USDC.D+DAI.D and Bitcoin/Dollar. The more the two data diverge, the more investors take refuge in stablecoins, while the more the two data converge, the more investors buy BTC using stablecoins. As for the USDT+USDC+DAI data seen together with the other two, it serves to weigh the level of confidence in the crypto market during its phases, eg. the combination of flattening/reduction of the stablecoins market cap with the increase of their dominance makes us understand not only that investors are running away from BTC(and Alts) but also that they are making cash-out in FIAT, effectively removing ready liquidity on the market which will find it more difficult to recover in a short time(eg period from 2022-03-07 to 2022-07-12, historical record red candles on the W). Analyzing the last week instead we are seeing a change of direction, from divergence to convergence, the dominance of the stables has reached the peak and is now reversing heading towards the first support at 8.63%, while BTC is start climbing towards the resistance at 31.7k, in the meantime the market cap of the stables is continuing to fall in a first historical retracement, a sign that the market continues to lose ready liquidity to give a greater boost to BTC, also witnessed by the low trading volumes.
Peg of Stable CoinsStablecoins are cryptocurrencies whose value is pegged, or tied, to that of another currency, commodity, or financial instrument.
Stablecoins aim to provide an alternative to the high volatility of the most popular cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC), which has made crypto investments less suitable for common transactions.
(Investopedia)
This graph shows the pegged value of the main stable coins.
Ideally, the value should be 1:1.
In this crash scenario, I will stay alert on these values.
Stable Coins: Amount of Assets Held by WhalesThis graph shows the ranking of stable coins, according to the Amount of Assets Held by Whales (some stable coins don't have this information here).
Since May 02, 2022, BUSD has surpassed USDC in this indicator.
USDT remains relatively stable, and DAI was below $2 billion.
The PEG of these stable coins can be seen in this other analysis:
Dollar losing strength? Correlation with BitcoinThis is the Dollar dominance chart in the cryptocurrency world.
It has an inverse correlation to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies that are not stable coins:
The dominance index is exiting the bullish purple channel.
However, it is still above the red support region.
The scenario will be bullish if this dominance does not return to the purple channel, and break the red zone downwards.
If the scenario worsens, it will go back inside the channel and can test the top of 06/18/2022.
Which translates, conversely, to the bottom of the Bitcoin price could be retested.
In DXY, which measures the strength of the Dollar against other FIAT currencies, we have an ascending broadening wedge, the "megaphone" pattern.
To break this uptrend the index needs to first break the purple support region, and then break the lower wedge line downwards.
🎯 Stablecoins dominance - the DXY of Cryptoverse🎯 Today we'll have a look at the cumulated dominance of Tether USD, Circle USD and DAI in comparison with Bitcoin's price.
Since 2019 Stables dominance has been ranging inside this channel on the logarithmic chart.
The channel is moving upwards as more funds enter and remain in the cryptoverse.
As such, the dominance of Stables is highly dependent on interest in these assets, so I expect this channel to break at one point (at minimum due to saturation of the market). So far this channel has held.
Touches of the upper band marked bottoms for BTC, while touches of the lower band marked tops.
Thus, I'm looking at their dominance as inversely correlated with Bitcoin's price, similar to how DXY is inversely correlated with the stock market.
We are currently in an up move that's been trending the blue line since the 69k$ top.
Considering the channel holds, we can expect one of the two scenarios to develop and mark a reversal in the market.
This doesn't mean that it is the only way we are ending the bear market. However, I am watching this closely. 🎯
💎 Looking forward for your questions below. If this post provided you value, follow for more.
1 Year Of BTC El Salvador CelebratesEl Salvador has used Bitcoin for a year.
El Salvador started using Bitcoin as a legal tender a year ago after President Nayib Bukele made a contentious choice. The public welcomed the new chance with enthusiasm, but since then, Bitcoin's value has fallen, and some experts believe the initiative was a disaster.
Bitcoin is up 2.72% today, Ethereum is up 8%, and Solana is up nearly 5% as the cryptocurrency markets rebound.
This Thursday morning, cryptocurrency markets are up. Pololu, Polygon, and Ethereum have made gains. Shiba Inu and Dogecoin, two meme coins, have also increased in value over the past 24 hours. Volatility has been seen in stablecoins.
"More CBDC news," the Ripple advisor teases.
According to Ripple, it may soon reveal additional information regarding its central bank digital currency projects.
Advisor to the CBDC Antony Welfare
The last session saw a 3.1% increase in BTC/USD.
The latest session saw a massive 3.1% increase in the Bitcoin-Dollar pair. The MACD is sending a negative signal. Resistance is at 20712.8113, while support is at 17730.3773.
USDT warn! only the tokens on the PoS network will be redeemableGrayscale warning ahead of the Ethereum Merge: “issuers like Tether and CirclePay have stated that post-fork, only the tokens on the PoS (proof of stake) network will be redeemable”, so if the PoS-based Ethereum fork goes “live with a parallel DeFi ecosystem, collateralized with unredeemable stablecoins, users and smart contracts may attempt to liquidate positions on the new chain, contributing to sell pressure on the new token.”
The worst case scenario of the Merge is the collapse of Ethereum based stablecoins, so be careful with those.
August 23 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
According to CoinShare, Digital asset investment products saw minor outflows last week totalling US$9m last week with volumes at US$1bn, 55% off the year average and the 2nd lowest this year. Bitcoin price is almost flat over the past 24 hours. The relative strength index (RSI) is near the oversold zone, indicating that the bears have a significant advantage. For now, the bulls need to push the Bitcoin price above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($22,382) to avoid further decline.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
UK Intends to Bring Stablecoins Under Regulation
A proposed bill could give U.K. regulators new powers over payments-focused crypto assets like stablecoins in September. The bill looks to expand existing financial regulations to cover payments-centric cryptocurrencies such as stablecoins, which are broadly defined as "digital settlement assets" (DSAs), and the bill also puts the UK Treasury in charge of defining what DSA are and gives the Bank of England (BoE), the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the Payments Systems Regulator (PSR) corresponding powers to enforce the rules.
Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.
BTC.D+Stablecoin DominanceI think the days of just looking at BTC dominance are nearing its' end now that we have more stable (generally) crypto options to "cash out" to. Before USDT/USDC, bitcoin was the safest to cash out to. I calculated dominance of top 50 overall market cap stablecoins BUSD, USDC, USDT and DAI and then added BTC.D. This way we can paint a picture of overall market risk on vs off, removing the impact trading between BTC and stablecoins has on BTC.D alone.
Equation plugged into TradingView: BTC.D+(GLASSNODE:BUSD_MARKETCAP+GLASSNODE:USDT_MARKETCAP+GLASSNODE:USDC_MARKETCAP+CRYPTOCAP:DAI)/CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL*100
Any comments, questions/concerns are more than welcome!
Dominance of stable coins in an important regionJust remembering that the dominance of stable coins is inversely correlated to the price of other cryptocurrencies.
When dominance rises, the price of Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptos commonly fall.
We are on an ABC correction within the bearish leg of wave 5.
The yellow circles demonstrate an important pullback region, where we are right now.
The chart is dangerously inside a bullish descending wedge.
I believe the value will break out of the red bearish channel going up, and retest the rectangular region (0.214 retracement).
In my opinion, this will be the moment of truth.
If stable coins do not break this retraction, we will have new lows.
On the other hand, if they break out of this region going higher, we will have a longer leg up.
In a short-term optimistic scenario, the value could break out of this red channel going lower, and retest the last low, what would be bullish for non-stable cryptocurrencies.
Below is a parallel scenario of the Bitcoin chart.
Vertical green lines demonstrate pullback points.
In Bitcoin's bullish channel, it remains to be seen whether the price will stay above the middle of this channel, or if it will go all the way to the bottom.
Bitcoin macro analysis (BTC/USD Index)Hello how are you?
On the long-term chart BTC follows a bullish channel.
It looks like he is testing the 38% Fibonacci retracement.
I placed the retracement considering the bottom of March 9, 2020 and the top of March 08, 2021.
Why did I consider these dates?
Explanation below.
BTC/USD indexed on Nasdaq
As Nasdaq is strongly correlated with BTC lately,
I analyzed in a separate chart the price of BTC indexed on the NDX.
Also on the same bull channel:
As we can see, we have the last bottom on March 9, 2020 and the last top on March 08, 2021.
Then, tracing the Fibonacci retracement by joining these dates, we saw that the price corrected until the 50% correction
Maybe test again? I don't know.
Fibonacci Channel
Reached -50% retraction.
Stochastic RSI, RSI and 100-month smoothed exponential moving average
On the monthly chart the price is in a theoretically cheap region, rarely seen.
On the RSI, the indicator broke the historic low.
And the stochastic RSI is still pointing down. When it starts to turn upwards it will be a good sign.
Another interesting sign is the 100-month regularized exponential moving average, as circled.
On-chain data
The volume of BTC on the network indicates important points.
In the yellow circles, where we had high volume on the Bitcoin network, this foreshadowed a strong swing in price, both up and down.
The percent of circulating supply that has not moved in at least 1 year
This indicator appears to be reversing downwards, which indicates that the circulating supply that has been idle for at least 1 year is starting to move.
We can see an inverse relationship as shown by the arrows.
Drawdown
In the past there was a drop of 87%, 80% and 82% approximately.
Now we're down 70%.
Have already fixed everything, or will you test that red diagonal channel, correcting 74% or more?
Stable coins dominance (dollar strength in the crypto market)
The dominance of the three main stable coins (USDT, USDC and DAI) has an inverse correlation to BTC.
When it goes up, the price of BTC goes down, and vice versa.
We have a bullish channel on the stable coin dominance chart, and when dominance reaches the top channel, it is usually a great buy signal, as shown in green circles.
Dollar dominance in the traditional market
Tested 50% Fibo retracement.
Hope this helps.