UPS- Continuation of stage 4 decline?Dear all,
In a weak market, I look for stage 4 breakouts and continuation pattersn (based on the famous Stan Weinstein).
I try to look for bear flags that fall together with downsloping 50 day sma (or at least very close, a few %s).
This is the case for UPS.
After a last few good months for UPS, a possible bear flag is forming that coincides with a support/resisistance level and a downsloping 50d sma.
The AVWAP of the latest High and Low are also above the current price, giving extra pressure for a downturn (since the sellers are in control).
Things to consider for a stage 4:
- declining 30 week Ma :check
- declining 10 week Ma :check
- 10 w underneath 30w :check
- Loss of trendline :TBA
I will open some puts (3 months out) when the price breaks $173.3 or the striped support line.
Possible stop loss could be the 50d SMA or the AVWAP of the low.
