The current earnings season in the United States brought forth intriguing results. Nevertheless, we have seen some adverse reactions to relatively good results. For example, Alphabet (Google) lost about 10% following its quarterly earnings on Tuesday, despite its revenues and net income soaring (YoY) in 3Q23 by a significant margin (though it is important to note...
It has been about twenty days since SPX marked a high near $4,607. Back then, we highlighted the importance of watching the Chinese stock market in order to get more clues about what could be waiting for the U.S. indices (specifically, we mentioned a rollover in the Chinese stocks and the spillover effect). Since then, SPX drifted slightly lower, approximately...
In the aftermath of the latest Federal Reserve (FED) meeting and subsequent 25 basis points rate hike, SPX has been experiencing fluctuating price action, oscillating primarily between $4,520 and $4,600. This range-bound activity could indicate investors’ caution as they grapple with the implications of the FED's policy changes and monitor the incoming economic...
After successfully predicting the bounce following new lows and then warning about the subsequent drop, we are back to provide more thoughts on the market. In the big scheme of things, not much has changed. Merely the market confirmed our bearish bias, which we have continued to nourish throughout 2022. Despite many calling it the spreading of fear and...
About two weeks ago, we noted that the market was nearing 2022 lows, which led us to speculate about the short-term bounce. We reasoned that people would start predicting the double bottom formation and potential trend reversal. However, we stated that this bullish move-up would prove to be short-lived over time. Since our post, SPX hit a new low and then bounced...
Pattern: Rebound on the 2850 1D Support. Signal: Bullish as the recovery has already reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Target: 3190 (the 0.618 Fibonacci). Every prior rebound on recent sell-offs has extend to the 0.618 Fibonacci.
Despite this week's rebound on Friday's 2,855 low (a level which was the 1W Support also made by the October 3rd 2019 low), S&P failed to break the 1D MA200 so far with the 1D chart remaining under pressure (RSI = 38.384, MACD = -75.790, ADX = 49.730). That is despite the fact that the Federal Reserve announced a rate cut yesterday, with the index pulling back...
SPX has been trading within a Channel Up on the 1W chart since the October 03 2019 low (RSI = 68.663, MACD = 94.760, ADX = 55.372, Highs/Lows = 80.7537). At the moment the price was rejected near the Higher High trend line and since the RSI on the 1D chart in on a bearish divergence we expect the pull back leg for a Higher Low. The 1D MA50 last time supported the...
SPX is trading within a 1D Channel Up (RSI = 64.687, MACD = 28.070, ADX = 51.456, Highs/Lows = 0.2723) since the October 3, 2019 bottom. There is however one bearish divergence signal that calls for a sell towards the 3,070 1D Support if the 1D Channel Up breaks to the downside. That signal is the RSI which is trading sideways (at best) on a pattern that resembles...
As per our last study, the +100 pip target has been reached: The index has approached the Higher High zone of the 1W Channel Up (RSI = 64.884, MACD = 62.620, Highs/Lows = 78.1742) and the 1D RSI is close to the 71.30 level which since February 2019 has always caused a pull back. When on the Higher High trend line of the 1W Channel Up in particular, the 71.00...
After hitting our previous Target, the index is once again approaching the 3,030 1W Resistance and All Time High (ATH). 1D has just turned bullish on its RSI = 56.532 (MACD = 7.990, ADX = 32.823, Highs/Lows = 25.3073) but this is not the clue we are looking at for our next move. What seems to be more relevant now is how S&P traded on a similar situation in...
The index is suffering the technical consequences of the 3,025 - 3,030 Double top earlier last month and is aggressively pulling back within its 1W Channel Up (RSI = 47.427, MACD = 35.000, ADX = 33.659) having crossed all 1D Support levels. It is now approaching the Higher Low Zone (green) and the 1D MA200 which has always acted as a strong Support through out...
The index is trading within a 1W Channel Up (RSI = 57.360, MACD = 38.130, Highs/Lows = 5.5037) since late February. Since the May Higher High, the pattern has been respecting the Higher High/ Higher Low marks providing clear buy/ sell signals. The price just broke above the 1D MA50 which has been the Resistance for a whole month (August) since the 2,780 Higher...
TVC:SPX Extreme indecision in the American market, where we constantly see positive days alternating with negative ones, without understanding the sentiment of the market. We are waiting for this rectangle to be broken to give us an idea. At the same time we protect the nearest Trailing Stop positions with Stop Loss.
Pattern: Channel Up on 1W. Signal: Bullish as last week's Higher Low rebound pulled back to the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone. Target: 3020 (just below the 1W Resistance).
2016/11/17. S&P 500 stock index forecast for next months and years. S&P forecast for November 2016. The forecast for beginning of November 2168. Maximum value 2266, while minimum 2010. Averaged index value for month 2146. S&P 500 at the end 2138, change for November -1.38%. S&P 500 forecast for December 2016. The forecast for beginning of December 2138. Maximum...