Standardandpoor500
S&P 500 - Republican vs Democrat Win PredictionWith the US elections on the way, here is my predicted outcome by EOY for where S&P 500 is headed.
The assumptions proposed are based on a combined historical analysis of presidential elections, along with the oddities of the current "circus" of a market. This analysis has NO bias sentiment leaning toward either party, an is strictly based on historic trends of election years and election party switch years.
Note: This document is for information and illustrative purposes only. It is not, and should not be regarded as “investment advice” or as a “recommendation” regarding a course of action, including without limitation as those terms are used in any applicable law or regulation.
SnP500 Update. Where the heck is this train rocketing to? SPXThought I'd give you guys an update on SPX. Look, I don't think we are at the end of the train ride here. Choo-Choo!
This appears to me as a beginning of Wave 4 of 5, meaning that there is one more impulse at least before the roller coaster ends. RSI with no daily, weekly divergences. Fear and Greed Index is greedy but not extremely so. Now targets are fib trend extensions. The two targets are in ?dark blue/green. Invalidation in red. Expecting to reach either target at the two ?purple verticals. Let's see what Monday has in store for us.
SPX500USD - Plan to reach ATHS&P500 looks nice. After a successful retest of 3200, it continues to rise. And with all this Fed stimulus I think it aimed at 3370 and will get there.
If we get a wick into 3220 - 3250 area (link on 30 Jan 2020) it would be a great entry point.
Hit the "LIKE" button and follow to support, thank you!
Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
S&P 500 Short Opportunity, via 1-Hour ChartAs we can see, price has shot up, tested the major key level of 3101.6 twice before continuing further up. Right now, it's testing January's previous structure support of 3221 which can potentially become resistance. If price completes this head and shoulders pattern, there shall be bearish movement ahead.
S&P-500 #SPX(possibility 1) The United States will again be open to the market, the need for large investors to buy at a low price must be accompanied by an increase in the absorption of purchase contracts, which is why I calculate a high value in volume ( contracts negotiated) (possibility 2) The United States is even more affected by the exponential increase in coronavirus rates, the decrease in consumption, even more unemployment and the hiring of the productive sector, which leads to a lack of interest in the market and a collapse towards the Fibonacci level , NASX is in a price correction zone between (Fibonacci level 0.78; 0.618) that must be validated with a rejection of the zone for the analysis to be "valid".
US Markets Testing Previous Highs Normal Economic Sentiment:The following below remains, however S&P and DJI are testing the previous high. If these markets break this I’ve added a safety point on which I will deem these market have revered from the cover turmoil and it’s ‘business at usual’, the FED will most probably still have that money printer going Brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr though…
VERY BEARISH if the following transpires before breaking the above safety points:
S&P: If P action closes below the orange line at 2723.3 attention will turn more bearish and watch for market to fall to 2460.2. In this instance will reassess market dynamics as it may bounce in this range or continue to fall
Dow: The same flows for Dow Jones with P action closes below the orange line at 22931.5 attention will turn more bearish and watch for market to fall to 20842.4. In this instance will reassess market dynamics as it may bounce in this range or continue to fall
If markets stay above these initial levels for the next 3 months (i’ll be surprised) however this will look like economies are back in order from COVID-19 and running ‘normal economics’
Possible S&P 500 Long, via 4-HourAs we can see, price failed an attempt to finalize a head and shoulders pattern to the downside. Price pushed back up and closed above the neck line. Price also made a three inside out bullish candle reversal at demand. Price shall break and close above my 1 hour inverse head and shoulders in attempt to go back into previous supply zone.
VIX 20-point rise ahead ?VIX has 1 100-point jump and 6 50-point jump in 20-year history.
VIX hs "SKEW RIGHT" and "VIBRATION" features when withdraws.
In 2008 Oct. 100-point jump, there are 2 20-point vibrations.
In 6 50-pont jumps, there are at least 1~3 10-point vibrations.
In 2020 100-point jump, ONLY 2 10-point vibrations so far.
Is it complete?
Path 1 - All the way back to 15-20 level (30% chance)
PAth 2 - AT LEAST ONE 20-point rise ahread (70% chance)
How do you think?
Nasdaq on its way to 11k ATHI'm just as astonished as the next guy, but the techincals are very bullish. SPX is perched comfortably above the .618 from its ATH - a level many expected to reject the price - barely even nudged it. We have a confirmed Head and Shoulders reversal with the neckline break here. A break back under the neckline, and particularly the right shoulder, would look like invalidation.